-
1
-
-
0023871202
-
Sex, drugs and matrices: Mathematical prediction of HIV infection
-
Abramson P R and Rothschild B 1988 Sex, drugs and matrices: mathematical prediction of HIV infection J. Sex Res. 25 106-22 (Pubitemid 18069361)
-
(1988)
Journal of Sex Research
, vol.25
, Issue.1
, pp. 106-122
-
-
Abramson, P.R.1
Rothschild, B.2
-
2
-
-
0036013593
-
Statistical mechanics of complex networks
-
10.1103/RevModPhys.74.47 0034-6861
-
Albert R and Barabási A L 2002 Statistical mechanics of complex networks Rev. Mod. Phys. 74 47-97
-
(2002)
Rev. Mod. Phys.
, vol.74
, pp. 47-97
-
-
Albert, R.1
Barabási, A.L.2
-
3
-
-
0034721164
-
Error and attack tolerance of complex networks
-
DOI 10.1038/35019019
-
Albert R, Jeong H and Barabási A-L 2000 Error and attack tolerance of complex networks Nature 406 378-82 (Pubitemid 30625551)
-
(2000)
Nature
, vol.406
, Issue.6794
, pp. 378-382
-
-
Albert, R.1
Jeong, H.2
Barabasi, A.-L.3
-
6
-
-
84865223086
-
Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic strategies to identify mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis super-shedder cows in a large dairy herd using antibody enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, and bacterial culture
-
10.1177/1040638712452107
-
Aly S S, Anderson R J, Whitlock R H, Fyock T L, McAdams S C, Byrem T M, Jiang J, Adaska J M and Gardner I A 2012 Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic strategies to identify mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis super-shedder cows in a large dairy herd using antibody enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays, quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction, and bacterial culture J. Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation 24 821-32
-
(2012)
J. Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation
, vol.24
, pp. 821-832
-
-
Aly, S.S.1
Anderson, R.J.2
Whitlock, R.H.3
Fyock, T.L.4
McAdams, S.C.5
Byrem, T.M.6
Jiang, J.7
Adaska, J.M.8
Gardner, I.A.9
-
7
-
-
0019405444
-
Population dynamics of fox rabies in Europe
-
DOI 10.1038/289765a0
-
Anderson R M, Jackson H C, May R M and Smith A M 1981 Population dynamics of fox rabies in Europe Nature 289 765-71 (Pubitemid 11150412)
-
(1981)
Nature
, vol.289
, Issue.5800
, pp. 765-771
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
Jackson, H.C.2
May, R.M.3
Smith, A.M.4
-
8
-
-
0020519519
-
Vaccination against rubella and measles: Quantitative investigations of different policies
-
Anderson R M and May R M 1983 Vaccination against rubella and measles: quantitative investigations of different policies J. Hygiene 90 259-325 (Pubitemid 13086184)
-
(1983)
Journal of Hygiene
, vol.90
, Issue.2
, pp. 259-325
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
May, R.M.2
-
9
-
-
0024962367
-
The transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 in the male homosexual community in the United Kingdom: The influence of changes in sexual behaviour
-
10.1098/rstb.1989.0074 0962-8436 B
-
Anderson R M, Blythe S P, Gupta S, Konings E, Anderson R M, Blythe S P, Gupta S and Konings E 1989 The transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 in the male homosexual community in the United Kingdom: the influence of changes in sexual behaviour Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 325 45-98
-
(1989)
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond.
, vol.325
, pp. 45-98
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
Blythe, S.P.2
Gupta, S.3
Konings, E.4
Anderson, R.M.5
Blythe, S.P.6
Gupta, S.7
Konings, E.8
-
10
-
-
0025246184
-
The significance of sexual partner contact networks for the transmission dynamics of HIV
-
Anderson R M, Gupta S and Ng W 1990 The significance of sexual partner contact networks for the transmission dynamics of HIV J. Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 3 417-29 (Pubitemid 20154956)
-
(1990)
Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes
, vol.3
, Issue.4
, pp. 417-429
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
Gupta, S.2
Ng, W.3
-
11
-
-
0025919641
-
The spread of HIV-1 in Africa: Sexual contact patterns and the predicted demographic impact of AIDS
-
Anderson R M, May R M, Boily M C, Garnett G P and Rowley J T 1991 The spread of HIV-1 in Africa: sexual contact patterns and the predicted demographic impact of AIDS Nature 352 581-9 (Pubitemid 21912382)
-
(1991)
Nature
, vol.352
, Issue.6336
, pp. 581-589
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
May, R.M.2
Boily, M.C.3
Garnett, G.P.4
Rowley, J.T.5
-
12
-
-
0023823263
-
Possible demographic consequences of AIDS in developing countries
-
DOI 10.1038/332228a0
-
Anderson R M, May R M and McLean A R 1988 Possible demographic consequences of AIDS in developing countries Nature 332 228-34 (Pubitemid 18076652)
-
(1988)
Nature
, vol.332
, Issue.6161
, pp. 228-234
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
May, R.M.2
McLean, A.R.3
-
13
-
-
0027128744
-
Age-dependent choice of sexual partners and the transmission dynamics of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa
-
10.1098/rstb.1992.0052 0962-8436 B
-
Anderson R M, May R M, Ng T W, Rowley J T, Anderson R M, May R M, Ng T W and Rowley J T 1992 Age-dependent choice of sexual partners and the transmission dynamics of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 336 135-55
-
(1992)
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond.
, vol.336
, pp. 135-155
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
May, R.M.2
Ng, T.W.3
Rowley, J.T.4
Anderson, R.M.5
May, R.M.6
Ng, T.W.7
Rowley, J.T.8
-
14
-
-
77957175423
-
A preliminary study of the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the causative agent of AIDS
-
10.1093/imammb/3.4.229 0265-0746
-
Anderson R M, Medley G F, May R M and Johnson A M 1986 A preliminary study of the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the causative agent of AIDS IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. 3 229-63
-
(1986)
IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol.
, vol.3
, pp. 229-263
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
Medley, G.F.2
May, R.M.3
Johnson, A.M.4
-
15
-
-
0018656345
-
Population biology of infectious diseases: Part I
-
DOI 10.1038/280361a0
-
Anderson R M and May R M 1979 Population biology of infectious diseases: I Nature 280 361-6 (Pubitemid 9233606)
-
(1979)
Nature
, vol.280
, Issue.5721
, pp. 361-367
-
-
Anderson, R.M.1
May, R.M.2
-
18
-
-
77249123297
-
Vaccination against pandemic influenza A/H1N1v in England: A real-time economic evaluation
-
10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.01.002
-
Baguelin M, Van Hoek A J, Jit M, Flasche S, White P J and Edmunds W J 2010 Vaccination against pandemic influenza A/H1N1v in England: a real-time economic evaluation Vaccine 28 2370-84
-
(2010)
Vaccine
, vol.28
, pp. 2370-2384
-
-
Baguelin, M.1
Van Hoek, A.J.2
Jit, M.3
Flasche, S.4
White, P.J.5
Edmunds, W.J.6
-
19
-
-
0012022109
-
A simple stochastic epidemic
-
0006-3444
-
Bailey N T J 1950 A simple stochastic epidemic Biometrika 37 193-202
-
(1950)
Biometrika
, vol.37
, pp. 193-202
-
-
Bailey, N.T.J.1
-
21
-
-
4244049965
-
A forest-fire model and some thoughts on turbulence
-
10.1016/0375-9601(90)90451-S 0375-9601 A
-
Bak P, Chen K and Tang C 1990 A forest-fire model and some thoughts on turbulence Phys. Lett. A 147 297-300
-
(1990)
Phys. Lett.
, vol.147
, pp. 297-300
-
-
Bak, P.1
Chen, K.2
Tang, C.3
-
22
-
-
76049115282
-
Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases
-
10.1073/pnas.0906910106 0027-8424
-
Balcan D, Colizza V, Gonçalves B, Hu H, Ramasco J J and Vespignani A 2009 Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 106 21484-9
-
(2009)
Proc. Natl Acad. Sci.
, vol.106
, pp. 21484-21489
-
-
Balcan, D.1
Colizza, V.2
Gonçalves, B.3
Hu, H.4
Ramasco, J.J.5
Vespignani, A.6
-
23
-
-
0020763656
-
The threshold behaviour of epidemic models
-
10.2307/3213797 0021-9002
-
Ball F 1983 The threshold behaviour of epidemic models J. Appl. Probab. 20 227-41
-
(1983)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.20
, Issue.2
, pp. 227-241
-
-
Ball, F.1
-
24
-
-
0000943691
-
A unified approach to the distribution of total size and total area under the trajectory of infectives in epidemic models
-
10.2307/1427301 0001-8678
-
Ball F 1986 A unified approach to the distribution of total size and total area under the trajectory of infectives in epidemic models Adv. Appl. Probab. 18 289-310
-
(1986)
Adv. Appl. Probab.
, vol.18
, pp. 289-310
-
-
Ball, F.1
-
25
-
-
0000504567
-
The final size and severity of a generalised stochastic multitype epidemic model
-
10.2307/1427788 0001-8678
-
Ball F and Clancy D 1993 The final size and severity of a generalised stochastic multitype epidemic model Adv. Appl. Probab. 25 721-36
-
(1993)
Adv. Appl. Probab.
, vol.25
, pp. 721-736
-
-
Ball, F.1
Clancy, D.2
-
26
-
-
0035271942
-
Stochastic multitype SIR epidemics among a population partitioned into households
-
DOI 10.1239/aap/999187899
-
Ball F and Lyne O D 2001 Stochastic multi-type SIR epidemics among a population partitioned into households Adv. Appl. Probab. 33 99-123 (Pubitemid 32443971)
-
(2001)
Advances in Applied Probability
, vol.33
, Issue.1
, pp. 99-123
-
-
Ball, F.1
Lyne, O.D.2
-
28
-
-
77549085667
-
Analysis of a stochastic SIR epidemic on a random network incorporating household structure
-
10.1016/j.mbs.2009.12.003 0025-5564
-
Ball F, Sirl D and Trapman P 2010 Analysis of a stochastic SIR epidemic on a random network incorporating household structure Math. Biosci. 224 53-73
-
(2010)
Math. Biosci.
