메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 27, Issue 12, 2014, Pages 4655-4676

Causes of increasing aridification of the mediterranean region in response to rising greenhouse gases

Author keywords

Europe, Mediterranean Sea, Climate change, Hydrologic cycle, Moisture moisture budget, Climate models

Indexed keywords

BUDGET CONTROL; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; DRYING; GREENHOUSE GASES; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 84902089838     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00446.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (152)

References (43)
  • 1
    • 18544387786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
    • doi:10.1038/nature01092.
    • Allen, M. R., and W. J. Ingram, 2002: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature, 419, 224-232, doi:10.1038/nature01092.
    • (2002) Nature , vol.419 , pp. 224-232
    • Allen, M.R.1    Ingram, W.J.2
  • 4
    • 0037104713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Storm track dynamics
    • doi:10.1175/ 1520-0442(2002)015,02163:STD.2.0.CO;2.
    • Chang, E. K. M., S. Lee, and K. L. Swanson, 2002: Storm track dynamics. J. Climate, 15, 2163-2183, doi:10.1175/ 1520-0442(2002)015,02163:STD.2.0.CO;2.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 2163-2183
    • Chang, E.K.M.1    Lee, S.2    Swanson, K.L.3
  • 5
    • 84871395488 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projection of storm track change under global warming
    • doi:10.1029/2012JD018578.
    • Chang, E. K. M. Y. Guo, and X. Xia, 2012: CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projection of storm track change under global warming. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D23118, doi:10.1029/2012JD018578.
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.117
    • Chang, E.K.M.1    Guo, Y.2    Xia, X.3
  • 6
    • 79251511496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The hydraulics of Roman aqueducts: What do we know? Why should we learn? Proc. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress, Honolulu, HI
    • Chanson, H., 2008: The hydraulics of Roman aqueducts: What do we know? Why should we learn? Proc. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress, Honolulu, HI, Amer. Soc. Civ. Eng., 1-16.
    • (2008) Amer. Soc. Civ. Eng. , pp. 1-16
    • Chanson, H.1
  • 7
    • 66849119220 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the ''rich-get-richer'' mechanism in tropical precipitation change under global warming
    • doi:10.1175/ 2008JCLI2471.1.
    • Chou, C., J. D. Neelin, C. Chen, and J. Tu, 2009: Evaluating the ''rich-get-richer'' mechanism in tropical precipitation change under global warming. J. Climate, 22, 1982-2005, doi:10.1175/ 2008JCLI2471.1.
    • (2009) J. Climate , vol.22 , pp. 1982-2005
    • Chou, C.1    Neelin, J.D.2    Chen, C.3    Tu, J.4
  • 8
    • 0002289566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projections of future climate change. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis
    • J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press
    • Cubasch, U., and Coauthors, 2001: Projections of future climate change. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 525-582.
    • (2001) , pp. 525-582
    • Cubasch, U.1
  • 9
    • 79955446270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ERA-Interim reanalysis; Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system
    • doi:10.1002/qj.828.
    • Dee, D., and Coauthors, 2011: The ERA-Interim reanalysis; Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 553-597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.
    • (2011) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.137 , pp. 553-597
    • Dee, D.1
  • 10
    • 2342635235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tourism development in Mallorca: Is water supply a constraint? J
    • doi:10.1080/09669580408667222.
    • Essex, S., M. Kent, and R. Newnham, 2004: Tourism development in Mallorca: Is water supply a constraint? J. Sustainable Tourism, 12, 4-28, doi:10.1080/09669580408667222.
    • (2004) Sustainable Tourism , vol.12 , pp. 4-28
    • Essex, S.1    Kent, M.2    Newnham, R.3
  • 11
    • 33745456749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change hot-spots
    • doi:10.1029/2006GL025734.
    • Giorgi, F., 2006: Climate change hot-spots. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L08707, doi:10.1029/2006GL025734.
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33
    • Giorgi, F.1
  • 12
    • 38549161191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European climate-change oscillation
    • doi:10.1029/2007GL031223.
    • Giorgi, F., and E. Coppola, 2007: European climate-change oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L21703, doi:10.1029/2007GL031223.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.34
    • Giorgi, F.1    Coppola, E.2
  • 13
    • 51449087133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region
    • doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005.
    • Giorgi, F. and P. Lionello, 2008: Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Global Climate Change, 63, 90-104, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005.
