메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 117, Issue 1, 2013, Pages 113-122

Projecting future drought in Mediterranean forests: Bias correction of climate models matters!

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC FORCING; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE FORCING; CLIMATE MODELING; CORRECTION; DROUGHT; FOREST; NUMERICAL MODEL; WATER BUDGET;

EID: 84926653995     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-0992-z     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (47)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 78650476214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data
    • Anagnostopoulos GG, Koutsoyiannis D, Christofides A et al (2010) A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data. Hydrol Sci J 55(7):1094-1110. doi:10.1080/ 02626667.2010.513518
    • (2010) Hydrol Sci J , vol.55 , Issue.7 , pp. 1094-1110
    • Anagnostopoulos, G.G.1    Koutsoyiannis, D.2    Christofides, A.3
  • 2
    • 84875835361 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought characteristics’ role in widespread aspen forest mortality across Colorado, USA
    • Anderegg LDL, Anderegg WRL, Abatzoglou J et al (2013) Drought characteristics’ role in widespread aspen forest mortality across Colorado, USA. Glob Chang Biol 19(5):1526-1537. doi:10.1111/ gcb.12146
    • (2013) Glob Chang Biol , vol.19 , Issue.5 , pp. 1526-1537
    • Anderegg, L.D.L.1    Anderegg, W.R.L.2    Abatzoglou, J.3
  • 3
    • 78649999983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving species distribution models for climate change studies: Variable selection and scale
    • AustinM, Van Niel KP (2011) Improving species distribution models for climate change studies: variable selection and scale. J Biogeogr 38:1-8. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02416.x
    • (2011) J Biogeogr , vol.38 , pp. 1-8
    • Austin, M.1    Van Niel, K.P.2
  • 4
    • 84871919722 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The expectation of future precipitation change over the Mediterranean region is different from what we observe
    • Barkhordarian A, Storch H, Bhend J (2012) The expectation of future precipitation change over the Mediterranean region is different from what we observe. Clim Dyn 40:225-244. doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1497-7
    • (2012) Clim Dyn , vol.40 , pp. 225-244
    • Barkhordarian, A.1    Storch, H.2    Bhend, J.3
  • 5
    • 84855610880 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mediterranean warming is especially due to summer season. Evidences from Tuscany (central Italy)
    • Bartolini G, Di Stefano V, Maracchi G, Orlandini S (2012) Mediterranean warming is especially due to summer season. Evidences from Tuscany (central Italy). Theor Appl Climatol 107(1-2):279-295. doi:10.1007/s00704-011-0481-1
    • (2012) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.107 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 279-295
    • Bartolini, G.1    Di Stefano, V.2    Maracchi, G.3    Orlandini, S.4
  • 6
    • 55949115013 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important?
    • Beaumont LJ, Hughes L, Pitman AJ (2008) Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important? Ecol Lett 11:1135-1146. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01231.x
    • (2008) Ecol Lett , vol.11 , pp. 1135-1146
    • Beaumont, L.J.1    Hughes, L.2    Pitman, A.J.3
  • 7
    • 84861645573 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overestimation of Mediterranean summer temperature projections due to model deficiencies
    • Boberg F, Christensen JH (2012) Overestimation of Mediterranean summer temperature projections due to model deficiencies. Nat Clim Chang 2:433-436. doi:10.1038/nclimate1454
    • (2012) Nat Clim Chang , vol.2 , pp. 433-436
    • Boberg, F.1    Christensen, J.H.2
  • 8
    • 35348937205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies
