Accounting for habitat when considering climate: Has the niche of the Adonis blue butterfly changed in the UK?

Oecologia

Volumn 174, Issue 4, 2014, Pages 1463-1472

  O'Connor, Rory S ^a,b   Hails, Rosemary S ^a   Thomas, Jeremy A ^b  

^a CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Climate warming; Habitat management; Habitat quality; Larval niche; Thermophilous

Indexed keywords

BUTTERFLY; CALCAREOUS GRASSLAND; EXTINCTION RISK; GRASS; GRASSLAND; GRAZING; HABITAT MANAGEMENT; HABITAT QUALITY; HABITAT STRUCTURE; HYPOTHESIS TESTING; LARVA; NICHE; WARMING;

UNITED KINGDOM;

LYSANDRA BELLARGUS;

ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; BUTTERFLY; CLIMATE; ECOSYSTEM; EGG LAYING; ENDANGERED SPECIES; FEMALE; LARVA; SOIL; TEMPERATURE; UNITED KINGDOM;

ANIMALS; BUTTERFLIES; CLIMATE; ECOSYSTEM; ENDANGERED SPECIES; FEMALE; GREAT BRITAIN; LARVA; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; OVIPOSITION; SOIL; TEMPERATURE;

EID: 84896318902     PISSN: 00298549     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00442-013-2850-1     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Altermatt F (2010) Climatic warming increases voltinism in European butterflies and moths. Proc R Soc B 277: 1281-1287.
2. Asher J, Warren M, Fox R, Harding P, Jeffcoate G, Jeffcoate S (2001) The millennium atlas of butterflies in Britain and Ireland. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
3. Bourn NAD, Thomas JA (2002) The challenge of conserving grassland insects at the margins of their range in Europe. Biol Conserv 104: 8.
4. Bourn NAD, Warren M (1998) Species action plan-Adonis blue Lysandra bellargus (Polyommatus bellargus). Butterfly Conservation, Wareham.
5. Davies ZG, Wilson RJ, Brereton TM, Thomas CD (2005) The re-expansion and improving status of the silver-spotted skipper butterfly (Hesperia comma) in Britain: a metapopulation success story. Biol Conserv 124: 189-198.
6. Davies ZG, Wilson RJ, Coles S, Thomas CD (2006) Changing habitat associations of a thermally constrained species, the silver-spotted skipper butterfly, in response to climate warming. J Anim Ecol 75: 247-256.
7. Davies H, Brereton TM, Roy DB, Fox R (2007) Government targets for protected area management: will threatened butterflies benefit? Biodivers Conserv 16: 3719-3736.
8. Dennis RLH (1991) Climatic change and the British butterfly fauna: opportunities and constraints. Biol Conserv 55: 1-16.
9. Fox R, Asher J, Brereton T, Roy D, Warren M (2006) The state of butterflies in Britain and Ireland. NatureBureau, Newbury.
10. Fox R et al (2011) The state of the UK's butterflies 2011. Butterfly Conservation and the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wareham.
11. Hill JK et al (2002) Responses of butterflies to twentieth century climate warming: implications for future ranges. Proc Biol Sci 269: 2163-2171.
12. Hodgson JA, Thomas CD, Wintle BA, Moilanen A (2009) Climate change, connectivity and conservation decision making: back to basics. J Appl Ecol 46: 964-969.
13. Kruess A, Tscharntke T (2002) Grazing intensity and the diversity of grasshoppers, butterflies, and trap-nesting bees and wasps. Conserv Biol 16: 11.
14. Lawson CR, Bennie JJ, Thomas CD, Hodgson JA, Wilson RJ (2012) Local and landscape management of an expanding range margin under climate change. J Appl Ecol 49: 552-561.
15. Mair L, Thomas CD, Anderson BJ, Fox R, Botham M, Hill JK (2012) Temporal variation in responses of species to four decades of climate warming. Glob Change Biol 18: 2439-2447.
16. Morecroft MD, Taylor ME, Oliver HR (1998) Air and soil microclimates of deciduous woodland compared to an open site. Agric For Meteorol 90: 141-156.
