Modelling land use change and its spatial variability for ecosystem services assessments

iEMSs 2012 - Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society

Volumn , Issue , 2012, Pages 2024-2031

  Castellazzi, Marie ^a   Brown, Iain ^a   Poggio, Laura ^a   Gimona, Alessandro ^a  

^a SCOTTISH CROP RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Land use; Spatio temporal; Stochastic model; Uncertainty; Vector

Indexed keywords

EID: 84894206794     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (20)

1. Boussard, H., APILand: A n object-oriented library of landscape constitutive elements, Principles and handling examples with JAVA, CNRS, 2008.
2. Carter, T.R., R.N. Jones, X. Lu, S. Bhadwal, C. Conde, L.O. Mearns, B.C. O'Neill, M.D.A. Rounsevell, and M.B. Zureck, New assessment methods and the characterisation of future conditions, In: Parry, M.L., O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden, C.E. Hanson (Eds.). Climate change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 133- 171, 2007.
3. Castellazzi, M.S., I. Brown, L. Poggio, and A. Gimona, Multi-scale modelling of ecosystem services - An iterative approach, In: David A. Swayne, W.Y.A.A.V.A.R.T.F. (Ed.), 2010 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, 2010a.
4. Castellazzi, M.S., J. Matthews, F. Angevin, C. Sausse, G.A. Wood, P.J. Burgess, I. Brown, K.F. Conrad, and J.N. Perry, Simulation scenarios of spatio-temporal arrangement of crops at the landscape scale, Environmental Modelling and Software, 25, 1881-1889, 2010b.
5. Castellazzi, M.S., G.A. Wood, P.J. Burgess, J. Morris, K.F. Conrad, and J.N. Perry, A systematic representation of crop rotations, Agricultural Systems 97, 26-33, 2008.
6. Forestry Commission, The Scottish Forestry Strategy: 2011-2014, Implementation Plan & 2010-2011 Progress Report, 2011.
7. Forestry Commission Scotland, The Scottish Forestry Strategy, 85pp., Forestry Commission Scotland, 2006.
8. Goodwin, P., and G. Wright, The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 77(3), 355-368, 2010.
9. Holling, C.S., Adaptive Environmental Assessment and Management, Wiley, 377pp. Chichester, 1978.
10. Joannon, A., V. Souchere, P. Martin, and F. Papy, Reducing runoff by managing crop location at the catchment level, considering agronomic constraints at farm level, Land Degradation & Development 17(5), 467-478, 2006.
11. Lavigne, C., E.K. Klein, J.F. Mari, F. Le Ber, K. Adamczyk, H. Monod, and F. Angevin, How do genetically modified (GM) crops contribute to background levels of GM pollen in an agricultural landscape?, Journal of Applied Ecology 45(4), 1104-1113, 2008.
12. McGarigal, K., S.A. Cushman, M.C. Neel, and E. Ene, FRAGSTATS: Spatial Pattern Analysis Program for Categorical Maps, Computer software program produced by the authors at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, www.umass.edu/landeco/research/fragstats/fragstats.html, 2002.
13. MEA (Millenium Ecosystem Assessment), Ecosystems and human well-being: Synthesis, Island Press, 2006.
14. Morton, D., C. Rowland, L. Wood, C. Meek, C. Marston, G. Smith, R. Wadsworth, and I.C. Simpson, Final report for LCM2007 - the new UK land cover map, Rep CEH Project number, C03259, 112 pp., 2011.
15. Nelson, E., G. Mendoza, J. Regetz, S. Polasky, H. Tallis, D.R. Cameron, K.M.A. Chan, G.C. Daily, J. Goldstein, P.M. Kareiva, E. Lonsdorf, R. Naidoo, T.H. Ricketts, and M.R. Shaw, Modeling multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity conservation, commodity production, and tradeoffs at landscape scales, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7(1), 4-11, 2009.
16. Schaller, N., Modelisation des decisions d'assolement des agriculteurs et de l'organisation spatiale des cultures dans les territoires de polyculture- elevage, Ph.D. thesis, Institut des sciences et industries du vivant et de l'environnement (AgroParisTech), Paris, 384pp., 2011.
17. Schaller, N., C. Aubry, and P. Martin, Modelling farmers' decisions of splitting agricultural plots at different time scales: A contribution for modelling landscape spatial configuration, In: J. Wery, I. Shili-Touzi, A. Perrin (Eds.), Agropolis International Editions, Montpellier, 879-880, 2010.
18. Schroter, D., W. Cramer, R. Leemans, I.C. Prentice, M.B. Araujo, N.W. Arnell, A. Bondeau, H. Bugmann, T.R. Carter, C.A. Gracia, A.C. de la Vega-Leinert, M. Erhard, F. Ewert, M. Glendining, J.I. House, S. Kankaanpaa, R.J.T. Klein, S. Lavorel, M. Lindner, M.J. Metzger, J. Meyer, T.D. Mitchell, I. Reginster, M. Rounsevell, S. Sabate, S. Sitch, B. Smith, J. Smith, P. Smith, M.T. Sykes, K. Thonicke, W. Thuiller, G. Tuck, S. Zaehle, and B. Zierl, Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe, Science 310(5752), 1333- 1337, 2005.
19. SIGMEA, Sustainable Introduction of Genetically Modified Crops into European Agriculture, FP6-2002-SSP1, contract 501986, http://www.inra.fr/sigmea, 2007.
20. UK NEA, The UK National Ecosystem Assessment Technical Report, UNEPWCMC, 2011.