Short- and long-term growth characteristics associated with tree mortality in southwestern mixed-conifer forests

Canadian Journal of Forest Research

Volumn 44, Issue 10, 2014, Pages 1227-1235

  Kane, Jeffrey M ^a   Kolb, Thomas E ^b  

^a HUMBOLDT STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b NORTHERN ARIZONA UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Dendrochronology; Dendroecology; Tree growth; Tree mortality; Tree rings

Indexed keywords

DROUGHT;

DENDROCHRONOLOGY; DENDROECOLOGY; TREE GROWTH; TREE MORTALITY; TREE RINGS;

FORESTRY;

CONIFEROUS FOREST; DENDROCHRONOLOGY; DENDROECOLOGY; GROWTH RATE; MIXED FOREST; MORTALITY; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TREE RING; TREND ANALYSIS;

ARIZONA; UNITED STATES;

CONIFEROPHYTA;

EID: 84907553184     PISSN: 00455067     EISSN: 12086037     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1139/cjfr-2014-0186     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Adams, H. D., and Kolb, T. E. 2004. Drought responses of conifers in ecotone forests of northern Arizona: tree ring growth and leaf 13C. Oecologia, 140: 217-225. doi: 10. 1007/s00442-004-1585-4.
2. Allen, C., and Breshears, D. 1998. Drought-induced shift of a forest-woodland ecotone: rapid landscape response to climate variation. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 95: 14839-14842. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 95. 25. 14839.
3. Allen, C., Macalady, A., Chenchouni, H., Bachelet, D., McDowell, N., Vennetier, M., Kitzberger, T., et al. 2010. A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. For. Ecol. Manage 259: 660-684. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2009. 09. 001.
4. Anderegg, W. R. L., Kane, J. M., and Anderegg, L. D. L. 2013. Consequences of widespread tree mortality attributed to recent climatic warming. Nat. Clim. Change, 3: 30-36. doi: 10. 1038/nclimate1635.
5. Bell, G., Lechowicz, M. J., Apenzeller, A., Chandler, M., Deblois, E., Jackson, L., Mackenzie, B., et al. 1993. The spatial structure of the physical environment. Oecologia, 96: 114-121. doi: 10. 1007/BF00318038.
6. Bigler, C., and Bugmann, H. 2003. Growth-dependent tree mortality models based on tree rings. Can. J. For. Res. 33(2): 210-221. doi: 10. 1139/x02-180.
7. Bigler, C., and Bugmann, H. 2004. Predicting the time of tree death using dendrochronological data. Ecol. Appl. 14: 902-914. doi: 10. 1890/03-5011.
8. Bigler, C., Gavin, D. G., Gunning, C., and Veblen, T. T. 2007. Drought induces lagged tree mortality in a subalpine forest in the Rocky Mountains. Oikos, 116: 1983-1994. doi: 10. 1111/j. 2007. 0030-1299. 16034. x.
9. Breshears, D., Cobb, N., Rich, P., Price, K., Allen, C., Balice, R., Romme, W., Kastens, J. H., Floyd, M. L., Belnap, J., Anderson, J. J., Myers, O. B., and Meyer, C. W. 2005. Regional vegetation die-off in response to global-changetype drought. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 102: 15144-15148. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 0505734102.
10. Brown, D. E. 1982. Biotic communities of the American southwest-United States and Mexico. Desert Plants, 4: 1-4.
11. Burnham, K. P., and Anderson, D. R. 1998. Model selection and inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer, New York.
12. Das, A., Battles, J., Stephenson, N., and van Mantgem, P. 2007. The relationship between tree growth patterns and likelihood of mortality: a study of two tree species in the Sierra Nevada. Can. For. J. Res. 37(3): 580-597. doi: 10. 1139/X06-262.
13. Das, A., Battles, J., van Mantgem, P. J., and Stephenson, N. L. 2008. Spatial elements of mortality risk in old-growth forests. Ecology, 89: 1744-1756. doi: 10. 1890/07-0524. 1.