, vol.224
, pp. 53-73
-
-
Ball, F.1
Sirl, D.2
Trapman, P.3
-
29
-
-
0036234547
-
Optimal vaccination policies for stochastic epidemics among a population of households
-
DOI 10.1016/S0025-5564(01)00095-5, PII S0025556401000955
-
Ball F G and Lyne O D 2002 Optimal vaccination policies for stochastic epidemics among a population of households Math. Biosci. 177 333-54 (Pubitemid 34457397)
-
(2002)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.177-178
, pp. 333-354
-
-
Ball, F.G.1
Lyne, O.D.2
-
30
-
-
4143082577
-
Stochastic multitype epidemics in a community of households: Estimation and form of optimal vaccination schemes
-
DOI 10.1016/j.mbs.2004.05.001, PII S002555640400104X
-
Ball F, Britton T and Lyne O 2004 Stochastic multitype epidemics in a community of households: estimation and form of optimal vaccination schemes Math. Biosci. 191 19-40 (Pubitemid 39092949)
-
(2004)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.191
, Issue.1
, pp. 19-40
-
-
Ball, F.1
Britton, T.2
Lyne, O.3
-
31
-
-
84874201181
-
A network with tunable clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution, and an epidemic thereon
-
10.1007/s00285-012-0609-7
-
Ball F, Britton T and Sirl D 2012 A network with tunable clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution, and an epidemic thereon J. Math. Biol. 66 979-1019
-
(2012)
J. Math. Biol.
, vol.66
, pp. 979-1019
-
-
Ball, F.1
Britton, T.2
Sirl, D.3
-
32
-
-
0038483826
-
Emergence of scaling in random networks
-
10.1126/science.286.5439.509
-
Barabasi A L and Albert R 1999 Emergence of scaling in random networks Science 286 509-12
-
(1999)
Science
, vol.286
, pp. 509-512
-
-
Barabasi, A.L.1
Albert, R.2
-
35
-
-
0003188315
-
Measles periodicity and community size
-
10.2307/2342553 0035-9238 A
-
Bartlett M S 1957 Measles periodicity and community size J. R. Stat. Soc. A 120 48-70
-
(1957)
J. R. Stat. Soc.
, vol.120
, pp. 48-70
-
-
Bartlett, M.S.1
-
37
-
-
0003188313
-
The critical community size for measles in the United States
-
10.2307/2343186 0035-9238 A
-
Bartlett M S 1960 The critical community size for measles in the United States J. R. Stat. Soc. A 123 37-44
-
(1960)
J. R. Stat. Soc.
, vol.123
, pp. 37-44
-
-
Bartlett, M.S.1
-
38
-
-
57749208643
-
Estimating influenza vaccine efficacy from challenge and community-based study data
-
10.1093/aje/kwn259
-
Basta N E, Halloran M E, Matrajt L and Longini I M 2008 Estimating influenza vaccine efficacy from challenge and community-based study data Am. J. Epidemiol. 168 1343-52
-
(2008)
Am. J. Epidemiol.
, vol.168
, pp. 1343-1352
-
-
Basta, N.E.1
Halloran, M.E.2
Matrajt, L.3
Longini, I.M.4
-
39
-
-
0033869490
-
Natural transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus between African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) ans impala (Aepyceros melampus) in the Kruger National Park, South Africa
-
DOI 10.1017/S0950268899004008
-
Bastos A D S, Boshoff C I, Keet D F, Bengis R G and Thomson G R 2000 Natural transmission of Foot-and-Mouth disease virus between African buffalo (syncerus caffer) and Impala (aepyceros melampus) in the Kruger National Park, South Africa Epidemiol. Infection 124 591-8 (Pubitemid 30623875)
-
(2000)
Epidemiology and Infection
, vol.124
, Issue.3
, pp. 591-598
-
-
Bastos, A.D.S.1
Boshoff, C.I.2
Keet, D.F.3
Bengis, R.G.4
Thomson, G.R.5
-
41
-
-
77956326215
-
The importance of age dependent mortality and the extrinsic incubation period in models of mosquito-borne disease transmission and control
-
10.1371/journal.pone.0010165 e10165
-
Bellan S E 2010 The importance of age dependent mortality and the extrinsic incubation period in models of mosquito-borne disease transmission and control PLoS ONE 5 e10165
-
(2010)
PLoS ONE
, vol.5
-
-
Bellan, S.E.1
-
42
-
-
0036590892
-
Dynamics of measles epidemics: Estimating scaling of transmission rates using a Time series SIR model
-
Bjørnstad O N, Finkenstädt B F and Grenfell B T 2002 Dynamics of measles epidemics: estimating scaling of transmission rates using a time series SIR model Ecol. Monogr. 72 169-84 (Pubitemid 36198821)
-
(2002)
Ecological Monographs
, vol.72
, Issue.2
, pp. 169-184
-
-
Bjornstad, O.N.1
Finkenstadt, B.F.2
Grenfell, B.T.3
-
43
-
-
84875699182
-
Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza
-
10.1098/rsif.2012.1019 1742-5689 20121019
-
Black A J, House T, Keeling M J and Ross J V 2013 Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza J. R. Soc. Interface 10 20121019
-
(2013)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.10
-
-
Black, A.J.1
House, T.2
Keeling, M.J.3
Ross, J.V.4
-
44
-
-
84861331629
-
Stochastic formulation of ecological models and their applications
-
10.1016/j.tree.2012.01.014
-
Black A J and McKane A J 2012 Stochastic formulation of ecological models and their applications Trends Ecol. Evol. 27 337-45
-
(2012)
Trends Ecol. Evol.
, vol.27
, pp. 337-345
-
-
Black, A.J.1
McKane, A.J.2
-
46
-
-
77957176018
-
Distributed incubation and infectious periods in models of the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)
-
10.1093/imammb/5.1.1
-
Blythe S P and Anderson R M 1988 Distributed incubation and infectious periods in models of the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Math. Med. Biol. 5 1-19
-
(1988)
Math. Med. Biol.
, vol.5
, pp. 1-19
-
-
Blythe, S.P.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
47
-
-
77957185336
-
Heterogeneous sexual activity models of HIV transmission in male homosexual populations
-
10.1093/imammb/5.4.237
-
Blythe S P and Anderson R M 1988 Heterogeneous sexual activity models of HIV transmission in male homosexual populations Math. Med. Biol. 5 237-60
-
(1988)
Math. Med. Biol.
, vol.5
, pp. 237-260
-
-
Blythe, S.P.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
48
-
-
77957182005
-
Variable infectiousness in HFV transmission models
-
10.1093/imammb/5.3.181
-
Blythe S P and Anderson R M 1988 Variable infectiousness in HFV transmission models Math. Med. Biol. 5 181-200
-
(1988)
Math. Med. Biol.
, vol.5
, pp. 181-200
-
-
Blythe, S.P.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
49
-
-
31344474880
-
Complex networks: Structure and dynamics
-
DOI 10.1016/j.physrep.2005.10.009, PII S037015730500462X
-
Boccaletti S, Latora V, Moreno Y, Chavez M and Hwang D-U 2006 Complex networks: structure and dynamics Phys. Rep. 424 175-308 (Pubitemid 43135890)
-
(2006)
Physics Reports
, vol.424
, Issue.4-5
, pp. 175-308
-
-
Boccaletti, S.1
Latora, V.2
Moreno, Y.3
Chavez, M.4
Hwang, D.-U.5
-
50
-
-
0029654470
-
Space, persistence and dynamics of measles epidemics
-
10.1098/rstb.1995.0070 0962-8436 B
-
Bolker B and Grenfell B 1995 Space, persistence and dynamics of measles epidemics Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 348 309-20
-
(1995)
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond.
, vol.348
, pp. 309-320
-
-
Bolker, B.1
Grenfell, B.2
-
51
-
-
0032836074
-
Analytic models for the patchy spread of plant disease
-
DOI 10.1006/bulm.1999.0115
-
Bolker B M 1999 Analytic models for the patchy spread of plant disease Bull. Math. Biol. 61 849-74 (Pubitemid 29480059)
-
(1999)
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
, vol.61
, Issue.5
, pp. 849-874
-
-
Bolker, B.M.1
-
53
-
-
77957182234
-
Chaos and complexity in measles models - A comparative numerical study
-
10.1093/imammb/10.2.83 0265-0746
-
Boltyanskii R V 1993 Chaos and complexity in measles models - a comparative numerical study IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. 10 83-95
-
(1993)
IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol.
, vol.10
, pp. 83-95
-
-
Boltyanskii, R.V.1
-
54
-
-
0033533781
-
Small worlds and the evolution of virulence: Infection occurs locally and at a distance
-
DOI 10.1098/rspb.1999.0869
-
Boots M and Sasaki A 1999 Small worlds and the evolution of virulence: infection occurs locally and at a distance Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 266 1933-8 (Pubitemid 29479195)
-
(1999)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.266
, Issue.1432
, pp. 1933-1938
-
-
Boots, M.1
Sasaki, A.2
-
56
-
-
79961109287
-
Seroprevalence to influenza A(H1N1) 2009 virus - Where are we?
-
10.1128/CVI.05072-11
-
Broberg E, Nicoll A and Amato-Gauci A 2011 Seroprevalence to influenza A(H1N1) 2009 virus - where are we? Clin. Vaccine Immunology : CVI 18 1205-12
-
(2011)
Clin. Vaccine Immunology : CVI
, vol.18
, pp. 1205-1212
-
-
Broberg, E.1
Nicoll, A.2
Amato-Gauci, A.3
-
57
-
-
0026315546
-
Large-scale eradication of rabies using recombinant vaccinia-rabies vaccine
-
10.1038/354520a0 0028-0836
-
Brochier B, Kieny M P, Costy F, Coppens P, Bauduin B, Lecocq J P, Languet B, Chappuis G, Desmettre P and Afiademanyo K 1991 Large-scale eradication of rabies using recombinant vaccinia-rabies vaccine Nature 354 520-2
-
(1991)
Nature
, vol.354
, pp. 520-522
-
-
Brochier, B.1
Kieny, M.P.2
Costy, F.3
Coppens, P.4
Bauduin, B.5
Lecocq, J.P.6
Languet, B.7
Chappuis, G.8
Desmettre, P.9
Afiademanyo, K.10
-
58
-
-
0000611151
-
A method for obtaining short-term projections and lower bounds on the size of the AIDS epidemic
-
10.1080/01621459.1988.10478599 0162-1459
-
Brookmeyer R and Gail M H 1988 A method for obtaining short-term projections and lower bounds on the size of the AIDS epidemic J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 83 301-8
-
(1988)
