메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 10-20

How do disturbances and environmental heterogeneity affect the pace of forest distribution shifts under climate change?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPETITION (ECOLOGY); DATA SET; DISTURBANCE; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; GROWTH; HETEROGENEITY; MORTALITY; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SIZE STRUCTURE;

EID: 84892435055     PISSN: 09067590     EISSN: 16000587     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00345.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (47)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 84858150265 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiverisity
    • Bellard C. et al. 2012. Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiverisity. Ecol. Lett. 15: 365-377.
    • (2012) Ecol. Lett. , vol.15 , pp. 365-377
    • Bellard, C.1
  • 2
    • 0035205675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of forest gap models
    • Bugmann H. 2001. A review of forest gap models. Clim. Change 51: 259-305.
    • (2001) Clim. Change , vol.51 , pp. 259-305
    • Bugmann, H.1
  • 3
    • 72449198479 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species
    • Cabral J. S. and Schurr F. M. 2010. Estimating demographic models for the range dynamics of plant species. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 19: 85-97.
    • (2010) Global Ecol. Biogeogr. , vol.19 , pp. 85-97
    • Cabral, J.S.1    Schurr, F.M.2
  • 4
    • 83255175535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How stand productivity results from size- and competition-dependent growth and mortality
    • Caspersen J. P. et al. 2011. How stand productivity results from size- and competition-dependent growth and mortality. PloS One 6: e28660.
    • (2011) PloS One , vol.6
    • Caspersen, J.P.1
  • 5
    • 84860662015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty
    • Cheaib A. et al. 2012. Climate change impacts on tree ranges: model intercomparison facilitates understanding and quantification of uncertainty. Ecol. Lett. 15: 533-544.
    • (2012) Ecol. Lett. , vol.15 , pp. 533-544
    • Cheaib, A.1
  • 7
    • 79953292596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change vulnerability of forest biodiversity: climate and competition tracking of demographic rates
    • Clark J. S. et al. 2011. Climate change vulnerability of forest biodiversity: climate and competition tracking of demographic rates. Global Change Biol. 17: 1834-1849.
    • (2011) Global Change Biol. , vol.17 , pp. 1834-1849
    • Clark, J.S.1
  • 8
    • 57649118576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Above- versus below-ground competitive effects and responses of a guild of temperate tree species
    • Coates K. D. et al. 2009. Above- versus below-ground competitive effects and responses of a guild of temperate tree species. J. Ecol. 97: 118-130.
    • (2009) J. Ecol. , vol.97 , pp. 118-130
    • Coates, K.D.1
  • 9
    • 0034800416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and forest disturbances
    • Dale V. H. et al. 2001. Climate change and forest disturbances. BioScience 51: 723-734.
    • (2001) BioScience , vol.51 , pp. 723-734
    • Dale, V.H.1
  • 10
    • 77349097063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling transient response of forests to climate change
    • Dale V. H. et al. 2010. Modeling transient response of forests to climate change. Sci. Total Environ. 408: 1888-1901.
    • (2010) Sci. Total Environ. , vol.408 , pp. 1888-1901
    • Dale, V.H.1
  • 12
    • 84874199137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chasing a moving target: predicting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions
    • Garcìa-Valdés R. et al. 2013. Chasing a moving target: predicting climate change-induced shifts in non-equilibrial tree species distributions. J. Ecol. 101: 441-453.
    • (2013) J. Ecol. , vol.101 , pp. 441-453
    • Garcìa-Valdés, R.1
  • 13
    • 79957804915 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disentangling the relative importance of climate, size and competition on tree growth in Iberian forests: implications for forest management under global change
    • Gómez-Aparicio L. et al. 2011. Disentangling the relative importance of climate, size and competition on tree growth in Iberian forests: implications for forest management under global change. Global Change Biol. 17: 2400-2414.
    • (2011) Global Change Biol. , vol.17 , pp. 2400-2414
    • Gómez-Aparicio, L.1
  • 14
    • 29544443445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas
    • Hijmans R. J. et al. 2005. Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int. J. Climatol. 25: 1965-1978.
    • (2005) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.25 , pp. 1965-1978
    • Hijmans, R.J.1
  • 15
    • 80055049315 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Size-specific tree mortality varies with neighbourhood crowding and disturbance in a montane Nothofagus forest
    • Hurst J. M. et al. 2011. Size-specific tree mortality varies with neighbourhood crowding and disturbance in a montane Nothofagus forest. PLoS One 6: e26670.
    • (2011) PLoS One , vol.6
    • Hurst, J.M.1
  • 16
    • 64849115620 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating colonization potential of migrant tree species
    • Ibáñez I. et al. 2009. Estimating colonization potential of migrant tree species. Global Change Biol. 15: 1173-1188.
