Do flexible alcohol trading hours reduce violence? A theory-based natural experiment in alcohol policy

Social Science and Medicine

Volumn 102, Issue , 2014, Pages 1-9

  Humphreys, David K ^a,b,c   Eisner, Manuel P ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Alcohol policy; Dose response analysis; Natural experiments; Violence

Indexed keywords

ALCOHOL POLICY; DOSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; NATURAL EXPERIMENTS; VIOLENCE;

ALCOHOL DRINKING; ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES; COMMERCE; ENGLAND; HUMANS; PUBLIC POLICY; TIME FACTORS; VIOLENCE; WALES;

EID: 84894278747     PISSN: 02779536     EISSN: 18735347     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.11.038     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Anselin L. Exploring spatial data with GeoDa™: A workbook 2005, Center for Spatially Integrated Social Science, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL.
2. Babor T., Caetano R., Cresswell S., Edwards G., Giesbrecht N., Graham K., et al. Alcohol: No ordinary commodity, research and public policy 2003, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
3. Bonell C., Fletcher A., Morton M., Lorenc T., Moore L. Realist randomised controlled trials: a new approach to evaluating complex public health interventions. Social Science & Medicine 2012, 75:2299-2306.
4. Coleman C., Moynihan J. Understanding crime data: Haunted by the dark figure 1996, Open University Press, Buckingham.
5. Craig P., Cooper C., Gunnell D., Haw S., Lawson K., Macintyre S., et al. Using natural experiments to evaluation population health interventions: Guidance for producers and users of evidence 2011, Medical Research Council, London.
6. Cusimano M., Marshall S., Rinner C., Jiang D., Chipman M. Patterns of urban violent injury: a spatio-temporal analysis. PLoS ONE 2010, 5:e8669.
7. Guidance issued under section 182 of the licensing act (2003) 2006, Department of Culture Media and Sport, Department of Culture, Media and Sport, London.
8. Dobson D., Cook T.J. Avoiding type III error in program evaluation: results from a field experiment. Evaluation and Program Planning 1980, 3:269-276.
9. Duailibi S., Ponicki W., Grube J., Pinsky I., Laranjeira R., Raw M. The effect of restricting opening hours on alcohol-related violence. American Journal of Public Health 2007, 97:2276.
10. Eck J.E., Weisburd D. Crime places in crime theory. Crime and place 1995, 1-34. Criminal Justice Press, Monsey, NY. J.E. Eck, D. Weisburd (Eds.).
11. Eisner M., Wikström P. Violent crime in the urban community: a comparison of Stockholm and Basel. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research 1999, 7:427-442.
12. Ezzati M., Hoorn S.V., Lopez A.D., Danaei G., Rodgers A., Mathers C.D., et al. Comparative quantification of mortality and burden of disease attributable to selected risk factors. Global burden of disease and risk factors 2006, Oxford University Press, USA, New York. A.D. Lopez, C.D. Mathers, M. Ezzati, D.T. Jamison, C.J.L. Murray (Eds.).
13. Graham K. Commentary on Rossow and Norström (2012): when should bars close?. Addiction 2012, 107:538-539.
14. Hadfield P. Bar wars: Contesting the night in contemporary British cities 2006, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
15. Hadfield P. Ahard act to follow: assessing the consequences of licensing reform in England and Wales. Addiction 2007, 102:177-180.
16. Haining R.P. Spatial data analysis: Theory and practice 2003, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
17. Hope T. Liquor licensing and crime prevention. Home Office Research and Planning Unit Research Bulletin 1986, 20:5-8.
18. Hough M., Hunter G. The 2003 licensing act's impact on crime and disorder: an evaluation. Criminology and Criminal Justice 2008, 8:239.
19. Humphreys D.K., Eisner M.P. Evaluating a natural experiment in alcohol policy: the licensing act (2003) and the requirement for attention to implementation. Criminology & Public Policy 2010, 9:41-67.
20. Humphreys D.K., Eisner M.P., Wiebe D.J. Evaluating the impact of flexible alcohol trading hours on violence: an interrupted time series analysis. PLoS ONE 2013, 8:e55581.
21. Humphreys D.K., Smith D.M. Alcohol licensing data: why is it an underused resource in public health?. Health & Place 2013.
22. Kypri K., Jones C., McElduff P., Barker D. Effects of restricting pub closing times on night,Äêtime assaults in an Australian city. Addiction 2011, 106:303-310.
23. LaScala E.A., Gerber D., Gruenewald P.J. Demographic and environmental correlates of pedestrian injury collisions: a spatial analysis. Accident Analysis & Prevention 2000, 32:651-658.
