Assessment of uncertainties in the response of the African monsoon precipitation to land use change simulated by a regional model

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 43, Issue 9-10, 2014, Pages 2765-2775

  Hagos, Samson ^a   Leung, L Ruby ^a   Xue, Yongkang ^b   Boone, Aaron ^b   de Sales, Fernando ^b   Neupane, Naresh ^c   Huang, Maoyi ^a   Yoon, Jin Ho ^a  

^a PACIFIC NORTHWEST NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN   (United States)

Author keywords

African Easterly Jet; African monsoon; Crop land; Land cover change; Land degradation; Land surface models; Land use change; Pasture land; Regional model simulations

Indexed keywords

EID: 84894028978     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2092-x     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Abiodun BJ, Pal JS, Afiesimama EA, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2008) Simulation of West African monsoon using RegCM3 Part II: impacts of deforestation and desertification. Theor Appl Climatol 93(3–4):245–261
2. Boone A, de Rosnay P, Basalmo G, Beljaars A, Chopin F, Decharme B, Delire C, Ducharne A, Gascoin S, Guichard F, Gusev Y, Harris P, Jarlan L, Kergoat L, Mougin E, Nasonova O, Norgaard A, Orgeval T, Ottle′ C, Poccard-Leclercq I, Polcher J, Sandholt I, Saux-Picart S, Taylor C, Xue Y (2009) The AMMA land surface model intercomparison project (ALMIP). Bull Am Meteorol Soc doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2786.1
3. Charney JG (1975) Dynamics of deserts and drought in the Sahel. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 101:193–202
4. Charney JG, Quirk WJ, Chow SH, Kornfield J (1977) A comparative study of the effects of albedo change on drought in semi-arid regions. J Atmos Sci 34:1366–1385
5. Claussen M, Kubatzki C, Brovkin V, Ganopolski A, Hoelzmann P, Pachur HJ (1999) Simulation of an abrupt change in Saharan vegetation in the mid-holocene. Geophys Res Lett 26:2037–2040
6. Dee DP et al (2011) The ERA-interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quart J R Meteorol Soc 137:553–597. doi:10.1002/qj.828
7. FAO (2008) FAOSTAT. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome
8. Feddema JJ (1998) Estimated impacts of soil degradation on the African water balance and climate. Clim Res 10:127–141
9. Giannini A, Saravanan R, Chang P (2003) Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales. Science 302:1027–1030
10. Goldewijk K (2001) Estimating global land use change over the past 300 years: the HYDE database. Global Biogeochem Cycle 15:417–433
11. Grell GA (1993) Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterizations. Mon Weather Rev 121:764–787
12. Grell GA, Devenyi D (2002) A generalized approach to parameterizing convection combining ensemble and data assimilation techniques. Geophys Res Let 29(14):2002. doi:10.1029/2002GL015311
13. Guo Zhichang et al (2006) GLACE: the global land-atmosphere coupling experiment. Part II: analysis. J Hydrom 7:611–625
14. Hagos SM, Cook KH (2008) Ocean warming and late-twentieth-century Sahel drought and recovery. J Clim 21:3797–3814
15. Hagos S, Zhang C (2010) Diabatic heating, divergent circulation and moisture transport in the African monsoon system. Quart J Roy Meteorol Soc 136(S1):411–425
16. Hong SY, Noh Y, Dudhia J (2006) A new vertical diffusion package with explicit treatment of entrainment processes. Mon Weather Rev 134:2318–2341
17. Huffman George J, Adler Robert F, Morrissey Mark M, Bolvin David T, Curtis Scott, Joyce Robert, McGavock Brad, Susskind Joel (2001) Global precipitation at one-degree daily resolution from multisatellite observations. J Hydrometeor 2(1):36–50
18. Huffman GJ, Adler RF, Bolvin DT, Gu G, Nelkin EJ, Bowman KP, Hong Y, Stocker EF, Wolff DB (2007) The TRMM multi-satellite precipitation analysis: quasi-global, multi-year, combined-sensor precipitation estimates at fine scale. J Hydrometeor 8:38–55
19. Hurtt G, Chini L, Frolking S, Betts R, Edmonds J, Feddema J, Fisher G, Goldewijk K, Hibbard KA, Houghton R, Janetos A, Jones C, Kinderman G, Konoshita T, Riahi K, Shevliakova E, Smith S, Stehfest E, Thomson A, Thornton P, van Vuuren DP, Wang Y (2011) Land use change and earth system dynamics. Climatic. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2Klein
20. Janjic ZI (1994) The step-mountain eta coordinate model: further developments of the convection, viscous sub layer, and turbulence closure schemes. Mon Weather Rev 122:927–945