    • (2008) Global Climate Change , vol.63 , pp. 90-104
    • Giorgi, F.1    Lionello, P.2
  • 14
    • 84867031461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How large are projected 21st century storm track changes? Geophys
    • doi:10.1029/ 2012GL052873.
    • Harvey, B. J., L. C. Shaffrey, T. J. Woollings, G. Zappa, and K. I. Hodges, 2012: How large are projected 21st century storm track changes? Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18707, doi:10.1029/ 2012GL052873.
    • (2012) Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Harvey, B.J.1    Shaffrey, L.C.2    Woollings, T.J.3    Zappa, G.4    Hodges, K.I.5
  • 15
    • 33750617761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI3990.1.
    • Held, I. M., and B. J. Soden, 2006: Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. J. Climate, 19, 5686-5699, doi:10.1175/JCLI3990.1.
    • (2006) J. Climate , vol.19 , pp. 5686-5699
    • Held, I.M.1    Soden, B.J.2
  • 16
    • 0003568751 scopus 로고
    • The Rivers of Eden: The Struggle for Water and the Quest for Peace in the Middle East
    • Oxford University Press
    • Hillel, D., 1994: The Rivers of Eden: The Struggle for Water and the Quest for Peace in the Middle East. Oxford University Press, 355 pp.
    • (1994) , pp. 355
    • Hillel, D.1
  • 17
    • 84863393158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the increased frequency of Mediterranean drought
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00296.1.
    • Hoerling, M. P., J.Eischeid, J. Perlwitz,X.Quan, T. Zhang, and P. Pegion, 2012: On the increased frequency of Mediterranean drought. J. Climate, 25, 2146-2161, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00296.1.
    • (2012) J. Climate , vol.25 , pp. 2146-2161
    • Hoerling, M.P.1    Eischeid, J.2    Perlwitz, J.3    Quan, X.4    Zhang, T.5    Pegion, P.6
  • 18
    • 34247573470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Challenges to manage the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean
    • doi:10.1007/s11269-006-9111-6.
    • Iglesias, A., L. Garrote, F. Flores, and M. Moneo, 2007: Challenges to manage the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean. Water Resour. Manage., 21, 775-788, doi:10.1007/s11269-006-9111-6.
    • (2007) Water Resour. Manage. , vol.21 , pp. 775-788
    • Iglesias, A.1    Garrote, L.2    Flores, F.3    Moneo, M.4
  • 19
    • 84860329542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relative contributions of radiative forcing and internal climate variability to the late 20th century winter drying of the Mediterranean region
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1221-z.
    • Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager, and Y. Kushnir, 2011: The relative contributions of radiative forcing and internal climate variability to the late 20th century winter drying of the Mediterranean region. Climate Dyn., 38, 2001-2015, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1221-z.
    • (2011) Climate Dyn. , vol.38 , pp. 2001-2015
    • Kelley, C.1    Ting, M.2    Seager, R.3    Kushnir, Y.4
  • 20
    • 84868622958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mediterranean precipitation climatology, seasonal cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5
    • doi:10.1029/ 2012GL053416.
    • Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager, and Y. Kushnir 2012: Mediterranean precipitation climatology, seasonal cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L21703, doi:10.1029/ 2012GL053416.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Kelley, C.1    Ting, M.2    Seager, R.3    Kushnir, Y.4
  • 21
    • 78650100349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 21st century changes in the European climate: Uncertainties derived from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00475.x.
    • Kjellstrom, E., G. Nikulin, U. Hansson, G. Strandberg, and A. Ullerstig, 2010: 21st century changes in the European climate: Uncertainties derived from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations. Tellus, 63A, 24-40, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00475.x.
    • (2010) Tellus , vol.63 A , pp. 24-40
    • Kjellstrom, E.1    Nikulin, G.2    Hansson, U.3    Strandberg, G.4    Ullerstig, A.5
  • 22
    • 36248940634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: Future climate scenarios in a regional simulation
    • doi:10.5194/adgeo-12-153-2007.
    • Lionello, P., and F. Giorgi, 2007: Winter precipitation and cyclones in the Mediterranean region: Future climate scenarios in a regional simulation. Adv. Geosci., 12, 153-158, doi:10.5194/adgeo-12-153-2007.
    • (2007) Adv. Geosci. , vol.12 , pp. 153-158
    • Lionello, P.1    Giorgi, F.2
  • 23
    • 34547570562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropopause height and the zonal wind response to global warming in the IPCC scenario integrations
    • doi:10.1029/ 2006JD008087.
    • Lorenz, D. J., and E. T. DeWeaver, 2007: Tropopause height and the zonal wind response to global warming in the IPCC scenario integrations. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10119, doi:10.1029/ 2006JD008087.
    • (2007) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.112
