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Volumn , Issue , 2013, Pages 567-572

Causal model and sampling approaches to reducing base rate neglect

Author keywords

Base rate neglect; Bayesian judgment; Belief updating; Causal reasoning; Sequential sampling

Indexed keywords

BASE RATE; BASE RATE NEGLECT; BAYESIAN; BAYESIAN JUDGMENT; BELIEF UPDATING; CAUSAL EXPLANATIONS; CAUSAL MODELING; CAUSAL REASONING; FALSE POSITIVE; SEQUENTIAL SAMPLING;

EID: 84897602409     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (9)

References (14)
  • 1
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    • Barbey, A. K., & Sloman, S. A. (2007). Base rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30, 241-297.
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    • Barbey, A. K.1    Sloman, S. A.2
  • 3
    • 0002542465 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds), Cambridge, UK: CUP
    • Eddy, D. M. (1982). Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 249-267). Cambridge, UK: CUP.
    • (1982) Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases , pp. 249-267
    • Eddy, D. M.1
  • 6
    • 0034277667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A sampling approach to biases in conditional probability judgments: Beyond base rate neglect and statistical format
    • Fiedler, K., Brinkmann, B., Betsch, T., & Wild, B. (2000). A sampling approach to biases in conditional probability judgments: Beyond base rate neglect and statistical format. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 129, 399-418.
    • (2000) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.129 , pp. 399-418
    • Fiedler, K.1    Brinkmann, B.2    Betsch, T.3    Wild, B.4
  • 7
    • 11944267218 scopus 로고
    • How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats
    • Gigerenzer, G., & Hoffrage, U. (1995). How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. Psychological Review, 102, 684-704.
    • (1995) Psychological Review , vol.102 , pp. 684-704
    • Gigerenzer, G.1    Hoffrage, U.2
  • 8
    • 79961182525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sequentially simulated outcomes: Kind experience versus nontransparent description
    • Hogarth, R. M., & Soyer, E. (2011). Sequentially simulated outcomes: Kind experience versus nontransparent description. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 140, 434-463.
    • (2011) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.140 , pp. 434-463
    • Hogarth, R. M.1    Soyer, E.2
  • 10
    • 72449161639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • When experience is better than description: Time delays and complexity
    • Lejarraga, T. (2010). When experience is better than description: Time delays and complexity. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 23,100-116.
    • (2010) Journal of Behavioral Decision Making , vol.23 , pp. 100-116
    • Lejarraga, T.1
  • 11
    • 44249109442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biased samples not mode of presentation: Re-examining the apparent underweighting of rare events in experience-based choice
    • Rakow, T. R., Demes, K., & Newell, B. R. (2008). Biased samples not mode of presentation: Re-examining the apparent underweighting of rare events in experience-based choice. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 106, 168-179.
    • (2008) Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes , vol.106 , pp. 168-179
    • Rakow, T. R.1    Demes, K.2    Newell, B. R.3
  • 14
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
    • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185, 1124-1131.
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , pp. 1124-1131
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.