    • Boé J, Terray L, Habets F, Martin E (2007) Statistical and dynamical downscaling of the Seine basin climate for hydro-meteorological studies. Int J Climatol 27:1643-1655. doi:10.1002/joc
    • (2007) Int J Climatol , vol.27 , pp. 1643-1655
    • Boé, J.1    Terray, L.2    Habets, F.3    Martin, E.4
  • 9
    • 45849092625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forests and climate change: Forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests
    • Bonan G (2008) Forests and climate change: forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests. Science 320:1444-1449. doi:10.1126/ science.1155121
    • (2008) Science , vol.320 , pp. 1444-1449
    • Bonan, G.1
  • 10
    • 84860662015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on tree ranges: Model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty
    • Cheaib A, Badeau V, Boe J et al (2012) Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty. Ecol Lett 15:533-544. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01764.x
    • (2012) Ecol Lett , vol.15 , pp. 533-544
    • Cheaib, A.1    Badeau, V.2    Boe, J.3
  • 11
    • 84870302459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global convergence in the vulnerability of forests to drought
    • Choat B, Jansen S, Brodribb TJ et al (2012) Global convergence in the vulnerability of forests to drought. Nature 491:752-755. doi:10. 1038/nature11688
    • (2012) Nature , vol.491 , pp. 752-755
    • Choat, B.1    Jansen, S.2    Brodribb, T.J.3
  • 12
    • 58249085384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation
    • Christensen JH, Boberg F, Christensen OB, Lucas-Picher P (2008) On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation. Geophys Res Lett 35, L20709. doi:10.1029/2008GL035694
    • (2008) Geophys Res Lett , vol.35
    • Christensen, J.H.1    Boberg, F.2    Christensen, O.B.3    Lucas-Picher, P.4
  • 13
    • 0035000547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: Results from six dynamic global vegetation models
    • Cramer W, Bondeau A, Woodward FI et al (2001) Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: results from six dynamic global vegetation models. Glob Chang Biol 7:357-373. doi:10.1046/j.1365-2486. 2001.00383.x
    • (2001) Glob Chang Biol , vol.7 , pp. 357-373
    • Cramer, W.1    Bondeau, A.2    Woodward, F.I.3
  • 14
    • 34247621364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frequency of precipitation and temperature extremes over France in an anthropogenic scenario: Model results and statistical correction according to observed values
    • Déqué M (2007) Frequency of precipitation and temperature extremes over France in an anthropogenic scenario: model results and statistical correction according to observed values. Glob Planet Chang 57:16-26. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.11.030
    • (2007) Glob Planet Chang , vol.57 , pp. 16-26
    • Déqué, M.1
  • 15
    • 51449087133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region
    • Giorgi F, Lionello P (2008) Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob Planet Chang 63:90-104. doi:10.1016/j. gloplacha.2007.09.005
    • (2008) Glob Planet Chang , vol.63 , pp. 90-104
    • Giorgi, F.1    Lionello, P.2
  • 16
    • 46249092659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The SAFRAN-ISBAMODCOU hydrometeorological model applied over France
    • Habets F, Boone A, Champeaux JL et al (2008) The SAFRAN-ISBAMODCOU hydrometeorological model applied over France. J Geophys Res 113, D06113. doi:10.1029/2007JD008548
    • (2008) J Geophys Res , vol.113
    • Habets, F.1    Boone, A.2    Champeaux, J.L.3
  • 17
    • 80051953696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mid-21st century climate and weather extremes in Cyprus as projected by six regional climate models
    • Hadjinicolaou P, Giannakopoulos C, Zerefos C et al (2011) Mid-21st century climate and weather extremes in Cyprus as projected by six regional climate models. Reg Environ Chang 11:441-457. doi:10. 1007/s10113-010-0153-1
