Observed changes in extreme wet and dry spells during the south Asian summer monsoon season

Nature Climate Change

Volumn 4, Issue 6, 2014, Pages 456-461

  Singh, Deepti ^a   Tsiang, Michael ^a   Rajaratnam, Bala ^a,b   Diffenbaugh, Noah S ^a,b  

^a STANFORD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b Stanford University   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; POTENTIAL ENERGY; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RAINFALL; SEASONAL VARIATION; WATER RESOURCE;

SOUTH ASIA;

EID: 84901616852     PISSN: 1758678X     EISSN: 17586798     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2208     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Annamalai, H. & Slingo, J. M. Active/break cycles: Diagnosis of the intraseasonal variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon. Clim. Dynam. 18, 85-102 (2001).
2. Gadgil, S. & Kumar, K. R. in The Asian Monsoon (ed.Wang, B.) Ch. 18, (Springer/Praxis Publishing, 2006).
3. Turner, A. G. & Annamalai, H. Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon. Nature Clim. Change 2, 587-595 (2012).
4. Sivakumar, M. V. K. & Stefanski, R. in Climate Change and Food Security in South Asia (eds Lal, R. et al.) Ch. 2, (Springer ScienceCBusiness Media, 2011).
5. Kshirsagar, N. A., Shinde, R. R. & Mehta, S. Floods in Mumbai: Impact of public health service by hospital sta-and medical students. J. Postgrad Med. 52, 312-324 (2006).
6. Mandke, S. K., Sahai, A. K., Shinde, M. A., Joseph, S. & Chattopadhyay, R. Simulated changes in active/break spells during the Indian summer monsoon due to enhanced CO2 concentrations: Assessment from selected coupled atmosphere-ocean global climate models. Int. J. Climatol. 27, 837-859 (2007).
7. Rajeevan, M., Gadgil, S. & Bhate, J. Active and break spells of the Indian summer monsoon. J. Earth Syst. Sci. 119, 229-247 (2010).
8. Krishnamurthy, V. & Shukla, J. Intraseasonal and seasonally persisting patterns of Indian monsoon rainfall. J. Clim. 20, 3-20 (2007).
9. Singh, C. Characteristics of monsoon breaks and intraseasonal oscillations over central India during the last half century. Atmos. Res. 128, 120-128 (2013).
10. Goswami, B. N., Venugopal, V., Sengupta, D., Madhusoodanan, M. S. & Xavier, P. K. Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment. Science 314, 1442-1445 (2006).
11. Bollasina, M. A., Ming, Y. & Ramaswamy, V. Anthropogenic aerosols and the weakening of the South Asian summer monsoon. Science 334, 502-505 (2011).
12. Wang, B. et al. Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon intensified by mega-El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 110, 5347-5352 (2013).
13. Ramanathan, V. et al. Atmospheric brown clouds: Impacts on South Asian climate and hydrological cycle. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 102, 5326-5333 (2005).
14. Kunreuther, H. et al. Risk management and climate change. Nature Clim. Change 3, 447-450 (2013).
15. IPCC, Summary for Policymakers in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).
16. Dash, S. K., Jenamani, R. K., Kalsi, S. R. & Panda, S. K. Some evidence of climate change in twentieth-century India. Climatic Change 85, 299-321 (2007).
17. Giorgi, F. et al. Higher hydroclimatic intensity with global warming. J. Clim. 24, 5309-5324 (2011).
18. Dash, S. K., Kulkarni, M. A., Mohanty, U. C. & Prasad, K. Changes in the characteristics of rain events in India. J. Geophys. Res. 114, D10109 (2009).
19. Ajayamohan, R. S., Merryfield,W. J. & Kharin, V. V. Increasing trend of synoptic activity and its relationship with extreme rain events over Central India. J. Clim. 23, 1004-1013 (2010).
20. Webster, P. J., Holland, G. J., Curry, J. A. & Chang, H-R. Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science 309, 1844-1846 (2005).
21. Krishnan, R., Zhang, C. & Sugi, M. Dynamics of breaks in the Indian summer monsoon. J. Atmos. Sci. 57, 1354-1372 (2000).
22. Terray, P. An evaluation of climatological data in the Indian ocean area. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn 72, 359-386 (1994).
23. Ghosh, S., Das, D., Kao, S-C. & Ganguly, A. R. Lack of uniform trends but increasing spatial variability in observed Indian rainfall extremes. Nature Clim. Change 2, 86-91 (2012).
24. Manoj, M. G., Devara, P. C. S., Safai, P. D. & Goswami, B. N. Absorbing aerosols facilitate transition of Indian monsoon breaks to active spells. Clim. Dynam. 37, 2181-2198 (2011).
25. Turner, A. G. & Slingo, J. M. Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate-change scenario. Quart. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 135, 549-567 (2009).
26. Mishra, S. MonsoonWeather Variation and its Impact on Agriculture (Department of Information and Cultural A-airs, 2006).
27. Tiwari, V. M.,Wahr, J. & Swenson, S. Dwindling groundwater resources in northern India, from satellite gravity observations. Geophy. Res. Lett. 36, L18401 (2009).
28. Pande, P. & Akermann, K. Adaptation of Small Scale Farmers to Climatic Risks in India (Sustainet India, 2009).
29. Yatagai, A. et al. APHRODITE: Constructing a long-term daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on a dense network of rain gauges. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 1401-1415 (2012).
30. Webster, P. J. et al. Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 14451-14510 (1998).