Development of a duplex-derived velocity risk prediction model of disease progression in patients with moderate asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis

Journal of Vascular Surgery

Volumn 60, Issue 6, 2014, Pages 1585-1592

  Hicks, Caitlin W ^a   Canner, Joseph K ^a   Arhuidese, Isibor ^a   Glebova, Natalia O ^a   Schneider, Eric ^a   Qazi, Umair ^a   Perler, Bruce ^a   Malas, Mahmoud B ^a  

^a JOHNS HOPKINS BAYVIEW MEDICAL CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGED; CAROTID ARTERY OBSTRUCTION; COMMON CAROTID ARTERY; CONFERENCE PAPER; CONTROLLED STUDY; DISEASE COURSE; DOPPLER ECHOGRAPHY; FEMALE; HUMAN; INTERNAL CAROTID ARTERY; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MODEL; PEAK SYSTOLIC VELOCITY; PREDICTIVE VALUE; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RISK ASSESSMENT; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ASYMPTOMATIC DISEASE; BLOOD FLOW; BLOOD FLOW VELOCITY; CHI SQUARE DISTRIBUTION; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; ECHOGRAPHY; MIDDLE AGED; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PATHOPHYSIOLOGY; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODEL; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; RETROSPECTIVE STUDY; RISK FACTOR; TIME; VERY ELDERLY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; AREA UNDER CURVE; ASYMPTOMATIC DISEASES; BLOOD FLOW VELOCITY; CAROTID ARTERY, COMMON; CAROTID ARTERY, INTERNAL; CAROTID STENOSIS; CHI-SQUARE DISTRIBUTION; DECISION SUPPORT TECHNIQUES; DISEASE PROGRESSION; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; REGIONAL BLOOD FLOW; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; ROC CURVE; TIME FACTORS; ULTRASONOGRAPHY, DOPPLER, DUPLEX;

EID: 84922391125     PISSN: 07415214     EISSN: 10976809     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jvs.2014.08.056     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (34)