J. Am. Stat. Assoc.
, vol.83
, pp. 301-308
-
-
Brookmeyer, R.1
Gail, M.H.2
-
59
-
-
0037178717
-
Aerial dispersal of pathogens on the global and continental scales and its impact on plant disease
-
DOI 10.1126/science.1072678
-
Brown J K M and Hovmøller M S 2002 Aerial dispersal of pathogens on the global and continental scales and its impact on plant disease Science 297 537-41 (Pubitemid 34815327)
-
(2002)
Science
, vol.297
, Issue.5581
, pp. 537-541
-
-
Brown, J.K.M.1
Hovmoll, M.S.2
-
60
-
-
23744496287
-
Approximating persistence in a general class of population processes
-
DOI 10.1016/j.tpb.2005.02.002, PII S0040580905000304
-
Cairns B J and Pollett P K 2005 Approximating persistence in a general class of population processes Theor. Population Biol. 68 77-90 (Pubitemid 41127971)
-
(2005)
Theoretical Population Biology
, vol.68
, Issue.2
, pp. 77-90
-
-
Cairns, B.J.1
Pollett, P.K.2
-
61
-
-
9744256184
-
Origin of the amphibian chytrid fungus
-
10.3201/eid1012.030804
-
du Preez L H, Hyatt A D, Muller R, Speare R and Weldon C 2004 Origin of the amphibian chytrid fungus Emerging Infectious Diseases 10 2100
-
(2004)
Emerging Infectious Diseases
, vol.10
, pp. 2100
-
-
Du Preez, L.H.1
Hyatt, A.D.2
Muller, R.3
Speare, R.4
Weldon, C.5
-
62
-
-
77950807335
-
Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles
-
10.1098/rsif.2009.0284 1742-5689
-
Conlan A J K, Pej R, Lloyd Andrew L, Keeling Matt J and Grenfell Bryan T 2010 Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles J. R. Soc. Interface 7 623-40
-
(2010)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.7
, pp. 623-640
-
-
Conlan, A.J.K.1
Pej, R.2
Lloyd Andrew, L.3
Keeling Matt, J.4
Grenfell Bryan, T.5
-
63
-
-
77950807335
-
Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles
-
10.1098/rsif.2009.0284 1742-5689
-
Conlan A J K, Rohani P, Lloyd A L, Keeling M and Grenfell B T 2010 Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles J. R. Soc. Interface 7 623-40
-
(2010)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.7
, pp. 623-640
-
-
Conlan, A.J.K.1
Rohani, P.2
Lloyd, A.L.3
Keeling, M.4
Grenfell, B.T.5
-
64
-
-
49949108143
-
Constructing the effect of alternative intervention strategies on historic epidemics
-
10.1098/rsif.2008.0030 1742-5689
-
Cook A R, Gibson G J, Gottwald T R and Gilligan C A 2008 Constructing the effect of alternative intervention strategies on historic epidemics J. R. Soc. Interface 5 1203-13
-
(2008)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.5
, pp. 1203-1213
-
-
Cook, A.R.1
Gibson, G.J.2
Gottwald, T.R.3
Gilligan, C.A.4
-
65
-
-
33745615112
-
Delaying the international spread of pandemic influenza
-
DOI 10.1371/journal.pmed.0030212
-
Cooper B S, Pitman R J, Edmunds W J and Gay N J 2006 Delaying the international spread of pandemic influenza PLoS Med. 3 e212 (Pubitemid 43987827)
-
(2006)
PLoS Medicine
, vol.3
, Issue.6
, pp. 0845-0855
-
-
Cooper, B.S.1
Pitman, R.J.2
Edmunds, W.J.3
Gay, N.J.4
-
66
-
-
84931749102
-
Malaria infection increases bird attractiveness to uninfected mosquitoes
-
10.1111/ele.12041 1461-023X
-
Cornet S, Nicot A, Rivero A and Gandon S 2012 Malaria infection increases bird attractiveness to uninfected mosquitoes Ecol. Lett. 16 323-9
-
(2012)
Ecol. Lett.
, vol.16
, pp. 323-329
-
-
Cornet, S.1
Nicot, A.2
Rivero, A.3
Gandon, S.4
-
68
-
-
0024962413
-
A process of events with notification delay and the forecasting of AIDS
-
10.1098/rstb.1989.0078 0962-8436 B
-
Cox D R and Medley G F 1989 A process of events with notification delay and the forecasting of AIDS Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 325 135-45
-
(1989)
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond.
, vol.325
, pp. 135-145
-
-
Cox, D.R.1
Medley, G.F.2
-
69
-
-
79955108361
-
Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease
-
10.1155/2011/284909 284909
-
Danon L, Ford A P, House T, Jewell C P, Keeling M J, Roberts G O, Ross J V and Vernon M C 2011 Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases 2011 284909
-
(2011)
Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases
, vol.2011
-
-
Danon, L.1
Ford, A.P.2
House, T.3
Jewell, C.P.4
Keeling, M.J.5
Roberts, G.O.6
Ross, J.V.7
Vernon, M.C.8
-
70
-
-
77649187047
-
The role of routine versus random movements on the spread of disease in Great Britain
-
10.1016/j.epidem.2009.11.002
-
Danon L, House T and Keeling M J 2009 The role of routine versus random movements on the spread of disease in Great Britain Epidemics 1 250-8
-
(2009)
Epidemics
, vol.1
, pp. 250-258
-
-
Danon, L.1
House, T.2
Keeling, M.J.3
-
71
-
-
84867459279
-
Social encounter networks: Collective properties and disease transmission
-
10.1098/rsif.2012.0357 1742-5689
-
Danon L, House T A, Read J M and Keeling M J 2012 Social encounter networks: collective properties and disease transmission J. R. Soc. Interface 9 2826-33
-
(2012)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.9
, pp. 2826-2833
-
-
Danon, L.1
House, T.A.2
Read, J.M.3
Keeling, M.J.4
-
72
-
-
77949355623
-
Inference for individual-level models of infectious diseases in large populations
-
1017-0405
-
Deardon R, Brooks S, Grenfell B T, Keeling M J, Tildesley M J, Savill N J, Shaw D J and Woolhouse M E J 2010 Inference for individual-level models of infectious diseases in large populations Stat. Sin. 20 239-61
-
(2010)
Stat. Sin.
, vol.20
, pp. 239-261
-
-
Deardon, R.1
Brooks, S.2
Grenfell, B.T.3
Keeling, M.J.4
Tildesley, M.J.5
Savill, N.J.6
Shaw, D.J.7
Woolhouse, M.E.J.8
-
73
-
-
0032392720
-
A deterministic epidemic model taking account of repeated contacts between the same individuals
-
0021-9002
-
Diekmann O, De Jong M C M and Metz J A J 1998 A deterministic epidemic model taking account of repeated contacts between the same individuals J. Appl. Probab. 35 462-8
-
(1998)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.35
, pp. 462-468
-
-
Diekmann, O.1
De Jong, M.C.M.2
Metz, J.A.J.3
-
75
-
-
0025159677
-
On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
-
10.1007/BF00178324 0303-6812
-
Diekmann O, Heesterbeek J A and Metz J A 1990 On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations J. Math. Biol. 28 365-82
-
(1990)
J. Math. Biol.
, vol.28
, Issue.4
, pp. 365-382
-
-
Diekmann, O.1
Heesterbeek, J.A.2
Metz, J.A.3
-
77
-
-
0018184969
-
Thresholds and travelling waves for the geographical spread of infection
-
Diekmann O 1978 Thresholds and travelling waves for the geographical spread of infection J. Math. Biol. 6 109-30 (Pubitemid 8406817)
-
(1978)
Journal of Mathematical Biology
, vol.6
, Issue.2
, pp. 109-130
-
-
Diekmann, O.1
-
78
-
-
0036790984
-
Modeling dynamic and network heterogeneities in the spread of sexually transmitted diseases
-
10.1073/pnas.202244299 0027-8424
-
Eames K T D and Keeling M J 2002 Modeling dynamic and network heterogeneities in the spread of sexually transmitted diseases Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 99 13330-5
-
(2002)
Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA
, vol.99
, pp. 13330-13335
-
-
Eames, K.T.D.1
Keeling, M.J.2
-
80
-
-
0034723248
-
A simple model for complex dynamical transitions in epidemics
-
DOI 10.1126/science.287.5453.667
-
Earn D J 2000 A simple model for complex dynamical transitions in epidemics Science 287 667-70 (Pubitemid 30070917)
-
(2000)
Science
, vol.287
, Issue.5453
, pp. 667-670
-
-
Earn, D.J.D.1
Rohani, P.2
Bolker, B.M.3
Grenfell, B.T.4
-
81
-
-
79959962961
-
Concurrent sexual partnerships and primary HIV infection: A critical interaction
-
10.1007/s10461-010-9787-8 1090-7165
-
Eaton J W, Hallett T B and Garnett G P 2011 Concurrent sexual partnerships and primary HIV infection: a critical interaction AIDS Behav. 15 687-92
-
(2011)
AIDS Behav.
, vol.15
, pp. 687-692
-
-
Eaton, J.W.1
Hallett, T.B.2
Garnett, G.P.3
-
82
-
-
79952544886
-
Concurrent partnerships and HIV: An inconvenient truth
-
10.1186/1758-2652-14-13
-
Epstein H and Morris M 2011 Concurrent partnerships and HIV: an inconvenient truth J. Int. AIDS Soc. 14 13
-
(2011)
J. Int. AIDS Soc.
, vol.14
, pp. 13
-
-
Epstein, H.1
Morris, M.2
-
85
-
-
2442686815
-
Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks
-
DOI 10.1038/nature02541
-
Eubank S, Guclu H, Kumar V S A, Marathe M V, Srinivasan A, Toroczkai Z and Wang N 2004 Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks Nature 429 180-4 (Pubitemid 38656193)
-
(2004)
Nature
, vol.429
, Issue.6988
, pp. 180-184
-
-
Eubank, S.1
Guclu, H.2
Kumar, V.S.A.3
Marathe, M.V.4
Srinivasan, A.5
Toroczkai, Z.6
Wang, N.7
-
86
-
-
68149116255
-
Colony collapse disorder: A descriptive study
-
10.1371/journal.pone.0006481
-
Evans J D, Saegerman C, Mullin C and Haubruge E 2009 Colony collapse disorder: a descriptive study PLoS One 4 e6481
-
(2009)
PLoS One
, vol.4
, pp. 6481
-
-
Evans, J.D.1
Saegerman, C.2
Mullin, C.3
Haubruge, E.4
-
88
-
-
23844436610
-
Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia
-
DOI 10.1038/nature04017
-
Ferguson N M, Cummings D A T, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Riley S, Meeyai A, Iamsirithaworn S and Burke D S 2005 Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia Nature 437 209-14 (Pubitemid 41294478)
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.437
, Issue.7056
, pp. 209-214
-
-
Ferguson, N.M.1
Cummings, D.A.T.2
Cauchemez, S.3
Fraser, C.4
Riley, S.5
Meeyai, A.6
Iamsirithaworn, S.7
Burke, D.S.8
-
89
-
-
0035843902
-
The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: Pattern of spread and impact of interventions
-
DOI 10.1126/science.1061020
-
Ferguson N M, Donnelly C A and Anderson R M 2001 The Foot-and-Mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions Science 292 1155-60 (Pubitemid 32440936)
-
(2001)
Science
, vol.292
, Issue.5519
, pp. 1155-1160
-
-
Ferguson, N.M.1
Donnelly, C.A.2
Anderson, R.M.3
-
90
-
-
0035807295
-
Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
-
DOI 10.1038/35097116
-
Ferguson N M, Donnelly C A and Anderson R M 2001 Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the Foot-and-Mouth epidemic in Great Britain Nature 413 542-8 (Pubitemid 32938755)
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.413
, Issue.6855
, pp. 542-548
-
-
Ferguson, N.M.1
Donnelly, C.A.2
Anderson, R.M.3
-
91
-
-
0033727461
-
More realistic models of sexually transmitted disease transmission dynamics: Sexual partnership networks, pair models, and moment closure
-
10.1097/00007435-200011000-00008 0148-5717
-
Ferguson N M and Garnett G P 2000 More realistic models of sexually transmitted disease transmission dynamics: sexual partnership networks, pair models, and moment closure Sexually Transmitted Diseases 27 600-9
-
(2000)
Sexually Transmitted Diseases
, vol.27
, pp. 600-609
-
-
Ferguson, N.M.1
Garnett, G.P.2
-
92
-
-
0142246450
-
Planning for smallpox outbreaks
-
DOI 10.1038/nature02007
-
Ferguson N M, Keeling M J, Edmunds W J, Gant R, Grenfell B T, Amderson R M and Leach S 2003 Planning for smallpox outbreaks Nature 425 681-5 (Pubitemid 37314306)
-
(2003)
Nature
, vol.425
, Issue.6959
, pp. 681-685
-
-
Ferguson, N.M.1
Keeling, M.J.2
Edmunds, W.J.3
Gani, R.4
Grenfell, B.T.5
Anderson, R.M.6
Leach, S.7
-
93
-
-
33745836878
-
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic
-
DOI 10.1038/nature04795, PII NATURE04795
-
Ferguson N M, Cummings D A T, Fraser C, Cajka J C, Cooley P C and Burke D S 2006 Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic Nature 442 448-52 (Pubitemid 44264793)
-
(2006)
Nature
, vol.442
, Issue.7101
, pp. 448-452
-
-
Ferguson, N.M.1
Cummings, D.A.T.2
Fraser, C.3
Cajka, J.C.4
Cooley, P.C.5
Burke, D.S.6
-
94
-
-
84857463893
-
Landscape epidemiology and control of pathogens with cryptic and long-distance dispersal: Sudden oak death in northern Californian forests
-
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002328 e1002328
-
Filipe J A N, Cobb R C, Meentemeyer R K, Lee C A, Valachovic Y S, Cook A R, Rizzo D M and Gilligan C A 2012 Landscape epidemiology and control of pathogens with cryptic and long-distance dispersal: sudden oak death in northern Californian forests PLoS Comput. Biol. 8 e1002328
-
(2012)
PLoS Comput. Biol.
