Risk factors for foot-and-mouth disease in Tanzania, 2001-2006

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases

Volumn 62, Issue 2, 2015, Pages 127-136

  Allepuz, A ^a,b   Stevenson, M ^c   Kivaria, F ^d   Berkvens, D ^e   Casal, J ^a,b   Picado, A ^f,g  

^a CENTRE DE RECERCA EN SANITAT ANIMAL CRESA   (Spain)

^b UNIVERSITAT AUTÒNOMA DE BARCELONA   (Spain)

^c MASSEY UNIVERSITY   (New Zealand)

^d Ministry of Livestock Development and Fisheries   (Tanzania)

^e INSTITUTE OF TROPICAL MEDICINE   (Belgium)

^f UNIVERSITY OF WARWICK   (United Kingdom)

^g UNIVERSITY OF BARCELONA   (Spain)

Author keywords

FMD; Foot and mouth disease; Risk factors; Spatial model; Tanzania

Indexed keywords

ANIMALIA; BOS;

ANIMAL; BAYES THEOREM; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; BOVINE; CATTLE DISEASES; EPIDEMIC; FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE; GEOGRAPHY; POPULATION DENSITY; RISK; RISK FACTOR; TANZANIA; VETERINARY;

ANIMALS; BAYES THEOREM; CATTLE; CATTLE DISEASES; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE; GEOGRAPHY; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; ODDS RATIO; POPULATION DENSITY; RISK FACTORS; TANZANIA;

