Sea level extremes at the coasts of China

Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

Volumn 119, Issue 3, 2014, Pages 1593-1608

  Feng, Xianbo ^a,b,c   Tsimplis, Michael N ^a,b  

^a NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHAMPTON   (United Kingdom)

^c HOHAI UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

ENSO; sea level extremes; tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

ESTIMATION; HURRICANES;

ENSO; EXTREME EVENTS; GLOBAL TEMPERATURES; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; INTERANNUAL VARIATION; SOUTH CHINA SEA; STORM EVENTS; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

SEA LEVEL;

AMPLITUDE; ANNUAL VARIATION; COASTAL ZONE; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; EXTREME EVENT; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; TIDE GAUGE; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

PACIFIC OCEAN; SOUTH CHINA SEA;

EID: 84900362499     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21699291     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2013JC009607     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Cai, F., X. Su, J. Liu, B. Li, and, G. Lei, (2009), Coastal erosion in China under the condition of global climate change and measures for its prevention, Prog. Nat. Sci., 19 (4), 415-426.
2. Cartwright, N., L. Li, and, P. Nielsen, (2004), Response of the salt-freshwater interface in a coastal aquifer to a wave-induced groundwater pulse: Field observations and modelling, Adv. Water Resour., 27 (3), 297-303.
3. Chan, J. C. L., (2006), Comment on "Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment," Science, 311, 1713.
4. Chan, J. C. L., and, K. S. Liu, (2004), Global warming and Western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective, J. Clim., 17, 4590-4602.
5. Coles, S., (2001), An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values, Springer, London.
6. Ding, X., D. Zheng, Y. Chen, J. Chao, and, Z. Li, (2001), Sea level change in Hong Kong from tide gauge measurements of 1954-1999, J. Geod., 74 (10), 683-689.
7. Doong, D. J., T. W. Hsu, L. C. Wu, and, C. C. Kao, (2009), Sea level rise at East Asia coasts based on tide gauge analysis, paper presented at Nineteenth International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference (ISOPE 2009), International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers, Osaka, Japan, 21-26 Jun.
8. Du, Y., L. Yang, and, S. P. Xie, (2011), Tropical Indian Ocean influence on Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones in summer following strong El Niño, J. Clim., 24, 315-322.
9. Egbert, G. D., R. D. Ray, and, B. G. Bills, (2004), Numerical modeling of the global semidiurnal tide in the present day and in the last glacial maximum, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C03003, doi: 10.1029/2003JC001973.
10. Emanuel, K., (2005), Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years, Nature, 436, 686-688.
11. Fan, D., and, C. Li, (2006), Complexities of China's coast in response to climate change, Adv. Clim. Change Res., 2, suppl. 1, 54-58.
12. Fan, D., Y. Guo, P. Wang, and, J. Z. Shi, (2006), Cross-shore variations in morphodynamic processes of an open-coast mudflat in the Changjiang Delta, China: With an emphasis on storm impacts, Cont. Shelf Res., 26 (4), 517-538.
13. Frank, W. M., (1977), The structure and energetics of the tropical cyclone I. Storm structure, Mon. Weather Rev., 105 (9), 1119-1135.
14. Gratiot, N., E. J. Anthony, A. Gardel, C. Gaucherel, C. Proisy, and, J. T. Wells, (2008), Significant contribution of the 18.6 year tidal cycle to regional coastal changes, Nat. Geosci., 1 (3), 169-172.
15. Gray, W. M., (1984), Atlantic seasonal hurricane frequency. Part I: El Niño and 30-mb quasi-biennial oscillation influences, Mon. Weather Rev., 112, 1649-1668.
16. Green, J. A. M., (2010), Ocean tides and resonance, Ocean Dyn., 60 (5), 1243-1253.
17. Grinsted, A., J. C. Moore, and, S. Jevrejeva, (2013), Projected Atlantic hurricane surge threat from rising temperatures, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 110 (14), 5369-5373.
