Economic effects of drought on agriculture in North China

International Journal of Disaster Risk Science

Volumn 4, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 59-67

  Lin, Yingzhi ^a   Deng, Xiangzheng ^b,c   Jin, Qin ^a  

^a CHINA UNIVERSITY OF GEOSCIENCES   (China)

^b INSTITUTE OF GEOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS   (China)

^c INSTITUTE OF GEOGRAPHIC SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES RESEARCH   (China)

Author keywords

drought; equilibrium model; indirect economic effects; North China; prices of agricultural products

Indexed keywords

EID: 84897634145     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20950055     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13753-013-0007-9     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Campbell, R., and T. Knowles. 2011. The Economic Impacts of Losing Livestock in a Disaster, a Report for the World Society for the Protection of Animals (WSPA). Prepared by Economists at Large, Melbourne, Australia.
2. Cheng, L. H., H. Tang, T. G. Zhou, M. Zhang, and L. Zhang. 2011. Evaluation Method of Natural Disaster Intensity and Its Application: A Research Based on Comprehensive Disaster Condition Index. Journal of Natural Disasters 20(1): 46–50 (in Chinese).
3. Cochrane, H. C. 1984. Knowledge of Private Loss and the Efficiency of Protection. Paper presented at the Conference on the Economies of Natural Hazards and Their Mitigation. December 1984, University of Florida.
4. Cochrane, H. C. 1997. Economic Impacts of a Midwestern Earthquake. The Quarterly Publication of NCEER 11(1): 1–5.
5. Deng, X. Z., Y. Z. Lin, Q. S. Ge, and Y. H. Zhao. 2011. Impact of Drought on Price Fluctuation of Agricultural Production across the North China Region. Resources Science 33(4): 766–772 (in Chinese).
6. Denis, C., and G. J. Koopman. 1998. EUCARS: A Partial Equilibrium Model of EUropean CAR Emissions (Version 3). II/341/98-EN, Directorate General II, European Commission.
7. Ding, X. B., P. Q. Xiao, and M. Song. 1992. The Hazard of Major Crops from Natural Disasters in Shandong and Its Control Measures. Disaster Reduction in China 2(3): 37–39 (in Chinese).
8. Du, J. K., Q. Zhang, L. J. Song, J. S. Hou, X. Ding, Z. X. Yuan, M. Huang, and Y. K. Lu. 2008. Assessment Method of Indirect Economic Loss from Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake. Journal of Catastrophology 23(4): 130–133 (in Chinese).
9. Editorial Committee of China Agricultural Yearbook. 1996–2008. China Agricultural Yearbook. Beijing: China Agricultural Publishing House (in Chinese).
10. Feng, P. Z. 1985. Analysis of Major Meteorological Disasters in China during 1951–1980. Beijing: China Meteorological Press (in Chinese).
11. Gao, Y. F. 2003. Effect of Drought on Agriculture Production and Countermeasures. Research of Soil and Water Conservation 10(1): 90–91 (in Chinese).
12. Greenberg, M. R., M. Lahr, and N. Mantell. 2007. Understanding the Economic Costs and Benefits of Catastrophes and Their Aftermath: A Review and Suggestions for the U.S. Federal Government. Risk Analysis 27(1): 83–96.
13. Hertel, T. W. 1997. Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
14. Horridge, J. M., J. R. Madden, and G. Wittwer. 2005. The Impact of the 2002-03 Drought on Australia. Journal of Policy Modeling 27(3): 285–308.
15. Kamiński, J., and M. KudeŁko. 2010. The Prospects for Hard Coal as a Fuel for the Polish Power Sector. Energy Policy 38(12): 7939–7950.
16. Li, C. J. 1999. The Abnormal Dry Weather Events in North China and the Assessment Pattern of Its Agricultural Impact. Journal of Catastrophology 14(1): 65–69 (in Chinese).
17. Liu, J. Y., Z. X. Zhang, and D. F. Zhuang. 2003. A Study on the Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Changes of Land-use and Driving Forces Analyses of China in the 1990s. Geographical Research 22(1): 1–12 (in Chinese).
