Dry spell characteristics over India based on IMD and APHRODITE datasets

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 43, Issue 12, 2014, Pages 3419-3437

  Sushama, L ^a   Ben Said, S ^a   Khaliq, M N ^a,b   Nagesh Kumar, D ^c   Laprise, R ^a  

^a UNIVERSITÉ DU QUÉBEC À MONTRÉAL   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SASKATCHEWAN   (Canada)

^c INDIAN INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE   (India)

Author keywords

Dry spells; Gridded precipitation data; India; Trends

Indexed keywords

EID: 84896412876     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2113-9     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Beniston M, Stephenson DB, Christenson OB, Ferro CAT, Frei C, Goyette S, Halsnaes K, Holt T, Jylhä K, Koffi B, Palutikof J, Schöll R, Semmler T, Woth K (2007) Future extreme events in European climate: an exploration of regional climate model projections. Clim Change 81:71–95
2. Bouagila B, Sushama L (2013) On the current and future dry spell characteristics over Africa. Atmosphere 4:272–298
3. Cohn TA, Lins HF (2005) Nature’s style: naturally trendy. Geophys Res Lett 32:L23402. doi:10.1029/2005GL024476
4. Elmore KL, Baldwin ME, Schultz DM (2006) Field significance revisited: spatial bias errors in forecasts as applied to the Eta model. Mon Weather Rev 134:519–531
5. Ghosh S, Luniya V, Gupta A (2009) Trend analysis of Indian summer monsoon rainfall at different spatial scales. Roy Meteorol Soc 10(4):285–290
6. Gong DY, Shi PJ, Wang JA (2004) Daily precipitation changes in the semi-arid region over northern China. J Arid Environ 59:771–784
7. Goswami BN, Venugopal V, Sengupta D, Madhusoodanan MS, Prince KX (2006) Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment. Science 314:1442–1445
8. Guhathakurta P, Rajeevan M (2008) Trends in the rainfall pattern over India. Int J Climatol 28(11):1453–1469
9. Hamed KH, Rao AR (1998) A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. J Hydrol 204:219–246
10. Joshi UR, Rajeevan M (2006) Trends in precipitation extremes over India. National Climate Centre, Pune
11. Kendall MG (1975) Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin, London
12. Khaliq MN, Ouarda TBMJ, Gachon P, Sushama L, St-Hilaire A (2009a) Identification of hydrological trends in the presence of serial and cross correlations: review of selected methods and their application to annual flow regimes of Canadian rivers. J Hydrol 368(1–4):117–130
13. Khaliq MN, Ouarda TBMJ, Gachon P (2009b) Identification of temporal trends in annual and seasonal low flows occurring in Canadian rivers: the effect of short- and long-term persistence. J Hydrol 369:183–197
14. Lucas-Picher P, Christensen JH, Saeed F, Kumar P, Asharaf S, Ahrens B, Wiltshire AJ, Jacob D, Hagemann S (2011) Can regional climate models represent the Indian monsoon? J Hydrometeor 12:849–868
15. Kulkarni A, von Storch H (1995) Monte Carlo experiments on the effect of serial correlation on the Mann-Kendall test of trend. Meteorol Z 4(2):82–85
16. Lana X, Burgueno A, Martinez MD, Serra C (2006) Statistical distributions and sampling strategies for the analysis of extreme dry spells in Catalaonia (NE Spain). J Hydrol 324:94–114
17. Livezey RE, Chen WY (1983) Statistical field significance and its determination by Monte Carlo techniques. Mon Weather Rev 111:46–59
18. Mann HB (1945) Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13:245–259
19. May W (2008) Potential future changes in the characteristics of daily precipitation in Europe simulated by the HIRHAM regional climate model. Clim Dyn 30:581–603
20. Rajeevan M, Bhate J (2009) A high resolution daily gridded rainfall dataset (1971–2005) for meso-scale meteorological studies. Curr Sci 96(4):558–562
21. Rajeevan M, Bhate J, Kale JD, Lal B (2006) High resolution daily gridded rainfall data for the Indian region, analysis of break and active monsoon spells. Curr Sci 91(3):296–306
22. Rajeevan M, Bhate J, Jaswal AK (2008) Correction to “Analysis of variability and trends of extreme rainfall events over India using 104 years of gridded daily rainfall data”. Geophys Res Lett 35:L23701. doi:10.1029/2008GL036105
23. Ray KCS, Srivastava AK (2000) Is there any change in extreme events like heavy rainfall? Curr Sci 79(2):155–158
24. Revadekar JV, Preethi B (2011) Statistical analysis of the relationship between summer monsoon precipitation extremes and food grain yield over India. Int J Climatol 1–10. doi: 10.1002/joc.2282
25. Saeed F, Hagemann S, Jacob D (2011) A framework for the evaluation of the South Asian summer monsoon in a regional climate model applied to REMO. Int J Climatol 32:430–440
26. Serra C, Burgueno A, Martinez MD, Lana X (2006) Trends in dry spells across Catalonia (NE Spain) during the recent half of the 20th century. Theoret Appl Climatol 85:165–183
27. Shepard D (1968) A two-dimensional interpolation function for irregularly spaced data. In Proceedings of 1968 ACM national conference, pp 517–524
28. Singh N, Ranade A (2010) The wet and dry spells across India during 1951–2007. J Hydrometeorol 11:26–45
29. Subbaramayya I, Naidu CV (1992) Spatial variations and trends in the Indian monsoon rainfall. Int J Climatol 12:597–609
30. Suppiah R, Hennessy KJ (1998) Trends in total rainfall, heavy rain events and number of dry days in Australia, 1910–1990. Int J Climatol 10:1141–1164
31. Sushama L, Khaliq MN, Laprise R (2010) Dry spell characteristics over Canada in a changing climate as simulated by the Canadian RCM. Global Planet Change 74:1–14
32. Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GA (2006) Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Clim Change 79:185–211
33. Uma R, Lakshmi Kumar TV, Narayanan MS, Rajeevan M, Bhate J, Niranjan Kumar K (2013) Large scale features and assessment of spatial scale correspondence between TMPA and IMD rainfall datasets over Indian landmass. J Earth Syst Sci 122(3):573–588
34. Ventura V, Paciorek CJ, Risbey JS (2004) Controlling the proportion of falsely rejected hypotheses when conducting multiple tests with climatological data. J Clim 17:4343–4356
35. Vigaud N, Vrac M, Caballero Y (2012) Probabilistic downscaling of GCM scenarios over southern India. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.3509
36. Wang XL, Swail VR (2001) Changes of extreme wave heights in northern hemisphere oceans and related atmospheric circulation regimes. J Clim 14:2204–2221
37. Wilks DS (2006) On “field significance” and false discovery rate. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 45:1181–1189
38. Yatagai A, Arakawa O, Kamiguchi K, Kawamoto H, Nodzu MI, Hamada A (2009) A 44-years daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on dense network of rain gauges. SOLA 5:137–140. doi:10.2151/sola.2009-035
39. Yue S, Pilon P, Phinney B (2003) Canadian streamflow trend detection: impacts of serial and cross-correlation. Hydrol Sci J 48(1):51–63