메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 141, Issue 11, 2013, Pages 4069-4079

Variance-based sensitivity analysis: An illustration on the lorenz'63 model

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DATA ASSIMILATION; DIMENSIONALITY REDUCTION; INITIAL STATE VARIABLES; LATIN HYPERCUBE SAMPLING; SENSITIVITY MEASURES; SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLING; STATE VARIABLES; VARIANCE-BASED SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84888405502     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: 15200493     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00032.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (27)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 0031459631 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in the specification of surface characteristics: A study of prediction errors in the boundary layer
    • Alapaty, K., S. Raman, and D. Niyogi, 1997: Uncertainty in the specification of surface characteristics: A study of prediction errors in the boundary layer. Bound.-Layer Meteor., 82, 473-500.
    • (1997) Bound.-Layer Meteor. , vol.82 , pp. 473-500
    • Alapaty, K.1    Raman, S.2    Niyogi, D.3
  • 2
    • 38049160114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparing adjoint-and ensemblesensitivity analysis with applications to observation targeting
    • Ancell, B., and G. Hakim, 2007: Comparing adjoint-and ensemblesensitivity analysis with applications to observation targeting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 4117-4134.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 4117-4134
    • Ancell, B.1    Hakim, G.2
  • 3
    • 0003574184 scopus 로고
    • Modelling Mathematical Methods and Scientific Computation
    • CRC Press
    • Bellomo, N., and L. Preziosi, 1995: Modelling Mathematical Methods and Scientific Computation. CRC Press, 497 pp.
    • (1995) , pp. 497
    • Bellomo, N.1    Preziosi, L.2
  • 4
    • 0003487601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition
    • Clarendon Press
    • Bishop, C. M., 1996: Neural Networks for Pattern Recognition. Clarendon Press, 482 pp.
    • (1996) , pp. 482
    • Bishop, C.M.1
  • 5
    • 84888412999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of sensitivity analysis methods and experience for geological disposal of radioactive waste and spent nuclear fuel
    • LD-NA-23712-EN-C
    • Bolado-Lavin, R., and A. C. Badea, 2008: Review of sensitivity analysis methods and experience for geological disposal of radioactive waste and spent nuclear fuel. JRC Scientific Tech. Rep. LD-NA-23712-EN-C, 81 pp.
    • (2008) JRC Scientific Tech. Rep. , pp. 81
    • Bolado-Lavin, R.1    Badea, A.C.2
  • 6
    • 0027868404 scopus 로고
    • Design and analysis of numerical experiments
    • Bowman, K. P., J. Sacks, and Y.-F. Chang, 1993: Design and analysis of numerical experiments. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 1267-1278.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 1267-1278
    • Bowman, K.P.1    Sacks, J.2    Chang, Y.-F.3
  • 7
    • 63749116574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical adaptive experimental design for Gaussian process emulators
    • Busby, D., 2009: Hierarchical adaptive experimental design for Gaussian process emulators. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 94 (7), 1183-1193.
    • (2009) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.94 , Issue.7 , pp. 1183-1193
    • Busby, D.1
  • 8
    • 3242751773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis
    • Chapman and Hall/CRC
    • Cacuci, D. G., 2003: Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis. Chapman and Hall/CRC, 285 pp.
    • (2003) , pp. 285
    • Cacuci, D.G.1
  • 9
    • 84972528615 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian experimental design: A review
    • Chaloner, K., and I. Verdinelli, 1995: Bayesian experimental design: A review. Stat. Sci., 10 (3), 273-304.
    • (1995) Stat. Sci. , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 273-304
    • Chaloner, K.1    Verdinelli, I.2
  • 10
    • 61749093569 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High dimensional model representation for piece-wise continuous function approximation
    • Chowdhury, R., B.N. Rao, and A. M. Prasad, 2008: High dimensional model representation for piece-wise continuous function approximation. Commun. Numer. Methods Eng., 24, 1587-1609.