21. Kain JS (2004) The kain-fritsch convective parameterization: an update. J Appl Meteor 43:170–181
22. Kanamitsu Masao, Ebisuzaki Wesley, Woollen Jack, Shi-Keng Yang, Hnilo JJ, Fiorino M, Potter GL (2002) NCEP–DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2). Bull Am Meteor Soc 83:1631–1643
23. Kandji ST, Verchot L, Mackensen J (2006) Climate change and variability in the Sahel region: impacts and adaptation strategies in the agricultural sector. United Nations environment programme (UNEP) and World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, Kenya
24. Kucharski F, Zeng N, Kalnay E (2013) A further assessment of vegetation feedback on decadal Sahel rainfall variability. Clim Dyn 40(5–6):1453–1466
25. Lau KM, Shen SSP, Kim KM, Wang H (2006) A multimodel study of the twentieth century simulations of Sahel drought from the 1970s to 1990s. J Geophys Res 111 doi: 10.1029/2005JD006281
26. Mitchell TD, Jones PD (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Climatol 25:693–712
27. Mlawer EJ, Taubman SJ, Brown PD, Iacono MJ, Clough SA (1997) Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J Geophys Res 102:16663–16682
28. Morrison H, Curry JA, Khvorostyanov VI (2005) A new double-moment microphysics parameterization for application in cloud and climate models part I: description. J Atmos Sci 62:1665–1677
29. Moufouma-Okia W, Rowell DP (2010) Impact of soil moisture initialization and lateral boundary conditions on regional climate model simulations of the West African monsoon. Climate Dyn 35:213–229
30. Patricola CM, Cook KH (2008) Atmosphere/vegetation feedbacks: a mechanism for abrupt climate change over northern Africa. J Geophys Res 113
31. Pleim JE, Xiu A (2003) Development of a land-surface model part II: data assimilation. J Appl Meteor 42:1811–1822
32. Pu B, Cook KH (2012) Role of the West African westerly jet in sahel rainfall variations. J Climate 25:2880–2896
33. Reynolds JF, Smith DMS et al (2007) Global desertification: building a science for dryland development. Science 316(5826):847–851
34. Rienecker MM, Suarez MJ, Gelaro R, Todling R, Bacmeister J, Liu E, Bosilovich MG, Schubert SD, Takacs L, Kim G-K, Bloom S, Chen J, Collins D, Conaty A, da Silva A et al (2011) MERRA: NASA’s modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications. J Climate 24:3624–3648. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00015.1
35. Rodell M, Houser PR, Jambor U, Gottschalck J, Mitchell K, Meng C-J, Arsenault K, Cosgrove B, Radakovich J, Bosilovich M, Entin JK, Walker JP, Lohmann D, Toll D (2004) The global land data assimilation system. Bull Am Meteor Soc 85(3):381–394
36. Seneviratne S, Koster RD (2012) A revised framework for analyzing soil moisture memory in climate data: derivation and interpretation. J Hydrometeorol 13(1):404–412
37. Skamarock WC, Klemp JB, Dudhia J, Gill DO, Barker DM, Duda M, Huang XY, Wang W, Powers JG (2008) A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3. NCAR Tech Note, NCAR/TN-475 STR. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, 113 pp
38. Taylor Christopher M, Lambin Eric F, Stephenne Nathalie, Harding Richard J, Essery Richard LH (2002) The influence of land use change on climate in the Sahel. J Climate 15:3615–3629
39. Xue Y (1997) Biosphere feedback on regional climate in tropical North Africa. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 123:1483–1515
40. Xue Y, Sellers PJ, Kinter JL, Shukla J (1991) A simplified biosphere model for global climate studies. J Climate 4:345–364
41. Xue Y, De Sales F, Lau K-MW, Boone A, Feng J, Dirmeyer P, Guo Z, Kim K-M, Kitoh A, Kumar V, Poccard-Leclercq I, Mahowald N, Moufouma-Okia W, Pegion P, Rowell D, Schubert SD, Sealy A, Thiaw WM, Vintzileos A, Williams S, Wu M-LC (2010) Intercomparison and analyses of the climatology of the West African monsoon in the West African monsoon modeling and evaluation project (WAMME) first model intercomparison experiment. In special issue “West African Monsoon and its Modeling”, climate dynamics. 35: 3–27. doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0778-2
42. Zhang Chunxi, Wang Yuqing, Hamilton Kevin (2011) Improved representation of boundary layer clouds over the Southeast Pacific in ARW-WRF using a modified tiedtke cumulus parameterization scheme. Mon Weather Rev 139:3489–3513
43. Zheng XY, Eltahir EAB (1997) The response to deforestation and desertification in a model of West African monsoons. Geophys Res Lett 24:155–158