메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 1, 2015, Pages

Modeling undetected live poliovirus circulation after apparent interruption of transmission: Implications for surveillance and vaccination

Author keywords

Disease outbreaks; Disease transmission; Models; Poliomyelitis; Poliovirus; Risk assessment; Statistical; Surveillance; Vaccination

Indexed keywords

INACTIVATED POLIO VACCINE; ORAL POLIOMYELITIS VACCINE; POLIOMYELITIS VACCINE; UNCLASSIFIED DRUG;

EID: 84924033826     PISSN: None     EISSN: 14712334     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/s12879-015-0791-5     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (47)

References (47)
  • 2
    • 84902054356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poliovirus vaccine - Live
    • Plotkin SA, Orenstein WA, Offit PA, editors. 4th ed. Philadelphia: W.B. Saunders
    • Sutter RW, Kew OM, Cochi SL, Aylward BA. Poliovirus vaccine - Live. In: Plotkin SA, Orenstein WA, Offit PA, editors. Vaccines. 4th ed. Philadelphia: W.B. Saunders; 2013. p. 598-645.
    • (2013) Vaccines , pp. 598-645
    • Sutter, R.W.1    Kew, O.M.2    Cochi, S.L.3    Aylward, B.A.4
  • 3
    • 0004326227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global Polio Eradication Initiative - Strategic Plan 2010-2012.
    • Geneva
    • World Health Organization. Global Polio Eradication Initiative - Strategic Plan 2010-2012. Geneva; 2010. [ http://www.polioeradication.org/content/publications/gpei.strategicplan.2010-2012.eng.may.2010.pdf ]
    • (2010)
  • 4
    • 0004326227 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global Polio Eradication Initiative: Polio Eradication and Endgame Strategic Plan (2013-2018)
    • Geneva; 2013
    • World Health Organization. Global Polio Eradication Initiative: Polio Eradication and Endgame Strategic Plan (2013-2018). Geneva; 2013. [ http://www.polioeradication.org/Portals/0/Document/Resources/StrategyWork/PEESP_EN_A4.pdf ]
  • 5
    • 0021431342 scopus 로고
    • Some observations on poliomyelitis lameness surveys
    • Bernier RH. Some observations on poliomyelitis lameness surveys. Rev Infect Dis. 1984;6 Suppl 2:S371-5.
    • (1984) Rev Infect Dis , vol.6 , pp. S371-S375
    • Bernier, R.H.1
  • 6
    • 78649652084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From emergence to eradication: the epidemiology of poliomyelitis deconstructed
    • Nathanson N, Kew OM. From emergence to eradication: the epidemiology of poliomyelitis deconstructed. Am J Epidemiol. 2010;172(11):1213-29.
    • (2010) Am J Epidemiol , vol.172 , Issue.11 , pp. 1213-1229
    • Nathanson, N.1    Kew, O.M.2
  • 7
    • 84875943515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Characterizing poliovirus transmission and evolution: Insights from modeling experiences with wild and vaccine-related polioviruses
    • Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Pallansch MA, Kalkowska DA, Wassilak SG, Cochi SL, Thompson KM. Characterizing poliovirus transmission and evolution: Insights from modeling experiences with wild and vaccine-related polioviruses. Risk Anal. 2013;23(4):703-49.
    • (2013) Risk Anal , vol.23 , Issue.4 , pp. 703-749
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.1    Pallansch, M.A.2    Kalkowska, D.A.3    Wassilak, S.G.4    Cochi, S.L.5    Thompson, K.M.6
  • 8
    • 84875951340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review and assessment of poliovirus immunity and transmission: synthesis of knowledge gaps and identification of research needs
    • Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Pallansch MA, Chumakov KM, Halsey NA, Hovi T, Minor PD, et al. Review and assessment of poliovirus immunity and transmission: synthesis of knowledge gaps and identification of research needs. Risk Anal. 2013;33(4):606-46.
