Probabilistic detection of volcanic ash using a bayesian approach

Journal of Geophysical Research

Volumn 119, Issue 5, 2014, Pages 2409-2428

  Mackie, Shona ^a   Watson, Matthew ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BRISTOL   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; PIXELS; REMOTE SENSING; VETERINARY MEDICINE;

BAYESIAN; HAZARD MONITORING; INFRARED REMOTE SENSING; PROBABILISTIC DETECTIONS; SATELLITE REMOTE SENSING; VOLCANIC ASH;

VOLCANOES;

AIR TRANSPORTATION; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; DETECTION METHOD; DUST; ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARD; INFRARED IMAGERY; PIXEL; POLLUTION MONITORING; PROBABILITY; REMOTE SENSING; SATELLITE DATA; VOLCANIC ASH; VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

EYJAFJALLAJOKULL; ICELAND;

ANIMALIA;

EID: 84898458271     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: 21562202     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2013JD021077     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Arason, P., G. N. Petersen, and H. Bjornsson (2011), Observations of the altitude of the volcanic plume during the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull, April–May 2010, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., 4, 1–25, doi:10.5194/essdd-4-1-2011.
2. Borbas, E., and B. Ruston (2010), The RTTOV UWiremis IR land surface emissivity module, Document NWP-SAF-MO-VS-042, v1, Satellite Application Facility for Numerical Weather Prediction, Associate Scientist Mission Report, Mission No. AS09-04.
3. Bukowieck, N. Z., et al. (2011), Ground-based and airborne in-situ measurements of the Eyjafjallajokull volcanic aerosol plume in Switzerland in spring 2011, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 10,011–10,030, doi:10.5194/acp-11-10011-2011.
4. Carboni, E., R. Grainger, J. Walker, A. Dudhia, and R. Siddans (2012), A new scheme for sulphur dioxide retrieval from IASI measurements: Application to the Eyjafjallajökull eruption of April and May 2010, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 12, 11,861–11,897, doi:10.5194/acp-12-11417-2012.
5. Casadevall, T. (1994), The 1989–1990 eruption of Redoubt Volcano, Alaska: Impacts in aircraft operations, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 62, 301–316.
6. Chevallier, F. (2006), Diverse profile datasets from the ECMWF 91-level short-range forecasts, Document NWPSAF-EC-TR-010 v1, Satellite Application Facility for Numerical Weather Prediction, Dec. 2006.
7. Clarisse, L., F. Prata, J. L. Lacour, D. Hurtmans, C. Clerbaux, and P. F. Coheur (2010), A correlation method for volcanic ash detection using hyperspectral infrared measurements, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L19806, doi:10.1029/2010GL044828.
8. Clarisse, L., P.-F. Coheur, F. Prata, J. Hadji-Lazaro, D. Hurtmans, and C. Clerbaux (2013), A unified approach to infrared aerosol remote sensing and type specification, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 2195–2221, doi:10.5194/acp-13-2195-2013.
9. European Parliament and Council (2008), Directive 2008/50/EC of the European parliament and of the council of 21 May 2008 on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe, Off. J. Eur. Union, L152, 1–44.
10. Fletcher, N. (1962), The Physics of Rainclouds, Cambridge Univ. Press, U. K.
11. Francis, P. N., M. C. Cook, and R. W. Saunders (2012), Retrieval of physical properties of volcanic ash using Meteosat: A case study from the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U09, doi:10.1029/2011JD016788.
12. Heymsfield, A., and C. Platt (1984), A parameterization of the particle size spectrum of ice clouds in terms of ambient temperature and the ice water content, J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 689–719, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1984)041<0846:APOTPS>2.0.CO;2.
13. Hilton, F., et al. (2011), Hyperspectral Earth observation from IASI: Four years of accomplishments, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 93, 347–370, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00027.1.
14. Hobbs, P. V., J. P. Tuell, D. A. Hegg, L. F. Radke, and M. W. Eltgroth (1982), Particles and gases in the emissions from the 1980–1981 volcanic eruptions of Mt. St. Helens, J. Geophys. Res., 87, 11,062–11,086, doi:10.1029/JC087iC13p11062.
