Impact of species parameter uncertainty in simulations of tree species migration with a spatially linked dynamic model

iEMSs 2012 - Managing Resources of a Limited Planet: Proceedings of the 6th Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society

Volumn , Issue , 2012, Pages 909-916

  Nabel, Julia E M S ^a   Zurbriggena, Natalie ^a,b   Lischke, Heike ^a  

^a SWISS FEDERAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE WSL   (Switzerland)

^b ETH ZURICH   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Spatially linked dynamic model; Species parameter uncertainty; Tree species migration; TreeMig

Indexed keywords

EID: 84894186094     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (23)

1. Brändli, U.-B. Die häufigsten Waldbäume der Schweiz. Ergebnisse aus dem Landesforstinventar 1983-85: Verbreitung, Standort und Ḧaufigkeit von 30 Baumarten.
2. Berichte der Eidgenöss. Forschungsanstalt f ür Wald, Schnee und Landschaft, 1998.
3. Bugmann, H. A Review of Forest Gap Models. Climatic Change, 51:259-305, 2001.
4. Bugmann, H. and W. Cramer. Improving the behaviour of forest gap models along drought gradients. Forest Ecology and Management, 103:247-263, 1998.
5. Bugmann, H. On the Ecology of Mountainous Forests in a Changing Climate: A Simulation Study. PhD thesis, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, 1994.
6. European Forest Data Center. Distribution of Ostrya Carpinifolia. Accessed from http://efdac.jrc.ec.europa.eu/index.php/climate, on 28.01.2012, 2000.
7. FAO. Global forest resources assessment 2010. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, http://www.fao.org/docrep/013/ i1757e/i1757e.pdf. Latest access date: 20.12.11, 2010.
8. Franz, W. R. Die Hopfenbuche (Ostrya carpinifolia Scop.) in Österreich und Nordslowenien. Carinthia II. Naturwissenschaftliche Beitr äge zur Heimatkunde Kärntens, Klagenfurt, 58. Sonderheft: 256 S., 2002.
9. Fyllas, N. M. and A. Y. Troumbis. Simulating vegetation shifts in north-eastern Mediterranean mountain forests under climatic change scenarios. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 18:64-77, 2009.
10. Hecker, U. Handbuch Bäume und Stra ̈ucher. Einbändige Neuausgabe der BLV Intensivf ührer Laubgehölze und Nadelgehö lze - 2., durchges. Aufl. - München; Wien; Züurich: BLV, ISBN 3-405-14738-7, 1998.
11. Hijmans, R. J., S. E. Cameron, J. L. Parra, P. G. Jones, and A. Jarvis. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25:1965-1978, 2005.
12. Klein, H. FIMEX-0.28. https://wiki.met.no/fimex/start. Last access date: 09.01.12, 2012.
13. Korkut, S. and B. Guller. Physical and mechanical properties of European Hophornbeam (Ostrya carpinifolia Scop.) wood. Bioresource Technology, 99:4780-4785, 2008.
14. Lautenschlager, M., K. Keuler, C.Wunram, E. Keup-Thiel, M. Schubert, A. Will, B. Rockel, and U. Boehm. Climate Simulation with CLM, Scenario A1B run no.1, Data Stream 3: European region MPI-M/MaD. World Data Center for Climate. http://dx.doi.org/10.1594/WDCC/CLMA1B1D3, 2009.
15. Lischke, H., T. J. Löffler, and A. Fischlin. Aggregation of Individual Trees and Patches in Forest Succession Models: Capturing Variability with Height Structured, Random, Spatial Distributions. Theoretical Population Biology, 54:213-226, 1998.
16. Lischke, H., N. E. Zimmermann, J. Bolliger, S. Rickebusch, and T. J. Löffler. TreeMig: A forest-landscape model for simulating spatio-temporal patterns from stand to landscape scale. Ecological Modelling, 199:409-420, 2006.
17. Mitchell, T., T. Carter, P. Jones, M., Hulme, and M. New. A comprehensive set of climate scenarios for Europe and the globe. Tyndall centre Working paper 55, 2003.
18. Nakicenovic, N. et al. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge University Press, 2000.
19. Noack, H. Das Portrait. Ostrya carpinifolia Scop. (Hopfenbuche). Mitteilungen der Deutschen Dendrologischen Gesellschaft, Nr 71, 257-259, 1979.
20. Rickebusch, S., H. Lischke, H. Bugmann, A. Guisan, and N. E. Zimmermann. Understanding the low-temperature limitations to forest growth through calibration of a forest dynamics model with tree-ring data. For. Ecol. Manage., 246:251-263, 2007.
21. Svenning, J.-C. and F. Skov. Could the tree diversity pattern in Europe be generated by postglacial dispersal limitation? Ecology Letters, 10:453-460, 2007.
22. Swiss National Forest Inventory (NFI). Occurrence of Ostrya Carpinifolia in the different biogeographical regions of Switzerland according to the NFI3 grid. Accessed from http://www.lfi.ch/resultate/regionen-en.php, on 28.01.2012, 2004/06.
23. Thuiller, W., C. Albert, M. B. Arajo, P. M. Berry, M. Cabeza, A. Guisan, T. Hickler, G. F. Midgley, J. Paterson, F. M. Schurr, M. T. Sykes, and N. E. Zimmermann. Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 9:137-152, 2008.