    • (2011) Reg Environ Chang , vol.11 , pp. 441-457
    • Hadjinicolaou, P.1    Giannakopoulos, C.2    Zerefos, C.3
  • 18
    • 34250748467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Translating climate forecasts into agricultural terms: Advances and challenges
    • Hansen JW, Challinor A, Ines A et al (2006) Translating climate forecasts into agricultural terms: advances and challenges. Clim Res 33:27-41. doi:10.3354/cr033027
    • (2006) Clim Res , vol.33 , pp. 27-41
    • Hansen, J.W.1    Challinor, A.2    Ines, A.3
  • 19
    • 0037996945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An examination of the interaction between climate, soil and leaf area index in a Quercus ilex ecosystem
    • Hoff C, Rambal S (2003) An examination of the interaction between climate, soil and leaf area index in a Quercus ilex ecosystem. Ann For Sci 60:153-161. doi:10.1051/forest:2003008
    • (2003) Ann For Sci , vol.60 , pp. 153-161
    • Hoff, C.1    Rambal, S.2
  • 20
    • 33746881799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies
    • Ines AVM, Hansen JW (2006) Bias correction of daily GCM rainfall for crop simulation studies. Agric Forest Meteorol 138:44-53. doi:10. 1016/j.agrformet.2006.03.009
    • (2006) Agric Forest Meteorol , vol.138 , pp. 44-53
    • Ines, A.V.M.1    Hansen, J.W.2
  • 22
    • 65249122534 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global pyrogeography: The current and future distribution of wildfire
    • Krawchuk MA, Moritz MA, Parisien MA et al (2009) Global pyrogeography: the current and future distribution of wildfire. PloS ONE 4(4):e5102. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0005102
    • (2009) PloS ONE , vol.4 , Issue.4
    • Krawchuk, M.A.1    Moritz, M.A.2    Parisien, M.A.3
  • 23
    • 68549085417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long term transpiration change with rainfall decline in a Mediterranean Quercus ilex forest
    • Limousin JM, Rambal S, Ourcival JM et al (2009) Long term transpiration change with rainfall decline in a Mediterranean Quercus ilex forest. Glob Chang Biol 15:2163-2175. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486. 2009.01852.x
    • (2009) Glob Chang Biol , vol.15 , pp. 2163-2175
    • Limousin, J.M.1    Rambal, S.2    Ourcival, J.M.3
  • 24
    • 78650798270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coordinated approaches to quantify long-term ecosystem dynamics in response to global change
    • Luo Y, Melillo J, Niu S et al (2011) Coordinated approaches to quantify long-term ecosystem dynamics in response to global change. Glob Chang Biol 17(2):843-854. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02265.x
    • (2011) Glob Chang Biol , vol.17 , Issue.2 , pp. 843-854
    • Luo, Y.1    Melillo, J.2    Niu, S.3
  • 25
    • 77954700859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user
    • Maraun D, Wetterhall F, Ireson AM et al (2010) Precipitation downscaling under climate change: recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Rev Geophys 48:RG3003. doi:10.1029/2009RG000314
    • (2010) Rev Geophys , vol.48
    • Maraun, D.1    Wetterhall, F.2    Ireson, A.M.3
  • 26
    • 84880132232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The temporal response to drought in a Mediterranean evergreen tree: Comparing a regional precipitation gradient and a throughfall exclusion experiment
    • Martin-StPaul NK, Limousin JM, Vogt-Schilb H et al (2013) The temporal response to drought in a Mediterranean evergreen tree: comparing a regional precipitation gradient and a throughfall exclusion experiment. Glob Chang Biol. doi:10.1111/gcb.12215
    • (2013) Glob Chang Biol
    • Martin-St Paul, N.K.1    Limousin, J.M.2    Vogt-Schilb, H.3
  • 27
    • 77955264969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Functional changes in the control of carbon fluxes after 3 years of increased drought in a Mediterranean evergreen forest?