    • Lorenz, D.J.1    DeWeaver, E.T.2
  • 24
    • 34249907055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming
    • doi:10.1029/2006GL028443.
    • Lu, J., G. Vecchi, and T. Reichler, 2007: Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06805, doi:10.1029/2006GL028443.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.34
    • Lu, J.1    Vecchi, G.2    Reichler, T.3
  • 25
    • 0036648356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean region and implications for the water budget of the Mediterranean Sea
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015,1674:THCITM.2.0.CO;2.
    • Mariotti, A., M. V. Struglia, N. Zeng, and K. Lau, 2002: The hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean region and implications for the water budget of the Mediterranean Sea. J. Climate, 15, 1674-1690, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015,1674:THCITM.2.0.CO;2.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 1674-1690
    • Mariotti, A.1    Struglia, M.V.2    Zeng, N.3    Lau, K.4
  • 26
    • 62749097318 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mediterranean water cycle changes: Transition to drier 21st century conditions in observations and CMIP3 simulations
    • doi:10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/044001.
    • Mariotti, A. N. Zeng, J.-H. Yoon, V. Artale, A. Navarra, P. Alpert, and L. Z. X. Li, 2009: Mediterranean water cycle changes: Transition to drier 21st century conditions in observations and CMIP3 simulations. Environ. Res. Lett., 3, 044001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/3/4/044001.
    • (2009) Environ. Res. Lett. , vol.3 , pp. 044001
    • Mariotti, A.1    Zeng, N.2    Yoon, J.-H.3    Artale, V.4    Navarra, A.5    Alpert, P.6    Li, L.Z.X.7
  • 27
    • 84872706766 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A brief history of water technology during antiquity:Before the Romans
    • L. W. Mays, Ed., Springer Dordrecht
    • Mays, L. W., 2010: A brief history of water technology during antiquity:Before the Romans. Ancient Water Technologies, L. W. Mays, Ed., Springer Dordrecht, 1-28.
    • (2010) Ancient Water Technologies , pp. 1-28
    • Mays, L.W.1
  • 28
    • 84867542799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The climate of the Mediterranean region in future climate projections
    • P. Lionello, Ed., Elsevier
    • Planton, S., and Coauthors, 2012: The climate of the Mediterranean region in future climate projections. The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, P. Lionello, Ed., Elsevier, 449-502.
    • (2012) The Climate of the Mediterranean Region , pp. 449-502
    • Planton, S.1
  • 29
    • 38949150379 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Annular modes and Hadley cell expansion under global warming
    • doi:10.1029/2007GL031243.
    • Previdi, M., and B. Liepert, 2007: Annular modes and Hadley cell expansion under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L22701, doi:10.1029/2007GL031243.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.34
    • Previdi, M.1    Liepert, B.2
  • 30
    • 80053907929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • RCP 8.5-A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y.
    • Riahi, K., and Coauthors, 2011: RCP 8.5-A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions. Climatic Change, 109, 33-57, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0149-y.
    • (2011) Climatic Change , vol.109 , pp. 33-57
    • Riahi, K.1
  • 31
    • 80052289891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Groundwater: A resource in decline
    • doi:10.2113/gselements.7.3.175.
    • Schwartz, F. W., and M. Ibaraki, 2011: Groundwater: A resource in decline. Elements, 7, 175-179, doi:10.2113/gselements.7.3.175.
    • (2011) Elements , vol.7 , pp. 175-179
    • Schwartz, F.W.1    Ibaraki, M.2
  • 32
    • 84885361664 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnostic computation of moisture budgets in the ERA-Interim reanalysis with reference to analysis of CMIP-archived atmospheric model data
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00018.1.
    • Seager, R., and N. Henderson, 2013: Diagnostic computation of moisture budgets in the ERA-Interim reanalysis with reference to analysis of CMIP-archived atmospheric model data. J. Climate, 26, 7876-7901, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00018.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 7876-7901
    • Seager, R.1    Henderson, N.2
  • 33
    • 77958109927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle in response to global warming
    • doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3655.1.
    • Seager, R. N. Naik, and G. A. Vecchi, 2010: Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle in response to global warming. J. Climate, 23, 4651-4668, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3655.1.
    • (2010) J. Climate , vol.23 , pp. 4651-4668
    • Seager, R.1    Naik, N.2    Vecchi, G.A.3
  • 34
    • 84862060952 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00363.1.
    • Seager, R. N. Naikand L. Vogel, 2012: Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J. Climate, 25, 3355-3372, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00363.1.
