Predicting suicide in older adults - A community-based cohort study in Taipei City, Taiwan

Journal of Affective Disorders

Volumn 172, Issue , 2015, Pages 165-170

  Hung, Galen Chin Lun ^a   Kwok, Chi Leung ^b   Yip, Paul Sf ^b   Gunnell, David ^c   Chen, Ying Yeh ^a,d  

^a TAIPEI CITY HOSPITAL   (Taiwan)

^b UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG   (Hong Kong)

^c UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL   (United Kingdom)

^d NATIONAL YANG MING UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

Health examination; Older adults; Prediction; Suicide; Taiwan

Indexed keywords

AGED; ARTICLE; CHILD; COHORT ANALYSIS; DEPRESSION; EDUCATIONAL STATUS; FEMALE; GROUPS BY AGE; HIGH RISK POPULATION; HUMAN; INSOMNIA; LOWEST INCOME GROUP; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MODEL; PREDICTIVE VALUE; RISK ASSESSMENT; SCORING SYSTEM; SUICIDE; TAIWAN; URBAN POPULATION; VERY ELDERLY; ADULT; EPIDEMIOLOGY; INCOME; INDEPENDENT LIVING; MENTAL DISEASE; ODDS RATIO; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODEL; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; PSYCHOLOGY; RECEIVER OPERATING CHARACTERISTIC; RISK FACTOR; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; SEX DIFFERENCE; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA;

ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; DEPRESSION; EDUCATIONAL STATUS; FEMALE; HUMANS; INCOME; INDEPENDENT LIVING; MALE; MENTAL DISORDERS; ODDS RATIO; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; PROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK FACTORS; ROC CURVE; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; SEX FACTORS; SLEEP INITIATION AND MAINTENANCE DISORDERS; SUICIDE; TAIWAN;