    • Misson L, Rocheteau A, Rambal S et al (2010) Functional changes in the control of carbon fluxes after 3 years of increased drought in a Mediterranean evergreen forest? Glob Chang Biol 16:2461-2475. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02121.x
    • (2010) Glob Chang Biol , vol.16 , pp. 2461-2475
    • Misson, L.1    Rocheteau, A.2    Rambal, S.3
  • 28
    • 33746392735 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climate change on fire risk in the Mediterranean area
    • Moriondo M, Good P, Durao R et al (2006) Potential impact of climate change on fire risk in the Mediterranean area. Clim Res 31:85-95. doi:10.3354/cr031085
    • (2006) Clim Res , vol.31 , pp. 85-95
    • Moriondo, M.1    Good, P.2    Durao, R.3
  • 29
    • 0001303167 scopus 로고
    • Water stress integral: A link between short-term stress and long-term growth
    • Myers BJ (1988) Water stress integral: a link between short-term stress and long-term growth. Tree Physiol 4:315. doi:10.1093/treephys/4.4.315
    • (1988) Tree Physiol , vol.4 , pp. 315
    • Myers, B.J.1
  • 30
    • 66849126187 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regionalization of climate change simulations over the Eastern Mediterranean
    • Önol BHM, Semazzi F (2009) Regionalization of climate change simulations over the Eastern Mediterranean. J Clim 22:1944-1961. doi:10.1175/2008JCLI1807.1
    • (2009) J Clim , vol.22 , pp. 1944-1961
    • Önol, B.H.M.1    Semazzi, F.2
  • 31
    • 53749107290 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature trends at high elevations: Patterns across the globe
    • Pepin NC, Lundquist JD (2008) Temperature trends at high elevations: patterns across the globe. Geophys Res Lett 35, L14701. doi:10. 1029/2008GL034026
    • (2008) Geophys Res Lett , vol.35
    • Pepin, N.C.1    Lundquist, J.D.2
  • 32
    • 70849132061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe
    • Piani C, Haerter JO, Coppola E (2010) Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 99:187-192. doi:10.1007/s00704-009-0134-9
    • (2010) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.99 , pp. 187-192
    • Piani, C.1    Haerter, J.O.2    Coppola, E.3
  • 33
    • 76849103737 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of three downscaling methods in simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Mediterranean basins
    • Quintana Seguí P, Ribes A, Martin E et al (2010) Comparison of three downscaling methods in simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Mediterranean basins. J Hydrol 383:111-124. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.09.050
    • (2010) J Hydrol , vol.383 , pp. 111-124
    • Quintana Seguí, P.1    Ribes, A.2    Martin, E.3
  • 34
    • 40449109156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of nearsurface atmospheric variables: Validation of the SAFRAN analysis over France
    • Quintana-Seguí P, Le Moigne P, Durand Yet al (2008) Analysis of nearsurface atmospheric variables: validation of the SAFRAN analysis over France. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 47:92-107. doi:10.1175/ 2007JAMC1636.1
    • (2008) J Appl Meteorol Climatol , vol.47 , pp. 92-107
    • Quintana-Seguí, P.1    Le Moigne, P.2    Durand, Y.3
  • 35
    • 84907095419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R: A language and environment for statistical computing
    • R Core Team (2012) R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. http://www.Rproject.org/
    • (2012) R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria
  • 36
    • 0347900565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought controls over conductance and assimilation of a Mediterranean evergreen ecosystem: Scaling from leaf to canopy
    • Rambal S, Ourcival JM, Joffre R et al (2003) Drought controls over conductance and assimilation of a Mediterranean evergreen ecosystem: scaling from leaf to canopy. Glob Chang Biol 9:1813-1824. doi:10.1046/j.1529-8817.2003.00687.x
    • (2003) Glob Chang Biol , vol.9 , pp. 1813-1824
    • Rambal, S.1    Ourcival, J.M.2    Joffre, R.3
  • 37
    • 65549157944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and plant distribution: Local models predict high-elevation persistence
    • Randin CF, Engler R, Normand S et al (2009) Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Glob Chang Biol 15:1557-1569. doi:10.1111/j. 1365-2486.2008.01766.x
    • (2009) Glob Chang Biol , vol.15 , pp. 1557-1569
    • Randin, C.F.1    Engler, R.2    Normand, S.3
  • 38
    • 0035397958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Plants in watercontrolled ecosystems: Active role in hydrologic processes and response to water stress: I. Scope and general outline
