Tree-ring reconstructed summer temperature anomalies for temperate East Asia since 800 C.E

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 41, Issue 11-12, 2013, Pages 2957-2972

  Cook, Edward R ^a   Krusic, Paul J ^b   Anchukaitis, Kevin J ^c   Buckley, Brendan M ^a   Nakatsuka, Takeshi ^d   Sano, Masaki ^d  

^a Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences   (United States)

^b STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^c WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION   (United States)

^d NAGOYA UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Asia; Paleoclimate; Temperature; Tree rings; Volcanic

Indexed keywords

CALIBRATION; CLIMATE VARIATION; DENDROCLIMATOLOGY; MODEL VALIDATION; PALEOCLIMATE; PALEOTEMPERATURE; RECONSTRUCTION; SUMMER; TEMPERATE ENVIRONMENT; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY; TREE RING;

FAR EAST;

EID: 84888037236     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1611-x     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. Adams JB, Mann ME, Ammann CM (2003) Proxy evidence for an El Nino-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature 426: 274-278.
2. Allen DM (1971) Mean square error of prediction as a criterion for selecting variables. Technometrics 13: 469-475.
3. Ammann CM, Joos F, Schimel DS, Otto-Bliesner BL, Tomas RA (2007) Solar influence on climate during the past millennium: results from transient simulations with the NCAR climate system model. Proc US Natl Acad Sci 104(10): 3713-3718.
4. Ammann CM, Genton MG, Li B (2010) Technical note: correcting for signal attenuation from noisy proxy data in climate reconstructions. Clim Past 6(2): 273-279.
5. Anchukaitis KJ, Buckley BM, Cook ER, Cook BI, D'Arrigo R, Ammann CM (2010) The influence of volcanic eruptions on the climate of the Asian monsoon region. Geophys Res Lett 37: L22703. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL044843.
6. Anchukaitis KJ, Breitenmoser P, Briffa KR, Buchwal A, Büntgen U, Cook ER, D'Arrigo RD, Esper J, Evans MN, Frank D, Grudd H, Gunnarson B, Hughes MK, Kirdyanov AV, Körner C, Krusic PJ, Luckman B, Melvin TM, Salzer MW, Shashkin AV, Timmreck C, Vaganov EA, Wilson RJ (2012) Tree rings and volcanic cooling. Nat Geosci 5: 836-837. doi: 10. 1038/ngeo1645.
7. Breitenmoser P, Beer J, Brönnimann S, Frank D, Steinhilber F, Wanner H (2012) Solar and volcanic fingerprints in tree-ring chronologies over the past 2000 years. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 313-314: 127-139.
8. Briffa KR, Jones PD, Schweingruber FH, Osborn TJ (1998) Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years. Nature 393: 450-455.
9. Cook ER, Peters K (1981) The smoothing spline: a new approach to standardizing forest interior tree-ring width series for dendroclimatic studies. Tree-Ring Bull 41: 45-53.
10. Cook ER, Briffa KR, Meko DM, Graybill DA, Funkhouser G (1995) The segment length curse in long tree-ring chronology development for paleoclimatic studies. Holocene 5: 229-237.
11. Cook ER, Meko DM, Stahle DW, Cleaveland MK (1999) Drought reconstructions for the continental United States. J Clim 12(4): 1145-1162.
12. Cook ER, Esper J, D'Arrigo RD (2004) Extra-tropical northern hemisphere land temperature variability over the past 1000 years. Quat Sci Rev 23: 2063-2074.
13. Cook ER, Woodhouse CA, Eakin CM, Meko DM, Stahle D (2004) Long-term aridity changes in the western United States. Science 306(5698): 1015-1018.
14. Cook ER, Anchukaitis KJ, Buckley BM, D'Arrigo RD, Jacoby GC, Wright WE (2010) Asian monsoon failure and megadrought during the last millennium. Science 328(5977): 486-489. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1185188.
15. Cook ER, Seager R, Heim RR, Vose RS, Herweijer C, Woodhouse CA (2010) Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term paleoclimate context. J Quat Sci 25(1): 48-61.
16. Dai A, Trenberth KE, Qian T (2004) A global dataset of palmer drought severity index for 1870-2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. J Hydrometeorol 5(6): 1117-1130.
