메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 28, Issue 6, 2014, Pages 1431-1446

Risk and uncertainty analysis of gas pipeline failure and gas combustion consequence

Author keywords

Age dependent reliability; Bayesian inference; Gas combustion; Natural gas pipelines; Risk parameters; Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; COMBUSTION; HEAT FLUX; HEAT RADIATION; INFERENCE ENGINES; NATURAL GAS; NATURAL GAS PIPELINES; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84903532939     PISSN: 14363240     EISSN: 14363259     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-013-0845-4     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (40)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 34648831952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hazard rate estimation of a mixture model with censored lifetimes
    • Ahn SE, Park CS, Kim HM (2007) Hazard rate estimation of a mixture model with censored lifetimes. Stoch Env Res Risk Assess 21(6): 711-716.
    • (2007) Stoch Env Res Risk Assess , vol.21 , Issue.6 , pp. 711-716
    • Ahn, S.E.1    Park, C.S.2    Kim, H.M.3
  • 2
    • 33751015238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of risk indicators for establishing inspection and control priorities
    • ISSN 0235-7208
    • Alzbutas R, Klimašauskas A, Nedzinskas L (2003) The use of risk indicators for establishing inspection and control priorities. Energetika. ISSN 0235-7208, vol 3, pp 3-10.
    • (2003) Energetika , vol.3 , pp. 3-10
    • Alzbutas, R.1    Klimašauskas, A.2    Nedzinskas, L.3
  • 4
    • 84865748076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ukopa Pipeline Fault Database
    • 6th Report of the UKOPA Fault Database Management Group
    • Arunakumar G (2009) Ukopa Pipeline Fault Database. Pipeline Product Loss Incidents (1962-2008). 6th Report of the UKOPA Fault Database Management Group.
    • (2009) Pipeline Product Loss Incidents (1962-2008)
    • Arunakumar, G.1
  • 5
    • 49349118245 scopus 로고
    • A study of detonation in methane/air clouds
    • Boni AA, Wilson CW, Chapman M, Cook JL (1978) A study of detonation in methane/air clouds. Acta Astronaut 5(11-12): 1153-1169.
    • (1978) Acta Astronaut , vol.5 , Issue.11-12 , pp. 1153-1169
    • Boni, A.A.1    Wilson, C.W.2    Chapman, M.3    Cook, J.L.4
  • 7
    • 0007471563 scopus 로고
    • A study of spherical detonation in mixtures of methane and oxygen diluted by nitrogen
    • Bull DC, Elsworth JE, Quinn CP, Hooper G (1976) A study of spherical detonation in mixtures of methane and oxygen diluted by nitrogen. J Phys D 9(14): 1991-2000.
    • (1976) J Phys D , vol.9 , Issue.14 , pp. 1991-2000
    • Bull, D.C.1    Elsworth, J.E.2    Quinn, C.P.3    Hooper, G.4
  • 8
    • 0345402492 scopus 로고
    • Aspects of risk assessment for hazardous pipelines containing flammable substances
    • Carter DA (1991) Aspects of risk assessment for hazardous pipelines containing flammable substances. J Loss Prev Process Ind 4(2): 68-72.
    • (1991) J Loss Prev Process Ind , vol.4 , Issue.2 , pp. 68-72
    • Carter, D.A.1
  • 9
    • 0022070629 scopus 로고
    • Bayes nonparametric estimation of time-dependent failure rate
    • Colombo AG, Costantini D, Jaarsma RJ (1985) Bayes nonparametric estimation of time-dependent failure rate. IEEE Trans Reliab 34(2): 109-112.
    • (1985) IEEE Trans Reliab , vol.34 , Issue.2 , pp. 109-112
    • Colombo, A.G.1    Costantini, D.2    Jaarsma, R.J.3
  • 12
    • 84903538435 scopus 로고
    • Thermal radiation hazards from the ignition of emergency vents
    • Craven AD (1972) Thermal radiation hazards from the ignition of emergency vents. Chem Process Hazards IV: 7.
    • (1972) Chem Process Hazards , pp. 7
    • Craven, A.D.1
  • 13
    • 84903526128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EGIG, 7th report of the European Gas Pipeline Incident Data Group, Doc. No. EGIG 08. TV-B. 0502
    • EGIG (2007) 7th EGIG-report 1970-2007 Gas Pipeline Incidents, 7th report of the European Gas Pipeline Incident Data Group, Doc. No. EGIG 08. TV-B. 0502.
    • (2007) 7th EGIG-report 1970-2007 Gas Pipeline Incidents
  • 14
    • 0004116672 scopus 로고
    • Cambridge: England, Cambridge University Press
    • Finney DJ (1952) Probit analysis. England, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    • (1952) Probit Analysis
    • Finney, D.J.1
  • 18
    • 79960041428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On Bayes inference for a bathtub failure rate via S-paths
    • Ho MW (2011) On Bayes inference for a bathtub failure rate via S-paths. Ann Inst Stat Math 63: 827-850.
    • (2011) Ann Inst Stat Math , vol.63 , pp. 827-850
    • Ho, M.W.1
  • 19
    • 0033100741 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis in the context of uncertainty analysis for computationally intensive models
    • Hofer E (1999) Sensitivity analysis in the context of uncertainty analysis for computationally intensive models. Comput Phys Commun 117: 21-34.
    • (1999) Comput Phys Commun , vol.117 , pp. 21-34
    • Hofer, E.1
  • 22
    • 0036558211 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of hazard area associated with high pressure natural gas pipeline
    • Jo YD, Ahn BJ (2002) Analysis of hazard area associated with high pressure natural gas pipeline. J Loss Prev Process Ind 15: 179-188.