EID: 84908307225     PISSN: 01650327     EISSN: 15732517     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jad.2014.09.037     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. G.S. Alexopoulos, M.L. Bruce, J. Hull, J.A. Sirey, and T. Kakuma Clinical determinants of suicidal ideation and behavior in geriatric depression Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 56 1999 1048 1053
2. J.T. Cavanagh, A.J. Carson, M. Sharpe, and S.M. Lawrie Psychological autopsy studies of suicide: a systematic review Psychol. Med. 33 2003 395 405
3. S.S. Chang, J.A. Sterne, T.H. Lu, and D. Gunnell 'Hidden' suicides amongst deaths certified as undetermined intent, accident by pesticide poisoning and accident by suffocation in Taiwan Soc. Psychiatry Psychiatr. Epidemiol. 45 2010 143 152
4. H.C. Chen, C.H. Wu, Y.J. Lee, S.C. Liao, and M.B. Lee Validity of the five-item brief symptom rating scale among subjects admitted for general health screening J. Formos. Med. Assoc. 104 2005 824 829
5. W.J. Chen, C.C. Chen, C.K. Ho, M.B. Lee, Y.T. Chung, Y.C. Wang, G.G. Lin, R.Y. Lu, F.C. Sun, and F.H. Chou The suitability of the BSRS-5 for assessing elderly who have attempted suicide and need to be referred for professional mental health consultation in a metropolitan city, Taiwan Int. J. Geriatr. Psychiatry 24 2009 1151 1157
6. Y.Y. Chen, K.C. Wu, S. Yousuf, and P.S. Yip Suicide in Asia: opportunities and challenges Epidemiol. Rev. 34 2012 129 144
7. Y. Conwell Suicide prevention in later life: a glass half full, or half empty? Am. J. Psychiatry 166 2009 845 848
8. Y. Conwell, P.R. Duberstein, and E.D. Caine Risk factors for suicide in later life Biol. Psychiatry 52 2002 193 204
9. Y. Conwell, J.M. Lyness, P. Duberstein, C. Cox, L. Seidlitz, A. DiGiorgio, and E.D. Caine Completed suicide among older patients in primary care practices: a controlled study J. Am. Geriatr. Soc. 48 2000 23 29
10. Y. Conwell, and C. Thompson Suicidal behavior in elders Psychiatr. Clin. N. Am. 31 2008 333 356
11. Department of Statistics. Ministry of Health and Welfare, 2012. Age-stratified suicide rates in Taiwan. 〈http://tspc.tw/tspc/portal/know/index.jsp?type=2〉.
12. M.M. Fassberg, K.A. van Orden, P. Duberstein, A. Erlangsen, S. Lapierre, E. Bodner, S.S. Canetto, D. De Leo, K. Szanto, and M. Waern A systematic review of social factors and suicidal behavior in older adulthood Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 9 2012 722 745
13. R.B. Goldstein, D.W. Black, A. Nasrallah, and G. Winokur The prediction of suicide. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value of a multivariate model applied to suicide among 1906 patients with affective disorders Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 48 1991 418 422
14. D. Gunnell, S.S. Chang, M.K. Tsai, C.K. Tsao, and C.P. Wen Sleep and suicide: an analysis of a cohort of 394,000 Taiwanese adults Soc. Psychiatry Psychiatr. Epidemiol. 48 2013 1457 1465
15. C. Haw, D. Harwood, and K. Hawton Dementia and suicidal behavior: a review of the literature Int. Psychogeriatr. 21 2009 440 453
16. G.C. Hung, E.D. Caine, H.F. Fan, M.C. Huang, and Y.Y. Chen Predicting suicide attempts among treatment-seeking male alcoholics: an exploratory study Suicide Life-Threat. Behav. 43 2013 429 438
17. N. Jerliu, E. Toci, G. Burazeri, N. Ramadani, and H. Brand Socioeconomic conditions of elderly people in Kosovo: a cross-sectional study BMC Public Health 12 2012 512
18. C.J. Kuo, D. Gunnell, C.C. Chen, P.S. Yip, and Y.Y. Chen Suicide and non-suicide mortality after self-harm in Taipei City, Taiwan Br. J. Psychiatry 200 2012 405 411
19. S. Lapierre, A. Erlangsen, M. Waern, D. De Leo, H. Oyama, P. Scocco, J. Gallo, K. Szanto, Y. Conwell, B. Draper, and P. Quinnett A systematic review of elderly suicide prevention programs Crisis 32 2011 88 98
20. M.B. Lee, Y.J. Lee, L.L. Yen, M.H. Lin, and B.H. Lue Reliability and validity of using a brief psychiatric symptom rating scale in clinical practice J. Formos. Med. Assoc. 89 1990 1081 1087
21. M.B. Lee, S.C. Liao, Y.J. Lee, C.H. Wu, M.C. Tseng, S.F. Gau, and C.L. Rau Development and verification of validity and reliability of a short screening instrument to identify psychiatric morbidity J. Formos. Med. Assoc. 102 2003 687 694
22. C.F. Lo, and C.M. Kwok Modelling suicide risk in later life Math. Biosci. 202 2006 340 348
23. M. Nordentoft, P.B. Mortensen, and C.B. Pedersen Absolute risk of suicide after first hospital contact in mental disorder Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 68 2011 1058 1064
24. H. O'Connell, A.V. Chin, C. Cunningham, and B.A. Lawlor Recent developments: suicide in older people BMJ 329 2004 895 899
25. H. Oyama, T. Sakashita, Y. Ono, M. Goto, M. Fujita, and J. Koida Effect of community-based intervention using depression screening on elderly suicide risk: a meta-analysis of the evidence from Japan Community Ment. Health J. 44 2008 311 320
26. J.B. Pena, and E.D. Caine Screening as an approach for adolescent suicide prevention Suicide Life-Threat. Behav. 36 2006 614 637
27. E.J. Perry, and M. Seldon Chinese Society: Change, Conflict and Resistance 2000 Routledge London
28. E. Pfeiffer A short portable mental status questionnaire for the assessment of organic brain deficit in elderly patients J. Am. Geriatr. Soc. 23 1975 433 441
29. A.D. Pokorny Prediction of suicide in psychiatric patients. Report of a prospective study Arch. Gen. Psychiatry 40 1983 249 257
30. A.D. Pokorny Suicide prediction revisited Suicide Life-Threat. Behav. 23 1993 1 10
31. J.L. Powell Governmentality, social policy and the social construction of old age in England Int. Lett. Soc. Humanist. Sci. 16 2014 108 121
32. C. Pritchard, and D.S. Baldwin Elderly suicide rates in Asian and English-speaking countries Acta Psychiatr. Scand. 105 2002 271 275
33. D.C. Purselle, M. Heninger, R. Hanzlick, and S.J. Garlow Differential association of socioeconomic status in ethnic and age-defined suicides Psychiatry Res. 167 2009 258 265
34. R.K. Ross, L. Bernstein, L. Trent, B.E. Henderson, and A. Paganini-Hill A prospective study of risk factors for traumatic deaths in a retirement community Prev. Med. 19 1990 323 334
35. L. Sher Is it possible to predict suicide? Aust. N. Z. J. Psychiatry 45 2011 341
36. W.J. Sun, L. Xu, W.M. Chan, T.H. Lam, and C.M. Schooling Depressive symptoms and suicide in 56,000 older Chinese: a Hong Kong cohort study Soc. Psychiatry Psychiatr. Eepidemiol. 47 2012 505 514
37. World Health Organization, 2005. 〈http://www.who.int/mental-health/prevention/suicide/suicideprevent/en/〉.
38. H.I. Yang, M.F. Yuen, H.L. Chan, K.H. Han, P.J. Chen, D.Y. Kim, S.H. Ahn, C.J. Chen, V.W. Wong, and W.K. Seto Risk estimation for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B (REACH-B): development and validation of a predictive score Lancet Oncol. 12 2011 568 574
39. M.F. Yuen, Y. Tanaka, D.Y. Fong, J. Fung, D.K. Wong, J.C. Yuen, D.Y. But, A.O. Chan, B.C. Wong, M. Mizokami, and C.L. Lai Independent risk factors and predictive score for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B J. Hepatol. 50 2009 80 88
40. P.S. Yip, E. Caine, S. Yousuf, S.S. Chang, K.C. Wu, and Y.Y. Chen Means restriction for suicide prevention Lancet 379 2012 2393 2399
41. M.H. Zweig, and G. Campbell Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots: a fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine Clin. Chem. 39 1993 561 577