Escalating burden of breast cancer in southern Thailand: Analysis of 1990-2010 incidence and prediction of future trends

Cancer Epidemiology

Volumn 38, Issue 3, 2014, Pages 235-243

  Virani, Shama ^a   Sriplung, Hutcha ^b   Rozek, Laura S ^a   Meza, Rafael ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN   (United States)

^b PRINCE OF SONGKLA UNIVERSITY   (Thailand)

Author keywords

Age period cohort; Breast cancer; Incidence rates; Projections; Thailand; Trends

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGED; ARTICLE; BREAST CANCER; CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY; CANCER INCIDENCE; CANCER REGISTRY; COHORT ANALYSIS; CONTROLLED STUDY; FEMALE; HUMAN; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; THAILAND; AGE; BREAST NEOPLASMS; FORECASTING; INCIDENCE; MIDDLE AGED; MORBIDITY; PATHOLOGY; REGISTER; TRENDS; TUMOR VOLUME; VERY ELDERLY;

ADULT; AGE FACTORS; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; BREAST NEOPLASMS; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; MIDDLE AGED; MORBIDITY; REGISTRIES; THAILAND; TUMOR BURDEN;

EID: 84900509662     PISSN: 18777821     EISSN: 1877783X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.canep.2014.03.003     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Ferlay J., Shin H.R., Bray F., Forman D., Mathers C., Parkin D.M. GLOBOCAN 2008 cancer incidence and mortality worldwide IARC CancerBase 2010, Available from: http://globocan.iarc.fr/ [05.14.13].
2. Althuis M.D., Dozier J.M., Anderson W.F., Devesa S.S., Brinton L.A. Global trends in breast cancer incidence and mortality 1973-1997. Int J Epidemiol 2005, 34:405-412.
3. Kruk J. Association of lifestyle and other risk factors with breast cancer according to menopausal status: a case-control study in the Region of Western Pomerania (Poland). Asian Pac J Cancer Prev - APJCP 2007, 8:513-524.
4. Cui X., Dai Q., Tseng M., Shu X.O., Gao Y.T., Zheng W. Dietary patterns and breast cancer risk in the shanghai breast cancer study. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prevent: Publ Am Assoc Cancer Res, Cosponsored Am Soc Prevent Oncol 2007, 16:1443-1448.
5. Layde P.M., Webster L.A., Baughman A.L., Wingo P.A., Rubin G.L., Ory H.W. The independent associations of parity, age at first full term pregnancy, and duration of breastfeeding with the risk of breast cancer. Cancer and Steroid Hormone Study Group. J Clin Epidemiol 1989, 42:963-973.
6. Khuhaprema T., Attasara P., Sriplug H., Wiangnon S., Sumitsawan Y., Sangrajrang S. Cancer in Thailand Vol. VI, 2004-2006 2012, Ministry of Public Health, National Cancer Institute, Bangkok.
7. Khuhaprema T., Sriplung S.P., Wiangnon H., Sumitsawan S., Attasara Y.P. Cancer in Thailand Vol. IV, 1998-2000 2007, Ministry of Public Health, Ministry of Education, Bangkok.
8. National Statistical Office of Thailand Population Survey 2005, Office of the Prime Minister, Available from: http://service.nso.go.th/nso/nsopublish/service/survey/cult48.pdf [06.05.13].
9. Bhurgri Y. Karachi Cancer Registry Data-implications for the National Cancer Control Program of Pakistan. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev - APJCP 2004, 5:77-82.
10. Jarlbaek L., Christensen L., Bruera E., Gilsa Hansen D. The epidemiology of long- and short-term cancer survivors. A population-based cohort study exploring denominators for rehabilitation and palliative care programs. Acta Oncol 2014, 53(4 (April)):493-501.
11. Jedy-Agba E., Curado M.P., Ogunbiyi O., Oga E., Fabowale T., Igbinoba F., et al. Cancer incidence in Nigeria: a report from population-based cancer registries. Cancer Epidemiol 2012, 36:e271-e278.
12. Sriplung H., Sontipong S., Martin N., Wiangnon S., Vootiprux V., Cheirsilpa A., et al. Cancer incidence in Thailand, 1995-1997. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev - APJCP 2005, 6:276-281.
13. Vaktskjold A., Lebedintseva J.A., Korotov D.S., Tkatsjov A.V., Podjakova T.S., Lund E. Cancer incidence in Arkhangelskaja Oblast in northwestern Russia. The Arkhangelsk Cancer Registry. BMC Cancer 2005, 5:82.
14. Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board. Life expectancy at birth years 2508-2573. Available from: [06.05.13]. http://social.nesdb.go.th/SocialStat/StatReport_Final.aspx%3Freportid=87%26template=1R2C%26yeartype=M%26subcatid=4.
15. National Statistic Office 2010 population and housing census 2013, Office of the Prime Minister, Bangkok.