18. Liu, Y., and Y. Yang. 2012. Spatial Distribution of Major Natural Disasters of China in Historical Period. Acta Geographica Sinica 67(3): 291–300 (in Chinese).
19. Liu, Y. Q. 2009. The Study of the Impact from Drought on the Society and Economy in China. Beijing: China WaterPower Press (in Chinese).
20. Lu, W. C., and Z. H. Huang. 2004. Future Prospects of Grain Supply and Demand in China: A Regionalized Multimarket Model Simulation. Economic Research Journal (8): 94–104 (in Chinese).
21. Ma, G. G. 2007. The Relationship between North China Drought Trend and Changes in the Turning-Point and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Chinese Science Bulletin 52(10): 1199–1206 (in Chinese).
22. Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and China Meteorological Administration. 2011. 2nd National Assessment Report on Climate Change. Beijing: Science Press (in Chinese).
23. Mitra-Kahn, B. H. 2008. Debunking the Myths of Computable General Equilibrium Models. SCEPA Working Paper 2008-I. Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis.
24. National Bureau of Statistics of China. 1996–2008. China Statistics Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
25. Percoco, M. 2006. A Note on the Inoperability Input-Output Model. Risk Analysis 26(3): 589–594.
26. Roningen, V. O. 1997. Multi-Market, Multi-Region Partial Equilibrium Modeling. In Applied Methods for Trade Policy Analysis: A Handbook, edited by J. F. Francois and K. A. Reinert, 231–257. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
27. Ruan, X., X. F. Liu, and Y. H. Li. 2008. Drought Climate Changes in Hebei Province during 1961–2000. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment 22(1): 50–53 (in Chinese).
28. Shi, P. J. 2005. Theory and Practice on Disaster System Research in a Fourth Time. Journal of Natural Disasters 14(6): 1–7 (in Chinese).
29. Takahashi, D. 2012. The Distributional Effect of the Rice Policy in Japan, 1986–2010. Food Policy 37(6): 679–689.
30. Tromborg, E., T. F. Bolkesjo, and B. Solberg. 2007. Impacts of Policy Means for Increased Use of Forest-Based Bioenergy in Norway: A Spatial Partial Equilibrium Analysis. Energy Policy 35(12): 5980–5990.
31. Wang, Z. W., and P. M. Zhai. 2003. Climate Change in Drought over Northern China during 1950–2000. Acta Geographica Sinica 58(7): 61–68 (in Chinese).
32. Wing, I. S. 2004. Technical Note No. 6, Computable General Equilibriu m and Their Use in Economy-Wide Policy Analysis. Center for Energy and Environmental Studies and Department of Geography and Environment, Boston University.
33. Wittner, G., S. McKirdy, and R. Wilson. 2005. Regional Economic Impacts of a Plant Disease Incursion Using a General Equilibrium Approach. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 49(1): 75–89.
34. Wu, J. D., N. Li, Y. T. Wen, A. J. Hu, W. J. Cui, and P. Zhang. 2009. Economic Impact of Natural Disaster and Indirect Economic Loss Estimation Methods. Progress in Geography 28(6): 877–887 (in Chinese).
35. Xu, S. Y., J. Wang, C. Shi, and J. P. Yan. 2006. Research of the Natural Disaster Risk on Coastal Cities. Acta Geographica Sinica 61(2): 127–138 (in Chinese).
36. Yamano, N., Y. Kajitani, and Y. Shumuta. 2007. Modeling the Regional Economic Loss of Natural Disasters: The Search for Economic Hotspots. Economic Systems Research 19(2): 163–181.
37. Yin, J., Z. E. Yin, and S. Y. Xu. 2011. Classification and Assessment of Natural Disasters’ Loss in Coastal Cities. Journal of Natural Disasters 20(1): 124–128 (in Chinese).
38. Zhang, X. D., and G. Q. Mei. 1999. A Comment on Models Western Disaster Economics. Journal of Catastrophology 14(1): 91–96 (in Chinese).