    • (2002) J Loss Prev Process Ind , vol.15 , pp. 179-188
    • Jo, Y.D.1    Ahn, B.J.2
  • 23
    • 0037470311 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simple model for the release rate of hazardous gas from a hole on high-pressure pipelines
    • Jo YD, Ahn BJ (2003) Simple model for the release rate of hazardous gas from a hole on high-pressure pipelines. J Hazard Mater A97: 31-46.
    • (2003) J Hazard Mater , vol.A97 , pp. 31-46
    • Jo, Y.D.1    Ahn, B.J.2
  • 24
    • 0019540987 scopus 로고
    • On the quantitative definition of risk
    • Kaplan S, Garrick J (1981) On the quantitative definition of risk. Risk Anal 1(1): 11-27.
    • (1981) Risk Anal , vol.1 , Issue.1 , pp. 11-27
    • Kaplan, S.1    Garrick, J.2
  • 25
    • 54049122569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference in probabilistic risk assessment-the current state of the art
    • Kelly DL, Smith CL (2009) Bayesian inference in probabilistic risk assessment-the current state of the art. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 94(2): 628-643.
    • (2009) Reliab Eng Syst Saf , vol.94 , Issue.2 , pp. 628-643
    • Kelly, D.L.1    Smith, C.L.2
  • 32
    • 0004158552 scopus 로고
    • NRC, committee on risk assessment of hazardous air pollutants, board on environmental studies and toxicology, commission on life sciences. National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Washington D. C
    • NRC (1994) Science and judgement in risk assessment. committee on risk assessment of hazardous air pollutants, board on environmental studies and toxicology, commission on life sciences. National Academy of Sciences, National Research Council, Washington D. C.
    • (1994) Science and judgement in risk assessment
  • 35
    • 84878130291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • OPG, International Association of Oil and Gas Producers, OPG Report No. 434-434
    • OPG (2010) Riser and pipeline release frequencies. International Association of Oil and Gas Producers, OPG Report No. 434-434.
    • (2010) Riser and pipeline release frequencies
  • 36
    • 84903539291 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PHMSA, U. S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline & Hazardous Materials Safety Administration, Data & Statistic
    • PHMSA (2012) Pipeline Failure Investigation Reports, U. S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline & Hazardous Materials Safety Administration, Data & Statistic. shttp://www. phmsa. dot. gov/pipeline/library.
    • (2012) Pipeline Failure Investigation Reports
  • 38
    • 42649104529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic process models for reliability in dynamic environments
    • Singpurwalla N, Mazzuchi T, Ozekici S, Soyer R (2003) Stochastic process models for reliability in dynamic environments. Handb Stat 22: 1109-1129.
    • (2003) Handb Stat , vol.22 , pp. 1109-1129
    • Singpurwalla, N.1    Mazzuchi, T.2    Ozekici, S.3    Soyer, R.4
  • 40
    • 84903550073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Engineering Toolbox
    • The Engineering Toolbox (2012), Orifice, nozzle and venturi flow rate meters, http://www. engineeringtoolbox. com/orifice-nozzle-venturi-d_590. html.
    • (2012) Orifice, nozzle and venturi flow rate meters
  • 41
    • 67649598748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The selection of corrosion prior distributions for risk based integrity modeling
    • Thodi P, Khan F, Haddara M (2009) The selection of corrosion prior distributions for risk based integrity modeling. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 23(6): 793-809.
    • (2009) Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess , vol.23 , Issue.6 , pp. 793-809
    • Thodi, P.1    Khan, F.2    Haddara, M.3
  • 44
    • 12944297045 scopus 로고
    • An economical formula for calculating atmospheric infrared transmissivities
    • Wayne FD (1991) An economical formula for calculating atmospheric infrared transmissivities. J Loss Prev Process Ind 4(2): 86-92.
    • (1991) J Loss Prev Process Ind , vol.4 , Issue.2 , pp. 86-92
    • Wayne, F.D.1
  • 45
    • 84903531105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WIKI
    • WIKI (2012), List of pipeline accidents. http://en. wikipedia. org/wiki/List_of_pipeline_accidents.
    • (2012) List of pipeline accidents
  • 46
    • 0030283575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in probabilistic risk assessment
    • Elsevier Science limited, Northern Ireland
    • Winkler RL (1996) Uncertainty in probabilistic risk assessment. Reliability engineering and system safety, vol 54, Elsevier Science limited, Northern Ireland.
    • (1996) Reliability engineering and system safety , vol.54
    • Winkler, R.L.1
  • 47
    • 0002942685 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of unobserved and partially observed covariate processes on system failure: a review of models and estimation strategies
    • Yashin AI, Manton KG (1997) Effects of unobserved and partially observed covariate processes on system failure: a review of models and estimation strategies. Stat Sci 12: 20-34.
    • (1997) Stat Sci , vol.12 , pp. 20-34
    • Yashin, A.I.1    Manton, K.G.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.