, vol.8
-
-
Filipe, J.A.N.1
Cobb, R.C.2
Meentemeyer, R.K.3
Lee, C.A.4
Valachovic, Y.S.5
Cook, A.R.6
Rizzo, D.M.7
Gilligan, C.A.8
-
95
-
-
0034360414
-
Time series modelling of childhood diseases: A dynamical systems approach
-
10.1111/1467-9876.00187 0952-8385 C
-
Finkenstädt B F and Grenfell B T 2000 Time series modelling of childhood diseases: a dynamical systems approach J. R. Stat. Soc. C 49 187-205
-
(2000)
J. R. Stat. Soc.
, vol.49
, pp. 187-205
-
-
Finkenstädt, B.F.1
Grenfell, B.T.2
-
97
-
-
39049108853
-
Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic
-
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0000758
-
Fraser C 2007 Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic PLoS One 2 758 (Pubitemid 351377243)
-
(2007)
PLoS ONE
, vol.2
, Issue.8
-
-
Fraser, C.1
-
100
-
-
0033727587
-
Risks of acquiring and transmitting sexually transmitted diseases in sexual partner networks
-
10.1097/00007435-200011000-00006 0148-5717
-
Ghani A C and Garnett G P 2000 Risks of acquiring and transmitting sexually transmitted diseases in sexual partner networks Sexually Transmitted Diseases 27 579-87
-
(2000)
Sexually Transmitted Diseases
, vol.27
, pp. 579-587
-
-
Ghani, A.C.1
Garnett, G.P.2
-
101
-
-
33750044838
-
Bayesian estimation for percolation models of disease spread in plant populations
-
DOI 10.1007/s11222-006-0019-z
-
Gibson G J, Otten W, Filipe J A N, Cook A, Marion G and Gilligan C A 2006 Bayesian estimation for percolation models of disease spread in plant populations Stat. Comput. 16 391-402 (Pubitemid 44581752)
-
(2006)
Statistics and Computing
, vol.16
, Issue.4
, pp. 391-402
-
-
Gibson, G.J.1
Otten, W.2
Filipe, J.A.N.3
Cook, A.4
Marion, G.5
Gilligan, C.A.6
-
102
-
-
19544394086
-
Cattle movements and bovine tuberculosis in Great Britain
-
DOI 10.1038/nature03548
-
Gilbert M, Mitchell A, Bourn D, Mawdsley J, Clifton-Hadley R and Wint W 2005 Cattle movements and bovine tuberculosis in Great Britain Nature 435 491-6 (Pubitemid 40734245)
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.435
, Issue.7041
, pp. 491-496
-
-
Gilbert, M.1
Mitchell, A.2
Bourn, D.3
Mawdsley, J.4
Clifton-Hadley, R.5
Wint, W.6
-
103
-
-
33645429016
-
Exact stochastic simulation of coupled chemical reactions
-
10.1021/j100540a008
-
Gillespie D T 1977 Exact stochastic simulation of coupled chemical reactions J. Phys. Chem. 81 2340-61
-
(1977)
J. Phys. Chem.
, vol.81
, pp. 2340-2361
-
-
Gillespie, D.T.1
-
104
-
-
0035933994
-
Approximate accelerated stochastic simulation of chemically reacting systems
-
DOI 10.1063/1.1378322
-
Gillespie D T 2001 Approximate accelerated stochastic simulation of chemically reacting systems J. Chem. Phys. 115 1716-33 (Pubitemid 32715518)
-
(2001)
Journal of Chemical Physics
, vol.115
, Issue.4
, pp. 1716-1733
-
-
Gillespie, D.T.1
-
105
-
-
0242425970
-
Improved leap-size selection for accelerated stochastic simulation
-
10.1063/1.1613254
-
Gillespie D T and Petzold L R 2003 Improved leap-size selection for accelerated stochastic simulation J. Chem. Phys. 119 8229-34
-
(2003)
J. Chem. Phys.
, vol.119
, pp. 8229-8234
-
-
Gillespie, D.T.1
Petzold, L.R.2
-
107
-
-
0001345835
-
Snowball sampling
-
10.1214/aoms/1177705148 0003-4851
-
Goodman L A 1961 Snowball sampling Ann. Math. Statist. 32 148-70
-
(1961)
Ann. Math. Statist.
, vol.32
, pp. 148-170
-
-
Goodman, L.A.1
-
108
-
-
0031418824
-
(Meta) population dynamics of infectious diseases
-
DOI 10.1016/S0169-5347(97)01174-9
-
Grenfell B 1997 (Meta)population dynamics of infectious diseases Trends Ecol. Evol. 12 395-9 (Pubitemid 28093523)
-
(1997)
Trends in Ecology and Evolution
, vol.12
, Issue.10
, pp. 395-399
-
-
Grenfell, B.1
Harwood, J.2
-
109
-
-
0035856957
-
Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics
-
DOI 10.1038/414716a
-
Grenfell B, Bjørnstad O and Kappey J 2001 Travelling waves and spatial hierarchies in measles epidemics Nature 414 716-23 (Pubitemid 34000763)
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.414
, Issue.6865
, pp. 716-723
-
-
Grenfell, B.T.1
Bjornstad, O.N.2
Kappey, J.3
-
110
-
-
0022354857
-
The estimation of age-related rates of infection from case notifications and serological data
-
Grenfell B T and Anderson R M 1985 The estimation of age related rates of infection from case notifications and serological data J. Hygiene 95 419-36 (Pubitemid 16227122)
-
(1985)
Journal of Hygiene
, vol.95
, Issue.2
, pp. 419-436
-
-
Grenfell, B.T.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
111
-
-
0007632955
-
Multivariate birth-and-death processes as approximations to epidemic processes
-
10.2307/3212492 0021-9002
-
Griffiths D A 1973 Multivariate birth-and-death processes as approximations to epidemic processes J. Appl. Probab. 10 15-26
-
(1973)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.10
, pp. 15-26
-
-
Griffiths, D.A.1
-
114
-
-
20344377406
-
The worldwide air transportation network: Anomalous centrality, community structure, and cities' global roles
-
DOI 10.1073/pnas.0407994102
-
Guimera R, Mossa S, Turtschi A and Nunes Amaral L A 2005 The worldwide air transportation network: anomalous centrality, community structure, and cities' global roles Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 102 7794-9 (Pubitemid 40781017)
-
(2005)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.102
, Issue.22
, pp. 7794-7799
-
-
Guimera, R.1
Mossa, S.2
Turtschi, A.3
Amaral, L.A.N.4
-
116
-
-
0024817947
-
Networks of sexual contacts: Implications for the pattern of spread of HIV
-
10.1097/00002030-198912000-00005
-
Gupta S et al 1989 Networks of sexual contacts: implications for the pattern of spread of HIV AIDS 3 807
-
(1989)
AIDS
, vol.3
, pp. 807
-
-
Gupta, S.1
-
117
-
-
0026699981
-
Interpretation and estimation of vaccine efficacy under heterogeneity
-
0002-9262
-
Halloran M E, Haber M and Longini I M 1992 Interpretation and estimation of vaccine efficacy under heterogeneity Am. J. Epidemiol. 136 328-43
-
(1992)
Am. J. Epidemiol.
, vol.136
, pp. 328-343
-
-
Halloran, M.E.1
Haber, M.2
Longini, I.M.3
-
119
-
-
0000829680
-
Contact interactions on a lattice
-
10.1214/aop/1176996493 0091-1798
-
Harris T E 1974 Contact interactions on a lattice Ann. Probab. 2 969-88
-
(1974)
Ann. Probab.
, vol.2
, pp. 969-988
-
-
Harris, T.E.1
-
121
-
-
0026268962
-
Spatial structure and chaos in insect population dynamics
-
Hassell M P, Comins H N and May R M 1991 Spatial structure and chaos in insect population dynamics Nature 353 255-8 (Pubitemid 21896765)
-
(1991)
Nature
, vol.353
, Issue.6341
, pp. 255-258
-
-
Hassell, M.P.1
Comins, H.N.2
May, R.M.3
-
122
-
-
0002831045
-
Short-term extrapolation of the AIDS epidemic
-
10.2307/2982184 0035-9238 A
-
Healy M J R and Tillett H E 1988 Short-term extrapolation of the AIDS epidemic J. R. Statist. Soc. A 151 50-65
-
(1988)
J. R. Statist. Soc.
, vol.151
, pp. 50-65
-
-
Healy, M.J.R.1
Tillett, H.E.2
-
123
-
-
0036025407
-
0 and a recipe for its calculation
-
DOI 10.1023/A:1016599411804
-
Heesterbeek J A P 2002 A brief history of R° and a recipe for its calculation Acta Biotheor. 50 189-204 (Pubitemid 35218664)
-
(2002)
Acta Biotheoretica
, vol.50
, Issue.3
, pp. 189-204
-
-
Heesterbeek, J.A.P.1
-
125
-
-
33646541387
-
Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza?
-
10.1038/nm0506-497
-
Hollingsworth T D, Ferguson N M and Anderson R M 2006 Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza? Nature Med. 12 497-9
-
(2006)
Nature Med.
, vol.12
, pp. 497-499
-
-
Hollingsworth, T.D.1
Ferguson, N.M.2
Anderson, R.M.3
-
126
-
-
41349120887
-
Attack vulnerability of complex networks
-
DOI 10.1103/PhysRevE.65.056109, 056109
-
Holme P, Kim B J, Yoon C N and Han S K 2002 Attack vulnerability of complex networks Phys. Rev. E 65 056109 (Pubitemid 40606846)
-
(2002)
Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics
, vol.65
, Issue.5
-
-
Holme, P.1
Kim, B.J.2
Yoon, C.N.3
Han, S.K.4
-
127
-
-
65549096310
-
Household structure and infectious disease transmission
-
10.1017/S0950268808001416
-
House T and Keeling M J 2008 Household structure and infectious disease transmission Epidemiol. Infection 137 654
-
(2008)
Epidemiol. Infection
, vol.137
, pp. 654
-
-
House, T.1
Keeling, M.J.2
-
128
-
-
84872358666
-
How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final-size calculation
-
10.1098/rspa.2012.0436 1364-5021 A 20120436
-
House T, Ross J V and Sirl D 2012 How big is an outbreak likely to be? Methods for epidemic final-size calculation Proc. R. Soc. A 469 20120436
-
(2012)
Proc. R. Soc.