15. Hobbs, P. V., L. F. Radke, J. H. Lyons, R. J. Ferek, D. J. Coffman, and T. J. Casadevall (1991), Airborne measurements of particle and gas emissions from the 1990 volcanic eruptions of Mount Redoubt, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 18,735–18,752, doi:10.1029/91JD01635.
16. Horwell, C. (2007), Grain size analysis of volcanic ash for the rapid assessment f respiratory health hazard, J. Environ. Monit., 9, 1107–1115, doi:10.1039/B710583P.
17. IATA (2010), The impact of Eyjafjallajökull’s volcanic ash plume, International Air Transport Association Economic Briefing, May 2010.
18. Johnson, B., et al. (2012), In situ observations of volcanic ash clouds from the FAAM aircraft during the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in 2010, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U24, doi:10.1029/2011JD016760.
19. Junge, C., E. Robinson, and F. L. Ludwig (1969), A study of aerosol in Pacific air masses, J. Appl. Meteorol., 8, 340–347, doi:10.1175/1520-0450 (1969)008<0340:ASOAIP>2.0.CO;2.
20. Klüser, L., T. Erbertseder, and J. Meyer-Arnek (2013), Observation of volcanic ash from Puyehue-Cordón Caulle with IASI, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 6, 35–46, doi:10.5194/amt-6-35-2013.
21. Mackie, S. (2009), Exploiting weather forecast data for cloud detection, PhD thesis, School of Geosciences, Univ. of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, U. K. [Available at http://hdl.handle.net/1842/4350.]
22. Mackie, S., C. Merchant, and P. Francis (2007), Fast forward modeling of cloudy atmospheric states, Proc. “Envisat Symposium 2007,” Montreux, Switzerland 23–27 April 2007 (ESA SP-636, July 2007).
23. Mackie, S., O. Embury, C. Old, C. J. Merchant, and P. Francis (2010a), Generalized Bayesian cloud detection for satellite imagery. Part 1: Technique and validation over land and sea, Int. J. Remote Sens., 31(10), 2573–2594, doi:10.1080/01431160903051703.
24. Mackie, S., C. J. Merchant, O. Embury, and P. Francis (2010b), Generalized Bayesian cloud detection for satellite imagery. Part 2: Technique and validation for daytime imagery, Int. J. Remote Sens., 31(10), 2595–2621, doi:10.1080/01431160903051711.
25. Mackie, S., S. Millington, and I. M. Watson (2014), How assumed composition affects interpretation of satellite observations of volcanic ash, Meteorol. Appl., 21, 20–29, doi:10.1002/met.1445.
26. Marenco, F., B. Johnson, K. Turnbull, S. Newman, J. Haywood, H. Webster, and H. Ricketts (2011), Airborne lidar observations of the 2010 Eyjafjalljökull ash plume, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D00U05, doi:10.1029/2011JD16396.
27. Marzano, F. S., M. Lamantea, M. Montopoli, D. Cimini, M. Montoploi, M. Herzog, and H. Graf (2012), Passive microwave remote sensing of Plinian eruption due to the Grimsvötn Icelandic volcano, paper presented at 12th Specialist Meeting on Microwave Radiometry and Remote Sensing of the Environment (MicroRad), pp. 1–4, Rome, Italy, 5–9 March, doi:10.1109/MicroRad.2012.6185247.
28. Matricardi, M. (2005), The Inclusion of Aerosols and Clouds in RTIASI, the ECMWF Fast Radiative Transfer Model for the IASI, Technical Memorandum, vol. 474, ECMWF, Reading, U. K.
29. Merchant, C. J., A. R. Harris, E. Maturi, and S. Maccallum (2005), Probabilistic, physically-based cloud-screening of satellite infra-red imagery for operational sea surface temperature retrieval, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 131, 2735–2756, doi:10.1256/qj.05.15.
30. Millington, S. C., R. W. Saunders, P. N. Francis, and H. N. Webster (2012), Simulated volcanic ash imagery: A method to compare NAME ash concentration forecasts with SEVIRI imagery for the Eyjafjalljökull eruption in 2010, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D00U17, doi:10.1029/2011JD016770.
31. Mishchenko, M. I., J. W. Hovenier, and L. D. Travis (2000), Light Scattering by Nonspherical Particles: Theory, Measurements and Applications, Academic Press, San Diego, Calif.
32. Moran, J., and M. Morgan (1997), Meteorology—The Atmosphere and the Science of Weather, 5th ed., Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey.
33. Pavolonis, M. (2010), Advances in extracting cloud composition information from spaceborne infrared radiances: A robust alternative to brightness temperatures. Part 1: Theory, J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 40, 1992–2012, doi:10.1175/2010JAMC2433.1.
34. Pavolonis, M., and J. Sieglaff (2010), GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) algorithm theoretical basis document for volcanic ash: Detection and height, Version 2.0. [Available at http://www.goes-r.gov/products/ATBDs/baseline/Aviation_VolAsh_v2.0_no_color.pdf.]