    • (2009) Global Change Biol. , vol.15 , pp. 1173-1188
    • Ibáñez, I.1
  • 17
    • 77952429297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating boreal forest dynamics from perspectives of ecophysiology, resource availability, and climate change
    • Ise T. and Moorcroft P. R. 2010. Simulating boreal forest dynamics from perspectives of ecophysiology, resource availability, and climate change. Ecol. Res. 25: 501-511.
    • (2010) Ecol. Res. , vol.25 , pp. 501-511
    • Ise, T.1    Moorcroft, P.R.2
  • 18
    • 3643116698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following climate change in the eastern United States
    • Iverson L. R. and Prasad A. M. 1998. Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following climate change in the eastern United States. Ecol. Monogr. 68: 465-485.
    • (1998) Ecol. Monogr. , vol.68 , pp. 465-485
    • Iverson, L.R.1    Prasad, A.M.2
  • 19
    • 2642585624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How fast and far might tree species migrate in the eastern United States due to climate change?
    • Iverson L. R. et al. 2004. How fast and far might tree species migrate in the eastern United States due to climate change? Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 13: 209-219.
    • (2004) Global Ecol. Biogeogr. , vol.13 , pp. 209-219
    • Iverson, L.R.1
  • 20
    • 38349150302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios
    • Iverson L. R. et al. 2008. Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios. For. Ecol. Manage. 254: 390-406.
    • (2008) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.254 , pp. 390-406
    • Iverson, L.R.1
  • 21
    • 78649848458 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters! - Global Change Biol. : -
    • Keenan T. et al. 2010. Predicting the future of forests in the Mediterranean under climate change, with niche- and process-based models: CO2 matters! - Global Change Biol. 17: 565-579.
    • (2010) , vol.17 , pp. 565-579
    • Keenan, T.1
  • 22
    • 84861511297 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents
    • Kissling W. D. et al. 2012. Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents. J. Biogeogr. 39: 2163-2178.
    • (2012) J. Biogeogr. , vol.39 , pp. 2163-2178
    • Kissling, W.D.1
  • 23
    • 74449089713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increased mortality can promote evolutionary adaptation of forest trees to climate change
    • Kuparinen A. et al. 2010. Increased mortality can promote evolutionary adaptation of forest trees to climate change. For. Ecol. Manage. 259: 1003-1008.
    • (2010) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.259 , pp. 1003-1008
    • Kuparinen, A.1
  • 24
    • 80855156586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are plot data effective for landscape prediction? A simulation study of tree species response to climate warming under varying environmental heterogeneity
    • Liang Y. et al. 2011. Are plot data effective for landscape prediction? A simulation study of tree species response to climate warming under varying environmental heterogeneity. Ann. For. Sci. 68: 899-909.
    • (2011) Ann. For. Sci. , vol.68 , pp. 899-909
    • Liang, Y.1
  • 25
    • 78149462306 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Influences of forest structure, climate and species composition on tree mortality across the eastern US
    • Lines E. R. et al. 2010. Influences of forest structure, climate and species composition on tree mortality across the eastern US. PLoS One 5: e13212.
    • (2010) PLoS One , vol.5
    • Lines, E.R.1
  • 26
    • 17844398985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of propagule pressure in explaining species invasions
    • Lockwood J. L. et al. 2005. The role of propagule pressure in explaining species invasions. Trends Ecol. Evol. 20: 223-228.
    • (2005) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.20 , pp. 223-228
    • Lockwood, J.L.1
  • 27
    • 23644459339 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change
    • McLachlan J. S. et al. 2005. Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change. Ecology 86: 2088-2098.
    • (2005) Ecology , vol.86 , pp. 2088-2098
    • McLachlan, J.S.1
  • 28
    • 79954784820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity
    • McMahon S. M. et al. 2011. Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity. Trends Ecol. Evol. 26: 249-259.
    • (2011) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.26 , pp. 249-259
    • McMahon, S.M.1
  • 29
    • 67649532624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mechanistic scaling of ecosystem dynamics in space and time: Ecosystem Demography model version 2
    • Medvigy D. et al. 2009. Mechanistic scaling of ecosystem dynamics in space and time: Ecosystem Demography model version 2. J. Geophys. Res. 114: G01002.
    • (2009) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.114
    • Medvigy, D.1
  • 30
    • 79959874165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Microsoft Research Cambridge
    • Minka T. et al. 2010. Infer.NET 2.4. - Microsoft Research Cambridge, .
    • (2010) Infer.NET 2.4
    • Minka, T.1
  • 31
    • 44949127388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tree species range shifts at a continental scale: new predictive insights from a process-based model
    • Morin X. et al. 2008. Tree species range shifts at a continental scale: new predictive insights from a process-based model. J. Ecol. 96: 784-794.
    • (2008) J. Ecol. , vol.96 , pp. 784-794
    • Morin, X.1
  • 32
    • 84931749008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spread of North American wind-dispersed trees in future environments
    • Nathan R. et al. 2011. Spread of North American wind-dispersed trees in future environments. Ecol. Lett. 14: 211-219.
