Urban drainage models - Simplifying uncertainty analysis for practitioners

Water Science and Technology

Volumn 68, Issue 10, 2013, Pages 2136-2143

  Vezzaro, Luca ^a   Mikkelsen, Peter Steen ^a   Deletic, Ana ^b   McCarthy, David ^b  

^a TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF DENMARK   (Denmark)

^b MONASH UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Drainage; Modelling; Parameter estimation; Sensitivity; Uncertainty; Urban

Indexed keywords

MELBOURNE , AUSTRALIA; PREDICTION INTERVAL; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; SENSITIVITY; UNCERTAINTY; URBAN; URBAN DRAINAGE MODEL; URBAN DRAINAGE SYSTEMS;

DRAINAGE; MODELS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

RAIN; RUNOFF;

DATA SET; ESTIMATION METHOD; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; NUMERICAL MODEL; PREDICTION; RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; THRESHOLD; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; URBAN DRAINAGE;

ARTICLE; AUSTRALIA; CALCULATION; MONTE CARLO METHOD; PREDICTION; PROBABILITY; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SEWAGE; SIMULATION; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICAL PARAMETERS; UNCERTAINTY; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; URBAN AREA; URBAN DRAINAGE SYSTEM;

AUSTRALIA; MELBOURNE; VICTORIA [AUSTRALIA];

CITIES; DRAINAGE, SANITARY; MODELS, STATISTICAL; MONTE CARLO METHOD; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84892497628     PISSN: 02731223     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2166/wst.2013.460     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. Bennett, N. D., Croke, B. F. W., Guariso, G., Guillaume, J. H. A., Hamilton, S. H., Jakeman, A. J., Marsili-Libelli, S., Newham, L. T. H., Norton, J. P., Perrin, C., Pierce, S. A., Robson, B., Seppelt, R., Voinov, A. A., Fath, B. D. & Andreassian, V. 2013 Characterising performance of environmental models. Environmental Modelling and Software 40,1-20.
2. Bertrand-Krajewski, J. L., Bardin, J. P., Mourad, M. & Beranger, Y. 2003 Accounting for sensor calibration, data validation, measurement and sampling uncertainties in monitoring urban drainage systems. Water Science and Technology 42 (2), 95-102.
3. Beven, K. J. 2009 Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? Routledge, London, UK.
4. Beven, K. & Binley, A. 1992 Future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrological Processes 6 (3), 279-298.
5. Blake, J. R. & Packman, J. M. 2008 Identification and correction of water velocity measurement errors associated with ultrasonic Doppler flow monitoring. Water and Environment Journal 22 (3), 155-167.
6. Blasone, R. S., Vrugt, J. A., Madsen, H., Rosbjerg, D., Robinson, B. A. & Zyvoloski, G. A. 2008 Generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) using adaptative Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. Advances in Water Resources 31 (4), 630-648.
7. Breinholt, A., Grum, M., Madsen, H., Thordarson, F. O. & Mikkelsen, P. S. 2012 Informal uncertainty analysis (GLUE) of continuous flow simulation in a hybrid sewer system with infiltration inflow - consistency of containment ratios in calibration and validation? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 9, 8579-8624.
8. Chiew, F. H. S., Peel, M. C. & Western, A. W. 2002 Application and testing of the simple rainfall-runoff model SimHyd. In: Mathematical Models of Small Watershed Hydrology and Applications (V. P. Singh & D. K. Frevert, eds). Water Resources Publication, Colorado.
9. Deletic, A., Dotto, C. B. S., McCarthy, D. T., Kleidorfer, M., Freni, G., Mannina, G., Uhl, M., Henrichs, M., Fletcher, T. D., Rauch, W., Bertrand-Krajewski, J. L. & Tait, S. 2012 Assessing uncertainties in urban drainage models. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C 42-44,3-10.
10. Dotto, C. B. S., Deletic, A. & Fletcher, T. D. 2009 Analysis of parameter uncertainty of a flow and quality stormwater model. Water Science and Technology 60 (3), 717-725.
11. Dotto, C. B. S., Kleidorfer, M., Deletic, A., Rauch, W., McCarthy, D. T. & Fletcher, T. D. 2011 Performance and sensitivity analysis of stormwater models using a Bayesian approach and long-term high resolution data. Environmental Modelling and Software 26 (10), 1225-1239.
12. Dotto, C. B. S., Mannina, G., Kleidorfer, M., Vezzaro, L., Henrichs, M., McCarthy, D. T., Freni, G., Rauch, W. & Deletic, A. 2012 Comparison of different uncertainty techniques in urban stormwater quantity and quality modelling. Water Research 46 (8), 2545-2558.
13. Freni, G. & Mannina, G. 2010 Bayesian approach for uncertainty quantification in water quality modelling: the influence of prior distribution. Journal of Hydrology 392 (1-2), 31-39.
14. Freni, G., Mannina, G. & Viviani, G. 2008 Uncertainty in urban stormwater quality modelling: the effect of acceptability threshold in the GLUE methodology. Water Research 49 (8-9), 2061-2072.
15. Freni, G., Mannina, G. & Viviani, G. 2009 Uncertainty assessment of an integrated urban drainage model. Journal of Hydrology 373 (3-4), 392-404.
16. Lindblom, E., Ahlman, S. & Mikkelsen, P. S. 2011 Uncertainty-based calibration and prediction with a stormwater surface accumulation-washoff model based on coverage of sampled Zn, Cu, Pb and Cd field data. Water Research 45 (13), 3823-3835.
17. McCarthy, D. T. 2008 Modelling Microorganisms in Urban Stormwater. PhD Thesis Department of Civil Engineering, Monash University, Australia.
18. McCarthy, D. T., Deletic, A., Mitchell, V. G. & Diaper, C. 2010 Sensitivity analysis of an urban stormwater microorganism model. Water Science and Technology 62 (6), 1393-1400.
19. McCarthy, D. T., Deletic, A., Mitchell, V. G. & Diaper, C. 2011 Development and testing of a model for Micro-Organism Prediction in Urban Stormwater (MOPUS). Journal of Hydrology 409 (1-2), 236-247.
20. McCarthy, D. T., Deletic, A., Mitchell, V. G., Fletcher, T. D. & Diaper, C. 2008 Uncertainties in stormwater E. coli levels. Water Research 42 (6-7), 1812-1824.
21. Mclntyre, N., Wheater, H. & Lees, M. 2002 Estimation and propagation of parametric uncertainty in environmental models. Journal of Hydroinformatics 4, 177-198.
22. Nash, J. E. & Sutcliffe, J. V. 1970 River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I - A discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology 10 (3), 282-290.
23. Saltelli, A. & Annoni, P. 2010 How to avoid a perfunctory sensitivity analysis. Environmental Modelling and Software 25, 1508-1517.
24. Vezzaro, L., Ledin, A. & Mikkelsen, P. S. 2012 Integrated modelling of Priority Pollutants in stormwater systems. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C 42-44, 42-51.
25. Watt, I. A. & Jefferies, C. 1996 Portable sewage flow sensors - their calibration and accuracy. Water Science and Technology 33 (1), 127-137.