, vol.469
-
-
House, T.1
Ross, J.V.2
Sirl, D.3
-
130
-
-
77949460686
-
Contingency planning for a deliberate release of smallpox in Great Britain - The role of geographical scale and contact structure
-
10.1186/1471-2334-10-25 1471-2334
-
House T, Hall I, Danon L and Keeling M J 2010 Contingency planning for a deliberate release of smallpox in Great Britain - the role of geographical scale and contact structure BMC Infectious Diseases 10 25
-
(2010)
BMC Infectious Diseases
, vol.10
, pp. 25
-
-
House, T.1
Hall, I.2
Danon, L.3
Keeling, M.J.4
-
131
-
-
78650398534
-
Epidemic prediction and control in clustered populations
-
10.1016/j.jtbi.2010.12.009
-
House T and Keeling M J 2011 Epidemic prediction and control in clustered populations J. Theor. Biol. 272 1-7
-
(2011)
J. Theor. Biol.
, vol.272
, pp. 1-7
-
-
House, T.1
Keeling, M.J.2
-
132
-
-
78650846890
-
Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks
-
10.1098/rsif.2010.0179 1742-5689
-
House T and Keeling M J 2011 Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks J. R. Soc. Interface 8 67-73
-
(2011)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.8
, pp. 67-73
-
-
House, T.1
Keeling, M.J.2
-
134
-
-
0000323491
-
Using mathematical models to understand the AIDS epidemic
-
10.1016/0025-5564(88)90078-8 0025-5564
-
Hyman J M and Stanley E 1988 Using mathematical models to understand the AIDS epidemic Math. Biosci. 90 415-73
-
(1988)
Math. Biosci.
, vol.90
, pp. 415-473
-
-
Hyman, J.M.1
Stanley, E.2
-
136
-
-
0024205659
-
Modeling and analyzing HIV transmission: The effect of contact patterns
-
DOI 10.1016/0025-5564(88)90031-4
-
Jacquez J A, Simon C P, Koopman J, Sattenspiel L and Perry T 1988 Modeling and analyzing HIV transmission: the effect of contact patterns Math. Biosci. 92 119-99 (Pubitemid 19046874)
-
(1988)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.92
, Issue.2
, pp. 119-199
-
-
Jacquez, J.A.1
Simon, C.P.2
Koopman, J.3
Sattenspiel, L.4
Perry, T.5
-
137
-
-
0033378373
-
Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in the Netherlands: I. Description of simulation model
-
10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00080-X
-
Jalvingh A W, Nielen M, Maurice H, Stegeman A J, Elbers A R W and Dijkhuizen A A 1999 Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 classical swine fever epidemic in The Netherlands: I. Description of simulation model Preventive Veterinary Med. 42 271-95
-
(1999)
Preventive Veterinary Med.
, vol.42
, pp. 271-295
-
-
Jalvingh, A.W.1
Nielen, M.2
Maurice, H.3
Stegeman, A.J.4
Elbers, A.R.W.5
Dijkhuizen, A.A.6
-
138
-
-
0034856925
-
Sexual networks and sexually transmitted infections: A tale of two cities
-
DOI 10.1093/jurban/78.3.433
-
Jolly A M, Muth S Q, Wylie J L and Potterat J J 2001 Sexual networks and sexually transmitted infections: a tale of two cities J. Urban Health-Bull. New York Acad. Med. 78 433-45 (Pubitemid 32852783)
-
(2001)
Journal of Urban Health
, vol.78
, Issue.3
, pp. 433-445
-
-
Jolly, A.M.1
Muth, S.Q.2
Wylie, J.L.3
Potterat, J.J.4
-
140
-
-
0025109458
-
How bad can it get? Bounding worst case endemic heterogeneous mixing models of HIV/AIDS
-
DOI 10.1016/0025-5564(90)90002-G
-
Kaplan E H and Lee Y S 1990 How bad can it get? bounding worst case endemic heterogenous mixing models of HIV/AIDS Math. Biosci. 99 157-80 (Pubitemid 20293837)
-
(1990)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.99
, Issue.2
, pp. 157-180
-
-
Kaplan, E.H.1
Lee, Y.S.2
-
142
-
-
0024247555
-
The projected incidence of AIDS and estimated prevalence of HIV infection in the United States
-
Karon J M et al 1988 The projected incidence of AIDS and estimated prevalence of HIV infection in the United States J. Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 1 542
-
(1988)
J. Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes
, vol.1
, pp. 542
-
-
Karon, J.M.1
-
143
-
-
0033594451
-
The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions
-
DOI 10.1098/rspb.1999.0716
-
Keeling M J 1999 The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions Proc. R. Soc. B 266 859-67 (Pubitemid 29204217)
-
(1999)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.266
, Issue.1421
, pp. 859-867
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
-
145
-
-
0032518718
-
Effect of variability in infection period on the persistence and spatial spread of infectious diseases
-
DOI 10.1016/S0025-5564(97)00101-6, PII S0025556497001016
-
Keeling M J and Grenfell B T 1998 Effect of variability in infection period on the persistence and spatial spread of infectious diseases Math. Biosci. 147 207-26 (Pubitemid 28009761)
-
(1997)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.147
, Issue.2
, pp. 207-226
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Grenfell, B.T.2
-
146
-
-
37249009073
-
On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics
-
DOI 10.1098/rsif.2007.1106, PII X2765X838600G387
-
Keeling M J and Ross J V 2008 On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics J. R. Soc. Interface 5 171-81 (Pubitemid 350274453)
-
(2008)
Journal of the Royal Society Interface
, vol.5
, Issue.19
, pp. 171-181
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Ross, J.V.2
-
147
-
-
0035955427
-
Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: Stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape
-
DOI 10.1126/science.1065973
-
Keeling M J, Woolhouse M E, Shaw D J, Matthews L, Chase-Topping M, Haydon D T, Cornell S J, Kappey J, Wilesmith J and Grenfell B T 2001 Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape Science 294 813-7 (Pubitemid 33032092)
-
(2001)
Science
, vol.294
, Issue.5543
, pp. 813-817
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Woolhouse, M.E.J.2
Shaw, D.J.3
Matthews, L.4
Chase-Topping, M.5
Haydon, D.T.6
Cornell, S.J.7
Kappey, J.8
Wilesmith, J.9
Grenfell, B.T.10
-
148
-
-
11844262657
-
The implications of network structure for epidemic dynamics
-
DOI 10.1016/j.tpb.2004.08.002, PII S0040580904001121
-
Keeling M 2005 The implications of network structure for epidemic dynamics Theor. Population Biol. 67 1-8 (Pubitemid 40084668)
-
(2005)
Theoretical Population Biology
, vol.67
, Issue.1
, pp. 1-8
-
-
Keeling, M.1
-
149
-
-
77952708202
-
Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations
-
10.1073/pnas.1000416107 0027-8424
-
Keeling M J, Danon L, Vernon M C and House T A 2010 Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 107 8866-70
-
(2010)
Proc. Natl Acad. Sci.
, vol.107
, pp. 8866-8870
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Danon, L.2
Vernon, M.C.3
House, T.A.4
-
150
-
-
0036168704
-
Estimating spatial coupling in epidemiological systems: A mechanistic approach
-
DOI 10.1046/j.1461-0248.2002.00268.x
-
Keeling M J and Rohani P 2002 Estimating spatial coupling in epidemiological systems: a mechanistic approach Ecol. Lett. 5 20-9 (Pubitemid 34140314)
-
(2002)
Ecology Letters
, vol.5
, Issue.1
, pp. 20-29
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Rohani, P.2
-
152
-
-
0031015249
-
Disease extinction and community size: Modeling the persistence of measles
-
DOI 10.1126/science.275.5296.65
-
Keeling M J and Grenfell B T 1997 Disease extinction and community size: modeling the persistence of measles Science 275 65-7 (Pubitemid 27020307)
-
(1997)
Science
, vol.275
, Issue.5296
, pp. 65-67
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Grenfell, B.T.2
-
153
-
-
0347663530
-
Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors
-
DOI 10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00187-1, PII S0167278900001871
-
Keeling M J, Rohani P and Grenfell B T 2001 Seasonally forced disease dynamics explored as switching between attractors Physica D - Nonlinear Phenom. 148 317-35 (Pubitemid 33651593)
-
(2001)
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena
, vol.148
, Issue.3-4
, pp. 317-335
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
Rohani, P.2
Grenfell, B.T.3
-
154
-
-
0033594451
-
The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions
-
DOI 10.1098/rspb.1999.0716
-
Keeling M J 1999 The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 266 859-67 (Pubitemid 29204217)
-
(1999)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.266
, Issue.1421
, pp. 859-867
-
-
Keeling, M.J.1
-
155
-
-
0000998185
-
Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics: I
-
10.1098/rspa.1927.0118 A
-
Kermack W O and McKendrick A G 1927 Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics: I Proc. R. Soc. A 115 700-21
-
(1927)
Proc. R. Soc.
, vol.115
, pp. 700-721
-
-
Kermack, W.O.1
McKendrick, A.G.2
-
156
-
-
84893381288
-
-
King D 2007 Bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: a report by the chief scientific adviser
-
(2007)
-
-
King, D.1
-
157
-
-
33750712007
-
The network of sheep movements within Great Britain: Network properties and their implications for infectious disease spread
-
DOI 10.1098/rsif.2006.0129
-
Kiss I Z, Green D M and Kao R R 2006 The network of sheep movements within Great Britain: network properties and their implications for infectious disease spread J. R. Soc. Interface 3 669-77 (Pubitemid 44696252)
-
(2006)
Journal of the Royal Society Interface
, vol.3
, Issue.10
, pp. 669-677
-
-
Kiss, I.Z.1
Green, D.M.2
Kao, R.R.3
-
159
-
-
0022357743
-
Social networks and the spread of infectious diseases: The AIDS example
-
DOI 10.1016/0277-9536(85)90269-2
-
Klovdahl A S 1985 Social networks and the spread of infectious diseases: the AIDS example Social Sci. Med. 21 1203-16 (Pubitemid 16175376)
-
(1985)
Social Science and Medicine
, vol.21
, Issue.11
, pp. 1203-1216
-
-
Klovdahl, A.S.1
-
160
-
-
3042720552
-
Disentangling extrinsic from intrinsic factors in disease dynamics: A nonlinear time series approach with an application to cholera
-
DOI 10.1086/420798
-
Koelle K and Pascual M 2004 Disentangling extrinsic from intrinsic factors in disease dynamics: a nonlinear time series approach with an application to cholera Am. Naturalist 163 901-13 (Pubitemid 38852143)
-
(2004)
American Naturalist
, vol.163
, Issue.6
, pp. 901-913
-
-
Koelle, K.1
Pascual, M.2
-
161
-
-
0030426365
-
Dispersal data and the spread of invading organisms
-
10.2307/2265698
-
Kot M, Lewis M A and van den Driessche P 1996 Dispersal data and the spread of invading organisms Ecology 77 2027-42
-
(1996)
Ecology
, vol.77
, pp. 2027-2042
-
-
Kot, M.1
Lewis, M.A.2
Van Den Driessche, P.3
-
163
-
-
0032004315
-
The effect of pair formation and variable infectivity on the spread of an infection without recovery
-
DOI 10.1016/S0025-5564(97)10008-6, PII S0025556497100086
-
Kretzschmar M and Dietz K 1998 The effect of pair formation and variable infectivity on the spread of an infection without recovery Math. Biosci. 148 83-113 (Pubitemid 28236902)
-
(1998)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.148
, Issue.1
, pp. 83-113
-
-
Kretzschmar, M.1
Dietz, K.2
-
164
-
-
0002232633
-
Solutions of ordinary differential equations as limits of pure jump Markov processes
-
10.2307/3212147 0021-9002
-
Kurtz T 1970 Solutions of ordinary differential equations as limits of pure jump Markov processes J. Appl. Probab. 7 49-58
-
(1970)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.7
, pp. 49-58
-
-
Kurtz, T.1
-
165
-
-
0001249058
-
Limit theorems for sequences of jump Markov processes approximating ordinary differential processes
-
10.2307/3211904 0021-9002
-
Kurtz T 1971 Limit theorems for sequences of jump Markov processes approximating ordinary differential processes J. Appl. Probab. 8 344-56
-
(1971)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.8
, pp. 344-356
-
-
Kurtz, T.1
-
167
-
-
0001249058
-
Limit theorems for sequences of jump markov processes approximating ordinary differential processes
-
10.2307/3211904 0021-9002
-
Kurtz T G 1971 Limit theorems for sequences of jump markov processes approximating ordinary differential processes J. Appl. Probab. 8 344-56
-
(1971)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.8
, pp. 344-356
-
-
Kurtz, T.G.1
-
168
-
-
33847630066
-
Sustained oscillations via coherence resonance in SIR
-
DOI 10.1016/j.jtbi.2006.10.029, PII S0022519306004930
-
Kuske R, Gordillo L F and Greenwood P 2007 Sustained oscillations via coherence resonance in SIR J. Theor. Biol. 245 459-69 (Pubitemid 46365738)
-
(2007)
Journal of Theoretical Biology
, vol.245
, Issue.3
, pp. 459-469
-
-
Kuske, R.1
Gordillo, L.F.2
Greenwood, P.3
-
169
-
-
84863558988
-
Deer, predator, and the emergence of Lyme disease
-
10.1073/pnas.1204536109 0027-8424
-
Levi T, Kilpatrick A M, Mangel M and Wilmers C C 2012 Deer, predator, and the emergence of Lyme disease Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. 109 10942-7
-
(2012)
Proc. Natl Acad. Sci.
