Response of maize phenology to climate warming in Northeast China between 1990 and 2012

Regional Environmental Change

Volumn 14, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 39-48

  Li, Zhengguo ^a,b   Yang, Peng ^a,b   Tang, Huajun ^a,b   Wu, Wenbin ^a,b   Yin, He ^c   Liu, Zhenhuan ^a,b   Zhang, Li ^a,b  

^a AGRO ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION INSTITUTE   (China)

^b INSTITUTE OF PLANT PROTECTION   (China)

^c HUMBOLDT UNIVERSITY   (Germany)

Author keywords

Climate change; Crop phenology; Northeast China; Regional response

Indexed keywords

ZEA MAYS;

EID: 84893682926     PISSN: 14363798     EISSN: 1436378X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-013-0503-x     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Adams RM, Rosenzweig C, Peart RM et al (1990) Global climate change and US agriculture. Nature 345: 219-224.
2. Aggarwal PK, Mall RK (2002) Climate change and rice yields in diverse agro-environments of India. II. Effect of uncertainties in scenarios and crop models on impact assessment. Clim Change 52: 331-343.
3. Chen C, Lei C, Deng A, Qian C, Hoogmoed W, Zhang W (2011) Will higher minimum temperatures increase corn production in Northeast China? An analysis of historical data over 1965-2008. Agric Forest Meteorol 151: 1580-1588.
4. Chen C, Qian C, Deng A, Zhang W (2012) Progressive and active adaptations of cropping system to climate change in Northeast China. Eur J Agron 38: 94-103.
5. Chmielewski F, Muller A, Bruns E (2004) Climate changes and trends in phenology of fruit trees and field crops in Germany, 1961-2000. Agric Forest Meteorol 121: 69-78.
6. Craufurd PQ, Wheeler TR (2009) Climate change and the flowering time of annual crops. J Exp Bot 60: 2529-2539.
7. De Vries ME, Leffelaar PA, Sakane N et al (2011) Adaptability of irrigated rice to temperature change in Sahelian environments. Exp Agric 47: 69-87.
8. Estrella N, Sparks TH, Menzel A (2007) Trends and temperature response in the phenology of crops in Germany. Glob Change Biol 13: 1737-1747.
9. Hu Q, Weiss A, Feng S, Baenziger PS (2005) Earlier winter wheat heading dates and warmer spring in the US Great Plains. Agric Forest Meteorol 135: 284-290.
10. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2007) In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, et al (Eds) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
11. Jia J, Guo J (2010) Effects of climate changes on maize yield in Northeast China. Agric Sci Techol 11: 169-174.
12. Jin Z, Zhu D (2008) Impacts of changes in climate and its variability on food production in Northeast China. Acta Agron Sin 34: 1588-1597.
13. Jin Z, Ge D, Zheng X, Chen H (1996) Assessing the potential impacts of global climate change on maize production in China. Acta Agron Sin 22: 513-524.
14. Jin ZQ, Ge DK, Shi C, Gao L (2002) Several strategies of food crop production in the Northeast China Plain for adaptation to global climate change. Acta Agron Sin 28: 24-31.
15. Jørgen EO, Marco B (2002) Consequences of climate change for European agricultural productivity, land use and policy. Eur J Agron 16: 239-262.
16. Li Z, Tang H, Yang P et al (2012) Spatio-temporal responses of cropland phenophases to climate change in Northeast China. J Geogr Sci 22: 29-45.
17. Liu B, Xu M, Henderson M, Qi Y, Li Y (2004) Taking China's temperature: daily range, warming trends, and regional variations, 1955-2000. J Clim 17: 4453-4462.
18. Liu Z, Yang X, Wang W, Li K, Zhang X (2009) Characteristics of agricultural climate resources in three provinces of Northeast China under global climate change. Chin J Appl Ecol 20(9): 2199-2206 (in Chinese with English abstract).
19. Liu Z, Yang X, Hubbard KG, Lin X (2012) Maize potential yields and yield gaps in the changing climate of Northeast China. Glob Change Biol 18: 3441-3454.
