Development of a risk score for outcome after transcatheter aortic valve implantation

Clinical Research in Cardiology

Volumn 103, Issue 8, 2014, Pages 631-640

  Seiffert, Moritz ^a   Sinning, Jan Malte ^b   Meyer, Alexander ^c   Wilde, Sandra ^a   Conradi, Lenard ^a   Vasa Nicotera, Mariuca ^b   Ghanem, Alexander ^b   Kempfert, Jörg ^c   Hammerstingl, Christoph ^b   Ojeda, Francisco M ^a   Kim, Won Keun ^c   Koschyk, Dietmar H ^a   Schirmer, Johannes ^a   Baldus, Stephan ^d   Grube, Eberhard ^b   Möllmann, Helge ^c   Reichenspurner, Hermann ^a   Nickenig, Georg ^b   Blankenberg, Stefan ^a   Diemert, Patrick ^a   Treede, Hendrik ^a   Walther, Thomas ^c   Werner, Nikos ^b   Schnabel, Renate B ^a   more..

^a UNIVERSITY HEART CENTER HAMBURG   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL BONN   (Germany)

^c KERCKHOFF HEART CENTER   (Germany)

^d UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL OF COLOGNE   (Germany)

Author keywords

Cohort; Frailty; Mortality; Risk factors; TAVI; Valves

Indexed keywords

BRAIN NATRIURETIC PEPTIDE; HEMOGLOBIN; TROPONIN I; BIOLOGICAL MARKER;

ADULT; AGED; ARTERY DISEASE; ARTICLE; BODY MASS; CLINICAL STUDY; CONTROLLED STUDY; CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE; FEMALE; FOLLOW UP; GLOMERULUS FILTRATION RATE; HEART ATRIUM FIBRILLATION; HEART LEFT VENTRICLE EJECTION FRACTION; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MITRAL VALVE REGURGITATION; MORTALITY; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PERCUTANEOUS AORTIC VALVE; PRESSURE GRADIENT; PULMONARY HYPERTENSION; RISK FACTOR; SCORING SYSTEM; SURGICAL MORTALITY; SURGICAL RISK; SURVIVAL RATE; TRANSCATHETER AORTIC VALVE IMPLANTATION; VERY ELDERLY; WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION; ALGORITHM; AORTIC VALVE STENOSIS; COHORT ANALYSIS; FRAIL ELDERLY; METABOLISM; MIDDLE AGED; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PROCEDURES; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODEL; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; REGISTER; RISK ASSESSMENT; VALIDATION STUDY;

AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; ALGORITHMS; AORTIC VALVE STENOSIS; BIOLOGICAL MARKERS; COHORT STUDIES; FEMALE; FOLLOW-UP STUDIES; FRAIL ELDERLY; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT (HEALTH CARE); PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; PROSPECTIVE STUDIES; REGISTRIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; TRANSCATHETER AORTIC VALVE REPLACEMENT;

