Role of hydrology and economics in water management policy under increasing uncertainty

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 518, Issue PA, 2014, Pages 5-16

  Loch, A ^a   Adamson, D ^b   Mallawaarachchi, T ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

Author keywords

Economics; Public policy; Uncertainty Murray Darling Basin

Indexed keywords

DECISION MAKING; ECONOMICS; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER RESOURCES;

INFORMATION ASYMMETRY; MURRAY-DARLING BASIN; POLICY FORMULATION; PUBLIC POLICY DECISIONS; SCIENTIFIC CONTRIBUTIONS; SOCIAL PROGRESS; SOCIAL SCIENTISTS; WATER MANAGEMENT POLICY;

PUBLIC POLICY;

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; POLICY MAKING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WATER ECONOMICS; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER PLANNING; WATER RESOURCE;

AUSTRALIA; MURRAY-DARLING BASIN;

EID: 84907174281     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.10.049     Document Type: Article

References (81)

1. ABS, 2008. Water and the Murray-Darling Basin - A Statistical Profile, 2000-01 to 2005-06 Australian Bureau of Statistics, Canberra.
2. Adamson, D., 2012. The Basin Plan, the Buy-Back and climate change: Determining an optimal water entitlements portfolio. In: Proceedings of the 2nd Practical Responses to Climate Change conference, Barton, ACT, 142-149.
3. Adamson, D., Loch, A., in press. Possible negative feedbacks from 'gold-plating' irrigation infrastructure. Agricultural Water Management.
4. Adamson D., Mallawaarachchi T., Quiggin J. Declining inflows and more frequent droughts in the Murray-Darling Basin: climate change, impacts and adaptation. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2009, 53:345-366.
5. Ajami N.K., Hornberger G.M., Sunding D.L. Sustainable water resource management under hydrological uncertainty. Water Resources Research 2008, 44(11):W11406.
6. Alexander K.S., Moglia M., Miller C. Water needs assessment: learning to deal with scale, subjectivity and high stakes. Journal of Hydrology 2010, 388(3-4):251-257.
7. Austin J., et al. Climate change impact on water and salt balances: an assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Climatic Change 2010, 100(3-4):607-631.
8. Banks G. Evidence-Based Policy Making: What is It? How Do We Get It? 2009, ANU Public Lecture Series, Productivity Commission, Canberra.
9. Bromley D.W. Environmental regulations and the problem of sustainability: moving beyond "market failure". Ecological Economics 2007, 63(4):676-683.
10. Brunke M., Gonser T. The ecological significance of exchange processes between rivers and groundwater. Freshwater Biology 1997, 37(1):1-33.
11. Chichilnisky, G., 2010. The Foundations of Probability with Black Swans. Journal of Probability and Statistics, Article ID 838240.
12. Chiew F.H.S., McMahon T.A., O'Neill I.C. Estimating groundwater recharge using an integrated surface and groundwater modelling approach. Journal of Hydrology 1992, 131(1-4):151-186.
13. Chiew F., Young W., Cai W., Teng J. Current drought and future hydroclimate projections in southeast Australia and implications for water resources management. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2011, 25(4):601-612.
14. Chugh D., Bazerman M. Bounded awareness: what you fail to see can hurt you. Mind & Society 2007, 6(1):1-18.
15. CIE, 2011. Economic benefits and costs of the proposed Basin Plan: Discussion and Issues, Centre for International Economics, Canberra.
16. Ciriacy-Wantrup S.V., Bishop R.C. Common property as a concept in natural resources policy. Natural Resources Journal 1975, 15(4):713-728.
17. Connor J., Schwabe K., King D., Knapp K. Irrigated agriculture and climate change: the influence of water supply variability and salinity on adaptation. Ecological Economics 2012, 77:149-157.
18. Connor J., Franklin B., Loch A., Kirby M., Wheeler S. Trading water to improve environmental flow outcomes. Water Resources Research 2013, 49(7):4265-4276.
19. Crase L. An introduction to Australian water policy. Water Policy in Australia: The Impact of Change and Uncertainty 2008, 1-16. Resources for the Future, Washington DC. L. Crase (Ed.).
20. Crase L., O'Keefe S., Dollery B. Talk is cheap, or is it? The cost of consulting about uncertain reallocation of water in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Ecological Economics 2013, 88:206-213.
21. Crosbie R., McCallum J., Walker G., Chiew F.S. Modelling climate-change impacts on groundwater recharge in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Hydrogeology Journal 2010, 18(7):1639-1656.
22. Cummins T., Watson A. A hundred year policy experiment: The Murray-Darling Basin in Australia. Water Policy Reform: Lessons in Sustainability from the Murray-Darling Basin 2012, 9-36. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, USA. J. Quiggin, T. Mallawaarachchi, S. Chambers (Eds.).
23. DAFF Modelling the Economic Effects of the Murray-Darling Basin Plan: Report to Client Prepared for the Murray-Darling Basin Authority 2011, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra.
