Use of wild bird surveillance, human case data and GIS spatial analysis for predicting spatial distributions of West Nile virus in Greece

PLoS ONE

Volumn 9, Issue 5, 2014, Pages

  Valiakos, George ^a,b   Papaspyropoulos, Konstantinos ^a,c   Giannakopoulos, Alexios ^a   Birtsas, Plis ^d   Tsiodras, Sotirierikos ^e,f   Hutchings, Michael R ^g   Spyrou, Vassiliki ^d   Pervanidou, Danai ^e   Athanasiou, Labrini V ^a   Papadopoulos, Nikolaos ^a   Tsokana, Constantina ^a   Baka, Agoritsa ^e   Manolakou, Katerina ^a   Chatzopoulos, Dimitrios ^a   Artois, Marc ^h   Yon, Lisa ⁱ   Hannant, Duncan ⁱ   Petrovska, Liljana ^j   Hadjichristodoulou, Christos ^a   Billinis, Charalambos ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF THESSALY   (Greece)

^b INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES INSTITUTE   (Greece)

^c Research Division   (Greece)

^d TECHNOLOGICAL EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTE OF LARISSA   (Greece)

^e Ministry of Health   (Greece)

^f UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS   (Greece)

^g SCOTTISH AGRICULTURAL COLLEGE   (United Kingdom)

^h UNIVERSITÉ DE LYON   (France)

ⁱ UNIVERSITY OF NOTTINGHAM   (United Kingdom)

^j VETERINARY LABORATORIES AGENCY   (United Kingdom)

more..

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

WATER;

ADULT; AGED; ALTITUDE; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; BIOLOGICAL MONITORING; BIOSURVEILLANCE; BIRD; CONTROLLED STUDY; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE; EPIDEMIC; FEMALE; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM; GREECE; HIGH RISK POPULATION; HUMAN; INFECTION RISK; ISLAND (GEOLOGICAL); LAND USE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; NONHUMAN; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION DISPERSION; PRECIPITATION; PREDICTION; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTOR; SEROLOGY; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; VEGETATION; WEST NILE FEVER; WEST NILE FLAVIVIRUS; WILD ANIMAL; ANIMAL; CHICKEN; ISOLATION AND PURIFICATION; MOSQUITO; PATHOGENICITY; TRANSMISSION; VIROLOGY; WEST NILE VIRUS;

ANIMALS; ANIMALS, WILD; BIRDS; CHICKENS; CULICIDAE; FEMALE; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS; GREECE; HUMANS; POPULATION DENSITY; WEST NILE FEVER; WEST NILE VIRUS;