EID: 84923541978     PISSN: 18651674     EISSN: 18651682     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/tbed.12087     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Ayebazibwe, C., F. N. Mwiine, K. Tjornehoj, S. N. Balinda, V. B. Muwanika, A. R. Ademun Okurut, G. J. Belsham, P. Normann, H. R. Siegismund, and S. Alexandersen, 2010a: The role of African buffalos (Syncerus caffer) in the maintenance of foot-and-mouth disease in Uganda. BMC Vet. Res. 6, 54.
2. Ayebazibwe, C., K. Tjørnehøj, F. N. Mwiine, V. B. Muwanika, A. R. Okurut, H. R. Siegismund, and S. Alexandersen, 2010b: Patterns, risk factors and characteristics of reported and perceived foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Uganda. Trop. Anim. Health Prod. 42, 1547-1559.
3. Balinda, S. N., A. K. Sangula, R. Heller, V. B. Muwanika, G. J. Belsham, C. Masembe, and H. R. Siegismund, 2010: Diversity and transboundary mobility of serotype O foot-and-mouth disease virus in East Africa: implications for vaccination policies. Infect. Genet. Evol. 10, 1058-1065.
4. Besag, J., J. York, and A. Mollie, 1991: Bayesian image restoration with applications in spatial statistics. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. 43, 1-20.
5. Bessell, P. R., D. J. Shaw, N. J. Savill, and M. E. Woolhouse, 2010: Statistical modeling of holding level susceptibility to infection during the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain. Int. J. Infect. Dis. 14, 210-215.
6. Bronsvoort, B. M. D., C. Nfon, S. M. Hamman, V. N. Tanya, R. P. Kitching, and K. L. Morgan, 2004: Risk factors for herdsman-reported foot-and-mouth disease in the Adamawa Province of Cameroon. Prev. Vet. Med. 66, 127-139.
7. Brooks, S. P., and A. Gelman, 1998: General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 7, 434-455.
8. Dion, E., L. VanSchalkwyk, and E. F. Lambin, 2011: The landscape epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease in South Africa: a spatially explicit multi-agent simulation. Ecol. Model. 222, 2059-2072.
9. Gelman, A., 2006: Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models. Bayesian Anal. 1, 515-533.
10. Hargreaves, S. K., C. M. Foggin, E. C. Anderson, A. D. Bastos, G. R. Thomson, N. P. Ferris, and N. J. Knowles, 2004: An investigation into the source and spread of foot and mouth disease virus from a wildlife conservancy in Zimbabwe. Rev. Sci. Tech. 23, 783-790.
11. Hayama, Y., N. Muroga, T. Nishida, S. Kobayashi, and T. Tsutsui, 2013: Risk factors for local spread of foot-and-mouth disease, 2010 epidemic in Japan. Res. Vet. Sci. 93, 631-635.
12. Jori, F., W. Vosloo, B. Du Plessis, R. Bengis, D. Brahmbhatt, B. Gummow, and G. R. Thomson, 2009: A qualitative risk assessment of factors contributing to foot and mouth disease outbreaks in cattle along the western boundary of the Kruger National Park. Rev. Sci. Tech. 28, 917-931.
13. Kasanga, C. J., R. Sallu, F. Kivaria, M. Mkama, J. Masambu, M. Yongolo, S. Das, C. Mpelumbe-Ngeleja, P.N. Wambura, D.P. King, M.M. Rweyemamu, 2012: 'Foot-and-mouth disease virus serotypes detected in Tanzania from 2003 to 2010: Conjectured status and future prospects'. Onderst. J. Vet. Res. 79, 1-4.
14. Kivaria, F. M., 2003: Foot and mouth disease in Tanzania: an overview of its national status. Vet. Q. 25, 72-78.
15. Lawson, A.B., W.J. Browne, and C.L.V. Rodeiro, 2003: Disease Mapping with WinBUGS and MLwiN. John Wiley & Sons, West Sussex, England.
16. Liu, C., P. M. Berry, T. P. Dawson, and R. G. Pearson, 2005: Selecting thresholds of occurrence in the prediction of species distributions. Ecography 28, 385-393.
17. Megersa, B., B. Beyene, F. Abunna, A. Regassa, K. Amenu, and T. Rufael, 2009: Risk factors for foot and mouth disease seroprevalence in indigenous cattle in Southern Ethiopia: the effect of production system. Trop. Anim. Health Prod. 41, 891-898.
18. Molla, B., G. Ayelet, Y. Asfaw, Y. Jibril, G. Ganga, and E. Gelaye, 2010: Epidemiological study on foot-and-mouth disease in cattle: seroprevalence and risk factor assessment in South Omo zone, south-western Ethiopia. Transbound. Emerg. Dis. 57, 340-347.
19. Moran, P. A. P., 1950: Notes on continuous stochastic phenomena. Biometrika 37, 17-23.
20. Pfeiffer, D., T. Robinson, M. Stevenson, K. Stevens, D. Rogers, and A. Clements, 2008: Spatial Analysis in Epidemiology. Oxford University Press, New York.
21. Picado, A., N. Speybroeck, F. Kivaria, R. M. Mosha, R. D. Sumaye, J. Casal, and D. Berkvens, 2011: Foot-and-mouth disease in Tanzania from 2001 to 2006. Transbound. Emerg. Dis. 58, 44-52.
22. Richardson, S., A. Thomson, N. Best, and P. Elliot, 2004: Interpreting posterior relative risk estimates in disease-mapping studies. Environ. Health Perspect. 112, 119.
23. Robin, X., N. Turck, N. Tiberti, F. Lisacek, J. C. Sánchez, and M. Müller, 2011: pROC: an open-source package for R and S+ to analyze and compare ROC curves. BMC Bioinformatics 12, 77.
24. Spiegelhalter, D. J., A. Thomas, N. G. Best, and D. Lunn, 2003: WinBUGS Version 1.4. Users Manual. MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge. URL http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/.
25. Sturtz, S., U. Ligges, and A. Gelman, 2005: R2WinBUGS: a package for running WinBUGS from R. J. Statistic. Softw. 12, 1-16.
26. Taylor, N. M., N. Honhold, A. D. Paterson, and L. M. Mansley, 2004: Risk of foot-and-mouth disease associated with proximity in space and time to infected premises and the implications for control policy during the 2001 epidemic in Cumbria. Vet. Rec. 15, 617-626.