System dynamics modeling for renewable energy and CO2 emissions: A case study of Ecuador

Energy for Sustainable Development

Volumn 20, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 11-20

  Robalino Lopez A ^a   Mena Nieto, A ^a   Garcia Ramos J E ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HUELVA   (Spain)

Author keywords

Ecuador; Kaya identity; System dynamics

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; FOSSIL FUELS; GAS EMISSIONS; GREENHOUSE GASES; SYSTEM THEORY;

ECUADOR; FEEDBACK MECHANISMS; FOSSIL FUEL TECHNOLOGIES; GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTS; KAYA IDENTITY; SYSTEM DYNAMICS; SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL; USE OF RENEWABLE ENERGIES;

ENERGY EFFICIENCY;

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY; CARBON DIOXIDE; CARBON EMISSION; DEVELOPING WORLD; EMISSION CONTROL; EMISSION INVENTORY; ENERGY PLANNING; ENERGY USE; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; FOSSIL FUEL; GREENHOUSE GAS; GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT; MODELING; RENEWABLE RESOURCE; SUSTAINABILITY;

ECUADOR;

TORREYA NUCIFERA;

EID: 84896796777     PISSN: 09730826     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2014.02.001     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. 2 and its explanatory factors in the different areas of the world. Technical report 2005, Universidad Autonoma de Barcelona, Department of Economics Applied, Spain.
2. ANCUPA Area national oil palm 2013, Ecuador Association of African Palm Growers (Asociación Nacional de Cultivadores de Palma Africana del Ecuador), [http://www.ancupa.com].
3. Ang B.W. The LMDI approach to decomposition analysis: a practical guide. Energy Policy 2005, 33:867-871.
4. Bahrman S., Lenker C., Michalek J. A model-based approach to analyze the effects of automotive air emissions policy on consumers, producers, and air quality 2007, Eco Design and Manufacturing.
5. Bassi A., Baer A. Quantifying cross-sectoral impacts of investments in climate change mitigation in Ecuador. Energy Sustain Dev 2009, 13:116-123.
6. BCE-Central Bank of Ecuador (Banco Central de Ecuador) BCE indicators homepage http://www.bce.fin.ec/indicador.php.
7. Begueri G. System dynamics: a new approach. Technical report 2001, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, Argentina.
8. 2 emissions and economic growth in EU countries. Journal of International Development Economic Research 2002, Universidad de Santiago de Compostela, Spain, [JEL classification: O13, O14, O52].
9. CEPAL Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe "PROYECTO OLADE/CEPAL/GTZ: Estudio para la Evaluación del Entorno del Proyecto Geotérmico Binacional" Tufiño-Chiles-Cerro Negro, LC/R. 1995, 23 de junio de 2000 2000.
10. Chien Taichen, Hu Jin-Li Renewable energy and macroeconomic efficiency of OECD and non-OECD economies. Energy Policy 2007, 35:3606-3615.
11. Chien Taichen, Hu Jin-Li Renewable energy: an efficient mechanism to improve GDP. Energy Policy 2008, 36:3045-3052.
12. CONELEC11, National Council for Electrification (Consejo Nacional de Electrificación) Treatment for energy produced from non-conventional renewable energy resources (CONELEC regulation no. 004/11) http://www.conelec.gob.ec.
13. CONELEC13, National Council for Electrification (Consejo Nacional de Electrificación) http://www.conelec.gob.ec.
14. Conservation-International Megadiversity: the 17 biodiversity superstars http://www.conservation.org/documentaries/Pages/megadiversity.aspx.
15. Domac J., Richards K., Sarafidis S. Socio-economic drivers in implementing bioenergy projects. Biomass Bioenergy 2005, 28:97106.
16. Feng Y.Y., Chen S.Q., Zhang L.X. System dynamics modeling for urban energy consumption and CO2 emissions: a case study of Beijing, China. Ecological Modelling 2013, 252:44-52.
17. Fiddaman T.S. Exploring policy with a behavioral climate-economy model. Syst Dyn Rev 2002, 18:243-267.
18. Forrester J. Industrial dynamics 1961, Pegasus Communications.