18. Haigh, I., R. Nicholls, and, N. Wells, (2010), Assessing changes in extreme sea levels: Application to the English Channel, 1900-2006, Cont. Shelf Res., 30 (9), 1042-1055.
19. Hallegatte, S., C. Green, R. J. Nicholls, and, J. Corfee-Morlot, (2013), Future flood losses in major coastal cities, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 802-806.
20. Han, G., and, W. Huang, (2008), Pacific decadal oscillation and sea level variability in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China seas, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38 (12), 2772-2783.
21. Jay, D. A., (2009), Evolution of tidal amplitudes in the eastern Pacific Ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04603, doi: 10.1029/2008GL036185.
22. Kim, H. M., P. J. Webster, and, J. A. Curry, (2011), Modulation of North Pacific tropical cyclone activity by three phases of ENSO, J. Clim., 24, 1839-1849.
23. Knutson, T. R., J. L. McBride, J. Chan, K. Emanuel, G. Holland, C. Landsea, I. Held, (2010), Tropical cyclones and climate change, Nat. Geosci., 3 (3), 157-163.
24. Kuleshov, Y., and, G. de Hoedt, (2003), Tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere, Bull. Aust. Meteorol. Oceanogr. Soc., 16, 135-137.
25. Kuleshov, Y., L. Qi, R. Fawcett, and, D. Jones, (2008), On tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere: Trends and the ENSO connection, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14S08, doi: 10.1029/2007GL032983.
26. Kuleshov, Y., R. Fawcett, L. Qi, B. Trewin, D. Jones, J. McBride, and, H. Ramsay, (2010), Trends in tropical cyclones in the South Indian Ocean and the South Pacific Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D01101, doi: 10.1029/2009JD012372.
27. Lander, M., (1994), An exploratory analysis of the relationship between tropical storm formation in the Western North Pacific and ENSO, Mon. Weather Rev., 122, 636-651.
28. Landsea, C. W., B. A. Harper, K. Hoarau, and, J. A. Knaff, (2006), Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones, Science, 313, 452-454.
29. Lau, M. A., (2006), Adaptation to sea-level rise in the People's Republic of China-Assessing the institutional dimension of alternative organisational frameworks, Working FNU-94, Res. Unit Sustainability and Global Change, Cent. for Mar. Atmos. Res., Univ. of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
30. Li, C., D. Fan, B. Deng, and, V. Korotaev, (2004), The coasts of China and issues of sea level rise, J. Coastal Res., 43, 36-49.
31. Mackey, B. P., and, T. N. Krishnamurti, (2001), Ensemble forecast of a typhoon flood event, Weather Forecasting, 16 (4), 399-415.
32. Marcos, M., M. N. Tsimplis, and, A. G. Shaw, (2009), Sea level extremes in southern Europe, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C01007, doi: 10.1029/2008JC004912.
33. Marcos, M., M. N. Tsimplis, and, F. M. Calafat, (2012), Inter-annual and decadal sea level variations in the north-western Pacific marginal seas, Prog. Oceanogr., 105, 4-21.
34. Menéndez, M., and, P. L. Woodworth, (2010), Changes in extreme high water levels based on a quasi-global tide-gauge data set, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C10011, doi: 10.1029/2009JC005997.
35. Moon, I., I. Oh, T. Murty, and, Y. Youn, (2003), Causes of the unusual coastal flooding generated by Typhoon Winnie on the west coast of Korea, Nat. Hazards, 29, 485-500.
36. Müller, M., B. K. Arbic, and, J. X. Mitrovica, (2011), Secular trends in ocean tides: Observations and model results, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C05013, doi: 10.1029/2010JC006387.
37. Murakami, H., Y. Wang, H. Yoshimura, R. Mizuta, M. Sugi, E. Shindo, and, A. Kitoh, (2012), Future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by the new high-resolution MRI-AGCM, J. Clim., 25 (9), 3237-3260.
38. Palutikof, J. P., B. B. Brabson, D. H. Lister, and, S. T. Adcock, (1999), A review of methods to calculate extreme wind speeds, Meteorol. Appl., 6 (2), 119-132.
39. Pickering, M. D., N. C. Wells, K. J. Horsburgh, and, J. A. M. Green, (2012), The impact of future sea-level rise on the European Shelf tides, Cont. Shelf Res., 35, 1-15.
40. Pugh, D. T., (1996), Tides, Surges and Mean Sea-Level (Reprinted With Corrections), 486 pp., John Wiley, Chichester, U. K.
