Risk Management of Domino Effects Considering Dynamic Consequence Analysis

Risk Analysis

Volumn 34, Issue 6, 2014, Pages 1128-1138

  Khakzad, Nima ^a   Khan, Faisal ^a,b   Amyotte, Paul ^c   Cozzani, Valerio ^d  

^a MEMORIAL UNIVERSITY OF NEWFOUNDLAND   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TASMANIA   (Australia)

^c DALHOUSIE UNIVERSITY   (Canada)

^d UNIVERSITY OF BOLOGNA   (Italy)

Author keywords

Bayesian network; Conflict analysis; Domino effect; Inherent safety; Risk management

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENTS; BAYESIAN NETWORKS; CIVIL DEFENSE; PROBABILITY; RISK ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK MANAGEMENT;

ACCIDENT SCENARIOS; APPLICATION OF BAYESIAN NETWORKS; CONFLICT ANALYSIS; CONSEQUENCE ANALYSIS; DOMINO EFFECTS; ESCALATION PROBABILITY; INHERENT SAFETY; RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENTS;

CHEMICAL ANALYSIS;

ACCIDENT; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; DAMAGE; MITIGATION; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY;

EID: 84903460760     PISSN: 02724332     EISSN: 15396924     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/risa.12158     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. Khan F, Abbasi SA. Major accidents in process industries and an analysis of causes and consequences. Journal of Loss Prevention in Process Industries, 1999; 12:361-378.
2. Darbra RM, Palacios A, Casal J. Domino effect in chemical accidents: Main features and accident sequences. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2010; 183:565-573.
3. Abdolhamidzadeh B, Abbasi T, Rashtchian D, Abbasi SA. Domino effect in process-industry-An inventory of past events and identification of some patterns. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2011; 24:575-593.
4. Cozzani V, Antonioni G, Khakzad N, Khan F, Taveau J, Reniers G. Quantitative assessment of risk caused by domino accidents. Pp. 208-228 in Reniers G, Cozzani V (eds). Domino Effects in the Process Industries. UK: Elsevier, 2013.
5. Cozzani V, Gubinelli G, Salzano E. Escalation thresholds in the assessment of domino accidental events. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2006; 129:1-21.
6. Council Directive 2012/18/EU of 4 July 2012 on the control of major-accident hazards involving dangerous substances. Official Journal of the European Communities, L 197, Brussels 24/07/2012, pp. 1-37.
7. Cozzani V, Tugnoli A, Salzano E. Prevention of domino effect: From active and passive strategies to inherently safer design. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2007; A139:209-219.
8. Cozzani V, Tugnoli A, Salzano E. The development of an inherent safety approach to the prevention of domino effects. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2009; 41:1216-1227.
9. Mannan, S. (ed), Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 3rd ed. Oxford, UK: Butterworth-Heinemann, 2005.
10. Rathnayaka S, Khan F, Amyotte P. SHIPP methodology: Predictive accident modeling approach. Part I: Methodology and model description. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 2011; 89:151-164.
11. Sengupta A, Gupta AK, Mishra IM. Engineering layout of fuel tanks in a tank farm. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2011; 24:568-574.
12. Landucci G, Molag M, Cozzani V. Modeling the performance of coated LPG tanks engulfed in fires. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2009; 172(1):447-456.
13. 3 LPG tanks engulfed by fire. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2009; 161(2-3):1182-1192.
14. Landucci G, Gubinelli G, Antonioni G, Cozzani V. The assessment of the damage probability of storage tanks in domino events. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2009; 41:1206-1215.
15. Assael MJ, Kakosimos KE. Fires, Explosions, and Toxic Gas Dispersions: Effects Calculation and Risk Analysis. NW: CRC Press, Taylor and Francis Group, 2010.
16. Pearl J, 1988. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems. San Francisco, CA: Morgan Kaufmann, 1988.
17. Jensen FV, Nielsen TD. Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs, 2nd ed. New York: Springer, 2007.
18. Kjaerulff UB, Madsen AL. Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis. Springer, 2008.
19. Khakzad N, Khan F, Amyotte P. Safety analysis in process facilities: Comparison of fault tree and Bayesian network approaches. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2011; 96(8):925-932.
20. Khakzad N, Khan F, Amyotte P. Dynamic safety analysis of process systems by mapping bow-tie into Bayesian network. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 2013; 91:46-53.
21. Khakzad N, Khan F, Amyotte P. Risk-based design of process systems using discrete-time Bayesian networks. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2013; 109:5-17.
22. Khakzad N, Khan F, Amyotte P. Quantitative risk analysis of offshore drilling operations: A Bayesian approach. Safety Science, 2013; 57:108-117.
23. Khakzad N, Khan F, Amyotte P, Cozzani V. Domino effect analysis using Bayesian networks. Risk Analysis, 2013; 33(2):292-306.
24. Cozzani V, Gubinelli G, Antonioni G, Spadoni G, Zanelli S. The assessment of risk caused by domino effect in quantitative area risk analysis. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2005; 127(1-3):14-30.
25. HUGIN ExpertSoftware version 7.4, 2010.