, vol.109
, pp. 10942-10947
-
-
Levi, T.1
Kilpatrick, A.M.2
Mangel, M.3
Wilmers, C.C.4
-
170
-
-
0000065728
-
Some demographic and genetic consequences of environmental heterogeneity for biological control
-
0013-8754
-
Levins R 1969 Some demographic and genetic consequences of environmental heterogeneity for biological control Bull. Entomol. Soc. Am. 15 237-40
-
(1969)
Bull. Entomol. Soc. Am.
, vol.15
, pp. 237-240
-
-
Levins, R.1
-
171
-
-
0035927795
-
Social networks: The web of human sexual contacts
-
DOI 10.1038/35082140
-
Liljeros F, Edling C R, Amaral L A N, Stanley H E and Aberg Y 2001 The web of human sexual contacts Nature 411 907-8 (Pubitemid 32601479)
-
(2001)
Nature
, vol.411
, Issue.6840
, pp. 907-908
-
-
Liljeros, F.1
Edling, C.R.2
Nunes Amaral, L.A.3
Stanley, H.E.4
Aberg, Y.5
-
173
-
-
71049124800
-
Persistence, extinction and spatio-temporal synchronization of SIRS spatial models
-
1742-5468 P07007
-
Liu Q X, Wang R H and Jin Z 2009 Persistence, extinction and spatio-temporal synchronization of SIRS spatial models J. Stat. Mech.: Theory Exp. 2009 P07007
-
(2009)
J. Stat. Mech.: Theory Exp.
, vol.2009
, Issue.7
-
-
Liu, Q.X.1
Wang, R.H.2
Jin, Z.3
-
174
-
-
0035820841
-
Destabilization of epidemic models with the inclusion of realistic distributions of infectious periods
-
DOI 10.1098/rspb.2001.1599
-
Lloyd A L 2001 Destabilization of epidemic models with the inclusion of realistic distributions of infectious periods Proc. R. Soc. B 268 985-93 (Pubitemid 32453390)
-
(2001)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.268
, Issue.1470
, pp. 985-993
-
-
Lloyd, A.L.1
-
175
-
-
23644457957
-
Containing pandemic influenza at the source
-
DOI 10.1126/science.1115717
-
Longini I M, Nizam A, Xu S F, Ungchusak K, Hanshaoworakul W, Cummings D A T and Halloran M E 2005 Containing pandemic influenza at the source Science 309 1083-7 (Pubitemid 41134467)
-
(2005)
Science
, vol.309
, Issue.5737
, pp. 1083-1087
-
-
Longini Jr., I.M.1
Nizam, A.2
Xu, S.3
Ungchusak, K.4
Hanshaoworakul, W.5
Cummings, D.A.T.6
Halloran, M.E.7
-
178
-
-
77949320128
-
Concurrent sexual partnerships and the HIV epidemics in Africa: Evidence to move forward
-
10.1007/s10461-008-9433-x 1090-7165
-
Mah T L and Halperin D T 2010 Concurrent sexual partnerships and the HIV epidemics in Africa: evidence to move forward AIDS Behav. 14 11-6
-
(2010)
AIDS Behav.
, vol.14
, pp. 11-16
-
-
Mah, T.L.1
Halperin, D.T.2
-
179
-
-
33748654413
-
Host heterogeneity dominates West Nile virus transmission
-
DOI 10.1098/rspb.2006.3575
-
Marm Kilpatrick A, Daszak P, Jones M J, Marra P P and Kramer L D 2006 Host heterogeneity dominates West Nile virus transmission Proc. R. Soc. B 273 2327-33 (Pubitemid 44387340)
-
(2006)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.273
, Issue.1599
, pp. 2327-2333
-
-
Kilpatrick, A.M.1
Daszak, P.2
Jones, M.J.3
Marra, P.P.4
Kramer, L.D.5
-
180
-
-
0018357820
-
Population biology of infectious diseases: II
-
DOI 10.1038/280455a0
-
May R M and Anderson R M 1979 Population biology of infectious diseases: II Nature 280 455-61 (Pubitemid 9234555)
-
(1979)
Nature
, vol.280
, Issue.5722
, pp. 455-461
-
-
May, R.M.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
181
-
-
0024300994
-
The transmission dynamics of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)
-
10.1098/rstb.1988.0108 0962-8436 B
-
May R M 1988 The transmission dynamics of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 321 565-607
-
(1988)
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond.
, vol.321
, pp. 565-607
-
-
May, R.M.1
-
183
-
-
0015222078
-
Frequency of blood feeding in the mosquito Aedes aegypti
-
10.1038/232485a0 0028-0836
-
McClelland G A H and Conway G R 1971 Frequency of blood feeding in the mosquito Aedes aegypti Nature 232 485-6
-
(1971)
Nature
, vol.232
, pp. 485-486
-
-
McClelland, G.A.H.1
Conway, G.R.2
-
184
-
-
0023884987
-
Measles in developing-countries: II. The predicted impact of mass vaccination
-
10.1017/S0950268800067170
-
McLean A R and Anderson R M 1988 Measles in developing-countries: II. The predicted impact of mass vaccination Epidemiol. Infection 100 419-42
-
(1988)
Epidemiol. Infection
, vol.100
, pp. 419-442
-
-
McLean, A.R.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
185
-
-
70349540330
-
Optimizing influenza vaccine distribution
-
10.1126/science.1175570
-
Medlock J and Galvani A P 2009 Optimizing influenza vaccine distribution Science 325 1705-8
-
(2009)
Science
, vol.325
, pp. 1705-1708
-
-
Medlock, J.1
Galvani, A.P.2
-
186
-
-
6344287794
-
Network theory and SARS: Predicting outbreak diversity
-
DOI 10.1016/j.jtbi.2004.07.026, PII S0022519304003510
-
Meyers L A, Pourbohloul B, Newman M E J, Skowronski D M and Brunham R C 2005 Network theory and SARS: predicting outbreak diversity J. Theor. Biol. 232 71-81 (Pubitemid 39388375)
-
(2005)
Journal of Theoretical Biology
, vol.232
, Issue.1
, pp. 71-81
-
-
Meyers, L.A.1
Pourbohloul, B.2
Newman, M.E.J.3
Skowronski, D.M.4
Brunham, R.C.5
-
187
-
-
0034062485
-
First field evidence for natural vertical transmission of West Nile virus in Culex univittatus complex mosquitoes from Rift Valley Province, Kenya
-
Miller B R, Nasci R S, Godsey M S, Savage H M, Lutwama J J, Lanciotti R S and Peters C J 2000 First field evidence for natural vertical transmission of West Nile virus in Culex Univittatus complex mosquitoes from rift valley province, Kenya Am. J. Tropical Med. Hygiene 62 240-6 (Pubitemid 30257584)
-
(2000)
American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
, vol.62
, Issue.2
, pp. 240-246
-
-
Miller, B.R.1
Nasci, R.S.2
Godsey, M.S.3
Savage, H.M.4
Lutwama, J.J.5
Lanciotti, R.S.6
Peters, C.J.7
-
188
-
-
84859089658
-
Edge-based compartmental modelling for infectious disease spread
-
10.1098/rsif.2011.0403 1742-5689
-
Miller J C, Slim A C and Volz E M 2012 Edge-based compartmental modelling for infectious disease spread J. R. Soc. Interface 9 890-906
-
(2012)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.9
, pp. 890-906
-
-
Miller, J.C.1
Slim, A.C.2
Volz, E.M.3
-
189
-
-
79951515510
-
A note on a paper by Erik Volz: SIR dynamics in random networks
-
10.1007/s00285-010-0337-9
-
Miller J C 2011 A note on a paper by Erik Volz: SIR dynamics in random networks J. Math. Biol. 62 349-58
-
(2011)
J. Math. Biol.
, vol.62
, pp. 349-358
-
-
Miller, J.C.1
-
190
-
-
19544379560
-
Characteristics of cattle movements in Britain - An analysis of records from the cattle tracing system
-
Mitchell A, Bourn D, Mawdsley J, Wint W, Clifton-Hadley R and Gilbert M 2007 Characteristics of cattle movements in Britain - an analysis of records from the cattle tracing system Animal Sci. 80 265-73
-
(2007)
Animal Sci.
, vol.80
, pp. 265-273
-
-
Mitchell, A.1
Bourn, D.2
Mawdsley, J.3
Wint, W.4
Clifton-Hadley, R.5
Gilbert, M.6
-
191
-
-
0026360188
-
Dependence of epidemic and population velocities on basic parameters
-
DOI 10.1016/0025-5564(91)90009-8
-
Mollison D 1991 Dependence of epidemic and population velocities on basic parameters Math. Biosci. 107 255-87 (Pubitemid 23396931)
-
(1991)
Mathematical Biosciences
, vol.107
, Issue.2
, pp. 255-287
-
-
Mollison, D.1
-
192
-
-
84990671447
-
A critical-point for random graphs with a given degree sequence
-
10.1002/rsa.3240060204
-
Molloy M and Reed B 1995 A critical-point for random graphs with a given degree sequence Random Struct. Algor. 6 161-79
-
(1995)
Random Struct. Algor.
, vol.6
, pp. 161-179
-
-
Molloy, M.1
Reed, B.2
-
193
-
-
84990671447
-
A critical point for random graphs with a given degree sequence
-
10.1002/rsa.3240060204
-
Molloy M and Reed B 1995 A critical point for random graphs with a given degree sequence Random Struct. Algor. 6 161-80
-
(1995)
Random Struct. Algor.