    • (2008) Commun. Numer. Methods Eng. , vol.24 , pp. 1587-1609
    • Chowdhury, R.1    Rao, B.N.2    Prasad, A.M.3
  • 11
    • 33847709498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient nearly orthogonal and space-filling Latin hypercubes
    • Cioppa, T., and T. Lucas, 2007: Efficient nearly orthogonal and space-filling Latin hypercubes. Technometrics, 49 (1), 45-55.
    • (2007) Technometrics , vol.49 , Issue.1 , pp. 45-55
    • Cioppa, T.1    Lucas, T.2
  • 12
    • 0026304254 scopus 로고
    • Potential vorticity diagnostics of cyclogenesis
    • Davis, C. A., and K. Emanuel, 1991: Potential vorticity diagnostics of cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 1929-1953.
    • (1991) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.119 , pp. 1929-1953
    • Davis, C.A.1    Emanuel, K.2
  • 13
    • 37849020122 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Design and Analysis of Experiments
    • John Wiley & Sons
    • Douglas, C. M., 2005: Design and Analysis of Experiments. John Wiley & Sons, 643 pp.
    • (2005) , pp. 643
    • Douglas, C.M.1
  • 14
    • 63749116574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical adaptive experimental design for Gaussian process emulators
    • Dusby, D., 2009: Hierarchical adaptive experimental design for Gaussian process emulators. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 94 (7), 1183-1193.
    • (2009) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.94 , Issue.7 , pp. 1183-1193
    • Dusby, D.1
  • 15
    • 0031400136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What is an adjoint model?
    • Errico, R. M., 1997: What is an adjoint model? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 2577-2591.
    • (1997) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.78 , pp. 2577-2591
    • Errico, R.M.1
  • 16
    • 31144474058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Design and Modeling for Computer Experiments
    • Chapman & Hall/CRC
    • Fang, K.-T., R. Li, and A. Sudjianto, 2006: Design and Modeling for Computer Experiments. Chapman & Hall/CRC, 290 pp.
    • (2006) , pp. 290
    • Fang, K.-T.1    Li, R.2    Sudjianto, A.3
  • 17
    • 84858694613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis for environmental models and monitoring networks
    • Proceedings of the iEMSs Third Biennial Meeting: Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software, A. Voinov, A. J. Jakeman, and A. E. Rizzoli, Eds., International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Available online at
    • Fasso, A., 2006: Sensitivity analysis for environmental models and monitoring networks. Proceedings of the iEMSs Third Biennial Meeting: Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software, A. Voinov, A. J. Jakeman, and A. E. Rizzoli, Eds., International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, 6 pp. [Available online at http://www.iemss.org/iemss2006/sessions/all.html.]
    • (2006) , pp. 6
    • Fasso, A.1
  • 18
    • 38049164191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Elucidating model inadequacies in a cloud parameterization by use of an ensemble-based calibration framework
    • Golaz, J.-C., V. E. Larson, J. A. Hansen, D. P. Schanen, and B. M. Griffin, 2007: Elucidating model inadequacies in a cloud parameterization by use of an ensemble-based calibration framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 4077-4096.
    • (2007) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.135 , pp. 4077-4096
    • Golaz, J.-C.1    Larson, V.E.2    Hansen, J.A.3    Schanen, D.P.4    Griffin, B.M.5
  • 19
    • 52149100730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential vorticity regression and its relationship to dynamical piecewise inversion
    • Gombos, D., and J. A. Hansen, 2008: Potential vorticity regression and its relationship to dynamical piecewise inversion. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2668-2682.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 2668-2682
    • Gombos, D.1    Hansen, J.A.2
  • 20
    • 79954554093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linear and non-linear response to parameter variations in a mesoscale model
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00505.x
    • Hacker, J. P., C. Snyder, S.-Y. Ha, and M. Pocernich, 2011: Linear and non-linear response to parameter variations in a mesoscale model. Tellus, 63A, 429-444, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00505.x.