    • (2013) Risk Anal , vol.33 , Issue.4 , pp. 606-646
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.1    Pallansch, M.A.2    Chumakov, K.M.3    Halsey, N.A.4    Hovi, T.5    Minor, P.D.6
  • 11
    • 84910640291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis: a review of the epidemiology and estimation of the global burden
    • Platt LR, Estívariz CF, Sutter RW. Vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis: a review of the epidemiology and estimation of the global burden. J Infect Dis. 2014;210 suppl 1:S380-9.
    • (2014) J Infect Dis , vol.210 , pp. S380-S389
    • Platt, L.R.1    Estívariz, C.F.2    Sutter, R.W.3
  • 12
    • 84875935010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review: oral poliovirus vaccine evolution and insights relevant to modeling the risks of Circulating Vaccine-Derived Polioviruses (cVDPVs)
    • Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Pallansch MA, Kim J-H, Burns CC, Kew OM, Oberste MS, et al. Review: oral poliovirus vaccine evolution and insights relevant to modeling the risks of Circulating Vaccine-Derived Polioviruses (cVDPVs). Risk Anal. 2013;23(4):680-702.
    • (2013) Risk Anal , vol.23 , Issue.4 , pp. 680-702
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.1    Pallansch, M.A.2    Kim, J.-H.3    Burns, C.C.4    Kew, O.M.5    Oberste, M.S.6
  • 14
    • 70349528334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poliomyelitis: mechanism for management of potential risks to eradication (resolution 61.1)
    • Geneva: World Health Organization
    • World Health Assembly. Poliomyelitis: mechanism for management of potential risks to eradication (resolution 61.1). Geneva: World Health Organization; 2008.
    • (2008)
  • 15
    • 84902042230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poliovirus vaccine - inactivated
    • Plotkin SA, Orenstein WA, Offit PA, editors. 4th ed. Philadelphia: WB Saunders
    • Plotkin SA, Vidor E. Poliovirus vaccine - inactivated. In: Plotkin SA, Orenstein WA, Offit PA, editors. Vaccines. 4th ed. Philadelphia: WB Saunders; 2013. p. 573-97.
    • (2013) Vaccines , pp. 573-597
    • Plotkin, S.A.1    Vidor, E.2
  • 16
    • 84860581409 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Current polio global eradication and control policy options: perspectives from modeling and prerequisites for OPV cessation
    • Thompson KM, Duintjer Tebbens RJ. Current polio global eradication and control policy options: perspectives from modeling and prerequisites for OPV cessation. Exp Rev Vaccines. 2012;11(4):449-59.
    • (2012) Exp Rev Vaccines , vol.11 , Issue.4 , pp. 449-459
    • Thompson, K.M.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2
  • 17
    • 0031802653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical certification of eradication of poliomyelitis in the Americas
    • Debanne SM, Rowland DY. Statistical certification of eradication of poliomyelitis in the Americas. Math Bio. 1998;150(1):83-103.
    • (1998) Math Bio , vol.150 , Issue.1 , pp. 83-103
    • Debanne, S.M.1    Rowland, D.Y.2
  • 18
    • 0029988559 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eradication of poliomyelitis: when can one be sure that polio virus transmission has been terminated?
    • Eichner M, Dietz K. Eradication of poliomyelitis: when can one be sure that polio virus transmission has been terminated? Am J Epidemiol. 1996;143(8):816-22.
    • (1996) Am J Epidemiol , vol.143 , Issue.8 , pp. 816-822
    • Eichner, M.1    Dietz, K.2
  • 19
    • 84860570820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The probability of undetected wild poliovirus circulation after apparent global interruption of transmission
    • Kalkowska DA, Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Thompson KM. The probability of undetected wild poliovirus circulation after apparent global interruption of transmission. Am J Epidemiol. 2012;175(9):936-49.