, vol.6
, pp. 161-180
-
-
Molloy, M.1
Reed, B.2
-
194
-
-
0037040349
-
HIV-1 infection in rural Africa: Is there a difference in median time to AIDS and survival compared with that in industrialized countries?
-
DOI 10.1097/00002030-200203080-00011
-
Morgan D, Mahe C, Mayanja B, Okongo J M, Lubega R and Whitworth J A G 2002 HIV-1 infection in rural Africa: is there a difference in median time to AIDS and survival compared with that in industrialized countries? AIDS 16 597-603 (Pubitemid 34218855)
-
(2002)
AIDS
, vol.16
, Issue.4
, pp. 597-603
-
-
Morgan, D.1
Mahe, C.2
Mayanja, B.3
Okongo, J.M.4
Lubega, R.5
Whitworth, J.A.G.6
-
195
-
-
0022516409
-
Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome: Current and future trends
-
0033-3549
-
Morgan W M and Curran J W 1986 Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome: current and future trends Public Health Rep. 101 459
-
(1986)
Public Health Rep.
, vol.101
, pp. 459
-
-
Morgan, W.M.1
Curran, J.W.2
-
196
-
-
0031002324
-
Concurrent partnerships and the spread of HIV
-
DOI 10.1097/00002030-199705000-00012
-
Morris M and Kretzschmar M 1997 Concurrent partnerships and the spread of HIV AIDS 11 641-8 (Pubitemid 27135886)
-
(1997)
AIDS
, vol.11
, Issue.5
, pp. 641-648
-
-
Morris, M.1
Kretzschmar, M.2
-
197
-
-
0035806792
-
Predictive spatial modelling of alternative control strategies for the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain, 2001
-
Morris R S, Stern M W, Stevenson M A, Wilesmith J W and Sanson R L 2001 Predictive spatial modelling of alternative control strategies for the Foot-and-Mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain, 2001 Veterinary Rec. 149 137-44 (Pubitemid 33606915)
-
(2001)
Veterinary Record
, vol.149
, Issue.5
, pp. 137-144
-
-
Morris, R.S.1
Wilesmith, J.W.2
Stern, M.W.3
Sanson, R.L.4
Stevenson, M.A.5
-
198
-
-
41549103774
-
Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases
-
DOI 10.1371/journal.pmed.0050074, e74
-
Mossong J et al 2008 Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases PLoS Medicine 5 e74 (Pubitemid 351471689)
-
(2008)
PLoS Medicine
, vol.5
, Issue.3
, pp. 0381-0391
-
-
Mossong, J.1
Hens, N.2
Jit, M.3
Beutels, P.4
Auranen, K.5
Mikolajczyk, R.6
Massari, M.7
Salmaso, S.8
Tomba, G.S.9
Wallinga, J.10
Heijne, J.11
Sadkowska-Todys, M.12
Rosinska, M.13
Edmunds, W.J.14
-
199
-
-
41549103774
-
Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases
-
DOI 10.1371/journal.pmed.0050074, e74
-
Mossong J J et al 2008 Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases PLoS Med. 5 e74 (Pubitemid 351471689)
-
(2008)
PLoS Medicine
, vol.5
, Issue.3
, pp. 0381-0391
-
-
Mossong, J.1
Hens, N.2
Jit, M.3
Beutels, P.4
Auranen, K.5
Mikolajczyk, R.6
Massari, M.7
Salmaso, S.8
Tomba, G.S.9
Wallinga, J.10
Heijne, J.11
Sadkowska-Todys, M.12
Rosinska, M.13
Edmunds, W.J.14
-
204
-
-
18744389789
-
Assortative mixing in networks
-
10.1103/PhysRevLett.89.208701 208701
-
Newman M E J 2002 Assortative mixing in networks Phys. Rev. Lett. 89 208701
-
(2002)
Phys. Rev. Lett.
, vol.89
-
-
Newman, M.E.J.1
-
206
-
-
0347334779
-
Renormalization group analysis of the small-world network model
-
10.1016/S0375-9601(99)00757-4 0375-9601 A
-
Newman M E J and Watts D J 1999 Renormalization group analysis of the small-world network model Phys. Lett. A 263 341-6
-
(1999)
Phys. Lett.
, vol.263
, pp. 341-346
-
-
Newman, M.E.J.1
Watts, D.J.2
-
207
-
-
0016135893
-
Geographic and temporal development of plagues
-
10.1038/250726a0 0028-0836
-
Nobel J V 1974 Geographic and temporal development of plagues Nature 250 726-8
-
(1974)
Nature
, vol.250
, pp. 726-728
-
-
Nobel, J.V.1
-
208
-
-
76949100164
-
Duration of shedding of respiratory syncytial virus in a community study of Kenyan children
-
10.1186/1471-2334-10-15 1471-2334
-
Okiro E A, White L J, Ngama M, Cane P A, Medley G F and Nokes D J 2010 Duration of shedding of respiratory syncytial virus in a community study of Kenyan children BMC Infectious Diseases 10 15
-
(2010)
BMC Infectious Diseases
, vol.10
, pp. 15
-
-
Okiro, E.A.1
White, L.J.2
Ngama, M.3
Cane, P.A.4
Medley, G.F.5
Nokes, D.J.6
-
210
-
-
0024029039
-
Oscillations and chaos in epidemics: A nonlinear dynamic study of six childhood diseases in Copenhagen, Denmark
-
10.1016/0040-5809(88)90019-6
-
Olsen L F, Truty G L and Schaffer W M 1988 Oscillations and chaos in epidemics: a nonlinear dynamic study of six childhood diseases in Copenhagen, Denmark Theor. Population Biol. 33 344-70
-
(1988)
Theor. Population Biol.
, vol.33
, pp. 344-370
-
-
Olsen, L.F.1
Truty, G.L.2
Schaffer, W.M.3
-
211
-
-
0033546206
-
Herd-level economic losses associated with Johne's disease on US dairy operations
-
DOI 10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00037-9, PII S0167587799000379
-
Ott S L, Wells S J and Wagner B A 1999 Herd-level economic losses associated with Johne's disease on US dairy operations Preventive Veterinary Med. 40 179-92 (Pubitemid 29291757)
-
(1999)
Preventive Veterinary Medicine
, vol.40
, Issue.3-4
, pp. 179-192
-
-
Ott, S.L.1
Wells, S.J.2
Wagner, B.A.3
-
212
-
-
0035794256
-
Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks
-
DOI 10.1103/PhysRevLett.86.3200
-
Pastor-Satorras R and Vespignani A 2001 Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks Phys. Rev. Lett. 86 3200 (Pubitemid 32317894)
-
(2001)
Physical Review Letters
, vol.86
, Issue.14
, pp. 3200-3203
-
-
Pastor-Satorras, R.1
Vespignani, A.2
-
214
-
-
43049136844
-
Freidlin-Wentzell's large deviations for stochastic evolution equations
-
10.1016/j.jfa.2008.02.010
-
Ren J and Zhang X 2008 Freidlin-Wentzell's large deviations for stochastic evolution equations J. Funct. Anal. 254 3148-72
-
(2008)
J. Funct. Anal.
, vol.254
, pp. 3148-3172
-
-
Ren, J.1
Zhang, X.2
-
215
-
-
0031259880
-
Epidemic thresholds and vaccination in a lattice model of disease spread
-
DOI 10.1006/tpbi.1997.1323
-
Rhodes C J and Anderson R M 1997 Epidemic thresholds and vaccination in a lattice model of disease spread Theor. Population Biol. 52 101-18 (Pubitemid 27493190)
-
(1997)
Theoretical Population Biology
, vol.52
, Issue.2
, pp. 101-118
-
-
Rhodes, C.J.1
Anderson, R.M.2
-
216
-
-
2542461375
-
Sudden oak death: Endangering California and Oregon forest ecosystems
-
10.1890/1540-9295(2003)001[0197:SODECA]2.0.CO;2
-
Rizzo D M and Garbelotto M 2003 Sudden oak death: endangering California and Oregon forest ecosystems Frontiers Ecol. Environ. 1 197-204
-
(2003)
Frontiers Ecol. Environ.
, vol.1
, pp. 197-204
-
-
Rizzo, D.M.1
Garbelotto, M.2
-
217
-
-
0036229603
-
The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases
-
DOI 10.1086/339467
-
Rohani P, Keeling M J and Grenfell B T 2002 The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases Am. Naturalist 159 469-81 (Pubitemid 34443778)
-
(2002)
American Naturalist
, vol.159
, Issue.5
, pp. 469-481
-
-
Rohani, P.1
Keeling, M.J.2
Grenfell, B.T.3
-
218
-
-
78149372436
-
Contact network structure explains the changing epidemiology of pertussis
-
10.1126/science.1194134
-
Rohani P, Zhong X and King A A 2010 Contact network structure explains the changing epidemiology of pertussis Science 330 982-5
-
(2010)
Science
, vol.330
, pp. 982-985
-
-
Rohani, P.1
Zhong, X.2
King, A.A.3
-
219
-
-
79952115213
-
Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households
-
10.1371/journal.pone.0009666
-
Ross J V, House T and Keeling M J 2010 Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households PLoS One 5 e9666
-
(2010)
PLoS One
, vol.5
, pp. 9666
-
-
Ross, J.V.1
House, T.2
Keeling, M.J.3
-
221
-
-
0037033984
-
The economic and social burden of malaria
-
DOI 10.1038/415680a
-
Sachs J and Malaney P 2002 The economic and social burden of malaria Nature 415 680-5 (Pubitemid 34136401)
-
(2002)
Nature
, vol.415
, Issue.6872
, pp. 680-685
-
-
Sachs, J.1
Malaney, P.2
-
222
-
-
0023705860
-
The spread and persistence of infectious diseases in structured populations
-
10.1016/0025-5564(88)90074-0 0025-5564
-
Sattenspiel L and Simon C P 1988 The spread and persistence of infectious diseases in structured populations Math. Biosci. 90 341-66
-
(1988)
Math. Biosci.
, vol.90
, pp. 341-366
-
-
Sattenspiel, L.1
Simon, C.P.2
-
224
-
-
77957185501
-
An age-structured model of pre- and post-vaccination measles transmission
-
10.1093/imammb/1.2.169 0265-0746
-
Schenzle D 1984 An age-structured model of pre- and post-vaccination measles transmission IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. 1 169-91
-
(1984)
IMA J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol.
, vol.1
, pp. 169-191
-
-
Schenzle, D.1
-
225
-
-
0000045988
-
On the asymptotic distribution of the size of a stochastic epidemic
-
10.2307/3213811 0021-9002
-
Sellke T 1983 On the asymptotic distribution of the size of a stochastic epidemic J. Appl. Probab. 20 390-4
-
(1983)
J. Appl. Probab.
, vol.20
, pp. 390-394
-
-
Sellke, T.1
-
226
-
-
0028862561
-
Simulation of population expansion and spatial pattern when individual dispersal distributions do not decline exponentially with distance
-
10.1098/rspb.1995.0036 0080-4630 B
-
Shaw M W 1995 Simulation of population expansion and spatial pattern when individual dispersal distributions do not decline exponentially with distance Proc. R. Soc. B 259 243-8
-
(1995)
Proc. R. Soc.