    • (2011) Tellus , vol.63 A , pp. 429-444
    • Hacker, J.P.1    Snyder, C.2    Ha, S.-Y.3    Pocernich, M.4
  • 21
    • 79952503853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble synoptic analysis. Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology and Weather Analysis and Forecasting: A Tribute to Fred Sanders, Meteor
    • Hakim, G. J., and R. D. Torn, 2008: Ensemble synoptic analysis. Synoptic-Dynamic Meteorology and Weather Analysis and Forecasting: A Tribute to Fred Sanders, Meteor. Monogr., No. 55, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 147-162.
    • (2008) Monogr., No. 55, Amer. Meteor. Soc. , pp. 147-162
    • Hakim, G.J.1    Torn, R.D.2
  • 22
    • 0022837832 scopus 로고
    • Application of adjoint sensitivity theory to an atmospheric general circulation model
    • Hall, M. C. G., 1986: Application of adjoint sensitivity theory to an atmospheric general circulation model. J. Atmos. Sci., 43, 2644-2651.
    • (1986) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.43 , pp. 2644-2651
    • Hall, M.C.G.1
  • 23
    • 85010420457 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Machine Learning Methods in the Environmental Sciences: Neural Network and Kernels
    • Cambridge University Press
    • Hsieh, W., 2009: Machine Learning Methods in the Environmental Sciences: Neural Network and Kernels. Cambridge University Press, 349 pp.
    • (2009) , pp. 349
    • Hsieh, W.1
  • 24
    • 0031997059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Supervised classification in high dimensional space: Geometrical, statistical, and asymptotical properties of multivariate data
    • doi:10.1109/5326.661089
    • Jimenez, L., and D. Landgrebe, 1998: Supervised classification in high dimensional space: Geometrical, statistical, and asymptotical properties of multivariate data. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern., 28C, 39-54, doi:10.1109/5326.661089.
    • (1998) IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. , vol.28 C , pp. 39-54
    • Jimenez, L.1    Landgrebe, D.2
  • 25
    • 0000241853 scopus 로고
    • Deterministic non-periodic flow
    • Lorenz, E. N., 1963: Deterministic non-periodic flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-141.
    • (1963) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.20 , pp. 130-141
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 26
    • 54949136699 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison between singular vectors and breeding vectors as initial perturbations for the ECMWFensemble prediction system
    • Magnusson, L., M. Leutbecher, and E. Källén, 2008: Comparison between singular vectors and breeding vectors as initial perturbations for the ECMWFensemble prediction system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 4092-4104.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 4092-4104
    • Magnusson, L.1    Leutbecher, M.2    Källén, E.3
  • 27
    • 84888421048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis in linear and nonlinear models: A review
    • Preprints, Ninth Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.2, Available online at
    • Marzban, C., 2011: Sensitivity analysis in linear and nonlinear models: A review. Preprints, Ninth Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.2. [Available online at https://ams.confex.com/ams/91Annual/webprogram/Paper187333.html.]
    • (2011)
    • Marzban, C.1
  • 28
    • 0018468345 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code
    • McKay, M. D., R. J. Beckman, and W. J. Conover, 1979: A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics, 21 (2), 239-245.
    • (1979) Technometrics , vol.21 , Issue.2 , pp. 239-245
    • McKay, M.D.1    Beckman, R.J.2    Conover, W.J.3
  • 29
    • 84925053396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Numerical Modeling of Ocean Circulation
    • Cambridge University Press
    • Miller, R. N., 2007: Numerical Modeling of Ocean Circulation. Cambridge University Press, 242 pp.
    • (2007) , pp. 242
    • Miller, R.N.1
  • 30
    • 78049261496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameterization of lakes and wetlands for energy and water balance studies in the Great Lakes region
    • Mishra, V., K. A. Cherkauer, and L. C. Bowling, 2010: Parameterization of lakes and wetlands for energy and water balance studies in the Great Lakes region. J. Hydrometeor., 11, 1057-1082.