EID: 84904341524     PISSN: 18610684     EISSN: 18610692     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00392-014-0692-4     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Vahanian A, Alfieri O, Andreotti F, Antunes MJ, Baron-Esquivias G, Baumgartner H, Borger MA, Carrel TP, De BM, Evangelista A, Falk V, Iung B, Lancellotti P, Pierard L, Price S, Schafers HJ, Schuler G, Stepinska J, Swedberg K, Takkenberg J, Von Oppell UO, Windecker S, Zamorano JL, Zembala M (2012) Guidelines on the management of valvular heart disease (version 2012). Eur Heart J 33:2451-2496
2. Iung B, Cachier A, Baron G, Messika-Zeitoun D, Delahaye F, Tornos P, Gohlke-Barwolf C, Boersma E, Ravaud P, Vahanian A (2005) Decision-making in elderly patients with severe aortic stenosis: why are so many denied surgery? Eur Heart J 26:2714-2720 (Pubitemid 41746694)
3. Bach DS, Cimino N, Deeb GM (2007) Unoperated patients with severe aortic stenosis. J Am Coll Cardiol 50:2018-2019 (Pubitemid 350046335)
4. Funkat AK, Beckmann A, Lewandowski J, Frie M, Schiller W, Ernst M, Hekmat K, Gummert JF, Mohr FW (2012) Cardiac surgery in Germany during 2011: a report on behalf of the German Society for thoracic and cardiovascular surgery. Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 60:371-382
5. Gilard M, Eltchaninoff H, Iung B, Donzeau-Gouge P, Chevreul K, Fajadet J, Leprince P, Leguerrier A, Lievre M, Prat A, Teiger E, Lefevre T, Himbert D, Tchetche D, Carrie D, Albat B, Cribier A, Rioufol G, Sudre A, Blanchard D, Collet F, Dos SP, Meneveau N, Tirouvanziam A, Caussin C, Guyon P, Boschat J, Le BH, Collart F, Houel R, Delpine S, Souteyrand G, Favereau X, Ohlmann P, Doisy V, Grollier G, Gommeaux A, Claudel JP, Bourlon F, Bertrand B, Van BE, Laskar M (2012) Registry of transcatheter aortic-valve implantation in high-risk patients. N Engl J Med 366:1705-1715
6. Genereux P, Head SJ, Van Mieghem NM, Kodali S, Kirtane AJ, Xu K, Smith C, Serruys PW, Kappetein AP, Leon MB (2012) Clinical outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement using valve academic research consortium definitions: a weighted meta-analysis of 3,519 patients from 16 studies. J Am Coll Cardiol 59:2317-2326
7. Di MC, Eltchaninoff H, Moat N, Goicolea J, Ussia GP, Kala P, Wenaweser P, Zembala M, Nickenig G, Alegria BE, Snow T, Iung B, Zamorano P, Schuler G, Corti R, Alfieri O, Prendergast B, Ludman P, Windecker S, Sabate M, Gilard M, Witowski A, Danenberg H, Schroeder E, Romeo F, Macaya C, Derumeaux G, Maggioni A, Tavazzi L (2013) The 2011-12 pilot European sentinel registry of transcatheter aortic valve implantation: inhospital results in 4,571 patients. EuroIntervention 8:1362-1371
8. Dewey TM, Brown D, Ryan WH, Herbert MA, Prince SL, Mack MJ (2008) Reliability of risk algorithms in predicting early and late operative outcomes in high-risk patients undergoing aortic valve replacement. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 135:180-187
9. Osswald BR, Gegouskov V, Badowski-Zyla D, Tochtermann U, Thomas G, Hagl S, Blackstone EH (2009) Overestimation of aortic valve replacement risk by EuroSCORE: implications for percutaneous valve replacement. Eur Heart J 30:74-80
10. Rosenhek R, Iung B, Tornos P, Antunes MJ, Prendergast BD, Otto CM, Kappetein AP, Stepinska J, Kaden JJ, Naber CK, Acarturk E, Gohlke-Barwolf C (2012) ESC working group on valvular heart disease position paper: assessing the risk of interventions in patients with valvular heart disease. Eur Heart J 33:822-828 (828a, 828b)
11. Sedaghat A, Sinning JM, Vasa-Nicotera M, Ghanem A, Hammerstingl C, Grube E, Nickenig G, Werner N (2013) The revised EuroSCORE II for the prediction of mortality in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Clin Res Cardiol 102:821-829
12. Kotting J, Schiller W, Beckmann A, Schafer E, Dobler K, Hamm C, Veit C, Welz A (2013) German aortic valve score: a new scoring system for prediction of mortality related to aortic valve procedures in adults. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 43:971-977