19. García J. Theory and practical exercises of system dynamics http://www.dinamica-de-sistemas.com/libros/dynamics.htm.
20. Hodrick R., Prescott E. Postwar U.S. business cycles: an empirical investigation. J Money Credit Bank Feb., 1997, 29(No. 1):1-16.
21. Index Mundi, 2012. http://www.indexmundi.com/ecuador/energy_profile.html.
22. INEC http://www.ecuadorencifras.com/.
23. International Energy Agency Data and statistics for Ecuador http://www.iea.org/countries/non-membercountries/ecuador/.
24. IPCC 2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme. Technical report 2006, 2. [Chapter 6].
25. IPCC Climate change 2007 synthesis report. Technical report contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007.
26. Jin Y., Yumi T., Tatsuya T., Shigehide S., Kei-ichi T. Mathematical equivalence of geometric mean fitness with probabilistic optimization under environmental uncertainty. Ecol Model 2009, 220:26112617.
27. Kaya Y., Yokobori K. "Environment, energy, and economy: strategies for sustainability". Conference on global environment, energy, and economic development 1993, Tokyo, Japan.
28. MAG Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, Aquaculture and Fisheries of Ecuador (Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería, Acuacultura y Pesca del Ecuador) Major crops of Ecuador, total cropped area, historical series 2000-2011 http://servicios.agricultura.gob.ec.
29. MEER Ministry of Electricity and Renewable Energy of Ecuador (Ministerio de Electricidad y Energía Renovable del Ecuador) Flagship projects http://www.energia.gob.ec.
30. Mena-Nieto A., Meñaca C., Barrero A., Bellido M. Application of the system dynamics methodology for modeling and simulation of the greenhouse gas emissions in Cartagena de Indias (Colombia). Selected proceedings from the 13th international congress on project engineering 2009, 260-277. Badajoz, Spain. AEIPRO (Ed.).
31. Mosquera A. Policies and strategies for changing the energy matrix in Ecuador. Ministry of Electricity and Renewable Energy (Ministerio de Electricidad y Energía Renovable), Ecuador 2008.
32. MRNRE Ministry of non-renewable natural resources of Ecuador (Ministerio de Recursos Naturales no Renovables del Ecuador) Ecopais project http://190.11.28.23/es/coberturas-especiales/ecopais.htm.
33. Naill R., Gelanger S., Klinger A., Petersen E. An analysis of cost effectiveness of US energy policies to mitigate global warming. Syst Dyn Rev 1992, 8:111-118.
34. Nordhaus W., Yang Z. A regional dynamic general-equilibrium model of alternative climate-change strategies. Am Econ Rev 1996, 86:741-765.
35. Pasten R., Figueroa E. The environmental Kuznets curve: a survey of the theoretical literature. Int Rev Environ Resour Econ 2012, 6(3):195-224.
36. Radzicki M., Tauheed L. In defense of system dynamics: a response to professor Hayden. J Econ Issues 2009, 43(4):1043-1061.
37. Rowland D. Demographic methods and concepts, chap 2, population growth and decline 2003, Oxford University Press.
38. StataCorp LP StataCorp LP http://www.stata.com/.
39. Tan B., Anderson E., Dyer J., Parker G. Evaluating system dynamics models of risky projects using decision trees: alternative energy projects as an illustrative example. Syst Dyn Rev 2010, 26(1):1-17.
40. TCELDF (The Community Environmental Legal Defense Fund) 2008, about the New Constitution 2008 2011.
41. UNDP (United Nations Development Program) Human development report 2011. United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) 2011, [ISBN: 9780230363311].
42. USDA (United States Department of Agriculture) Ecuador 2011 biofuels (biodiesel, biotethanol, biomass) sector policy development and outlook http://gain.fas.usda.gov.
43. Vensim Vensim. Version PLE http://www.vensim.com/.
44. World Bank Statistics and national referents homepage http://data.worldbank.org/country/ecuador.
45. Zellner A. An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regression equations and tests for aggregation bias. J Am Stat Assoc 1962, 57:348368.