Recent HIV prevalence trends among pregnant women and all women in sub-Saharan Africa: Implications for HIV estimates

AIDS

Volumn 28, Issue , 2014, Pages S507-S514

  Eaton, Jeffrey W ^a   Rehle, Thomas M ^b,c   Jooste, Sean ^b   Nkambule, Rejoice ^d   Kim, Andrea A ^e   Mahy, Mary ^f   Hallett, Timothy B ^a  

^a IMPERIAL COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^b Human Sciences Research Council   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

^d Ministry of Health   (Swaziland)

^e Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Kenya   (Kenya)

^f UNAIDS   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Antenatal clinic surveillance; HIV prevalence; Household survey; Pregnant women; Sub saharan africa

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AFRICA SOUTH OF THE SAHARA; AGE DISTRIBUTION; CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; FEMALE; GROUPS BY AGE; HEALTH SURVEY; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS PREVALENCE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; PREGNANT WOMAN; REVIEW; COMPARATIVE STUDY; EPIDEMIOLOGY; FAMILY SIZE; HIV INFECTIONS; MIDDLE AGED; PREGNANCY; PREGNANCY COMPLICATIONS, INFECTIOUS; PRENATAL CARE; PREVALENCE; YOUNG ADULT;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AFRICA SOUTH OF THE SAHARA; AGE DISTRIBUTION; EPIDEMIOLOGIC METHODS; FAMILY CHARACTERISTICS; FEMALE; HIV INFECTIONS; HUMANS; MIDDLE AGED; PREGNANCY; PREGNANCY COMPLICATIONS, INFECTIOUS; PRENATAL CARE; PREVALENCE; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 84916928621     PISSN: 02699370     EISSN: 14735571     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000000412     Document Type: Review

References (35)