EID: 84900563160     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0096935     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Hellenic Centre for Disease Control and Prevention - HCDCP (2013) West Nile Virus Epidemic in Greece. Greece.
2. Cooke WH 3rd, Grala K, Wallis RC (2006) Avian GIS models signal human risk for West Nile virus in Mississippi. Int J Health Geogr 5: 36.
3. Gibbs SE, Wimberly MC, Madden M, Masour J, Yabsley MJ, et al. (2006) Factors affecting the geographic distribution of West Nile virus in Georgia, USA: 2002-2004. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 6: 73-82.
4. Liu H, Weng Q, Gaines D (2008) Spatio-temporal analysis of the relationship between WNV dissemination and environmental variables in Indianapolis, USA. Int J Health Geogr 7: 66.
5. Rochlin I, Turbow D, Gomez F, Ninivaggi DV, Campbell SR (2011) Predictive mapping of human risk for West Nile virus (WNV) based on environmental and socioeconomic factors. PLoS One 6: e23280.
6. Lelli R, Calistri P, Bruno R, Monaco F, Savini G, et al. (2012) West Nile transmission in resident birds in Italy. Transbound Emerg Dis 59: 421-428.
7. Rodriguez-Prieto V, Martinez-Lopez B, Martinez M, Munoz MJ, Sanchez-Vizcaino JM (2012) Identification of suitable areas for West Nile virus outbreaks in equid populations for application in surveillance plans: the example of the Castile and Leon region of Spain. Epidemiol Infect 140: 1617-1631.
8. Tachiiri K, Klinkenberg B, Mak S, Kazmi J (2006) Predicting outbreaks: a spatial risk assessment of West Nile virus in British Columbia. Int J Health Geogr 5: 21.
9. Ruiz MO, Tedesco C, McTighe TJ, Austin C, Kitron U (2004) Environmental and social determinants of human risk during a West Nile virus outbreak in the greater Chicago area, 2002. Int J Health Geogr 3: 8.
10. Liu H, Weng Q (2008) Seasonal variations in the relationship between landscape pattern and land surface temperature in Indianapolis, USA. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 144: 199-219.
11. Brownstein JS, Rosen H, Purdy D, Miller JR, Merlino M, et al. (2002) Spatial analysis of West Nile virus: rapid risk assessment of an introduced vector-borne zoonosis. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 2: 157-164.
12. Crowder DW, Dykstra EA, Brauner JM, Duffy A, Reed C, et al. (2013) West nile virus prevalence across landscapes is mediated by local effects of agriculture on vector and host communities. PLoS One 8: e55006.
13. Bowman C, Gumel AB, van den Driessche P, Wu J, Zhu H (2005) A mathematical model for assessing control strategies against West Nile virus. Bull Math Biol 67: 1107-1133. (Pubitemid 40912468)
14. Cruz-Pacheco G, Esteva L, Montano-Hirose JA, Vargas C (2005) Modelling the dynamics of West Nile Virus. Bull Math Biol 67: 1157-1172. (Pubitemid 41323799)
15. Ruiz MO, Walker ED, Foster ES, Haramis LD, Kitron UD (2007) Association of West Nile virus illness and urban landscapes in Chicago and Detroit. Int J Health Geogr 6: 10.
16. Konrad SK, Miller SN, Reeves WK, Tietze NS (2009) Spatially explicit West Nile virus risk modeling in Santa Clara County, California. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 9: 267-274.
17. Handrinos G and Akriotis T (1997) The Birds of Greece. London: C. Helm.
18. Valiakos G, Touloudi A, Athanasiou L, Giannakopoulos A, Iacovakis C, et al. (2012) Exposure of Eurasian magpies and turtle doves to West Nile virus during a major human outbreak, Greece, 2011. European Journal of Wildlife Research 58: 749-753.
19. Valiakos G, Touloudi A, Athanasiou L, Giannakopoulos A, Iacovakis C, et al. (2012) Serological and molecular investigation into the role of wild birds in the epidemiology of West Nile virus in Greece. Virology Journal 9: 266.
20. Valiakos G, Touloudi A, Iacovakis C, Athanasiou L, Birtsas P, et al. (2011) Molecular detection and phylogenetic analysis of West Nile virus lineage 2 in sedentary wild birds (Eurasian magpie), Greece, 2010. Euro Surveill 16.
21. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 25: 1965-1978. (Pubitemid 43013915)
22. VanDerWal J, Shoo LP, Graham C, Williams SE (2009) Selecting pseudoabsence data for presence-only distribution modeling: How far should you stray from what you know? Ecological Modelling 220: 589-594.
23. Warton D, Shepherd L (2010) Poisson point process models solve the "pseudoabsence problem" for presence-only data in ecology. The Annals of Applied Statistics 4: 1383-1402.
24. Norusis M (2011) SPSS 19.0 Base. USA: SPSS Inc.
25. Kaufman L, Rousseeuw PJ (1990) Finding Groups in Data: An Introduction to Cluster Analysis. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
26. th Edition). Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.
27. Ozdenerol E, Bialkowska-Jelinska E, Taff GN (2008) Locating suitable habitats for West Nile Virus-infected mosquitoes through association of environmental characteristics with infected mosquito locations: a case study in Shelby County, Tennessee. Int J Health Geogr 7: 12.
28. Mostashari F, Bunning ML, Kitsutani PT, Singer DA, Nash D, et al. (2001) Epidemic West Nile encephalitis, New York, 1999: results of a household-based seroepidemiological survey. Lancet 358: 261-264. (Pubitemid 32738963)
29. Bunning ML, Bowen RA, Cropp CB, Sullivan KG, Davis BS, et al. (2002) Experimental infection of horses with West Nile virus. Emerg Infect Dis 8: 380-386. (Pubitemid 34428634)
30. Komar N, Langevin S, Hinten S, Nemeth N, Edwards E, et al. (2003) Experimental infection of North American birds with the New York 1999 strain of West Nile virus. Emerg Infect Dis 9: 311-322. (Pubitemid 36330872)
31. Rappole JH, Derrickson SR, Hubalek Z (2000) Migratory birds and spread of West Nile virus in the Western Hemisphere. Emerg Infect Dis 6: 319-328. (Pubitemid 30643651)
32. Malkinson M, Banet C, Weisman Y, Pokamunski S, King R, et al. (2002) Introduction of West Nile virus in the Middle East by migrating white storks. Emerg Infect Dis 8: 392-397. (Pubitemid 34415201)
33. Jourdain E, Zeller HG, Sabatier P, Murri S, Kayser Y, et al. (2008) Prevalence of West Nile virus neutralizing antibodies in wild birds from the Camargue area, southern France. J Wildl Dis 44: 766-771.
34. Lopez G, Jimenez-Clavero MA, Tejedor CG, Soriguer R, Figuerola J (2008) Prevalence of West Nile virus neutralizing antibodies in Spain is related to the behavior of migratory birds. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 8: 615-621.
35. Papa A, Xanthopoulou K, Gewehr S, Mourelatos S (2011) Detection of West Nile virus lineage 2 in mosquitoes during a human outbreak in Greece. Clin Microbiol Infect 17: 1176-1180.
36. Bian L, Li L, Yan G (2006) Combining Global and Local Estimates for Spatial Distribution of Mosquito Larval Habitats. GIScience & Remote Sensing 43: 128-141. (Pubitemid 44018732)
37. Patnaik JL, Juliusson L, Vogt RL (2007) Environmental predictors of human West Nile virus infections, Colorado. Emerg Infect Dis 13: 1788-1790.