    • (2012) Am J Epidemiol , vol.175 , Issue.9 , pp. 936-949
    • Kalkowska, D.A.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2    Thompson, K.M.3
  • 21
    • 33845620706 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global surveillance and the value of information: the case of the global polio laboratory network
    • de Gourville EM, Sangrujee N, Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Pallansch MA, Thompson KM. Global surveillance and the value of information: the case of the global polio laboratory network. Risk Anal. 2006;26(6):1557-69.
    • (2006) Risk Anal , vol.26 , Issue.6 , pp. 1557-1569
    • Gourville, E.M.1    Sangrujee, N.2    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.3    Pallansch, M.A.4    Thompson, K.M.5
  • 22
    • 21344439156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Polio Laboratory Manual
    • 4th edn. Geneva: 2004
    • World Health Organization. Polio Laboratory Manual. 4th edn. Geneva: 2004. [ http://whqlibdoc.who.int/hq/2004/WHO_IVB_04.10.pdf ]
  • 23
    • 4644296242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global polio eradication initiative - surveillance
    • Global polio eradication initiative - surveillance [ http://www.polioeradication.org/Dataandmonitoring/Surveillance.aspx ]
  • 24
    • 0035233584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The efficiency and reliability of polio surveillance
    • Hovi T. The efficiency and reliability of polio surveillance. Dev Biol (Basel). 2001;105:21-31.
    • (2001) Dev Biol (Basel) , vol.105 , pp. 21-31
    • Hovi, T.1
  • 25
    • 84859493679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surveillance in eradication and elimination of infectious diseases: a progression through the years
    • Heymann DL, Brilliant L. Surveillance in eradication and elimination of infectious diseases: a progression through the years. Vaccine. 2011;29:D141-4.
    • (2011) Vaccine , vol.29 , pp. D141-D144
    • Heymann, D.L.1    Brilliant, L.2
  • 26
    • 0346979807 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WHO-recommended standards for surveillance of selected vaccine-preventable diseases
    • Geneva: World Health Organization, Department of Vaccines and Biologicals; 2003
    • World Health Organization. WHO-recommended standards for surveillance of selected vaccine-preventable diseases. Geneva: World Health Organization, Department of Vaccines and Biologicals; 2003 [ http://whqlibdoc.who.int/hq/2003/WHO_V&B_03.01.pdf ].
    • (2003)
  • 27
    • 0031027509 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eradication of wild poliovirus from the Americas: acute flaccid paralysis surveillance, 1988-1995
    • de Quadros CA, Hersh BS, Olive J-M, Andrus JK, da Silveira CM, Carrasco PA. Eradication of wild poliovirus from the Americas: acute flaccid paralysis surveillance, 1988-1995. J Infect Dis. 1997;175 Suppl 1:S37-42.
    • (1997) J Infect Dis , vol.175 , pp. S37-S42
    • Quadros, C.A.1    Hersh, B.S.2    Olive, J.-M.3    Andrus, J.K.4    Silveira, C.M.5    Carrasco, P.A.6
  • 28
    • 0035158165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Persistence of vaccine-derived poliovirus following a mass vaccination campaign in Cuba: implications for stopping polio vaccination after global eradication
    • Más Lago P, Cáceres VM, Galindo MA, Gary Jr HE, Valcarcel M, Barrios J, et al. Persistence of vaccine-derived poliovirus following a mass vaccination campaign in Cuba: implications for stopping polio vaccination after global eradication. Int J Epi. 2001;30:1029-34.
    • (2001) Int J Epi , vol.30 , pp. 1029-1034
    • Más Lago, P.1    Cáceres, V.M.2    Galindo, M.A.3    Gary, H.E.4    Valcarcel, M.5    Barrios, J.6
  • 29
    • 0142154364 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Poliovirus detection in wastewater and stools following an immunization campaign in Havana, Cuba
    • Más Lago P, Gary Jr HE, Pérez LS, Cáceres VM, Olivera JB, Puentes RP, et al. Poliovirus detection in wastewater and stools following an immunization campaign in Havana, Cuba. Int J Epi. 2003;32:772-7.