24. EBC et al., 2011. Community impacts of the Guide to the proposed Murray-Darling Basin Plan: Report to the Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Canberra.
25. Ecker, S., Thompson, L., Kancans, R., Stenekes, N., Mallawaarachchi, T., 2012. Drivers of practice change in land management in Australian agriculture, ABARES report prepared for Sustainable Resource Management Division, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra.
26. Escobar O. Commentary: Public Engagers and the Political Craft of Participatory Policy Making. Public Administration Review 2013, 73(1):36-37.
27. Grant S., Quiggin J. Increasing uncertainty: a definition. Mathematical Social Sciences 2005, 49(2):117-141.
28. Grant, S., Quiggin, J., in press. Bounded Awareness, Heuristics and the Precautionary Principle. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
29. Horne, J., 2012. Economic approaches to water management in Australia. International Journal of Water Resources Development, available online at http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/07900627.2012.712336.
30. IPCC Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Summary for Policymakers 2012, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK.
31. Jones G., et al. Independent report of the expert reference panel on environmental flows and water quality requirements for the River Murray system 2002, Cooperative Research Centre for Freshwater Ecology, Canberra, Australia.
32. Jordan A., Wurzel R., Zito A. The rise of 'new' policy instruments in comparative perspective: has governance eclipsed government?. Political Studies 2005, 53(3):477-496.
33. Khan S. Managing climate risks in Australia: options for water policy and irrigation management. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture 2008, 48(3):265-273.
34. Khan S., Rana T., Hanjra M.A., Zirilli J. Water markets and soil salinity nexus: can minimum irrigation intensities address the issue?. Agricultural Water Management 2009, 96(3):493-503.
35. Khan S., Yufeng L., Ahmad A. Analysing complex behaviour of hydrological systems through a system dynamics approach. Environmental Modelling & Software 2009, 24(12):1363-1372.
36. Knapp K., Baerenklau K.A. Ground water quantity and quality management: agricultural production and aquifer salinization over long time scales. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2006, 31(3):616-641.
37. Knight F.H. Risk, Uncertainty and Profit 1921, Hart, Schaffner and Marx, New York.
38. Krutilla J.V. Conservation Reconsidered. The American Economic Review 1967, 57(4):777-786.
39. Loch A., Bjornlund H., McIver R. Achieving targeted environmental flows: an evaluation of alternative allocation and trading models under scarce supply - lessons from the Australian reform process. Environment & Planning C: Government & Policy 2011, 29(4):745-760.
40. Loch A., Bjornlund H., Wheeler S., Connor J. Allocation trade in Australia: a qualitative understanding of irrigator motives and behaviour. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2012, 56(1):42-60.
41. Loch A., et al. The role of water markets in climate change adaptation, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF) 2013, Griffith University, Gold Coast.
42. Mallawaarachchi T., Foster A. Dealing with irrigation drought: the role of water trading in adapting to water shortages in 2007-08 in the southern Murray-Darling Basin 2009, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Canberra.
43. Mallawaarachchi T., Adamson D., Chambers S., Schrobback P. Economic Analysis of Diversion Operations for the Murray-Darling Basin Plan: Returns to irrigation under reduced water availability 2010, Business School Commercial, The University of Queensland, Brisbane.
44. Mallawaarachchi T., Adamson D., Chambers S., Schrobback P., Quiggin J. Variability and uncertainty: implications for water policy impact. Water policy reform: Lessons in sustainability from the Murray-Darling Basin 2012, 82-100. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK. J. Quiggin, T. Mallawaarachchi, S. Chambers (Eds.).
45. Marshall G.R. Transaction costs, collective action and adaptation in managing complex social-ecological systems. Ecological Economics 2013, 88:185-194.
46. Marshall G., Connell D., Taylor B. Australia's Murray-Darling Basin: a century of polycentric experiments in cross-border integration of water resources management. International Journal of Water Governance 2013, 1(03-04):197-217.
47. McConnell A. Understanding policy success: rethinking public policy 2010, Palgrave Macmillan, New York.
48. McMahon, T.A., Findlayson, B.L., 1991. Australian surface and groundwater hydrology - regional characteristics and implications. In: Pigram, J., Hooper, B.A. (Eds.), Water allocation for the environment: International Workshop, University of New England, Armidale, 27-29 November.
49. MDBA, 2010. Guide to the proposed Basin Plan: Overview, Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Canberra.
50. MDBA, 2012. Proposed Basin Plan - A revised draft. Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Canberra.
51. MDBA, 2013. 2013-14 Murray-Darling Basin Environmental Watering Priorities. Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Canberra, (accessed 20 July: http://www.mdba.gov.au/sites/default/files/EWP-2013-14-basin-env-watering-priorities-snapshot.pdf.