14. Ehrenfeld, J. G., Han, X., Parsons, W. F. J., and Zhu, W. 1997. On the nature of environmental gradients: temporal and spatial variability of soil and vegetation in the New Jersey pinelands. J. Ecol. 85: 785-798. doi: 10. 2307/2960602.
15. Franklin, J., Shugart, H., and Harmon, M. 1987. Tree death as an ecological process. BioScience, 37: 550-556. doi: 10. 2307/1310665.
16. Ganey, J., and Vojta, S. 2011. Tree mortality in drought-stressed mixed-conifer and ponderosa pine forests, Arizona, U. S. A. For. Ecol. Manage. 261: 162-168. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2010. 09. 048.
17. Gitlin, A., Sthultz, C., Bowker, M., Stumpf, S., Paxton, K., Kennedy, K., Munoz, A., et al. 2006. Mortality gradients within and among dominant plant populations as barometers of ecosystem change during extreme drought. Conserv. Biol. 20: 1477-1486. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1523-1739. 2006. 00424. x.
18. Grissino-Mayer, H. 2001. Research report evaluating crossdating accuracy: a manual and tutorial for the computer program COFECHA. Tree-Ring Res. 57: 205-221.
19. Hanna, P., and Kulakowski, D. 2012. The influences of climate on aspen dieback. For. Ecol. Manage. 274: 91-98. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2012. 02. 009.
20. Hosmer, D. W., and Lemeshow, S. 2000. Applied logistic regression. Wiley and Sons, Inc., New York.
21. Kane, J. M., Kolb, T. E., and McMillin, J. D. 2014. Stand-scale tree mortality factors differ by site and species following drought in southwestern mixed conifer forests. For. Ecol. Manage. 330: 171-182. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2014. 06. 042.
22. Kane, J. M., and Kolb, T. E. 2010. Importance of resin ducts in reducing ponderosa pine mortality from bark beetle attack. Oecologia, 164: 601-609. doi: 10. 1007/s00442-010-1683-4.
23. Kerhoulas, L. P., Kolb, T. E., Hurteau, M., and Koch, G. W. 2013. Managing for climate change adaptation in forests: a case study from the southwestern U. S. J. Appl. Ecol. 50: 1311-1320. doi: 10. 1111/1365-2664. 12139.
24. Kobe, R., Pacala, S., Silander, J., and Canham, C. 1995. Juvenile tree survivorship as a component of shade tolerance. Ecol. Appl. 5: 517-532. doi: 10. 2307/1942040.
25. Koepke, D. F., Kolb, T. E., and Adams, H. D. 2010. Variation in woody plant mortality and dieback from severe drought among soils, plant groups, and species in a northern Arizona ecotone. Oecologia, 163: 1079-1090. doi: 10. 1007/s00442-010-1671-8.
26. Kolb, T. E., and McCormick, L. H. 1993. Etiology of sugar maple decline in four Pennsylvania stands. Can. J. For. Res. 23(11): 2395-2402. doi: 10. 1139/x93-296.
27. Looney, C., Sullivan, B., Kolb, T., Kane, J., and Hart, S. 2012. Pinyon pine (Pinus edulis) mortality and response to water addition across a three million year substrate age gradient in northern Arizona. U. S. A. Plant Soil, 357: 89-102. doi: 10. 1007/s11104-012-1150-6.
28. Manion, P. D. 1991. Tree disease concepts. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.
29. Millar, C., Stephenson, N., and Stephens, S. 2007. Climate change and forests of the future: managing in the face of uncertainty. Ecol. Appl. 17: 2145-2151. doi: 10. 1890/06-1715. 1.
30. Monserud, R. A. 1976. Simulation of forest tree mortality. For. Sci. 22: 438-444.
31. Negron, J. 1998. Probability of infestation and extent of mortality associated with the Douglas-fir beetle in the Colorado Front Range. For. Ecol. Manage. 107: 71-85. doi: 10. 1016/S0378-1127(97)00319-8.
32. Negron, J., McMillin, J., Anhold, J., and Coulson, D. 2009. Bark beetle-caused mortality in a drought-affected ponderosa pine landscape in Arizona, U. S. A. For. Ecol. Manage. 257: 1353-1362. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2008. 12. 002.
33. Niinemets, Ü., and Valladares, F. 2006. Tolerance to shade, drought, and waterlogging of temperate Northern Hemisphere trees and shrubs. Ecol. Monogr. 76: 521-547. doi: 10. 1890/0012-9615(2006)076[0521: TTSDAW]2. 0. CO; 2.