17. Oliver TH, Roy DB, Brereton T, Thomas JA (2012) Reduced variability in range-edge butterfly populations over three decades of climate warming. Glob Change Biol 18: 1531-1539.
18. Parmesan C (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 37: 637-669.
19. Parmesan C et al (1999) Poleward shifts in geographical ranges of butterfly species associated with regional warming. Nature 399: 579-583.
20. R Core Development Team (2012) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna.
21. Roy DB, Sparks TH (2000) Phenology of British butterflies and climate change. Glob Change Biol 6: 407-416.
22. Roy DB, Thomas JA (2003) Seasonal variation in the niche, habitat availability and population fluctuations of a bivoltine thermophilous insect near its range margin. Oecologia 134: 439-444.
23. Roy DB, Rothery P, Moss D, Poolard E, Thomas JA (2001) Butterfly numbers and weather: predicting historical trends in abundance and the future effects of climate change. J Appl Ecol 70: 201-217.
24. Stewart KEJ, Bourn NAD, Thomas JA (2001) An evaluation of three quick methods commonly used to assess sward height in ecology. J Appl Ecol 38: 1148-1154.
25. Thomas JA (1983) The ecology and conservation of Lysandra bellargus (Lepidotera: Lycaenidae) in Britain. J Appl Ecol 20: 59-83.
26. Thomas JA (1991) Rare species conservation: case studies of European butterflies. Symp Br Ecol Soc 31: 149-197.
27. Thomas JA (1993) Holocene climate changes and warm man-made refugia may explain why a sixth of British butterflies possess unnatural early-successional habitats. Ecography 16: 278-284.
28. Thomas JA, Thomas CD, Simcox DJ, Clarke RT (1986) Ecology and declining status of the silver-spotted Skipper butterfly (Hesperia comma) in Britain. J Appl Ecol 23: 365-380.
29. Thomas JA, Rose RJ, Clarke RT, Thomas CD, Webb NR (1999) Intraspecific variation in habitat availability among ectothermic animals near their climatic limits and their centres of range. Funct Ecol 13(Suppl. 1): 55-64.
30. Thomas CD et al (2001) Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins. Nature 411: 577-581.
31. Thomas JA et al (2004) Comparative losses of British butterflies, birds, and plants and the global extinction crisis. Science 303: 1879-1881.
32. Thomas JA, Simcox DJ, Clarke RT (2009) Successful conservation of a threatened Maculinea butterfly. Science 325: 80-83.
33. Thomas JA, Simcox DJ, Hovestadt T (2011) Evidence based conservation of butterflies. J Insect Conserv 15: 241-258.
34. Trenberth KE et al (2007) Observations: surface and atmospheric climate change. In: Solomon S et al (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
35. Turner EC et al (2008) Habitat preference and dispersal of the Duke of Burgundy butterfly (Hamearis lucina) on an abandoned chalk quarry in Bedfordshire, UK. J Insect Conserv 13: 475-486.
36. Ward G, Hastie T, Barry S, Elith J, Leathwick JR (2009) Presence-only data and the em algorithm. Biometrics 65: 554-563.
37. Warren MS, Barneet LK, Gibbons DW, Avery MI (1997) Assessing national conservation priorities: an improved red list of British butterflies. Biol Conserv 82: 317-328.
38. Warren MS et al (2001) Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change. Nature 414: 65-69.
39. Wilson RJ, Davies ZG, Thomas CD (2009) Modelling the effect of habitat fragmentation on range expansion in a butterfly. Proc Biol Sci 276: 1421-1427.
40. Wilson RJ, Davies ZG, Thomas CD (2010) Linking habitat use to range expansion rates in fragmented landscapes: a metapopulation approach. Ecography 33: 73-82.
41. Wood SN (2011) Fast stable restricted maximum likelihood and marginal likelihood estimation of semiparametric generalized linear models. J R Stat Soc (B) 73: 95-114.