24. Lipsey M. Theory as method: small theories of treatments. Understanding causes and generalizing about them: New directions for program evaluation 1993, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco. L. Sechrest, A.G. Scott (Eds.).
25. Lipton R., Gruenewald P. The spatial dynamics of violence and alcohol outlets. Journal of Studies on Alcohol 2002, 63:187.
26. Livingston M. Alcohol outlet density and assault: a spatial analysis. Addiction 2008, 103:619-628.
27. Livingston M., Chikritzhs T., Room R. Changing the density of alcohol outlets to reduce alcohol-related problems. Drug and Alcohol Review 2007, 26:557-566.
28. Marsh P.E., Fox-Kibby K. Drinking and public disorder 1992, The Portman Group, London.
29. Middleton J.C., Hahn R.A., Kuzara J.L., Elder R., Brewer R., Chattopadhyay S., et al. Effectiveness of policies maintaining or restricting days of alcohol sales on excessive alcohol consumption and related harms. American Journal of Preventive Medicine 2010, 39:575-589.
30. Standard area statistics (England and Wales) 2004, Office for National Statistics, ESRCS/JISC Census Programme, Census Dissemination Unit, MIMAS, Manchester.
31. Osgood D.W. Poisson-based regression analysis of aggregate crime rates. Journal of quantitative criminology 2000, 16:21-43.
32. Pawson R., Tilley N. Realistic evaluation 1997, SAGE Publications Ltd, London.
33. Peirce B.H., Boyle A.A. How has the Licensing Act (2003) changed the epidemiology of assaults presenting to a Cambridgeshire emergency department? Before and after study. European Journal of Emergency Medicine 2011, 18:351.
34. Petticrew M., Cummins S., Ferrell C., Findlay A., Higgins C., Hoy C., et al. Natural experiments: an underused tool for public health?. Public Health 2005, 119:751-757.
35. Popham R.E., Schmidt W., De Lint J. The effects of legal restraint on drinking. The Biology of Alcoholism 1976, 4:579-625.
36. Tackling alcohol together: The evidence base for a UK alcohol policy 1999, Free Association Books, London. D. Raistrick, R. Hodgson, B. Ritson (Eds.).
37. Romelsjö A. Effects of changes in availability of alcohol: unexpected results can stimulate theory development and research. Alcohol and Alcoholism 2010, 45:468-469.
38. Room R. Disabling the public interest: alcohol strategies and policies for England. Addiction 2004, 99:1083-1089.
39. Room R., Babor T., Rehm J. Alcohol and public health. The lancet 2005, 365:519-530.
40. Rossi P., Lipsey M., Freeman H. Evaluation: A systematic approach 2004, Sage Publications, Inc., Thousand Oaks.
41. Rossow I., Norström T. The impact of small changes in bar closing hours on violence. The Norwegian experience from 18 cities. Addiction 2012, 107:530-537.
42. Rothman K.J., Greenland S., Lash T.L. Modern epidemiology 2008, Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Philadelphia.
43. Shadish W., Cook T., Campbell D. Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for generalized causal inference 2002, Houghton-Mifflin, Boston.
44. Stockwell T., Chikritzhs T. Do relaxed trading hours for bars and clubs mean more relaxed drinking? A review of international research on the impacts of changes to permitted hours of drinking. Crime Prevention & Community Safety 2009, 11:153-170.
45. Stockwell T., Chikritzhs T., Masters L. Evaluation of the public health and safety impact of extended trading permits for Perth hotels and nightclubs 1997, National Drug Research Institute, Curtin University of Technology, Perth.
46. Stockwell T., Gruenewald P. Controls on the physical availability of alcohol. The essential handbook of treatment and prevention of alcohol problems 2003, 213. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester. N. Heather, T. Stockwell (Eds.).
47. Tita G.E., Radil S.M. Spatial regression models in criminology: modeling social processes in the spatial weights matrix. Handbook of quantitative criminology 2010, 101-121.
48. Tuck M. Drinking and disorder: A study of non-metropolitan violence 1989, The Home Office, London.
49. Wanless D. Securing good health for the whole population 2004, Vol. 4. HM Treasury, London, 2003,Äì2004.
50. Wikstrom P. Urban crime, criminals, and victims: The Swedish experience in an Anglo-American comparative perspective 1990, Springer-Verlag Publishing, New York.
51. Wikström P.O.H., Oberwittler D., Trieber K., Hardie B. Breaking rules: the social and situational dynamics of young people's urban crime 2012, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
52. Interpersonal violence and alcohol 2006, World Health Organisation, WHO Policy Briefing, Geneva. W.H.O. (WHO) (Ed.).