, vol.259
, pp. 243-248
-
-
Shaw, M.W.1
-
227
-
-
84856297458
-
Vector host-feeding preferences drive transmission of multi-host pathogens: West Nile virus as a model system
-
10.1098/rspb.2011.1282 0080-4630 B
-
Simpson J E, Hurtado P J, Medlock J, Molaei G, Andreadis T G, Galvani A P and Diuk-Wasser M A 2012 Vector host-feeding preferences drive transmission of multi-host pathogens: West Nile virus as a model system Proc. R. Soc. B 279 925-33
-
(2012)
Proc. R. Soc.
, vol.279
, pp. 925-933
-
-
Simpson, J.E.1
Hurtado, P.J.2
Medlock, J.3
Molaei, G.4
Andreadis, T.G.5
Galvani, A.P.6
Diuk-Wasser, M.A.7
-
228
-
-
0037133570
-
Predicting the spatial dynamics of rabies epidemics on heterogeneous landscapes
-
DOI 10.1073/pnas.042400799
-
Smith D L, Lucey B, Waller L A, Childs J E and Real L A 2002 Predicting the spatial dynamics of rabies epidemics on heterogeneous landscapes Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 99 3668-72 (Pubitemid 34252164)
-
(2002)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
, vol.99
, Issue.6
, pp. 3668-3672
-
-
Smith, D.L.1
Lucey, B.2
Waller, L.A.3
Childs, J.E.4
Real, L.A.5
-
229
-
-
77951637863
-
Transmission parameters of the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth epidemic in Great Britain
-
10.1371/journal.pone.0000502
-
Ster I C and Ferguson N M 2007 Transmission parameters of the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth epidemic in Great Britain PLoS One 2 e502
-
(2007)
PLoS One
, vol.2
, pp. 502
-
-
Ster, I.C.1
Ferguson, N.M.2
-
231
-
-
70450173907
-
A modeling framework to describe the transmission of bluetongue virus within and between farms in Great Britain
-
10.1371/journal.pone.0007741
-
Szmaragd C, Wilson A J, Carpenter S, Wood J L N, Mellor P S and Gubbins S 2009 A modeling framework to describe the transmission of bluetongue virus within and between farms in Great Britain PLoS One 4 e7741
-
(2009)
PLoS One
, vol.4
, pp. 7741
-
-
Szmaragd, C.1
Wilson, A.J.2
Carpenter, S.3
Wood, J.L.N.4
Mellor, P.S.5
Gubbins, S.6
-
232
-
-
0027678367
-
How may infection-age-dependent infectivity affect the dynamics of HIV/AIDS?
-
10.1137/0153068
-
Thieme H R and Castillo-Chavez C 1993 How may infection-age-dependent infectivity affect the dynamics of HIV/AIDS? SIAM J. Appl. Math. 53 1447-79
-
(1993)
SIAM J. Appl. Math.
, vol.53
, pp. 1447-1479
-
-
Thieme, H.R.1
Castillo-Chavez, C.2
-
233
-
-
75749120261
-
Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control
-
10.1073/pnas.0909047107 0027-8424
-
Tildesley M, House T, Bruhn M, Curry R J, O'Neil M, Allpress J L E, Smith G and Keeling M J 2010 Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 107 1041-6
-
(2010)
Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA
, vol.107
, pp. 1041-1046
-
-
Tildesley, M.1
House, T.2
Bruhn, M.3
Curry, R.J.4
O'Neil, M.5
Allpress, J.L.E.6
Smith, G.7
Keeling, M.J.8
-
234
-
-
70349435390
-
The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease
-
10.1098/rspb.2009.0427 0962-8452 B
-
Tildesley M J, Bessell P R, Keeling M J and Woolhouse M E J 2009 The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 276 3239-48
-
(2009)
Proc. R. Soc. Lond.
, vol.276
, pp. 3239-3248
-
-
Tildesley, M.J.1
Bessell, P.R.2
Keeling, M.J.3
Woolhouse, M.E.J.4
-
235
-
-
84856913195
-
Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157: H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics
-
10.1098/rsif.2011.0293 1742-5689
-
Tildesley M J, Gally D L, McNeilly T N, Low J C, Mahajan A and Savill N J 2012 Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157: H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics J. R. Soc. Interface 9 518-27
-
(2012)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.9
, pp. 518-527
-
-
Tildesley, M.J.1
Gally, D.L.2
McNeilly, T.N.3
Low, J.C.4
Mahajan, A.5
Savill, N.J.6
-
236
-
-
33644745135
-
Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK
-
DOI 10.1038/nature04324, PII N04324
-
Tildesley M J, Savill N J, Shaw D J, Deardon R, Brooks S P, Woolhouse M E J, Grenfell B T and Keeling M J 2006 Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a Foot-and-Mouth outbreak in the UK Nature 440 83-6 (Pubitemid 43336271)
-
(2006)
Nature
, vol.440
, Issue.7080
, pp. 83-86
-
-
Tildesley, M.J.1
Savill, N.J.2
Shaw, D.J.3
Deardon, R.4
Brooks, S.P.5
Woolhouse, M.E.J.6
Grenfell, B.T.7
Keeling, M.J.8
-
237
-
-
43249092452
-
Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic
-
DOI 10.1098/rspb.2008.0006, PII T425MR104687X732
-
Tildesley M J, Deardon R, Savill N J, Bessell P R, Brooks S P, Woolhouse M E J, Grenfell B T and Keeling M J 2008 Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic Proc. R. Soc. B 275 1459-68 (Pubitemid 351653018)
-
(2008)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
, vol.275
, Issue.1641
, pp. 1459-1468
-
-
Tildesley, M.J.1
Deardon, R.2
Savill, N.J.3
Bessell, P.R.4
Brooks, S.P.5
Woolhouse, M.E.J.6
Grenfell, B.T.7
Keeling, M.J.8
-
238
-
-
67650917097
-
The large deviation approach to statistical mechanics
-
10.1016/j.physrep.2009.05.002 0370-1573
-
Touchette H 2009 The large deviation approach to statistical mechanics Phys. Rep. 478 1-69
-
(2009)
Phys. Rep.
, vol.478
, pp. 1-69
-
-
Touchette, H.1
-
239
-
-
84856565298
-
Essential epidemiological mechanisms underpinning the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza
-
10.1098/rsif.2011.0309 1742-5689
-
Truscott J, Fraser C, Cauchemez S, Meeyai A, Hinsley W, Donnelly C A, Ghani A and Ferguson N 2011 Essential epidemiological mechanisms underpinning the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza J. R. Soc. Interface 9 304-12
-
(2011)
J. R. Soc. Interface
, vol.9
, pp. 304-312
-
-
Truscott, J.1
Fraser, C.2
Cauchemez, S.3
Meeyai, A.4
Hinsley, W.5
Donnelly, C.A.6
Ghani, A.7
Ferguson, N.8
-
243
-
-
0029175103
-
Stochastic epidemics: Major outbreaks and the duration of the endemic period
-
10.1007/BF00298644 0303-6812
-
van Herwaarden O A and Grasman J 1995 Stochastic epidemics: major outbreaks and the duration of the endemic period J. Math. Biol. 33 581-601
-
(1995)
J. Math. Biol.
, vol.33
, pp. 581-601
-
-
Van Herwaarden, O.A.1
Grasman, J.2
-
244
-
-
79952364664
-
Modelling the impact of a combined varicella and zoster vaccination programme on the epidemiology of varicella zoster virus in England
-
10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.01.037
-
van Hoek A J, Melegaro A, Zagheni E, Edmunds J W and Gay N 2011 Modelling the impact of a combined varicella and zoster vaccination programme on the epidemiology of varicella zoster virus in England Vaccine 29 2411-20
-
(2011)
Vaccine
, vol.29
, pp. 2411-2420
-
-
Van Hoek, A.J.1
Melegaro, A.2
Zagheni, E.3
Edmunds, J.W.4
Gay, N.5
-
246
-
-
58149124231
-
Representing the UK's cattle herd as static and dynamic networks
-
10.1098/rspb.2008.1009 0080-4630 B
-
Vernon M C and Keeling M J 2009 Representing the UK's cattle herd as static and dynamic networks Proc. R. Soc. B 276 469-76
-
(2009)
Proc. R. Soc.
, vol.276
, pp. 469-476
-
-
Vernon, M.C.1
Keeling, M.J.2
-
247
-
-
36749049140
-
SIR dynamics in random networks with heterogeneous connectivity
-
DOI 10.1007/s00285-007-0116-4
-
Volz E 2008 SIR dynamics in random networks with heterogeneous connectivity J. Math. Biol. 56 293-310 (Pubitemid 350212021)
-
(2008)
Journal of Mathematical Biology
, vol.56
, Issue.3
, pp. 293-310
-
-
Volz, E.1
-
248
-
-
0033199407
-
Perspective: Human contact patterns and the spread of airborne infectious diseases
-
DOI 10.1016/S0966-842X(99)01546-2, PII S0966842X99015462
-
Wallinga J, Edmunds W J and Kretzschmar M 1999 Perspective: human contact patterns and the spread of airborne infectious diseases TRENDS Microbiol. 7 372-7 (Pubitemid 29421663)
-
(1999)
Trends in Microbiology
, vol.7
, Issue.9
, pp. 372-377
-
-
Wallinga, J.1
Edmunds, W.J.2
Kretzschmar, M.3
-
249
-
-
0026505445
-
The influence of concurrent partnerships on the dynamics of HIV/AIDS
-
10.1016/0025-5564(92)90006-I 0025-5564
-
Watts C H and May R M 1992 The influence of concurrent partnerships on the dynamics of HIV/AIDS Math. Biosci. 108 89-104
-
(1992)
Math. Biosci.
, vol.108
, pp. 89-104
-
-
Watts, C.H.1
May, R.M.2
-
250
-
-
0032482432
-
Collective dynamics of 'small-world' networks
-
DOI 10.1038/30918
-
Watts D J and Strogatz S H 1998 Collective dynamics of 'small-world' networks Nature 393 440-2 (Pubitemid 28292183)
-
(1998)
Nature
, vol.393
, Issue.6684
, pp. 440-442
-
-
Watts, D.J.1
Strogatz, S.H.2
-
252
-
-
0029654095
-
Bovine turberculosis in badger (Meles meles) populations in southwest England: The use of a spatial stochastic simulation model to understand the dynamics of the disease
-
White P C and Harris S 1995 Bovine tuberculosis in badger (Meles meles) populations in southwest England: the use of a spatial stochastic simulation model to understand the dynamics of the disease Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 349 391-413 (Pubitemid 26452746)
-
(1995)
Philosophical Transactions - Royal Society of London, B
, vol.349
, Issue.1330
, pp. 391-413
-
-
White, P.C.L.1
Harris, S.2
-
253
-
-
84893401388
-
-
WHO
-
WHO 1997 (Switzerland: World Health Organization) Report on Infectious Diseases
-
(1997)
-
-
-
254
-
-
0035152424
-
Patterns of chlamydia and gonorrhea infection in sexual networks in Manitoba, Canada
-
Wylie J L and Jolly A 2001 Patterns of chlamydia and gonorrhea infection in sexual networks in Manitoba, Canada Sexually Transmitted Diseases 28 14-24 (Pubitemid 32064204)
-
(2001)
Sexually Transmitted Diseases
, vol.28
, Issue.1
, pp. 14-24
-
-
Wylie, J.L.1
Jolly, A.2
|