    • (2003) Int J Epi , vol.32 , pp. 772-777
    • Más Lago, P.1    Gary, H.E.2    Pérez, L.S.3    Cáceres, V.M.4    Olivera, J.B.5    Puentes, R.P.6
  • 30
    • 0027366471 scopus 로고
    • Direct detection of wild poliovirus circulation by stool surveys of healthy children and analysis of community wastewater
    • Tambini G, Andrus JK, Marques E, Boshell J, Pallansch MA, de Quadros CA, et al. Direct detection of wild poliovirus circulation by stool surveys of healthy children and analysis of community wastewater. J Infect Dis. 1993;168(6):15104.
    • (1993) J Infect Dis , vol.168 , Issue.6 , pp. 15104
    • Tambini, G.1    Andrus, J.K.2    Marques, E.3    Boshell, J.4    Pallansch, M.A.5    Quadros, C.A.6
  • 31
    • 0033779542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molecular and antigenic characterization of a highly evolved derivative of the type 2 oral poliovaccine strain isolated from sewage in Israel
    • Shulman LM, Manor Y, Handsher R, Delpeyroux F, McDonough MJ, Halmut T, et al. Molecular and antigenic characterization of a highly evolved derivative of the type 2 oral poliovaccine strain isolated from sewage in Israel. J Clin Microbiol. 2000;38(10):3729-34.
    • (2000) J Clin Microbiol , vol.38 , Issue.10 , pp. 3729-3734
    • Shulman, L.M.1    Manor, Y.2    Handsher, R.3    Delpeyroux, F.4    McDonough, M.J.5    Halmut, T.6
  • 32
    • 0023903462 scopus 로고
    • Viruses in sewage waters during and after a poliomyelitis outbreak and subsequent nationwide oral poliovirus vaccination campaign in Finland
    • Pöyry T, Stenvik M, Hovi T. Viruses in sewage waters during and after a poliomyelitis outbreak and subsequent nationwide oral poliovirus vaccination campaign in Finland. Appl Environ Microbiol. 1988;54(2):371-4.
    • (1988) Appl Environ Microbiol , vol.54 , Issue.2 , pp. 371-374
    • Pöyry, T.1    Stenvik, M.2    Hovi, T.3
  • 33
    • 23044505476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Persistence of oral polio vaccine virus after its removal from the immunisation schedule in New Zealand
    • Huang SQ, Greening G, Baker M, Grimwood K, Hewitt J, Hulston D, et al. Persistence of oral polio vaccine virus after its removal from the immunisation schedule in New Zealand. Lancet. 2005;366(9483):394-6.
    • (2005) Lancet , vol.366 , Issue.9483 , pp. 394-396
    • Huang, S.Q.1    Greening, G.2    Baker, M.3    Grimwood, K.4    Hewitt, J.5    Hulston, D.6
  • 35
    • 10744225640 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prolonged detection of indigenous wild polioviruses in sewage from communities in Egypt
    • El Bassioni L, Barakat I, Nasr E, de Gourville EM, Hovi T, Blomqvist S, et al. Prolonged detection of indigenous wild polioviruses in sewage from communities in Egypt. Am J Epidemiol. 2003;158(8):807-15.
    • (2003) Am J Epidemiol , vol.158 , Issue.8 , pp. 807-815
    • Bassioni, L.1    Barakat, I.2    Nasr, E.3    Gourville, E.M.4    Hovi, T.5    Blomqvist, S.6
  • 36
    • 0038558605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental surveillance system to track wild poliovirus transmission
    • Deshpande JM, Shetty SJ, Siddiqui ZA. Environmental surveillance system to track wild poliovirus transmission. Appl Environ Microbiol. 2003;69(5):2919-27.