    • (2011) Ecol. Lett. , vol.14 , pp. 211-219
    • Nathan, R.1
  • 33
    • 0030418397 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forest models defined by field measu rements: estimation, error analysis and dynamics
    • Pacala S. W. et al. 1996. Forest models defined by field measu rements: estimation, error analysis and dynamics. Ecol. Monogr. 66: 1-43.
    • (1996) Ecol. Monogr. , vol.66 , pp. 1-43
    • Pacala, S.W.1
  • 34
    • 33644642526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and the migration capacity of species
    • Pearson R. G. 2006. Climate change and the migration capacity of species. Trends Ecol. Evol. 21: 111-113.
    • (2006) Trends Ecol. Evol. , vol.21 , pp. 111-113
    • Pearson, R.G.1
  • 35
    • 84857127373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A drought-induced pervasive increase in tree mortality across Canada's boreal forests
    • Peng C. et al. 2011. A drought-induced pervasive increase in tree mortality across Canada's boreal forests. Nat. Clim. Change 1: 467-471.
    • (2011) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.1 , pp. 467-471
    • Peng, C.1
  • 36
    • 45849136029 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive models of forest dynamics
    • Purves D. and Pacala S. 2008. Predictive models of forest dynamics. Science 320: 1452-1453.
    • (2008) Science , vol.320 , pp. 1452-1453
    • Purves, D.1    Pacala, S.2
  • 37
    • 55949085255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting and understanding forest dynamics using a simple tractable model
    • Purves D. W. et al. 2008. Predicting and understanding forest dynamics using a simple tractable model. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 105: 17018-17022.
    • (2008) Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA , vol.105 , pp. 17018-17022
    • Purves, D.W.1
  • 38
    • 33845497176 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SEIB-DGVM: a new dynamic global vegetation model using a spatially explicit individual-based approach
    • Sato H. et al. 2007. SEIB-DGVM: a new dynamic global vegetation model using a spatially explicit individual-based approach. Ecol. Model. 200: 279-307.
    • (2007) Ecol. Model. , vol.200 , pp. 279-307
    • Sato, H.1
  • 39
    • 13944274169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A spatially interactive simulation of climate change, harvesting, wind, and tree species migration and projected changes to forest composition and biomass in northern Wisconsin, USA
    • Scheller R. M. and Mladenoff D. J. 2005. A spatially interactive simulation of climate change, harvesting, wind, and tree species migration and projected changes to forest composition and biomass in northern Wisconsin, USA. Global Change Biol. 11: 307-321.
    • (2005) Global Change Biol. , vol.11 , pp. 307-321
    • Scheller, R.M.1    Mladenoff, D.J.2
  • 41
    • 48949103628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs)
    • Sitch S. et al. 2008. Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs). Global Change Biol. 14: 2015-2039.
    • (2008) Global Change Biol. , vol.14 , pp. 2015-2039
    • Sitch, S.1
  • 42
    • 74549213839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projecting the distribution of forests in New England in response to climate change
    • Tang G. and Beckage B. 2010. Projecting the distribution of forests in New England in response to climate change. Divers. Distrib. 16: 144-158.
    • (2010) Divers. Distrib. , vol.16 , pp. 144-158
    • Tang, G.1    Beckage, B.2
  • 43
    • 38849199261 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: future challenges
    • Thuiller W. et al. 2008. Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: future challenges. Perspect. Plant Ecol. 9: 137-152.
    • (2008) Perspect. Plant Ecol. , vol.9 , pp. 137-152
    • Thuiller, W.1
  • 44
    • 84885835661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-related variation in mortality and recruitment determine regional forest-type distributions
    • in press.
    • Vanderwel M. C. et al. 2013a. Climate-related variation in mortality and recruitment determine regional forest-type distributions. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. in press.
    • (2013) Global Ecol. Biogeogr.
    • Vanderwel, M.C.1
  • 45
    • 84875849642 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying variation in forest disturbance, and its effects on aboveground biomass dynamics, across the eastern United States
    • Vanderwel M. C. et al. 2013b. Quantifying variation in forest disturbance, and its effects on aboveground biomass dynamics, across the eastern United States. Global Change Biol. 19: 1504-1517.
    • (2013) Global Change Biol. , vol.19 , pp. 1504-1517
    • Vanderwel, M.C.1
  • 46
    • 63849301074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • White spruce meets black spruce: dispersal, postfire establishment, and growth in a warming climate
    • Wirth C. et al. 2008. White spruce meets black spruce: dispersal, postfire establishment, and growth in a warming climate. Ecol. Monogr. 78: 489-505.
    • (2008) Ecol. Monogr. , vol.78 , pp. 489-505
    • Wirth, C.1
  • 47
    • 83055176727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Importance of colonization and competition in forest landscape response to global climatic change
    • Xu C. et al. 2012. Importance of colonization and competition in forest landscape response to global climatic change. Clim. Change 110: 53-83.
    • (2012) Clim. Change , vol.110 , pp. 53-83
    • Xu, C.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.