    • (2010) J. Hydrometeor. , vol.11 , pp. 1057-1082
    • Mishra, V.1    Cherkauer, K.A.2    Bowling, L.C.3
  • 31
    • 84952096573 scopus 로고
    • Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experiments
    • Morris, M. D., 1991: Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experiments. Technometrics, 33, 161-174.
    • (1991) Technometrics , vol.33 , pp. 161-174
    • Morris, M.D.1
  • 33
    • 0032696657 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in the specification of surface characteristics. Part II: Hierarchy of interaction-explicit statistical analysis
    • Niyogi, D. S., S. Raman, and K. Alapaty, 1999: Uncertainty in the specification of surface characteristics. Part II: Hierarchy of interaction-explicit statistical analysis. Bound.-Layer Meteor., 91, 341-366.
    • (1999) Bound.-Layer Meteor. , vol.91 , pp. 341-366
    • Niyogi, D.S.1    Raman, S.2    Alapaty, K.3
  • 34
    • 2642573771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: ABayesian approach
    • Oakley, J. E., and A. O'Hagan, 2004: Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: ABayesian approach. J. Roy. Stat. Soc., 66B (3), 751-769.
    • (2004) J. Roy. Stat. Soc. , vol.66 B , Issue.3 , pp. 751-769
    • Oakley, J.E.1    O'Hagan, A.2
  • 35
    • 0003510730 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weather Prediction by Numerical Process
    • 2nd ed. Cambridge University Press
    • Richardson, L. F., 2007: Weather Prediction by Numerical Process. 2nd ed. Cambridge University Press, 250 pp.
    • (2007) , pp. 250
    • Richardson, L.F.1
  • 36
    • 64249139703 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient emulators for multivariate deterministic functions
    • Rougier, J. C., 2008: Efficient emulators for multivariate deterministic functions. J. Comput. Graph. Stat., 17 (4), 827-843.
    • (2008) J. Comput. Graph. Stat. , vol.17 , Issue.4 , pp. 827-843
    • Rougier, J.C.1
  • 37
    • 70549103116 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert knowledge and multivariate emulation: The Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)
    • Rougier, J. C., S. Guillas, A. Maute, and A. Richmond, 2009: Expert knowledge and multivariate emulation: The Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM). Technometrics, 51 (4), 414-424.
    • (2009) Technometrics , vol.51 , Issue.4 , pp. 414-424
    • Rougier, J.C.1    Guillas, S.2    Maute, A.3    Richmond, A.4
  • 38
    • 84944407795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Groundwater Hydrology: Conceptual and Computational Models
    • John Wiley and Sons Ltd.
    • Rushton, K. R., 2003: Groundwater Hydrology: Conceptual and Computational Models. John Wiley and Sons Ltd., 416 pp.
    • (2003) , pp. 416
    • Rushton, K.R.1
  • 39
    • 0024607804 scopus 로고
    • Designs for computer experiments
    • Sacks, J., S. B. Schiller, and W. J. Welch, 1989a: Designs for computer experiments. Technometrics, 31 (1), 41-47.
    • (1989) Technometrics , vol.31 , Issue.1 , pp. 41-47
    • Sacks, J.1    Schiller, S.B.2    Welch, W.J.3
  • 40
    • 84972517827 scopus 로고
    • Design and analysis of computer experiments
    • Sacks, J., W. J. Welch, T. J. Mitchell, and H. P. Wynn, 1989b: Design and analysis of computer experiments. Stat. Sci., 4, 409-423.
    • (1989) Stat. Sci. , vol.4 , pp. 409-423
    • Sacks, J.1    Welch, W.J.2    Mitchell, T.J.3    Wynn, H.P.4
  • 42
    • 70450224663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variance based sensitivity analysis of model output: Design and estimator for the total sensitivity index
    • Saltelli, A., P. Annoni, I. Azzini, F. Campolongo, M. Ratto, and S. Tarantola, 2010: Variance based sensitivity analysis of model output: Design and estimator for the total sensitivity index. Comput. Phys. Commun., 181, 259-270.
