메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 68, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 71-83

The need for more emphasis on prediction: A “nondenominational” model-based approach

Author keywords

Basketball or football rankings and ratings; Bayesian inference; Empirical Bayes inference; Mixed effects linear models; Selection bias; Shrinkage

Indexed keywords


EID: 84910628624     PISSN: 00031305     EISSN: 15372731     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2013.836987     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (9)

References (40)
  • 1
    • 84972535665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • F. (1990), “Predictive Likelihood: A Review” (with discussion)
    • Bjørnstad, J. F. (1990), “Predictive Likelihood: A Review” (with discussion), Statistical Science, 5, 242–265.
    • Statistical Science , vol.5 , pp. 242-265
    • Bjørnstad, J.1
  • 2
    • 0000245743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures” (with discussion)
    • Breiman, L.(2001), “Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures” (with discussion), Statistical Science, 16, 199–231.
    • (2001) Statistical Science , vol.16 , pp. 199-231
    • Breiman, L.1
  • 3
    • 84856772813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why Do Statisticians Answer Silly Questions That No One Ever Asks?
    • Briggs, M. (2012), “Why Do Statisticians Answer Silly Questions That No One Ever Asks?” Significance, 9, 30–31.
    • (2012) Significance , vol.9 , pp. 30-31
    • Briggs, M.1
  • 4
    • 0342901065 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian Point Estimation Using the Predictive Distribution
    • Christensen, R., and Huffman, M. D. (1985), “Bayesian Point Estimation Using the Predictive Distribution,” The American Statistician, 39, 319–321.
    • (1985) The American Statistician , vol.39 , pp. 319-321
    • Christensen, R.1    Huffman, M.D.2
  • 7
    • 82655179897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • S. (2011), “Is Bayes Posterior Just Quick and Dirty Confidence?” (with discussion)
    • Fraser, D. A. S. (2011), “Is Bayes Posterior Just Quick and Dirty Confidence?” (with discussion), Statistical Science, 26, 299-331.
    • Statistical Science , vol.26 , pp. 299-331
    • Fraser, D.A.1
  • 8
  • 13
    • 0000205502 scopus 로고
    • The Use of Linear-Model Methodology to Rate High School or College Football Teams
    • Harville, D. A. (1977), “The Use of Linear-Model Methodology to Rate High School or College Football Teams,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 72, 278-289.
    • (1977) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.72 , pp. 278-289
    • Harville, D.A.1
  • 14
    • 84949164445 scopus 로고
    • Predictions for National Football League Games Via Linear-Model Methodology
    • Harville, D. A. (1980), “Predictions for National Football League Games Via Linear-Model Methodology,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 75, 516-524.
    • (1980) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.75 , pp. 516-524
    • Harville, D.A.1
  • 16
    • 0037365007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Selection or Seeding of College Basketball or Football Teams for Postseason Competition
    • Harville, D. A. (2003), “The Selection or Seeding of College Basketball or Football Teams for Postseason Competition,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 98, 17-27.
    • (2003) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.98 , pp. 17-27
    • Harville, D.A.1
  • 17
    • 77956908177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for the Estimation of Variances and Covariances in Prediction Under a General Linear Model: An Overview
    • Harville, D. A. (2008), “Accounting for the Estimation of Variances and Covariances in Prediction Under a General Linear Model: an Overview,” Tatra Mountains Mathematical Publications, 39, 1-14.
    • (2008) Tatra Mountains Mathematical Publications , vol.39 , pp. 1-14
    • Harville, D.A.1
  • 18
    • 0000655117 scopus 로고
    • Mean Squared Error of Estimation or Prediction Under a General Linear Model
    • Harville, D. A., and Jeske, D. R. (1992), “Mean Squared Error of Estimation or Prediction Under a General Linear Model,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 724-731.
    • (1992) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.87 , pp. 724-731
    • Harville, D.A.1    Jeske, D.R.2
  • 19
    • 21344485320 scopus 로고
    • The Home-Court Advantage: How Large Is It, and Does It Vary From Team to Team?
