China's grain production: A decade of consecutive growth or stagnation?

Monthly Review

Volumn 66, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 25-37

  Xu, Zhun ^a   Zhang, Wei ^a   Li, Minqi ^b  

^a RENMIN UNIVERSITY OF CHINA   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF UTAH   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84901381235     PISSN: 00270520     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.14452/MR-066-01-2014-05_2     Document Type: Review

References (26)

1. For example see William Hinton, The Great Reversal: The Privatization of China, 1978-1989 (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1990)
2. Dale Wen, China Copes with Globalization: A Mixed Review, (International Forum on Globalization, 2005), http://edgefunders.org
3. Paoyu Ching, How Sustainable Is China's Agriculture: A Closer Look at China's Agriculture and the Chinese Peasants, (Pesticide Action Network Asia and the Pacific and People's Coalition of Food Sovereignty, 2008), http://archive.foodsov.org.
4. Lester R. Brown, "Who Will Feed China?," World Watch 7, no. 5 (September/October 1994), http://lv.psu.edu.
5. China's cereal imports are from China Statistical Yearbook, various years, www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/ (in Chinese)
6. world grain exports are from the Earth Policy Institute, "World Grain Production, Consumption, and Trade, 1960-2012" (table), January 17, 2013 http://earth-policy.org
7. China's soybean imports and the world soybean exports are from the Earth Policy Institute, "Soybean Imports to China and Total World Soybean Exports, 1980-2012" (table), June 6, 2013, http://earth-policy.org.
8. National Bureau of Statistics of China, "Announcement of Grain Output in 2013 by the National Bureau of Statistics," November 29, 2013, www.stats.gov.cn (in Chinese). China's definition of grain output includes cereals, tubers, and beans. Output of beans refers to dry beans without pods. Tubers are converted to grain equivalent at the ratio of five to one.
9. Jiang Gaoming, "Why Does China Import So Much (Grain) with a Per Capita Grain Output of 852 Jin' Science Net blogs, January 20, 2012, http://blog.sciencenetcn (in Chinese).
10. Li Changjin, 'Be Aware of the Grain Security Crisis," Shehul Guancha [Social Observer) no. 10 (October 2013), http://mall.cnki.net (in Chinese).
11. Li, "Be Aware of the Grain Security Crisis."
12. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2013, http://bp.com.
13. United States Department of Agriculture, World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates Report (WASDE), http://usda.gov, December 10, 2013
14. 'Grain: World Markets and Trade,' http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu. USDA publishes the grain stock data by trade year. This article transforms the USDA data to a calendar year basis data by taking the moving average of the trade year stock data. For example, the grain stock in 2010 is assumed to be the average of 2009/2010 stock and 2010/2011 stock. Other institutions like Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) also publish their estimates of China's cereal stocks. The FAO data suggest a smaller increase in inventory in the recent years than the USDA data, which implies an even smaller grain output estimate compared to our estimate.
15. National Bureau of Statistics of China, China Statistical Yearbook, various years, www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/ (in Chinese).
16. The Pricing Department of China's Development and Reform State Commission, Quanguo Nongchanpin Chengben Shouyi Ziliao Huibian (Compilation of National Agricultural Cost and Revenue Statistics) (Beijing: China Statistical Press, 2013).
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18. Edward R. D. Goldsmith, "Farming and Food Production under Regime of Climate Change," in Andrew Mckillop with Sheila Newman, eds., The Final EnergyCrisis (London: Pluto Press, 2005), 56-73.
19. Jie Chen, "Rapid Urbanization in China: A Real Challenge to Soil Erosion and Food Security," Catena 69, no. 1 (January 2007): 1-15.
20. Liming Ye, Jun Yang, Ann Verdoodt, Rachit Moussadek, and Eric Van Ransk, 'China's Food Security Threatened by Soil Degradation and Biofuels Production,' paper presented at the 19th World Congress of Soil Science, August 1-6, 2010, Brisbane, Australia, https://biblio.ugent.be.
21. Carleton Schade and David Pimentel, "Population Crash: Prospects for Famine in the Twenty-first Century," Environment Development, and Sustainability 12, no. 2 (April 2010): 245-62.
22. National Bureau of Statistics of China, China Statistical Yearbook 2013, www. stats.gov.cn/tjsj/ndsj/ (in Chinese).
23. Shade and Pimentel, "Population Crash"
24. Chinese Ministry of Agriculture, "The First National Family Farm Survey Reveals That There Are 877, 000 Family Farms Nationwide, with an Average Operating Size Greater Than 200 mu," June 4, 2013, www.moa.gov.cn (in Chinese).
25. Chinese Ministry of Agriculture, "The First National Family Farm Survey."
26. The People's Daily Network, 'Revealing the National Map of Cancer Villages,' February 21, 2013, http://env.people.com.cn (in Chinese).