41. Shaw, A. G. P., and, M. N. Tsimplis, (2010), The 18.6 yr nodal modulation in the tides of southern European coasts, Cont. Shelf Res., 30 (2), 138-151.
42. Smith, R. L., (1989), Extreme value analysis of environmental time series: An application to trend detection in ground-level ozone, Stat. Sci., 4 (4), 367-377.
43. Song, D., X. Wang, X. Zhu, and, X. Bao, (2013), Modeling studies of the far-field effects of tidal flat reclamation on tidal dynamics in the East China Seas, Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 133, 147-160.
44. State Oceanic Administration (SOA) (2013a), China Ocean Disasters Bulletin in 2012 [in Chinese], State Oceanic Administration People's Republic of China, Beijing, China.
45. State Oceanic Administration (SOA) (2013b), Report of Sea Level Rise at Chinese Coast in 2012 [in Chinese], State Oceanic Administration People's Republic of China, Beijing, China.
46. Torres, R. R., and, M. N. Tsimplis, (2011), Tides and long-term modulations in the Caribbean Sea, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C10022, doi: 10.1029/2011JC006973.
47. Torres, R. R., and, M. N. Tsimplis, (2012), Seasonal sea level cycle in the Caribbean Sea, J. Geophys. Res., 117, C07011, doi: 10.1029/2012JC008159.
48. Trenberth, K. E., and, J. Fasullo, (2007), Water and energy budgets of hurricanes and implications for climate change, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D23107, doi: 10.1029/2006JD008304.
49. Trenberth, K. E., C. A. Davis, and, J. Fasullo, (2007), Water and energy budgets of hurricanes: Case studies of Ivan and Katrina, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D23106, doi: 10.1029/2006JD008303.
50. Tsimplis, M. N., and, D. Blackman, (1997), Extreme sea-level distribution and return periods in the Aegean and Ionian Seas, Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 44 (1), 79-89.
51. Tsimplis, M. N., and, A. G. P. Shaw, (2010), Seasonal sea level extremes in the Mediterranean Sea and at the Atlantic European coasts, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10 (7), 1457-1475.
52. Wang, X. H., F. Qiao, J. Lu, and, F. Gong, (2011), The turbidity maxima of the northern Jiangsu shoal-water in the Yellow Sea, China, Estuarine Coastal Shelf Sci., 93 (3), 202-211.
53. Webster, P. J., J. A. Curry, J. Liu, and, G. J. Holland, (2005), Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming environment, Science, 309, 1844-1846.
54. Webster, P. J., J. A. Curry, J. Liu, and, G. J. Holland, (2006), Response to comment on "Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment," Science, 311, 1713.
55. Woodworth, P. L., and, D. L. Blackman, (2004), Evidence for systematic changes in extreme high waters since the mid-1970s, J. Clim., 17 (6), 1190-1197.
56. Wu, C. C., T. H. Yen, Y. H. Kuo, and, W. Wang, (2002), Rainfall simulation associated with Typhoon Herb (1996) near Taiwan-Part I: The topographic effect, Weather Forecasting, 17 (5), 1001-1015.
57. Wu, L., and, B. Wang, (2004), Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks, J. Clim., 17 (8), 1686-1698.
58. Yanagi, T., and, T. Akaki, (1994), Sea level variation in the Eastern Asia, J. Oceanogr., 50 (6), 643-651.
59. Yang, S. L., C. T. Friedrichs, Z. Shi, P. X. Ding, J. Zhu, and, Q. Y. Zhao, (2003), Morphological response of tidal marshes, flats and channels of the outer Yangtze River mouth to a major storm, Estuaries, 26 (6), 1416-1425.
60. Yin, B., Z. Xu, Y. Huang, and, X. Lin, (2009), Simulating a typhoon storm surge in the East Sea of China using a coupled model, Prog. Nat. Sci., 19 (1), 65-71.
61. Zhang, W., Y. Yan, J. Zheng, L. Li, X. Dong, and, H. Cai, (2009), Temporal and spatial variability of annual extreme water level in the Pearl River Delta region, China, Global Planet. Change, 69 (1), 35-47.
62. Zhang, W. Z., F. Shi, H. S. Hong, S. P. Shang, and, J. T. Kirby, (2010), Tide-surge interaction intensified by the Taiwan strait, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C06012, doi: 10.1029/2009JC005762.
63. Zhou, X., J. Zheng, D. J. Doong, and, Z. Demirbilek, (2013), Sea level rise along the East Asia and Chinese coasts and its role on the morphodynamic response of the Yangtze River Estuary, Ocean Eng., 71, 40-50.