1. World Health Organization Global Programme on AIDS. Unlinked anonymous screening for public health surveillance of HIV infections: proposed international guidelines. 1989. http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/64004/1/GPA-SFI-89.3.pdf. [Accessed 13 September 2012].
2. Ortblad KF, Lozano R, Murray CJL. The burden of HIV: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. AIDS 2013; 27:2003-2017.
3. Asamoah-Odei E, Garcia-Calleja JM, Boerma JT. HIV prevalence and trends in sub-Saharan Africa: no decline and large subregional differences. Lancet 2004; 364:35-40.
4. Fylkesnes K, Ndhlovu Z, Kasumba K, Mubanga Musonda R, Sichone M. Studying dynamics of the HIV epidemic: population- based data compared with sentinel surveillance in Zambia. AIDS 1998; 12:1227-1234.
5. Kigadye RM, Klokke A, Nicoll A, Nyamuryekung'e KM, Borgdorff M, Barongo L, et al. Sentinel surveillance for HIV- 1 among pregnant women in a developing country: 3 years' experience and comparison with a population serosurvey. AIDS 1993; 7:849-855.
6. Glynn JR, Buvé A, Caraël M, Musonda RM, Kahindo M, Macauley I, et al. Factors influencing the difference in HIV prevalence between antenatal clinic and general population in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2001; 15:1717-1725.
7. Brown T, Bao L, Raftery AE, Salomon JA, Baggaley RF, Stover J, et al. Modelling HIV epidemics in the antiretroviral era: The UNAIDS Estimation and Projection package. Sex Transm Infect 2010; 86 (Suppl 2):ii3-ii10.
8. Brown T, Bao L, Eaton JW, Hogan DR, Mahy M, Marsh K, et al. Improvements in prevalence trend fitting and incidence estimation in EPP 2013. AIDS 2014; 28 (Suppl 4): S415-S425.
9. Alkema L, Raftery AE, Brown T. Bayesian melding for estimating uncertainty in national HIV prevalence estimates. Sex Transm Infect 2008; 84 (Suppl 1):i11-i16.
10. Rehle TM, Hallett TB, Shisana O, Pillay-van-Wyk V, Zuma K, Carrara H, et al. A decline in new HIV infections in South Africa: estimating HIV incidence from three national HIV surveys in and 2008. PLoS One 2010; 5:e11094.
11. Mahy M, Garcia-Calleja JM, Marsh KA. Trends in HIV prevalence among young people in generalised epidemics: implications for monitoring the HIV epidemic. Sex Transm Infect 2012; 88 (Suppl 2):i65-i75.
12. Zaba BW, Carpenter LM, Boerma TJ, Gregson S, Nakiyingi J, Urassa M. Adjusting ante-natal clinic data for improved estimates of HIV prevalence among women in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2000; 14:2741-2750.
13. ICF International. Demographic and Health Surveys. 2014. https://dhsprogram.com/data/available-datasets.cfm. [Accessed 2 Jun 2014].
14. Shisana O, Rehle T, Simbayi LC, Zuma K, Jooste S, Pillay-van Wyk V, et al. South African national HIV prevalence, incidence, behaviour and communication survey 2008: A turning tide amongst teenagers? Cape Town: HSRC Press; 2009.
15. Shisana O, Rehle T, Simbayi LC, Labadarios D, Jooste S, Davids A, et al. South African National HIV Prevalence, Incidence and Behaviour Survey, 2012. Cape Town: HSRC Press; 2014.
16. Bicego GT, Nkambule R, Peterson I, Reed J, Donnell D, Ginindza H, et al. Recent patterns in population-based HIV prevalence in Swaziland. PLoS One 2013; 8:e77101.
17. Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. 2012. http://esa.un.org/wpp/ASCII-Data/DISK-NAVIGATION-ASCII.htm. [Accessed 17 March 2014].
18. R Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. 2014. http://www.r-project.org/[Accessed 24 June 2014].
19. Lumley T. Complex surveys: A guide to analysis using R. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons; 2010.
20. Maher D, Biraro S, Hosegood V, Isingo R, Lutalo T, Mushati P, et al. Translating global health research aims into action: The example of the ALPHA network. Trop Med Int Heal 2010; 15:321-328.
21. Marsh K. Measuring the Utility of Surveillance Data For Monitoring the HIV/AIDS Epidemic In Sub-Saharan Africa. 2011; PhD Thesis. Imperial College London, United Kingdom; p. 355.
22. Zaba B, BoermaT, White R. Monitoring the AIDS epidemic using HIV prevalence data among young women attending antenatal clinics: prospects and problems. AIDS 2000; 14:1633-1645.
23. United Nations General Assembly Special Session on HIV/AIDS. Monitoring the Declaration of Commitmenton HIV/AIDS:Guidelines On Construction of Core Indicators. Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS. 2002; http://www.who.int/hiv/strategic/me/en/isbn9291732389.pdf. [Accessed 7 June 2014].
24. Eaton JW, Garnett GP, Takavarasha FR, Mason PR, Robertson L, Schumacher CM, et al. Increasing adolescent HIV prevalence in Eastern Zimbabwe - evidence of long-term survivors of mother-to-child transmission? PLoS One 2013; 8:e70447.
25. Ferrand RA, Corbett EL, Wood R, Hargrove J, Ndhlovu CE, Cowan FM, et al. AIDS among older children and adolescents in Southern Africa: projecting the time course and magnitude of the epidemic. AIDS 2009; 23:2039-2046.
26. Zaba B, Gregson S. Measuring the impact of HIV on fertility in Africa. AIDS 1998; 12 (Suppl 1):S41-S50.
27. Lewis JJC, Ronsmans C, Ezeh A, Gregson S. The population impact of HIV on fertility in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2004; 18 (Suppl 2):S35-S43.
28. Chen W-J, Walker N. Fertility of HIV-infected women: insights from Demographic and Health Surveys. Sex Transm Infect 2010; 86 (Suppl 2):ii22-ii27.
29. Mujugira A, Heffron R, Celum C, Mugo N, Nakku-Joloba E, Baeten JM. Fertility intentions and interest in early antiretroviral therapy among East African HIV-1-infected individuals in serodiscordant partnerships. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2013; 63:e33-e35.
30. Koal T, Burhenne H, Römling R, Svoboda M, Resch K, Kaever V. Quantification of antiretroviral drugs in dried blood spot samples by means of liquid chromatography/tandem mass spectrometry. Rapid Commun Mass Spectrom 2005; 19:2995- 3001.
31. UNAIDS/WHO Working Group on Global HIV/AIDS and STI Surveillance. Guidelines for assessing the utility of data from prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) programmes for HIV sentinel surveillance among pregnant women. 2013; http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/85512/1/9789241505611-eng.pdf. [Accessed 30 June 2014].
32. Simkhada B, Teijlingen ER, Porter M, Simkhada P. Factors affecting the utilization of antenatal care in developing countries: Systematic review of the literature. J Adv Nurs 2008; 61:244-260.
33. Mrisho M, Schellenberg JA, Mushi AK, Obrist B, Mshinda H, Tanner M, et al. Factors affecting home delivery in rural Tanzania. Trop Med Int Health 2007; 12:862-872.
34. Gouws E, Mishra V, Fowler TB. Comparison of adult HIV prevalence from national population-based surveys and antenatal clinic surveillance in countries with generalised epidemics: implications for calibrating surveillance data. Sex Transm Infect 2008; 84 (Suppl 1):i17-i23.
35. Montana LS, Mishra V, Hong R. Comparison of HIV prevalence estimates from antenatal care surveillance and populationbased surveys in sub-Saharan Africa. Sex Transm Infect 2008; 84 (Suppl 1):i78-i84.