16. National Statistical Office 1990 population and housing census 1994, Office of the Prime Minister, Bangkok.
17. National Statistical Office 2000 population and housing census 2002, Office of the Prime Minister, Bangkok.
18. Ahmad O.E., Boschi-Pinto C., Lopex A.D., Murray C.J.L., Lozano R., Inoue M. Age standardization of rates: a new WHO standard 2000, World Health Organization.
19. Kim H.J., Fay M.P., Feuer E.J., Midthune D.N. Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates. Stat Med 2000, 19:335-351.
20. Joinpoint Regression Program, Version 4.0.4: statistical methodology and applications branch 2013, Surveillance Research Program, National Cancer Institute.
21. Thomas F., Renaud F., Benefice E., de Meeus T., Guegan J.F. International variability of ages at menarche and menopause: patterns and main determinants. Hum Biol 2001, 73:271-290.
22. Henderson K.D., Bernstein L., Henderson B., Kolonel L., Pike M.C. Predictors of the timing of natural menopause in the Multiethnic Cohort Study. Am J Epidemiol 2008, 167:1287-1294.
23. Carstensen B., Plummer M., Laara E., Hills M. Epi: a package for statistical analysis in epidemiology. R package version 1.1.49 2013, Available from: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=Epi.
24. Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board of Thailand Population projections for Thailand 2553-2573 2013, Available from: http://www.nesdb.go.th/ [06.05.13].
25. RStudio RStudio: integrated development environment for R (Version 0.97.336). Boston, MA 2012.
26. Møller B., Fekjaer H., Hakulinen T., Tryggvadottir L., Storm H.H., Talback M., et al. Prediction of cancer incidence in the Nordic countries up to the year 2020. Eur J Cancer 2002, 11(Suppl. 1):S1-S96.
27. Akaike H. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans Autom Control 1974, 19:716.
28. Weinstein M.C., O'Brien B., Hornberger J., Jackson J., Johannesson M., McCabe C., et al. Principles of good practice for decision analytic modeling in health-care evaluation: report of the ISPOR Task Force on Good Research Practices-Modeling Studies. Value Health: J Int Soc Pharmacoeconom Outcomes Res 2003, 6:9-17.
29. Viel J.F., Rymzhanova R., Fournier E., Danzon A. Trends in invasive breast cancer incidence among French women not exposed to organized mammography screening: an age-period-cohort analysis. Cancer Epidemiol 2011, 35:521-525.
30. Dhillon P.K., Yeole B.B., Dikshit R., Kurkure A.P., Bray F. Trends in breast, ovarian and cervical cancer incidence in Mumbai, India over a 30-year period, 1976-2005: an age-period-cohort analysis. Br J Cancer 2011, 105:723-730.
31. Moolgavkar S.H., Stevens R.G., Lee J.A. Effect of age on incidence of breast cancer in females. J Natl Cancer Inst 1979, 62:493-501.
32. De Waard F., Baanders-Vanhalewijn E.A., Huizinga J. The bimodal age distribution of patients with mammary carcinoma; evidence for the existence of 2 types of human breast cancer. Cancer 1964, 17:141-151.
33. Anderson D.E. Genetic study of breast cancer: identification of a high risk group. Cancer 1974, 34:1090-1097.
34. Howlader N., Krapcho N.A., Garshell M., Neyman J., Altekruse N., Kosary S.F., et al. SEER cancer statistics review 1975-2010, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
35. Shin H.R., Joubert C., Boniol M., Hery C., Ahn S.H., Won Y.J., et al. Recent trends and patterns in breast cancer incidence among Eastern and Southeastern Asian women. Cancer Causes Control - CCC 2010, 21:1777-1785.
36. National Health Examination Survey Office Report of the National Health Examination Survey in Thai population 2008-2009, Health System Research Institute, Available from: http://www.nheso.or.th/content_detail.php?con_id=14 [06.04.13].
37. United Nations Population fund impact of demographic change in Thailand 2011, Available from: http://countryoffice.unfpa.org/thailand/?publications=3297 [06.05.13].
38. Chouliara Z., Papadioti-Athanasiou V., Power K.G., Swanson V. Practice of and attitudes toward breast self-examination (BSE): a cross-cultural comparison between younger women in Scotland and Greece. Health Care Women Int 2004, 25:311-333.
39. Loh S.Y., Chew S.L. Awareness and practice of breast self examination among malaysian women with breast cancer. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev - APJCP 2011, 12:199-202.