    • Rodriguez-Iturbe I, Porporato A, Laio F, Ridolfi L (2001) Plants in watercontrolled ecosystems: active role in hydrologic processes and response to water stress: I. Scope and general outline. Adv Water Resour 24:695-705. doi:10.1016/S0309-1708(01)00004-5
    • (2001) Adv Water Resour , vol.24 , pp. 695-705
    • Rodriguez-Iturbe, I.1    Porporato, A.2    Laio, F.3    Ridolfi, L.4
  • 39
    • 84873721493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Differential regional responses in drought length, intensity and timing to recent climate changes in a Mediterranean forested ecosystem
    • Ruffault J, Martin-StPaul N, Rambal S, Mouillot F (2013) Differential regional responses in drought length, intensity and timing to recent climate changes in a Mediterranean forested ecosystem. ClimChang 117:103-117. doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0559-5
    • (2013) ClimChang , vol.117 , pp. 103-117
    • Ruffault, J.1    Martin-St Paul, N.2    Rambal, S.3    Mouillot, F.4
  • 40
    • 0030021428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulations of canopy net photosynthesis and transpiration in Quercus ilex L. under the influence of seasonal drought
    • Sala A, Tenhunen JD (1996) Simulations of canopy net photosynthesis and transpiration in Quercus ilex L. under the influence of seasonal drought. Agric For Meteorol 78:203-222. doi:10.1038/19293
    • (1996) Agric For Meteorol , vol.78 , pp. 203-222
    • Sala, A.1    Tenhunen, J.D.2
  • 41
    • 28144447574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe
    • Schröter D, CramerW, Leemans R et al (2005) Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science 310:1333-1337. doi:10.1126/science.1115233
    • (2005) Science , vol.310 , pp. 1333-1337
    • Schröter, D.1    Cramer, W.2    Leemans, R.3
  • 42
    • 51649112177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 21st century climate change scenario for the Mediterranean using a coupled atmosphere-ocean regional climate model
    • Somot S, Sevault F, Déqué M, Crépon M (2008) 21st century climate change scenario for the Mediterranean using a coupled atmosphere-ocean regional climate model. Glob Planet Chang 63:112-126. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.10.003
    • (2008) Glob Planet Chang , vol.63 , pp. 112-126
    • Somot, S.1    Sevault, F.2    Déqué, M.3    Crépon, M.4
  • 43
    • 0033561322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating the effects of climate change on tropical montane cloud forests
    • Still CJ, Foster PN, Schneider SH (1999) Simulating the effects of climate change on tropical montane cloud forests. Nature 398:608-610. doi:10.1038/19293
    • (1999) Nature , vol.398 , pp. 608-610
    • Still, C.J.1    Foster, P.N.2    Schneider, S.H.3
  • 44
    • 10944234906 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Patterns and uncertainties of species’ range shifts under climate change
    • Thuiller W (2004) Patterns and uncertainties of species’ range shifts under climate change. Glob Chang Biol 10:2020-2027. doi:10. 1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00859.x
    • (2004) Glob Chang Biol , vol.10 , pp. 2020-2027
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 45
    • 77949536139 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of a statistical downscaling procedure for the estimation of climate change impacts on droughts
    • Vasiliades L, Loukas A, Patsonas G (2009) Evaluation of a statistical downscaling procedure for the estimation of climate change impacts on droughts. Nat Hazard Earth Syst Sci 9:879-894. doi:10.5194/ nhess-9-879-2009
    • (2009) Nat Hazard Earth Syst Sci , vol.9 , pp. 879-894
    • Vasiliades, L.1    Loukas, A.2    Patsonas, G.3
  • 46
    • 33847373738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trends in drought intensity and variability in the middle Ebro valley (NE of the Iberian peninsula) during the second half of the twentieth century
    • Vicente-Serrano SM, Cuadrat-Prats JM (2007) Trends in drought intensity and variability in the middle Ebro valley (NE of the Iberian peninsula) during the second half of the twentieth century. Theor Appl Climatol 88:247-258. doi:10.1007/ s00704-006-0236-6
    • (2007) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.88 , pp. 247-258
    • Vicente-Serrano, S.M.1    Cuadrat-Prats, J.M.2
  • 47
    • 84870267223 scopus 로고
    • The generalization of Student’s problem when several different population variances are involved
    • Welch BL (1947) The generalization of Student’s problem when several different population variances are involved. Biometrika 34(1/2): 28-35
    • (1947) Biometrika , vol.34 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 28-35
    • Welch, B.L.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.