20. Liu Z, Yang X, Chen F, Wang E (2013) The effects of past climate change on the northern limits of maize planting in Northeast China. Clim Change 117: 891-902.
21. Lobell D, Burke M, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319: 607-610.
22. Matthews RB, Kropff MJ, Horie T et al (1997) Simulating the impact of climate change on rice production in Asia and evaluating options for adaptation. Agric Syst 54: 399-425.
23. NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics of China) (2010) Statistical yearbook of China 2010. China Statistical Press, Beijing (in Chinese).
24. Ogden E, Innes JL (2008) Climate change adaptation and regional forest planning in southern Yukon, Canada. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 13: 833-861.
25. Olesen JE, Bindi M (2002) Consequences of climate change for European agricultural productivity, land use and policy. Eur J Agron 16: 239-262.
26. Porter JR, Delecolle R (1988) Interaction of temperature with other environmental variables in controlling the development of plants. Symp Soc Exp Biol 42: 133-156.
27. Rosenzweig C, Hillel D (1998) Climate change and the global harvest: potential impacts of the greenhouse effect on agriculture. Oxford University Press, NY, United States.
28. Rosenzweig C, Parry ML (1994) Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 367: 133-138.
29. Sacks WJ, Kucharik CJ (2011) Crop management and phenology trends in the U. S. Corn Belt: impacts on yields, evapotranspiration and energy balance. Agric Forest Meteorol 151: 882-894.
30. Siebert S, Ewert F (2012) Spatio-temporal patterns of phenological development in Germany in relation to temperature and day length. Agric Forest Meteorol 152: 44-57.
31. Susanna R, Barry S, Wayne C, Suzanne B (2007) Vulnerability and adaptation to climate risks in Ontario agriculture. Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change 12: 609-637.
32. Tao F, Zhang Z (2010) Adaptation of maize production to climate change in North China Plain: quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options. Eur J Agron 33: 103-116.
33. Tao F, Zhang Z (2011) Impacts of climate change as a function of global mean temperature: maize productivity and water use in China. Clim Change 105: 409-432.
34. Tao F, Yokozawa M, Xu Y, Hayashi Y, Zhang Z (2006) Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000. Agric Forest Meteorol 138: 82-92.
35. Tao F, Yokozawa M, Liu J, Zhang Z (2008a) Climate-crop yield relationships at provincial scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trends. Clim Res 38: 83-94.
36. Tao F, Hayashi Y, Zhang Z, Sakamoto T, Yokozawa M (2008b) Global warming, rice production and water use in China: developing a probabilistic assessment. Agric Forest Meteorol 148: 94-110.
37. Tao F, Zhang S, Zhang Z (2012) Spatiotemporal changes of wheat phenology in China under the effects of temperature, day length and cultivar thermal characteristics. Eur J Agron 43: 201-212.
38. Thornton P, Running S, White M (1997) Generating surfaces of daily meteorological variables over large regions of complex terrain. J Hydrol 190: 214-251.
39. Winters P, Murgai R, Sadoulet E, De Janvry A, Frisvold G (1998) Economic and welfare impacts of climate change on developing countries. Environ Res Econ 12: 1-24.
40. Xiong W, Conway D, Jiang J, Li Y, Lin E, Xu Y, Hui J, Calsamiglia-Mendlewicz S (2008) Future cereal production in China: modelling the interaction of climate change, water availability and socio-economic scenarios. The impacts of climate change on chinese agriculture-Phase II. Final Report, AEA Group, UK.
41. Zhang T, Huang Y, Yang X (2013) Climate warming over the past three decades has shortened rice growth duration in China and cultivar shifts have further accelerated the process for late rice. Glob Change Biol 19: 563-570.