    • Harville, D. A., and Smith, M. H. (1994), “The Home-Court Advantage: How Large Is It, and Does It Vary From Team to Team?” The American Statistician, 48, 22-28.
    • (1994) The American Statistician , vol.48 , pp. 22-28
    • Harville, D.A.1    Smith, M.H.2
  • 21
    • 33847129072 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of Longitudinal and Cluster-Correlated Data—Volume 8
    • Beachwood, OH: Institute of Mathematical Statistics
    • Laird, N. (2004), “Analysis of Longitudinal and Cluster-Correlated Data—Volume 8” in the NSF-CBMS Regional Conference Series in Probability and Statistics, Beachwood, OH: Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
    • (2004) In the NSF-CBMS Regional Conference Series in Probability and Statistics
    • Laird, N.1
  • 23
    • 33747474436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibrated Bayes: A Bayes/Frequentist Roadmap
    • Little, R. J. (2006), “Calibrated Bayes: A Bayes/Frequentist Roadmap,” The American Statistician, 60, 213-223.
    • (2006) Theamerican Statistician , vol.60 , pp. 213-223
    • Little, R.J.1
  • 25
    • 84950432453 scopus 로고
    • Parametric Empirical Bayes Inference: Theory and Applications” (with discussion)
    • Morris, C. N. (1983), “Parametric Empirical Bayes Inference: Theory and Applications” (with discussion), Journal of the American Statistical Association, 78, 47-65.
    • (1983) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.78 , pp. 47-65
    • Morris, C.N.1
  • 27
    • 84900529999 scopus 로고
    • The Estimation of the Mean Squared Error of Small-Area Estimators
    • Prasad, N. G. N., and Rao, J. N. K. (1990), “The Estimation of the Mean Squared Error of Small-Area Estimators,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 85, 163–171.
    • (1990) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.85 , pp. 163-171
    • Prasad, N.1    Rao, J.2
  • 29
    • 84972496336 scopus 로고
    • That BLUP Is a Good Thing: The Estimation of Random Effects” (with discussion)
    • Robinson, G. K. (1991), “That BLUP Is a Good Thing: The Estimation of Random Effects” (with discussion), Statistical Science, 6, 15–51.
    • (1991) Statistical Science , vol.6 , pp. 15-51
    • Robinson, G.K.1
  • 30
    • 0000439370 scopus 로고
    • Bayesianly Justifiable and Relevant Frequency Calculations for the Applied Statistician
    • Rubin, D. B. (1984), “Bayesianly Justifiable and Relevant Frequency Calculations for the Applied Statistician,” The Annals of Statistics, 12, 1151–1172.
    • (1984) The Annals of Statistics , vol.12 , pp. 1151-1172
    • Rubin, D.B.1
  • 32
    • 0000185436 scopus 로고
    • The Tennessee Value-Added Assessment System (TVAAS); Mixed-Model Methodology in Educational Assessment
    • Sanders, W. L., and Horn, S. P. (1994), “The Tennessee Value-Added Assessment System (TVAAS); Mixed-Model Methodology in Educational Assessment,” Journal of Personnel Evaluation in Education, 8, 299–311.
    • (1994) Journal of Personnel Evaluation in Education , vol.8 , pp. 299-311
    • Sanders, W.L.1    Horn, S.P.2
  • 33
    • 78751611452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • To ExplainortoPredict?
    • Shmueli, G. (2010), “To ExplainortoPredict?” Statistical Science, 25, 289–310.
    • (2010) Statistical Science , vol.25 , pp. 289-310
    • Shmueli, G.1
  • 35
    • 4043141511 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistics and the College Football Championship” (with discussion)
    • Stern, H. S. (2004), “Statistics and the College Football Championship” (with discussion), The American Statistician, 58, 179–195.
    • (2004) The American Statistician , vol.58 , pp. 179-195
    • Stern, H.S.1
  • 36
    • 27944445574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • College Basketball Upsets: Will a 16-Seed Ever Beat a 1-Seed?
    • Stern, H. S., and Mock, B. (1998), “College Basketball Upsets: Will a 16-Seed Ever Beat a 1-Seed?” Chance, 11, 26–31.
    • (1998) Chance , vol.11 , pp. 26-31
    • Stern, H.S.1    Mock, B.2
  • 38
    • 0242510861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Mean Squared Error of Small Area Predictors Constructed With Estimated Area Variances
    • Wang, J., and Fuller, W. A. (2003), “The Mean Squared Error of Small Area Predictors Constructed With Estimated Area Variances,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 98, 716–723.
    • (2003) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.98 , pp. 716-723
    • Wang, J.1    Fuller, W.A.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.