Endogenous technological and population change under increasing water scarcity

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 18, Issue 8, 2014, Pages 3239-3258

  Pande, S ^a   Ertsen, M ^a   Sivapalan, M ^b  

^a DELFT UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

^b University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

POPULATION STATISTICS; WATERWORKS;

AGGREGATE PRODUCTION; ENDOGENOUS PROCESS; POPULATION CHANGE; PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION; TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANCEMENT; TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE; TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION; TECHNOLOGY CHANGE;

SOCIETIES AND INSTITUTIONS;

CIVILIZATION; NUMERICAL MODEL; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION SIZE; POPULATION STRUCTURE; TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE;

EID: 84908415661     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-18-3239-2014     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Aghion, P. and Howitt, P.: Chapter 1: Towards endogenous growth, Endogenous Growth Theory, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1997.
2. Arrow, K.: The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing, Rev. Econ. Stud., 29, 155-173, 1962.
3. Bijker,W. E.: Of bicycles, bakelites, and bulbs. Towards a theory of sociotechnical change, MIT Press, London, Cambridge, 1995.
4. Burlingame, R.: Technology: Neglected Clue to Historical Change, Technol. Culture, 2, 219-229, 1961.
5. Chen, H. and Li, M.: Environmental tax policy, habit formation and nonlinear dynamics, Nonlin. Anal. Real World Appl., 12, 246-253, 2011.
6. Cuypers, J. G. M. and Rademaker O.: An analysis of Forrester's World Dynamics Model, Automatica, 10, 195-201, 1974.
7. Diamond, P.: National debt in a neoclassical growth model, Am. Econ. Rev., 55, 1126-1150, 1965.
8. Eicher, T. S.: Interaction between endogenosu human capital and technological change, Rev. Econ. Stud., 63, 127-144, 1996. (Pubitemid 126458602)
9. Elshafei, Y., Sivapalan, M., Tonts, M., and Hipsey, M. R.: A prototype framework for models of socio-hydrology: identification of key feedback loops and parameterisation approach, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2141-2166, doi:10.5194/hess-18-2141-2014, 2014.
10. Ertsen, M. W.: Locales of happiness. Colonial irrigation in the Netherlands East Indies and its remains, 1830-1980, VSSD Press, Delft, 2010.
11. Ertsen, M. W., Murphy, J. T., Purdue, L. E., and Zhu, T.: A journey of a thousand miles begins with one small step - human agency, hydrological processes and time in socio-hydrology, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1369-1382, doi:10.5194/hess-18-1369-2014, 2014.
12. Forrester, J. W.: World Dynamics, Wright-Allen, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1971.
13. Funk, C. and Brown, M.: Declining Global Per Capita Agricultural Production and Warming Oceans Threaten Food Security, Food Security, 1, 271-289, doi:10.1007/s12571-009-0026-y, 2009.
14. Giddens, A.: Central problems in social theory: action, structure and contradiction in social analysis, Contemporary social theory, MacMillan, London, 1979.
15. Giddens, A.: The constitution of society: outline of the theory of structuration, Polity Press, Cambridge, 1984.
16. Hayami, Y. and Ruttan, V. W.: Factor Prices and Technical Change in AgriculturalDevelopment: The United States and Japan, 1880-1960, J. Polit. Econ., 78, 1115-1141, 1970.
17. Hayes, B.: Computation and the human predicament, Scientific American, 100, 186-191, 2012.
18. Imrohoroglu, S., Imrohoroglu, A., and Joines, D.: Social Security in an Overlapping Generations Economy with Land, Rev. Econ. Dynam., 2, 638-665, 1999.
19. Jaffe, A. B., Newell, R. G., and Stavins, R. N.: Technological change and the environment, in: Handbook of Environmental Economics, 1st Edn., Volume 1, edited by: Mäler, K.-G. and Vincent, J. R., Elsevier Science B.V., 461-516, 2003.
20. Kaldor, N.: A model of economic growth, Econ. J., 67, 591-624, 1957.