34. Ogle, K., Whitham, T., and Cobb, N. 2000. Tree-ring variation in pinyon predicts likelihood of death following severe drought. Ecology, 81: 3237-3243. doi: 10. 1890/0012-9658(2000)081[3237: TRVIPP]2. 0. CO; 2.
35. Pallardy, S. G. 2008. Tree physiology of woody plants. 2nd edition. Academic Press, Burlington, Vermont.
36. Pedersen, B. 1998. The role of stress in the mortality of midwestern oaks as indicated by growth prior to death. Ecology, 79: 79-93. doi: 10. 1890/0012-9658(1998)079[0079: TROSIT]2. 0. CO; 2.
37. Phipps, R., and Whiton, J. 1988. Decline in long-term growth trends of white oak. Can. J. For. Res. 18(1): 24-32. doi: 10. 1139/x88-005.
38. Rehfeldt, G., Crookston, N., Warwell, M., and Evans, J. 2006. Empirical analyses of plant-climate relationships for the western United States. Int. J. Plant Sci. 167: 1123-1150. doi: 10. 1086/507711.
39. Rehfeldt, G. E., Ferguson, D. E., and Crookston, N. L. 2009. Aspen, climate, and sudden decline in western U. S. A. For. Ecol. Manage. 258: 2353-2364. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2009. 06. 005.
40. Salzer, M. W., and Kipfmueller, K. F. 2005. Reconstructed temperature and precipitation on a millennial timescale from tree-rings in the southern Colorado Plateau, U. S. A. Clim. Change, 70: 465-487. doi: 10. 1007/s10584-005-5922-3.
41. Seager, R., and Vecchi, G. 2010. Greenhouse warming and the 21st century hydroclimate of southwestern North America. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 107: 21277-21282. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 0910856107.
42. Seager, R., Ting, M., Held, I., Kushnir, Y., Lu, J., Vecchi, G., Huang, H.-P., et al. 2007. Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science, 316: 1181-1184. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1139601.
43. Stokes, M. A., and Smiley, T. L. 1968. An introduction to tree-ring dating. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois.
44. van Mantgem, P., Stephenson, N., Byrne, J., Daniels, L., Franklin, J., Fule, P., and Harmon, M. 2009. Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the western United States. Science, 323: 521-524. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1165000.
45. Vanderwel, M. C., Malcolm, J. R., and Smith, S. M. 2006. An integrated model for snag and downed woody debris decay class transitions. For. Ecol. Manage. 234: 48-59. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2006. 06. 020.
46. Williams, A., Allen, C., Millar, C., Swetnam, T., Michaelsen, J., Still, C., and Leavitt, S. 2010. Forest responses to increasing aridity and warmth in the southwestern United States. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 107: 21289-21294. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 0914211107.
47. Wunder, J., Brzeziecki, B., Zybura, H., Reineking, B., Bigler, C., and Bugmann, H. 2008. Growth-mortality relationships as indicators of life-history strategies: a comparison of nine tree species in unmanaged European forests. Oikos, 117: 815-828. doi: 10. 1111/j. 0030-1299. 2008. 16371. x.
48. Wyckoff, P. H., and Clark, J. S. 2002. The relationship between growth and mortality for seven co-occurring tree species in the southern Appalachian Mountains. J. Ecol., 90(4): 604-615. doi: 10. 1046/j. 1365-2745. 2002. 00691. x.
49. Yao, X., Titus, S. J., and MacDonald, S. E. 2001. A generalized logistic model of individual tree mortality for aspen, white spruce, and lodgepole pine in Alberta mixedwood forests. Can. J. For. Res. 31(2): 283-291. doi: 10. 1139/x00-162.
50. Zegler, T. J., Moore, M. M., Fairweather, M. L., Ireland, K. B., and Fule, P. Z. 2012. Populus tremuloides mortality near the southwestern edge of its range. For. Ecol. Manage. 282: 196-207. doi: 10. 1016/j. foreco. 2012. 07. 004.