    • (2010) Comput. Phys. Commun. , vol.181 , pp. 259-270
    • Saltelli, A.1    Annoni, P.2    Azzini, I.3    Campolongo, F.4    Ratto, M.5    Tarantola, S.6
  • 43
    • 79954998482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multimodel study of parametric uncertainty in predictions of climate response to rising greenhouse gas concentrations
    • Sanderson, B. M., 2011: A multimodel study of parametric uncertainty in predictions of climate response to rising greenhouse gas concentrations. J. Climate, 24, 1362-1377.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 1362-1377
    • Sanderson, B.M.1
  • 44
    • 2442422663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments
    • Springer
    • Santner, T. J., B. J. Williams, and W. I. Notz, 2003: The Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments. Springer, 299 pp.
    • (2003) , pp. 299
    • Santner, T.J.1    Williams, B.J.2    Notz, W.I.3
  • 45
    • 0003545910 scopus 로고
    • Multivariate Density Estimation; Theory, Practice, and Visualization
    • John Wiley & Sons
    • Scott, D. W., 1992: Multivariate Density Estimation; Theory, Practice, and Visualization. John Wiley & Sons, 325 pp.
    • (1992) , pp. 325
    • Scott, D.W.1
  • 46
    • 0000760143 scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity estimates for nonlinear mathematical models
    • Sobol, I. M., 1993: Sensitivity estimates for nonlinear mathematical models. Math. Model. Comput. Exp., 1, 407-414.
    • (1993) Math. Model. Comput. Exp. , vol.1 , pp. 407-414
    • Sobol, I.M.1
  • 47
    • 0027868809 scopus 로고
    • Factor seperation in numerical simulations
    • Stein, U., and P. Alpert, 1993: Factor seperation in numerical simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2107-2115.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 2107-2115
    • Stein, U.1    Alpert, P.2
  • 48
    • 67949092696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implementation and evaluation of nonparametric regression procedures for sensitivity analysis of computationally demandingmodels
    • Storlie, C. B., L. P. Swiler, J. C. Helton, and C. J. Sallaberry, 2009: Implementation and evaluation of nonparametric regression procedures for sensitivity analysis of computationally demandingmodels. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 94, 1735-1763.
    • (2009) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. , vol.94 , pp. 1735-1763
    • Storlie, C.B.1    Swiler, L.P.2    Helton, J.C.3    Sallaberry, C.J.4
  • 49
    • 44449152506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble-based sensitivity analysis
    • Torn, R. D., and G. Hakim, 2008: Ensemble-based sensitivity analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 663-677.
    • (2008) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.136 , pp. 663-677
    • Torn, R.D.1    Hakim, G.2
  • 50
    • 77953120077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of Latin hypercube and grid ensemble designs for the multivariate emulation of an Earth system model
    • Urban, N. M., and T. E. Fricker, 2010: A comparison of Latin hypercube and grid ensemble designs for the multivariate emulation of an Earth system model. Comput. Geosci., 36, 746-755.
    • (2010) Comput. Geosci. , vol.36 , pp. 746-755
    • Urban, N.M.1    Fricker, T.E.2
  • 51
    • 33750826693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Course in Probability
    • Addison-Wesley
    • Weiss, N. A., 2005: A Course in Probability. Addison-Wesley, 789 pp.
    • (2005) , pp. 789
    • Weiss, N.A.1
  • 53
    • 79955692584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using a variance-based sensitivity analysis for analyzing the relation between measurements and unknown parameters of a physical model
    • Zhao, J., and C. Tiede, 2011: Using a variance-based sensitivity analysis for analyzing the relation between measurements and unknown parameters of a physical model. Nonlinear Processes Geophys., 18, 269-276.
    • (2011) Nonlinear Processes Geophys. , vol.18 , pp. 269-276
    • Zhao, J.1    Tiede, C.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.