13. Pilgrim T, Kalesan B, Wenaweser P, Huber C, Stortecky S, Buellesfeld L, Khattab AA, Eberle B, Gloekler S, Gsponer T, Meier B, Juni P, Carrel T, Windecker S (2012) Predictors of clinical outcomes in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVI: a multistate analysis. Circ Cardiovasc Interv 5:856-861
14. Abdel-Wahab M, Zahn R, Horack M, Gerckens U, Schuler G, Sievert H, Naber C, Voehringer M, Schafer U, Senges J, Richardt G (2012) Transcatheter aortic valve implantation in patients with and without concomitant coronary artery disease: comparison of characteristics and early outcome in the German multicenter TAVI registry. Clin Res Cardiol 101:973-981
15. Lopez-Otero D, Trillo-Nouche R, Gude F, Cid-Alvarez B, Ocaranza-Sanchez R, Alvarez MS, Lear PV, Gonzalez-Juanatey JR (2013) Pro B-type natriuretic peptide plasma value: a new criterion for the prediction of short- and long-term outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Int J Cardiol 168:1264-1268
16. Carrabba N, Valenti R, Migliorini A, Vergara R, Parodi G, Antoniucci D (2013) Prognostic value of myocardial injury following transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Am J Cardiol 111:1475-1481
17. Stortecky S, Schmid V, Windecker S, Kadner A, Pilgrim T, Buellesfeld L, Khattab AA, Wenaweser P (2012) Improvement of physical and mental health after transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation. EuroIntervention 8:437-443
18. Fairbairn TA, Meads DM, Mather AN, Motwani M, Pavitt S, Plein S, Blackman DJ, Greenwood JP (2012) Serial change in health-related quality of life over 1 year after transcatheter aortic valve implantation: predictors of health outcomes. J Am Coll Cardiol 59:1672-1680
19. Mack MJ (2011) Risk scores for predicting outcomes in valvular heart disease: how useful? Curr Cardiol Rep 13:107-112
20. Stortecky S, Schoenenberger AW, Moser A, Kalesan B, Juni P, Carrel T, Bischoff S, Schoenenberger CM, Stuck AE, Windecker S, Wenaweser P (2012) Evaluation of multidimensional geriatric assessment as a predictor of mortality and cardiovascular events after transcatheter aortic valve implantation. JACC Cardiovasc Interv 5:489-496
21. Sundermann S, Dademasch A, Praetorius J, Kempfert J, Dewey T, Falk V, Mohr FW, Walther T (2011) Comprehensive assessment of frailty for elderly high-risk patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 39:33-37
22. Seiffert M, Schnabel R, Conradi L, Diemert P, Schirmer J, Koschyk D, Linder M, Kersten JF, Grosser A, Wilde S, Blankenberg S, Reichenspurner H, Baldus S, Treede H (2013) Predictors and outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve implantation using different approaches according to the valve academic research consortium definitions. Catheter Cardiovasc Interv 82:640-652
23. Sinning JM, Hammerstingl C, Vasa-Nicotera M, Adenauer V, Lema Cachiguango SJ, Scheer AC, Hausen S, Sedaghat A, Ghanem A, Muller C, Grube E, Nickenig G, Werner N (2012) Aortic regurgitation index defines severity of peri-prosthetic regurgitation and predicts outcome in patients after transcatheter aortic valve implantation. J Am Coll Cardiol 59: 1134-1141
24. Rockwood K, Song X, MacKnight C, Bergman H, Hogan DB, McDowell I, Mitnitski A (2005) A global clinical measure of fitness and frailty in elderly people. CMAJ 173:489-495 (Pubitemid 41225043)
25. Tibshirani R (1997) The lasso method for variable selection in the Cox model. Stat Med 16:385-395
26. Leon MB, Piazza N, Nikolsky E, Blackstone EH, Cutlip DE, Kappetein AP, Krucoff MW, Mack M, Mehran R, Miller C, Morel MA, Petersen J, Popma JJ, Takkenberg JJ, Vahanian A, van Es GA, Vranckx P, Webb JG, Windecker S, Serruys PW (2011) Standardized endpoint definitions for transcatheter aortic valve implantation clinical trials: a consensus report from the valve academic research Consortium. J Am Coll Cardiol 57:253-269