21. Kandasamy, J., Sounthararajah, D., Sivabalan, P., Chanan, A., Vigneswaran, S., and Sivapalan, M.: Socio-hydrologic drivers of the pendulum swing between agricultural development and environmental health: a case study from Murrumbidgee River basin, Australia, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1027-1041, doi:10.5194/hess-18-1027-2014, 2014.
22. Latour, B.: Reassembling the social. An Introduction to Actor-Network-Theory, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2005.
23. Lyon, K. and Pande, S.: The costate variable in a stochastic renewable resource model, Nat. Resour. Model., 19, 45-66, 2006.
24. Montanari A., Young, G., Savenije, H. H. G., Hughes, D., Wagener, T., Ren, L. L., Koutsoyiannis, D., Cudennec, C., Toth, E., Grimaldi, S., Blöschl, G., Sivapalan, M., Beven, K., Gupta, H., Hipsey, M., Schaefli, B., Arheimer, B., Boegh, E., Schymanski, . J., Di Baldassarre, G., Yu, B., Hubert, P., Huang, Y., Schumann, A., Post, D. A., Srinivasan, V., Harman, C., Thompson, S., Rogger, M., Viglione, A., McMillan, H., Characklis, G., Pang, Z., and Belyaev, V.: "Panta Rhei - Everything Flows": Change in hydrology and society -The IAHS Scientific Decade 2013-2022, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 58, 1256-1275, 2013.
25. Nordhaus, W. D.: An Economic Theory of Technological Change, American Economic Review, Am. Econ. Assoc., vol. 59, 18-28, 1969.
26. Oded, G.: A Two-Sector Overlapping-Generations Model: A Global Characterization of the Dynamical System, Econometrica, 60, 1351-1386, 1992.
27. Pande, S. and Ertsen, M.: Endogenous change: on cooperation and water availability in two ancient societies, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1745-1760, doi:10.5194/hess-18-1745-2014, 2014.
28. Pande, S. and McKee, M.: Valuing certainty in a consensus-based water allocation mechanism, Water Resour. Res., 43, W02427, doi:10.1029/2004WR003890, 2007. (Pubitemid 46502893)
29. Romer, P. M.: Endogenous Technological Change, in: Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98, S71-102, 1990.
30. Sachs, J. D. and McArthur, J. W.: Technological advancement and long-term economic growth in Asia, in: Technology and the new economy, edited bY: Bai, E.-E. and Yuen, C.-W., MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, USA, 157-185, 2002.
31. Sewell, J. H.: Logics of history. Social theory and social transformation, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 2005.
32. Shell, K.: Inventive Activity, Industrial Organization and Economic Growth, in: Models of Economic Growth, edited by: Mirrlees, J. A. and Stern, N., Macmillan, London, New York, John Wiley & Sons, Halsted, 77-100, 1973.
33. Sivapalan, M., Konar, M., Srinivasan, V., Chhatre, A., Wutich, A., Scott, C., Wescoat, J., and Rodriguez-Iturbe, I.: Sociohydrology: Use-Inspired Water Sustainability Science For the Anthropocene, Earth's Future, 2, doi:10.1002/2013EF000164, 2014.
34. Smart, J.: Measuring Innovation in an Accelerating World: Review of "A Possible Declining Trend forWorldwide Innovation", Jonathan Huebner, Technol. Forecast. Social Change, 72, 988-995, 2005.
35. Van de Poel, I.: Changing technologies. A comparative study of eight processes of transformation of technological regimes, Twente University Press, Enschede, 1998.
36. Van de Poel, I.: The transformation of technological regimes, Research Policy, 32, 49-68, 2003.
37. Van der Zaag, P.: Comment on "Endogenous change: on cooperation and water in ancient history" by Pande, S. and Ertsen, M., Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 10, 4829-4868, 2013, http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss. net/10/4829/2013/.
38. van Emmerik, T. H. M., Li, Z., Sivapalan, M., Pande, S., Kandasamy, J., Savenije, H. H. G., Chanan, A., and Vigneswaran, S.: Socio-hydrologic modeling to understand and mediate the competition for water between agriculture development and environmental health: Murrumbidgee River Basin, Australia, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 3387-3435, doi:10.5194/hessd-11-3387- 2014, 2014.
39. Wright, G.: Towards a more historical approach to technological change, Econom. J., 107, 1560-1566, 1997. (Pubitemid 127575126)