Being bin Laden: An applied decision analysis procedure for analyzing and predicting terrorists decisions

Root Causes of Suicide Terrorism: The Globalization of Martyrdom

Volumn , Issue , 2006, Pages 152-178

  Mintz, Alex ^a,b,c   Chatagnier, J Tyson ^a   Brulé, David J ^a,d  

^a TEXAS A AND M UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b YALE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c INTERDISCIPLINARY CENTER   (Israel)

^d UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84917333126     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.4324/9780203964910     Document Type: Chapter

References (46)

1. AbuKhalil, A. (2002) Bin Laden, Islam and America's New "War on Terrorism," New York: Seven Stories Press.
2. Berman, E. and Laitin, D. (forthcoming) "Rational Martyrs vs. Hard Targets: Evidence on the Tactical Use of Suicide Attacks," in Eva Meyersson Milgrom, ed., Suicide Bombing from an Interdisciplinary Perspective, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
3. Billings, R. S. and Scherer, L. L. (1988) "The Effects of Response Mode and Importance on Decision-making Strategies: Judgment versus Choice," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 41: 1-19.
4. Burke, J. (2003) Al-Qaeda: Casting a Shadow of Terror, New York: I. B. Taurus & Co. Ltd.
5. Burns, J. F. and Myers, S. L. (2000) "The Warship Explosion: The Overview; Blast Kills Sailors on U.S. Ship in Yemen," New York Times, A1, October 13.
6. Corbin, J. (2002) Al-Qaeda: In Search of the Terror Network that Threatens the World, New York: Thunder's Mouth Press.
7. Davies, B. (2003) Terrorism: Inside a World Phenomenon, London: Virgin Books.
8. DeRouen, K. (2000) "Presidents and the Diversionary Use of Force," International Studies Quarterly, 44: 317-328.
9. DeRouen, K. (2003) "The Decision Not to Use Force at Dien Bien Phu: A Poliheuristic Perspective," in Mintz, A. ed., Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making, New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 11-28.
10. Fighel, Y. and Marzouk, M. (2003) Saudi Cleric Issues Fatwah on the Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction, International Policy Institute for Counterterrorism (ICT), July 5, Available at: http://www.ict.org.il/articles/articledet.cfm?articleid=491.
11. Friedman, M. (1953), Essays in Positive Economics, Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
12. Ganor, B. (2000) Suicide Attacks in Israel, in Countering Suicide Terrorism, Herzliyya, Israel: The International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism, 140-252.
13. Gunaratna, R. (2002) Inside Al Qaeda, New York: Columbia University Press.
14. Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT) (2005) Al-Qa'ida (The Base), Available at: http://www.ict.org.il/organizations/org_frame.cfm?orgid=74, accessed on March 3, 2006.
15. Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979) "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, 47: 263-291.
16. Karmon, E. (1998) Bin Ladin is out to get America!, Available at: http://www.ict.org.il/articles/articledet.cfm?articleid=53, accessed on March 3, 2006.
17. Kinne, B. J. (2005) "Decision Making in Autocratic Regimes: A Poliheuristic Perspective," International Studies Perspectives, 6: 114-128.
18. McCormick, G. H. (2003) "Terrorist Decision Making," Annual Review of Political Science, 6: 473-507.
19. Mandel, D. (2002) "Dissecting Terrorism", The Review, August.
20. Mintz, A. (1993) "The Decision to Attack Iraq: A Noncompensatory Theory of Decision Making," Journal of Conflict Resolution, 37, 4: 595-618.
21. Mintz, A. (2004) "How Do Leaders Make Decisions?: A Poliheuristic Perspective," Journal of Conflict Resolution, 48: 3-13.
22. Mintz, A. (2005) "Applied Decision Analysis: Utilizing Poliheuristic Theory to Explain and Predict Foreign Policy and National Security Decisions," International Studies Perspectives, 6: 94-98.
23. Mintz, A. and Geva, N. (1997) "The Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign Policy Decisionmaking," in Nehemia Geva and Alex Mintz, eds, Decisionmaking on War and Peace: The Cognitive-Rational Debate, Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers.
24. Mintz, A., Geva, N., Redd, S., and Carnes, A. (1997) "The Effect of Dynamic and Static Choice Sets on Political Decision Making: An Analysis Using the Decision Board Platform," American Political Science Review, 91: 533-566.
25. Napoleoni, L. (2003) Modern Jihad: Tracing the Dollars Behind the Terror Networks, Sterling, VA: Pluto Press.
26. National Commission on Terrorist Attacks upon the United States (2004) The 9/11 Commission Report, Washington, DC: United States Government Printing Office.
27. Pape, R. (2003) "The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism", American Political Science Review, 97: 1-19.
28. Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., and Johnson, E. J. (1993) The Adaptive Decision Maker, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
29. Perl, R. and O'Rourke, R. (2001) Terrorist Attack on USS Cole: Background and Issues for Congress, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service Report.
30. Piskiewicz, D. (2003) Terrorism's War with America: A History, Westport, CT: Praeger.
31. Redd, S. B. (2002) "The Influence of Advisers on Foreign Policy Decision Making: An Experimental Study," Journal of Conflict Resolution, 46 (3): 335-364.
32. Ressa, M. A. (2003) Seeds of Terror: An Eyewitness Account of Al-Qaeda's Newest Center of Operations in Southeast Asia, New York: Free Press.
33. Robinson, A. (2002) Bin Laden: Behind the Mask of the Terrorist, New York: Arcade Publishing.
34. Rosenthal, H. (forthcoming) "Suicide Bombing: What is the Answer?," in Eva Meyersson Milgrom, ed., Suicide Bombing from an Interdisciplinary Perspective, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
35. Sage, A. P. (1990) "Human Judgment and Decision Rules," in Sage, A. P., ed., Concise Encyclopedia of Information Processing in Systems and Organizations, New York: Pergamon Press, 232-244.
36. Sageman, M. (2004) Understanding Terror Networks, Philadelphia, PA: University of Pennsylvania Press.
37. Sathasivam, K. (2003) "No Other Choice: Pakistan's Decision to Test the Bomb," in A. Mintz, ed., Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making, New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 55-76.
38. Schanzer, J. (2005) Al-Qaeda's Armies: Middle East Affiliate Groups and the Next Generation of Terror, New York: Specialist Press International.
39. Scheuer, M. (as Anonymous) (2002) Through Our Enemies' Eyes, Washington, DC: Brassey's, Inc.
40. Schweitzer, Y. and Shay, S. (2003) The Globalization of Terror: The Challenge of Al-Qaida and the Response of the International Community, New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers.
41. Simon, H. (1957) Models of Man, New York: John Wiley.
42. Steinbruner, J. (1974) The Cybernetic Theory of Decision: New Dimensions of Political Analysis, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
43. Whittaker, D. J. (2004) Terrorists and Terrorism in the Contemporary World, New York: Routledge.
44. Williams, P. L. (2002) Al Qaeda: Brotherhood of Terror, Indianapolis, IN: Alpha Books.
45. Williams, P. L. (2004) Osama's Revenge, Amherst: Prometheus Books.
46. Wintrobe, R. (2002) Can Suicide Bombers be Rational?, Presented at the annual meeting of the McArthur Preferences Network, Philadelphia.