Active Management of Protected Areas Enhances Metapopulation Expansion Under Climate Change

Conservation Letters

Volumn 7, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 111-118

  Lawson, Callum R ^a,b   Bennie, Jonathan J ^a   Thomas, Chris D ^c   Hodgson, Jenny A ^d   Wilson, Robert J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF EXETER   (United Kingdom)

^b NETHERLANDS INSTITUTE OF ECOLOGY NIOO KNAW   (Netherlands)

^c UNIVERSITY OF YORK   (United Kingdom)

^d UNIVERSITY OF LIVERPOOL   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Agri environment scheme; Colonization; Connectivity; Dispersal; Global warming; Habitat fragmentation; Metapopulation dynamics

Indexed keywords

EID: 84897433776     PISSN: None     EISSN: 1755263X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/conl.12036     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Araújo, M.B., Alagador, D., Cabeza, M., Nogués-Bravo, D. & Thuiller, W. (2011) Climate change threatens European conservation areas. Ecol. Lett., 14, 484-492.
2. Bivand, R. & Rundel, C. (2012) rgeos: interface to geometry engine - open source (GEOS). http://CRANR-projectorg/package=rgeos. Accessed 14 March 2013.
3. Chen, I., Hill, J.K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D.B. & Thomas, C.D. (2011) Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science, 333, 1024-1026.
4. Coetzee, B.W.T., Robertson, M.P., Erasmus, B.F.N., Van Rensburg, B.J. & Thuiller, W. (2009) Ensemble models predict Important Bird Areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change. Global Ecol. Biogeogr., 18, 701-710.
5. D'Amen, M., Bombi, P., Pearman, P.B., Schmatz, D.R., Zimmermann, N.E. & Bologna, M.A. (2011) Will climate change reduce the efficacy of protected areas for amphibian conservation in Italy? Biol. Conserv., 144, 989-997.
6. Davies, Z.G., Wilson, R.J., Brereton, T.M. & Thomas, C.D. (2005) The re-expansion and improving status of the silver-spotted skipper butterfly (Hesperia comma) in Britain: a metapopulation success story. Biol. Conserv., 124, 189-198.
7. Davies, Z.G., Wilson, R.J., Coles, S. & Thomas, C.D. (2006) Changing habitat associations of a thermally constrained species, the silver-spotted skipper butterfly, in response to climate warming. J. Anim. Ecol., 75, 247-256.
8. Dennis, R.L.H. (2012) A resource-based habitat view for conservation: butterflies in the British landscape. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford.
9. Gaston, K.J., Charman, K., Jackson, S.F. et al. (2006) The ecological effectiveness of protected areas: the United Kingdom. Biol. Conserv., 132, 76-87.
10. Gaston, K.J., Jackson, S.F., Cantú-Salazar, L. & Cruz-Piñón, G. (2008) The ecological performance of protected areas. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst., 39, 93-113.
11. Hannah, L., Midgley, G., Andelman, S. et al. (2007) Protected area needs in a changing climate. Front. Ecol. Environ., 5, 131-138.
12. Hill, J., Thomas, C., Fox, R. et al. (2002) Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: implications for future ranges. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser B: Biol. Sci., 269, 2163-2171.
13. Hodgson, J.A., Thomas, C.D., Cinderby, S., Cambridge, H., Evans, P. & Hill, J.K. (2011) Habitat re-creation strategies for promoting adaptation of species to climate change. Conserv. Lett., 4, 289-297.
14. Hole, D.G., Willis, S.G., Pain, D.J. et al. (2009) Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network. Ecol. Lett., 12, 420-431.
15. Lawler, J.J. (2009) Climate change adaptation strategies for resource management and conservation planning. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci., 1162, 79-98.
16. Lawson, C.R., Bennie, J.J., Thomas, C.D., Hodgson, J.A. & Wilson, R.J. (2012) Local and landscape management of an expanding range margin under climate change. J. Appl. Ecol., 49, 552-561.
17. Maalouf, J.P., Bagousse-Pinguet, L., Marchand, L., Bâchelier, E., Touzard, B. & Michalet, R. (2012) Integrating climate change into calcareous grassland management. J. Appl. Ecol., 49, 795-802.
18. Mazerolle, M.J. (2012) AICcmodavg: model selection and multimodel inference based on (Q)AIC(c). http://CRANR-projectorg/package=AICcmodavg. Accessed 14 March 2013.
19. Merckx, T., Van Dyck, H., Karlsson, B. & Leimar, O. (2003) The evolution of movements and behaviour at boundaries in different landscapes: a common arena experiment with butterflies. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser B: Biol. Sci, 270, 1815-1821.
20. Natural England. (2012) The Natural England Data portal. http://www.naturalengland.org.uk/publications/data/Default.aspx. Accessed 14 March 2013.
21. Nicholson, E., Collen, B., Barausse, A. et al. (2012) Making robust policy decisions using global biodiversity indicators. PloS One, 7, e41128.
22. Pearce, J. & Ferrier, S. (2000) Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression. Ecol. Model., 133, 225-245.
23. Phillips, S.J., Williams, P., Midgley, G. & Archer, A. (2008) Optimizing dispersal corridors for the Cape Proteaceae using network flow. Ecol. Appl., 18, 1200-1211.
24. R Development Core Team. (2011) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
25. Richards, S.A. (2008) Dealing with overdispersed count data in applied ecology. J. Appl. Ecol., 45, 218-227.
26. Thomas, C.D., Bodsworth, E.J., Wilson, R.J. et al. (2001) Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins. Nature, 411, 577-581.
27. Thomas, C.D., Gillingham, P.K., Bradbury, R.B. et al. (2012) Protected areas facilitate species' range expansions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 109, 14063-14068.
28. Thomas, J., Thomas, C., Simcox, D. & Clarke, R. (1986) Ecology and declining status of the silver-spotted skipper butterfly (Hesperia comma) in Britain. J. Appl. Ecol., 23, 365-380.
29. Thomas, J.A. (1993) Holocene climate changes and warm man-made refugia may explain why a sixth of British butterflies possess unnatural early-successional habitats. Ecography, 16, 278-284.
30. Thomas, J.A., Simcox, D. & Clarke, R.T. (2009) Successful conservation of a threatened Maculinea butterfly. Science, 325, 80-83.
31. Van Dyck, H., Van Strien, A.J., Maes, D. & Van Swaay, C.A.M. (2009) Declines in common, widespread butterflies in a landscape under intense human use. Conserv. Biol., 23, 957-965.
32. Warren, M. (1993) A review of butterfly conservation in central southern Britain: I. protection, evaluation and extinction on prime sites. Biol. Conserv., 64, 25-35.
33. Warren, M., Hill, J., Thomas, J. et al. (2001) Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change. Nature, 414, 65-69.
34. Zimbres, B.Q.C., de Aquino, P.D.P.U., Machado, R.B. et al. (2012) Range shifts under climate change and the role of protected areas for armadillos and anteaters. Biol. Conserv., 152, 53-61.