52. MDBC, 2006. Water Audit Monitoring Report 2004/05: Report of the Murray-Darling Basin Commission on the Cap on Diversions, Murray-Darling Basin Commission, Canberra.
53. MDBC A brief history of the Murray-Darling Basin agreement 2007, Murray-Darling Basin Commission, Canberra.
54. Merz B., Thieken A.H. Separating natural and epistemic uncertainty in flood frequency analysis. Journal of Hydrology 2005, 309(1-4):114-132.
55. Moglia M., Perez P., Burn S. Assessing the likelihood of realizing idealized goals: the case of urban water strategies. Environmental Modelling & Software 2012, 35:50-60.
56. National Water Commission, 2012. Impacts of water trading in the southern Murray-Darling Basin between 2006-07 and 2010-11, National Water Commission, Canberra.
57. Nestorov I. Modelling and simulation of variability and uncertainty in toxicokinetics and pharmacokinetics. Toxicology Letters 2001, 120(1-3):411-420.
58. OECD, 2002. Improving Policy Coherence and Integration for Sustainable Development. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris.
59. Pannell D.J. Technology change as a policy response to promote changes in land management for environmental benefits. Agricultural Economics 2009, 40(1):95-102.
60. Penton, D., Gilmore, R., 2009. Comparing software for modelling the management rules that river operators implement, 18th World IMACS/MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia, 13-17 July.
61. Preston B.L., Jones R.N. Evaluating sources of uncertainty in Australian runoff projections. Advances in Water Resources 2008, 31(5):758-775.
62. Pulido-Velazquez D., Garrote L., Andreu J., Martin-Carrasco F.-J., Iglesias A. A methodology to diagnose the effect of climate change and to identify adaptive strategies to reduce its impacts in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale. Journal of Hydrology 2011, 405(1-2):110-122.
63. Quiggin, J., Mallawaarachchi, T., Chambers, S. (Eds.), 2012. Water Policy Reform: Lessons in Sustainability from the Murray-Darling Basin. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA.
64. Qureshi M.E., Schwabe K., Connor J., Kirby M. Environmental water incentive policy and return flows. Water Resources Research 2010, 46(4):W04517.
65. Rostow W.W. The stages of economic growth. The Economic History Review 1959, 12(1):1-16.
66. Ruth M., Hannon B. Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems, Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems. Modeling Dynamic Systems 1997, Springer, New York, pp. 3-27.
67. Sandeman J. The water crisis facing Australia. International Journal of Environmental Studies 2008, 65(6):721-729.
68. Schrobback P., Adamson D., Quiggin J. Turning water into carbon: carbon sequestration and water flow in the Murray-Darling Basin. Environmental & Resource Economics 2011, 49(1):1-23.
69. Simon H.A. A comment on "The Science of Public Administration". Public Administration Review 1947, 7(3):200-203.
70. Simon H.A. Applying Information Technology to Organization Design. Public Administration Review 1973, 33(3):268-278.
71. Simon H. Administrative Behavior: A Study of Decision-making Processes in Administrative Organizations 1976, The Free Press, Collier Macmillan Publishers, London.
72. Sitarz, D., 1993. Agenda 21: The Earth summit strategy to save our planet. EarthPress, Boulder, CO.
73. Skurray J.H., Roberts E.J., Pannell D.J. Hydrological challenges to groundwater trading: lessons from south-west Western Australia. Journal of Hydrology 2012, 412-413:256-268.
74. Smith V.K. Uncertainty and allocation decisions involving unique environmental resources. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 1979, 6(3):175-186.
75. Stenekes, N. et al., 2012. Revised indicators of community vulnerability and adaptive capacity across the Murray-Darling Basin: a focus on irrigation in agriculture, ABARES report prepared for the Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra.
76. Taleb N.N. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable 2007, Random House, New York.
77. Walker W.E., Haasnoot M., Kwakkel J.H. Adapt or Perish: a review of planning approaches for adaptation under deep uncertainty. Sustainability 2013, 5:955-979.
78. Wheeler S., Cheesman J. Key findings from a Survey of Sellers to the Restoring the Balance Programme. Economic Papers: a Journal of Applied Economics and Policy 2013, 23(3):340-352.
79. Wittwer G. Confusing Policy and Catastrophe: Buybacks and Drought in the Murray-Darling Basin. Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy 2011, 30(3):289-295.
80. Young M.D., McColl J.C. Double trouble: the importance of accounting for and defining water entitlements consistent with hydrological realities. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 2009, 53(1):19-35.
81. Young W.J., Bond N., Brookes J., Gawne B., Jones G.J. Science Review of the estimation of an environmentally sustainable level of take for the Murray-Darling Basin: a report to the Murray-Darling Basin Authority 2011, CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship, Canberra.