Flood risk impact factor for comparatively evaluating the main causes that contribute to flood risk in urban drainage areas

Water (Switzerland)

Volumn 6, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 253-270

  Morita, Masaru ^a  

^a SHIBAURA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Climate change; Flood inundation modeling; Flood risk assessment; Flood risk impact factor (FRIF)

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENTS; CLIMATE CHANGE; FLOOD CONTROL; GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS; RISK ASSESSMENT; STORMS;

DAMAGE ESTIMATION; DAMAGE PREDICTION MODELS; FLOOD INUNDATION MODELING; FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENTS; FLOOD RISKS; QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION; RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK; STORM DRAINAGE SYSTEMS;

FLOOD DAMAGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DRAINAGE NETWORK; FLOOD DAMAGE; GIS; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTOR;

HONSHU; JAPAN; KANTO; TOKYO [KANTO];

EID: 84894741096     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20734441     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3390/w6020253     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2007: Fourth Assessment Report Climate Change 2007 Synthesis Report, Topic3. Available online: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr.pdf (accessed on 14 September 2009).
2. Patrick, W.; Jonas, O.; Karsten, A.-N.; Simon, B.; Assela, P.; Ida Bulow, G.; Henrik, M.; Van-Thanh-Van, N. Impacts of Climate Change on Rainfall Extremes and Urban Drainage Systems; IWA Publishing: London, UK, 2007.
3. Wilson, R. Analyzing the daily risks in life. Technol. Rev. 1979, February, 41-45.
4. National Research Council. Improving Risk Communications; National Academy Press: Washington, DC, USA, 1989.
5. Crichton, D. Role of insurance in reducing flood risk. Geneva Pap. 2008, 33, 117-132.
6. National Research Council. Risk Analysis and Uncertainty in Flood Damage Reduction Studies; National Academy Press: Washington, DC, USA, 2000; p. 179.
7. Baan, P. Risk Perceptance and Preparedness and Flood Insurance. In Urban Flood Management, Chapter 6, Urban Flood Management; Szollosi-Nagy, A., Zevenbergen, C., Eds.; Taylor & Francis Group plc.: London, UK, 2005; pp. 67-82.
8. Samuels, P.G. Where Next in Flood Risk Management? A Personal View on Research Needs and Directions. In Proceedings of 2nd European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Flood Risk 2012, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 19-23 November 2013.
9. Klijn, F.; Samuels, P.; Van Os, A. Towards flood risk management in the EU: State of affairs with examples from various European countries. Int. J. River Basin Manag. 2008, 6, 307-321.
10. Davis, D.W. Risk analysis in flood damage reduction studies-The corps experience. In Proceedings of the Congress of Environmental and Water Resources Institute, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 23-26 June 2003.
11. Morita, M. Flood risk analysis for determining optimal flood protection levels in urban river management. J. Flood Risk Manag. 2008, 1, 142-149.
12. Plate, E.J. Flood risk and flood management. J. Hydrol. 2002, 267, 2-11.
13. Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA). Climate Adaptation: Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making. In UKCIP Technical Report; Willows, R.I., Connell, R.K., Eds.; UKCIP (UK Climate Impact Programme): Oxford, UK, 2003.
14. Nguyen, V.-T.-V.; Nguyen, T.-D.; Cung, A. A statistical approach to downscaling of sub-daily extreme rainfall processes for climate-related impacts studies in urban areas. Water Sci. Technol. Water Supply 2007, 7, 183-192.
15. Morita, M. Quantification of increased flood risk due to global climate change for urban river management planning. Water Sci. Technol. 2011, 63, 2967-2974.
16. Morita, M. Risk assessment method for flood control planning considering global climate change in urban river management. IAHS Publ. 2013, 357,107-116.
17. Morita, M. Flood Risk Impact Factor for Flood Risk Assessment in Urban River Management. In Proceedings of the 2nd European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Floodrisk 2012, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 19-23 November 2013.
18. Phillip, B.C.; Yu S.; de Silva, N. 1D and 2D Modeling of Urban Drainage Systems Using XP-SWMM and TUFLOW2. In Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Urban Drainage, Copenhagen, Denmark, 22-25 August 2005.
19. Chow, V.T.; Maidment, D.R.; Mays, L.W. Applied Hydrology; McGraw-Hill Science: New York, NY, USA, 1988.
20. Koto city. The Hazard Map. Available online: http://www.city.koto.lg.jp/seikatsu/douro/7509/13389/file/map.pdf (assessed on 15 October 2013)
21. Smith, D.I. Flood damage estimation-A review of urban stage-damage curves and loss functions. Water SA 1994, 20, 231-238.
22. Morita, M. Risk analysis and decision-Making for optimal flood protection level in urban river management. In Proceedings of the European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Floodrisk 2008, Oxford, UK, 30 September-2 October 2008.
23. Kreibich, H.; Piroth, K.; Seifert, I.; Maiwald, H.; Kunert, U.; Schwarz, J.; Merz, B.; Thieken, A.H. Is flow velocity a significant parameter in flood damage modelling? Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 2009, 9, 1697-1692.
24. Hammond, M.J.; Chen, A.; Butler, D.; Djordjević, S.; Manojlović, N. A framework for flood impact assessment in urban areas. IAHS Publ. 2013, 357, 41-47.
25. National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management. Projection of Future Storm Rainfall Intensity Affected by Global Climate Change-Analysis of GCM20 Model Simulation Results; Technical Note of NILIM, No.462; National Institute for Land and Infrastructure: Tsukuba, Japan, 2008; pp.107-116.
26. Oki, T. Localized torrential rainfall and flood disaster in urbanized area. J. Hydrol. Syst. 2008, 61, 5-9, in Japanese.
27. Pappenberger, F.; Beven, K.J. Ignorance is bliss: Or seven reasons not to use uncertainty analysis. Water Resour. Res. 2006, 42, doi:10.1029/2005WR004820.
28. Apel, H.; Merz, B.; Thieken, A.H. Quantification of uncertainties in flood risk assessments. Int. J. River Basin Manag. 2008, 6, 149-262.
29. De Moel, H.; Aerts, J.C.J.H. Effect of uncertainty in land use, damage models and inundation depth on flood damage estimates. Nat. Hazards 2011, 58, 407-425.