17. Fischer EM, Luterbacher J, Zorita E, Tett SFB, Casty C, Wanner H (2007) European climate response to tropical volcanic eruptions over the last half millennium. Geophys Res Lett 34(5): L05707. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL027992.
18. Gao CC, Robock A, Self S, Witter JB, Steffenson JP, Clausen HB, Siggaard-Andersen ML, Johnsen S, Mayewski PA, Ammann C (2006) The 1452 or 1453 AD Kuwae eruption signal derived from multiple ice core records: greatest volcanic sulfate event of the past 700 years. J Geophys Res Atmos 111: D12107.
19. Gnanadesikan R (1997) Methods for statistical data analysis of multivariate observations. Wiley, New York.
20. Haurwitz MW, Brier GW (1981) A critique of the superposed epoch analysis method-its application to solar-weather relations. Mon Weather Rev 109(10): 2074-2079.
21. IPCC (2007) Summary for Policymakers. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
22. Jones P, Moberg A, Osborn T, Briffa K (2003) Surface climate responses to explosive volcanic eruptions seen in long European temperature records and mid-to-high latitude tree-ring density around the Northern Hemisphere. In: Robock A, Oppenheimer C (eds) Volcanism and the Earth's Atmosphere. American Geophysical Union, Washington, pp 239-254.
23. Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Briffa KR (1997) Estimating sampling errors in large-scale temperature averages. J Clim 10: 2548-2568.
24. Ljungqvist FC, Krusic PJ, Brattstrom G, Sundqvist HS (2012) Northern Hemisphere temperature patterns in the last 12 centuries. Clim Past 8: 227-249. doi: 10. 5194/cp-8-227-2012.
25. Lorenz EN (1956) Empirical orthogonal functions and statistical weather prediction. Statistical Forecasting Scientific Report 1, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Meteorology.
26. Mann ME, Zhang Z, Rutherford S, Bradley RS, Hughes MK, Shindell D, Ammann C, Faluvegi G, Ni F (2009) Global signatures and dynamical origins of the little ice age and medieval climate anomaly. Science 326(5957): 1256-1260.
27. Melvin T, Briffa K (2008) A 'signal-free' approach to dendroclimatic standardisation. Dendrochronologia 26(2): 71-86.
28. Mitchell T, Jones P (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Climatol 25(6): 693-712.
29. Morice CP, Kennedy JJ, Rayner NA, Jones PD (2012) Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: the HadCRUT4 data set. J Geophys Res 117: D08101.
30. Schmidt GA, Jungclaus JH, Ammann CM, Bard E, Braconnot P, Crowley TJ, Delaygue G, Joos F, Krivova NA, Muscheler R, Otto-Bliesner BL, Pongratz J, Shindell DT, Solanki SK, Steinhilber F, Vieira LEA (2012) Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1. 1). Geosci Model Dev 5(1): 185-191.
31. Schneider DP, Ammann CM, Otto-Bliesner BL, Kaufman DS (2009) Climate response to large, high-latitude and low-latitude volcanic eruptions in the community climate system model. J Geophys Res 114(D15101): D15101. doi: 10. 1029/2008JD011222.
32. Stott PA, Gillett NP, Hegerl GC, Karoly DJ, Stone DA, Zhang X, Zwiers F (2010) Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspective. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change 1(2): 192-211.
33. Touchan R, Anchukaitis KJ, Meko DM, Sabir M, Attalah S, Aloui A (2011) Spatiotemporal drought variability in northwestern Africa over the last nine centuries. Clim Dyn 37(1-2): 237-252. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0804-4.
34. Wigley TML, Briffa KR, Jones PD (1984) On the average value of correlated time series, with applications in dendroclimatology and hydrometeorology. J Clim Appl Meteorol 23: 201-213.
35. Yang B, Braeuning A, Johnson KR, Yafeng S (2002) General characteristics of temperature variation in china during the last two millennia. Geophys Res Lett 29(9): 1324. doi: 10. 1029/2001GL014485.
36. Zhang D, Blender R, Fraedrich K (2012) Volcanoes and ENSO in millennium simulations: global impacts and regional reconstructions in East Asia. Theor Appl Climatol, 1-18.