    • (2003) Appl Environ Microbiol , vol.69 , Issue.5 , pp. 2919-2927
    • Deshpande, J.M.1    Shetty, S.J.2    Siddiqui, Z.A.3
  • 38
    • 16944364532 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A theoretical framework for evaluating the sensitivity of surveillance for detecting wild poliovirus: I. Factors affecting detection sensitivity in a person with acute flaccid paralysis
    • Gary Jr HE, Sanders R, Pallansch MA. A theoretical framework for evaluating the sensitivity of surveillance for detecting wild poliovirus: I. Factors affecting detection sensitivity in a person with acute flaccid paralysis. J Infect Dis. 1997;175 Suppl 1:S135-40.
    • (1997) J Infect Dis , vol.175 , pp. S135-S140
    • Gary, H.E.1    Sanders, R.2    Pallansch, M.A.3
  • 39
    • 16944363520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A theoretical framework for evaluating the sensitivity of surveillance for detecting wild poliovirus: II. Factors affecting detection sensitivity in a population with circulating wild poliovirus
    • Gary Jr HE, Sanders R, Pallansch MA. A theoretical framework for evaluating the sensitivity of surveillance for detecting wild poliovirus: II. Factors affecting detection sensitivity in a population with circulating wild poliovirus. J Infecti Dis. 1997;175 Suppl 1:S141-5.
    • (1997) J Infecti Dis , vol.175 , pp. S141-S145
    • Gary, H.E.1    Sanders, R.2    Pallansch, M.A.3
  • 40
    • 17144377837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Progress towards poliomyelitis eradication-poliomyelitis outbreak in Sudan, 2004
    • World Health Organization. Progress towards poliomyelitis eradication-poliomyelitis outbreak in Sudan, 2004. Wkly Epidemiol Rec. 2005;80(5):42-6.
    • (2005) Wkly Epidemiol Rec , vol.80 , Issue.5 , pp. 42-46
  • 41
    • 84910632491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling strategies to increase population immunity and prevent poliovirus transmission in two high-risk areas in northern India
    • Kalkowska DA, Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Thompson KM. Modeling strategies to increase population immunity and prevent poliovirus transmission in two high-risk areas in northern India. J Infect Dis. 2014;210(S1):398-411.
    • (2014) J Infect Dis , vol.210 , Issue.S1 , pp. 398-411
    • Kalkowska, D.A.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2    Thompson, K.M.3
  • 42
    • 84893793600 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling strategies to increase population immunity and prevent poliovirus transmission in the high-risk area of northwest Nigeria
    • Kalkowska DA, Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Thompson KM. Modeling strategies to increase population immunity and prevent poliovirus transmission in the high-risk area of northwest Nigeria. J Infect Dis. 2014;210(S1):412-23.
    • (2014) J Infect Dis , vol.210 , Issue.S1 , pp. 412-423
    • Kalkowska, D.A.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2    Thompson, K.M.3
  • 45
    • 84924074724 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Population Commission Nigeria and ICF International. Nigeria demographic and health survey 2013
    • June
    • National Population Commission Nigeria and ICF International. Nigeria demographic and health survey 2013. June, 2014. [ http://dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/FR293/FR293.pdf ]
    • (2014)
  • 46
    • 84893080753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the dynamics of oral poliovirus vaccine cessation
    • Thompson KM, Duintjer Tebbens RJ. Modeling the dynamics of oral poliovirus vaccine cessation. J Infect Dis. 2014;210(S1):475-84.
    • (2014) J Infect Dis , vol.210 , Issue.S1 , pp. 475-484
    • Thompson, K.M.1    Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.2
  • 47
    • 84910623641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the potential role of inactivated poliovirus vaccine to manage the risks of oral poliovirus vaccine cessation
    • Duintjer Tebbens RJ, Thompson KM. Modeling the potential role of inactivated poliovirus vaccine to manage the risks of oral poliovirus vaccine cessation. J Infect Dis. 2014;210(S1):485-97.
    • (2014) J Infect Dis , vol.210 , Issue.S1 , pp. 485-497
    • Duintjer Tebbens, R.J.1    Thompson, K.M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.