    • (2012) Climate , vol.25 , pp. 3355-3372
    • Seager, R.1    Naikand, N.2    Vogel, L.3
  • 35
    • 84902098419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A diagnosis of the seasonally and longitudinally varying midlatitude circulation response to global warming
    • doi:10.1175/ JAS-D-13-0325.1, in press
    • Simpson, I. R., T. A. Shaw, and R. Seager, 2014: A diagnosis of the seasonally and longitudinally varying midlatitude circulation response to global warming. J. Atmos. Sci., doi:10.1175/ JAS-D-13-0325.1, in press.
    • (2014) J. Atmos. Sci.
    • Simpson, I.R.1    Shaw, T.A.2    Seager, R.3
  • 36
    • 84887921785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis
    • Cambridge University Press, Available online at
    • Stocker, T. F., and Coauthors, 2013: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, 1535 pp.[Available online at www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_ALL_FINAL.pdf.]
    • (2013) , pp. 1535
    • Stocker, T.F.1
  • 37
    • 84860684669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design
    • doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.
    • Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.
    • (2012) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.93 , pp. 485-498
    • Taylor, K.E.1    Stouffer, R.J.2    Meehl, G.A.3
  • 38
    • 0034664416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decline in Mediterranean rainfall caused by weakening of Mediterranean cyclones
    • doi:10.1029/ 2000GL011526.
    • Trigo, I. F., T. D. Davies, and G. R. Bigg, 2000: Decline in Mediterranean rainfall caused by weakening of Mediterranean cyclones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 2913-2916, doi:10.1029/ 2000GL011526.
    • (2000) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.27 , pp. 2913-2916
    • Trigo, I.F.1    Davies, T.D.2    Bigg, G.R.3
  • 39
    • 84856956123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric circulation response to an instantaneous doubling of carbon dioxide. Part I: Model experiments and transient thermal response in the troposphere
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00284.1.
    • Wu, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik, and T. Shaw, 2012: Atmospheric circulation response to an instantaneous doubling of carbon dioxide. Part I: Model experiments and transient thermal response in the troposphere. J. Climate, 25, 2862-2879, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00284.1.
    • (2012) J. Climate , vol.25 , pp. 2862-2879
    • Wu, Y.1    Seager, R.2    Ting, M.3    Naik, N.4    Shaw, T.5
  • 40
    • 84874807886 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric circulation response to an instantaneous doubling of carbon dioxide. Part II: Atmospheric transient adjustment and its dynamics
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00104.1.
    • Wu, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik, and T. Shaw 2013: Atmospheric circulation response to an instantaneous doubling of carbon dioxide. Part II: Atmospheric transient adjustment and its dynamics. J. Climate, 26, 918-935, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00104.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 918-935
    • Wu, Y.1    Seager, R.2    Ting, M.3    Naik, N.4    Shaw, T.5
  • 41
    • 27744475160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A consistent poleward shift of the storm tracks in simulations of 21st century climate
    • doi:10.1029/2005GL023684.
    • Yin, J. H., 2005: A consistent poleward shift of the storm tracks in simulations of 21st century climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18701, doi:10.1029/2005GL023684.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.32
    • Yin, J.H.1
  • 42
    • 84881262616 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multimodel assessment of future projections of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones in the CMIP5 climate models
    • doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00573.1.
    • Zappa, G., L. C. Shaffrey, K. I. Hodges, P. G. Sansom, and D. B. Stephenson, 2013: A multimodel assessment of future projections of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones in the CMIP5 climate models. J. Climate, 26, 5846-5862, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00573.1.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 5846-5862
    • Zappa, G.1    Shaffrey, L.C.2    Hodges, K.I.3    Sansom, P.G.4    Stephenson, D.B.5
  • 43
    • 84875741744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coupled climate model simulations of Mediterranean winter cyclones and large-scale flow patterns
    • doi:10.5194/nhess-13-779-2013.
    • Ziv, B., Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, N. H. Naik, and T. Harpaz, 2013: Coupled climate model simulations of Mediterranean winter cyclones and large-scale flow patterns. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 779-793, doi:10.5194/nhess-13-779-2013.
    • (2013) Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 779-793
    • Ziv, B.1    Kushnir, Y.2    Nakamura, J.3    Naik, N.H.4    Harpaz, T.5


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.