27. D'Agostino RB, Nam BH (2004) Evaluation of the performance of survival analysis models: discrimination and calibration measures. In: Balakrishnan N, Rao CR (eds) Handbook of statistics. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 1-25
28. Hosmer DW, Lemeshow S (2000) Applied logistic regression, 2nd edn. John Wiley & Sons, New York
29. Pencina MJ, D'Agostino RB Sr, Steyerberg EW (2011) Extensions of net reclassification improvement calculations to measure usefulness of new biomarkers. Stat Med 30:11-21
30. van Houwelingen HC (2000) Validation, calibration, revision and combination of prognostic survival models. Stat Med 19: 3401-3415
31. Puls M, Viel T, Danner BC, Jacobshagen C, Teucher N, Hanekop G, Schondube F, Hasenfuss G, Seipelt RG, Schillinger W (2012) The risk-to-benefit ratio of transcatheter aortic valve implantation in specific patient cohorts: a single-centre experience. Clin Res Cardiol 101:553-563
32. Lynn J, Teno JM, Harrell FE Jr (1995) Accurate prognostications of death. Opportunities and challenges for clinicians. West J Med 163:250-257
33. Dworakowski R, Wendler O, Bhan A, Smith L, Pearson P, Alcock E, Rajagopal K, Brickham B, Dew T, Byrne J, Monaghan MJ, Sherwood R, Shah AM, MacCarthy PA (2012) Successful transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is associated with transient left ventricular dysfunction. Heart 98:1641-1646
34. Rodes-Cabau J, Gutierrez M, Bagur R, De Larochelliere R, Doyle D, Cote M, Villeneuve J, Bertrand OF, Larose E, Manazzoni J, Pibarot P, Dumont E (2011) Incidence, predictive factors, and prognostic value of myocardial injury following uncomplicated transcatheter aortic valve implantation. J Am Coll Cardiol 57: 1988-1999
35. Yong ZY, Wiegerinck EM, Boerlage-van DK, Koch KT, Vis MM, Bouma BJ, Henriques JP, Cocchieri R, Piek JJ, de Mol BA, Baan J Jr (2012) Predictors and prognostic value of myocardial injury during transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Circ Cardiovasc Interv 5:415-423
36. Chorianopoulos E, Krumsdorf U, Geis N, Pleger ST, Giannitsis E, Katus HA, Bekeredjian R (2014) Preserved prognostic value of preinterventional troponin T levels despite successful TAVI in patients with severe aortic stenosis. Clin Res Cardiol 103:65-72
37. Kefer J, Beauloye C, Astarci P, Renkin J, Glineur D, Dekleermaeker A, Vanoverschelde JL (2010) Usefulness of B-type natriuretic peptide to predict outcome of patients treated by transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Am J Cardiol 106: 1782-1786
38. Thomas M, Schymik G, Walther T, Himbert D, Lefevre T, Treede H, Eggebrecht H, Rubino P, Michev I, Lange R, Anderson WN, Wendler O (2010) Thirty-day results of the SAPIEN aortic Bioprosthesis European outcome (SOURCE) registry: a European registry of transcatheter aortic valve implantation using the Edwards SAPIEN valve. Circulation 122:62-69
39. Zahn R, Gerckens U, Grube E, Linke A, Sievert H, Eggebrecht H, Hambrecht R, Sack S, Hauptmann KE, Richardt G, Figulla HR, Senges J (2011) Transcatheter aortic valve implantation: first results from a multi-centre real-world registry. Eur Heart J 32:198-204
40. Cook NR (2007) Use and misuse of the receiver operating characteristic curve in risk prediction. Circulation 115:928-935
41. Leon MB, Smith CR, Mack M, Miller DC, Moses JW, Svensson LG, Tuzcu EM, Webb JG, Fontana GP, Makkar RR, Brown DL, Block PC, Guyton RA, Pichard AD, Bavaria JE, Herrmann HC, Douglas PS, Petersen JL, Akin JJ, Anderson WN, Wang D, Pocock S (2010) Transcatheter aortic-valve implantation for aortic stenosis in patients who cannot undergo surgery. N Engl J Med 363:1597-1607
42. Kodali SK, Williams MR, Smith CR, Svensson LG, Webb JG, Makkar RR, Fontana GP, Dewey TM, Thourani VH, Pichard AD, Fischbein M, Szeto WY, Lim S, Greason KL, Teirstein PS, Malaisrie SC, Douglas PS, Hahn RT, Whisenant B, Zajarias A, Wang D, Akin JJ, Anderson WN, Leon MB (2012) 2-years outcomes after transcatheter or surgical aortic-valve replacement. Engl J Med 366:1686-1695