35. Pollack, J. B., O. B. Toon, and B. N. Khare (1973), Optical properties of some terrestrial rocks and glasses, Icarus, 19, 372–389, doi:10.1016/0019-1035(73)90115-2.
36. Prata, A. (1989), Infrared radiative transfer calculations for volcanic ash clouds, Geophys. Res. Lett., 16, 1293–1296, doi:10.1029/GL016i011p01293.
37. Prata, A., G. Bluth, B. Rose, D. Schneider, and A. Tupper (2001), Comments on “Failures in detecting volcanic ash from a satellite-based technique”, Remote Sens. Environ., 78, 341–346, doi:10.1016/S0034-4257(01)0023-0.
38. Rencher, A. (2002), Methods of Multivariate Analysis, 2nd ed., Wiley-Interscience, New York.
39. Rogers, R., and K. Yau (1989), A Short Course in Cloud Physics, International Series in Natural Philosophy, 3rd ed., vol. 113, Pergamon Press, U. K.
40. Rossow, W. B., A. W. Walker, D. E. Beuschel, and M. D. Roiter (1996), International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP), Documentation of New Cloud Datasets, Rep. WMO/TD-No. 737, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva.
41. Saunders, R. W., and R. T. Kriebel (1988), An improved method for detecting clear sky and cloudy radiances from AVHRR data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 9, 123–150, doi:10.1080/01431168808954841.
42. Saunders, R., M. Matricardi, and P. Brunel (1999), An improved fast radiative transfer model for assimilation of satellite radiance observations, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 1407–1425, doi:10.1002/qj.1999.49712555615.
43. Saunders, R., J. Hocking, P. Rayer, M. Matricardi, A. Geer, N. Bormann, P. Brunel, F. Karbou, and F. Aires (2011), RTTOV-10 Science and validation report. Satellite application facility for numerical weather prediction, NWPSAF-MO-TV-023, v1.
44. Saunders, R., J. Hocking, D. Rundle, P. Rayer, M. Matricardi, A. Geer, C. Lupu, P. Brunel, and J. Vidot (2013), RTTOV-11 science and validation report, Document No. NWPSAF-MO-TV-032, EUMETSAT NWP SAF.
45. Simpson, J. J., G. Hufford, D. Pieri, and J. Berg (2000), Failures in detecting volcanic ash form a satellite-based technique, Remote Sens. Environ., 72, 191–217, doi:10.1016/S0034-4257(99)00103-0.
46. Stohl, A., et al. (2011), Determination of time- and height-resolved volcanic ash emissions and their use for quantitative ash dispersion modeling: The 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 4333–4351, doi:10.5194/acp-11-4333-2011.
47. Takano, Y., and K. Liou (1989), Solar radiative transfer in cirrus clouds. Part I. Single scattering properties of hexagonal ice crystals, J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 20–36, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<0003:SRTICC>2.0.CO;2.
48. Thorsteinsson, T., T. Johannsson, A. Stohl, and N. I. Kristiansen (2012), High levels of particulate matter in Iceland due to direct ash emissions by the Eyjafjallajökull eruption and resuspension of deposited ash, J. Geophys. Res., 117, B00C05, doi:10.1029/2011JB008756.
49. Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre—London (2011), Volcanic ash concentration forecasts. Specifications of data formats for data and graphic files, Met. Office Technical Report 9 March 2012, V12. [Available at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/j/3/Changes_To_Ash__Concentration_Forecasts_V12web.pdf.]
50. Volz, F. (1973), Infrared optical constants of ammonium sulphate, Saharan dust, volcanic pumice and flyash, Appl. Opt., 12(3), 564–568, doi:10.1364/AO.12.000564.
51. Wilson, T. M., J. W. Cole, C. Stewart, S. J. Cronin, and D. M. Johnston (2011), Ash storms: Impacts of wind-remobilised volcanic ash on rural communities and agriculture following the 1991 Hudson eruption, southern Patagonia, Chile, Bull. Volcanol., 73, 223–239, doi:10.1007/s00445-010-0396-1.
52. Yang, P., Q. Feng, G. Hong, G. W. Kattawar, W. J. Wiscombe, M. I. Mischenko, O. Dubovik, I. Laszio, and I. N. Sokolik (2007), Modeling of the scattering and radiative properties of nonspherical dust-like aerosols, J. Aerosol Sci., 38, 995–1014, doi:10.1016/j.jaerosci.2007.07.001.
53. Yu, T., W. I. Rose, and A. J. Prata (2002), Atmospheric correction for satellite-based volcanic ash mapping and retrievals using “split window” IR from GOES and AVHRR, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D16), 4311, doi:10.1029/2001JD000706.