1. Roger VL, Go AS, Lloyd-Jones DM, Benjamin EJ, Berry JD, Borden WB, et al. Executive summary: heart disease and stroke statisticsd2012 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation 2012;125:188-97.
2. Streifler JY. Asymptomatic carotid stenosis: intervention or just stick to medical therapydthe case for medical therapy. J Neural Transm 2011;118:637-40.
3. Wolff T, Guirguis-Blake J, Miller T, Gillespie M, Harris R. Screening for carotid artery stenosis: an update of the evidence for the U. S. Preventive Services Task Force. Ann Intern Med 2007;147:860-70.
4. Grotta JC. Clinical practice. Carotid stenosis. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1143-50.
5. North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial Collaborators. Beneficial effect of carotid endarterectomy in symptomatic patients with high-grade carotid stenosis. N Engl J Med 1991;325:445-53.
6. MRC European Carotid Surgery Trial: interim results for symptomatic patients with severe (70-99%) or with mild (0-29%) carotid stenosis. European Carotid Surgery Trialists' Collaborative Group. Lancet 1991;337:1235-43.
7. Hobson RW 2nd, Weiss DG, Fields WS, Goldstone J, Moore WS, Towne JB, et al. Efficacy of carotid endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid stenosis. The Veterans Affairs Cooperative Study Group. N Engl J Med 1993;328:221-7.
8. Rerkasem K, Rothwell PM. Carotid endarterectomy for symptomatic carotid stenosis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2011:CD001081.
9. Rothwell PM, Eliasziw M, Gutnikov SA, Fox AJ, Taylor DW, Mayberg MR, et al. Analysis of pooled data from the randomised controlled trials of endarterectomy for symptomatic carotid stenosis. Lancet 2003;361:107-16.
10. Endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis. Executive Committee for the Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study. JAMA 1995;273:1421-8.
11. Halliday A, Mansfield A, Marro J, Peto C, Peto R, Potter J, et al. Prevention of disabling and fatal strokes by successful carotid endarterectomy in patients without recent neurological symptoms: randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2004;363:1491-502.
12. Ricotta JJ, Abu Rahma A, Ascher E, Eskandari M, Faries P, Lal BK, et al. Updated Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines for management of extracranial carotid disease. J Vasc Surg 2011;54:e1-31.
13. Furie KL, Kasner SE, Adams RJ, Albers GW, Bush RL, Fagan SC, et al. Guidelines for the prevention of stroke in patients with stroke or transient ischemic attack: a guideline for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke 2011;42:227-76.
14. Goldstein LB, Bushnell CD, Adams RJ, Appel LJ, Braun LT, Chaturvedi S, et al. Guidelines for the primary prevention of stroke: a guideline for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke 2011;42:517-84.
15. Nehler MR, Moneta GL, Lee RW, Edwards JM, Taylor LM Jr, Porter JM. Improving selection of patients with less than 60% asymptomatic internal carotid artery stenosis for follow-up carotid artery duplex scanning. J Vasc Surg 1996;24:580-5; discussion: 585-7.
16. Lovelace TD, Moneta GL, Abou-Zamzam AM Jr, Edwards JM, Yeager RA, Landry GJ, et al. Optimizing duplex follow-up in patients with an asymptomatic internal carotid artery stenosis of less than 60%. J Vasc Surg 2001;33:56-61.
17. van Lammeren GW, den Ruijter HM, Vrijenhoek JE, van der Laan SW, Velema E, de Vries JP, et al. Time-dependent changes in atherosclerotic plaque composition in patients undergoing carotid surgery. Circulation 2014;129:2269-76.
18. Hicks CW, Tawbott K, Canner JK, Qazi U, Arhuidese I, Glebova N, et al. Risk of disease progression in patients with moderate asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis: implications of tobacco use and dual antiplatelet therapy [published online ahead of print February 12, 2014]. Ann Vasc Surg http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.avsg.2014.02.007.
19. Newson RB. Comparing the predictive power of survival models using Harrell's C or Somers' D. Stata J 2010;10:339-58.
20. Chambers BR, Donnan GA. Carotid endarterectomy for asymptomatic carotid stenosis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2005:CD001923.
21. Brott TG, Halperin JL, Abbara S, Bacharach JM, Barr JD, Bush RL, et al. 2011 ASA/ACCF/AHA/AANN/AANS/ACR/ASNR/CNS/SAIP/SCAI/SIR/SNIS/SVM/SVS guideline on the management of patients with extracranial carotid and vertebral artery disease: executive summary: a report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines, and the American Stroke Association, American Association of Neuroscience Nurses, American Association of Neurological Surgeons, American College of Radiology, American Society of Neuroradiology, Congress of Neurological Surgeons, Society of Atherosclerosis Imaging and Prevention, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, Society of Interventional Radiology, Society of NeuroInterventional Surgery, Society for Vascular Medicine, and Society for Vascular Surgery. Vasc Med 2011;16:35-77.
22. Johnson BF, Verlato F, Bergelin RO, Primozich JF, Strandness E Jr. Clinical outcome in patients with mild and moderate carotid artery stenosis. J Vasc Surg 1995;21:120-6.
23. Roederer GO, Langlois YE, Lusiani L, Jager KA, Primozich JF, Lawrence RJ, et al. Natural history of carotid artery disease on the side contralateral to endarterectomy. J Vasc Surg 1984;1:62-72.
24. Sterpetti AV, Schultz RD, Feldhaus RJ. Asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis on the side contralateral to endarterectomy. A comparison between patients with and those without operation. J Vasc Surg 1988;8:453-9.
25. Hatsukami TS, Healy DA, Primozich JF, Bergelin RO, Strandness DE Jr. Fate of the carotid artery contralateral to endarterectomy. J Vasc Surg 1990;11:244-50; discussion: 250-1.
26. Levin SM, Sondheimer FK, Levin JM. The contralateral diseased but asymptomatic carotid artery: to operate or not? An update. Am J Surg 1980;140:203-5.
27. Moore DJ, Sheehan MP, Kolm P, Russell JB, Sumner DS. Are strokes predictable with noninvasive methods: a five-year follow-up of 303 unoperated patients. J Vasc Surg 1985;2:654-60.
28. Bock RW, Gray-Weale AC, Mock PA, App Stats M, Robinson DA, Irwig L, et al. The natural history of asymptomatic carotid artery disease. J Vasc Surg 1993;17:160-9; discussion: 170-1.
29. Abu Rahma AF, Cook CC, Metz MJ, Wulu JT Jr, Bartolucci A. Natural history of carotid artery stenosis contralateral to endarterectomy: results from two randomized prospective trials. J Vasc Surg 2003;38:1154-61.
30. Muluk SC, Muluk VS, Sugimoto H, Rhee RY, Trachtenberg J, Steed DL, et al. Progression of asymptomatic carotid stenosis: a natural history study in 1004 patients. J Vasc Surg 1999;29:208-14; discussion: 214-6.
31. Eigenbrodt ML, Evans GW, Rose KM, Bursac Z, Tracy RE, Mehta JL, et al. Bilateral common carotid artery ultrasound for prediction of incident strokes using intima-media thickness and external diameter: an observational study. Cardiovasc Ultrasound 2013;11:22.
32. Qureshi AI, Alexandrov AV, Tegeler CH, Hobson RW 2nd, Dennis Baker J, Hopkins LN, et al. Guidelines for screening of extracranial carotid artery disease: a statement for healthcare professionals from the multidisciplinary practice guidelines committee of the American Society of Neuroimaging; cosponsored by the Society of Vascular and Interventional Neurology. J Neuroimaging 2007;17:19-47.
33. Grant EG, Benson CB, Moneta GL, Alexandrov AV, Baker JD, Bluth EI, et al. Carotid artery stenosis: grayscale and Doppler ultrasound diagnosisd Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound consensus conference. Ultrasound Q 2003;19:190-8.
34. AbuRahma AF, Srivastava M, Stone PA, Mousa AY, Jain A, Dean LS, et al. Critical appraisal of the Carotid Duplex Consensus criteria in the diagnosis of carotid artery stenosis. J Vasc Surg 2011;53:53-9; discussion: 59-60.