Evaluation of historical diurnal temperature range trends in CMIP5 models

Journal of Climate

Volumn 26, Issue 22, 2013, Pages 9077-9089

  Lewis, Sophie C ^a   Karoly, David J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE   (Australia)

Author keywords

Climate change; Coupled models; Extreme events; Trends

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATIONS; COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT; COUPLED MODELS; DETECTION AND ATTRIBUTIONS; DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGES; EXTREME EVENTS; HISTORICAL SIMULATION; TRENDS;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELS; EXPERIMENTS; GREENHOUSE GASES;

COMPUTER SIMULATION;

AIR TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLOUD COVER; DIURNAL VARIATION; EXTREME EVENT; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; LAND SURFACE; TREND ANALYSIS;

EID: 84888035918     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00032.1     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Bi, D., and Coauthors, 2012: The ACCESS coupled model: Description, control climate and evaluation. Aust. Meteor. Oceanogr. J., 63, 41-64.
2. Braganza, K., D. J. Karoly, and J. M. Arblaster, 2004: Diurnal temperature range as an index of global climate change during the twentieth century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L13217, doi:10.1029/2004GL019998.
3. Caesar, J., L. Alexander, and R. Vose, 2006: Large-scale changes in observed daily maximum and minimum temperatures: Creation and analysis of a new gridded data set. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006280.
4. Dai, A., and K. Trenberth, 1999: Effects of clouds, soil moisture, precipitation, and water vapor on diurnal temperature range. J. Climate, 12, 2451-2473.
5. Donat, M. G., L. V. Alexander, H. Yang, I. Durre, R. Vose, and J. Caesar, 2013a: Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 997-1006.
6. Donat, M. G, and Coauthors, 2013b: Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century: The HadEX2 dataset. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 2098-2118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50150.
7. Dufresne, J.-L., and S. Bony, 2008: An assessment of the primary sources of spread of global warming estimates from coupled atmosphere-ocean models. J. Climate, 21, 5135-5144.
8. Durre, I., J. M. Wallace, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2000: Dependence of extreme daily maximum temperatures on antecedent soil moisture in the contiguous United States during summer. J. Climate, 13, 2641-2651.
9. Easterling, D. R., and Coauthors, 1997: Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe. Science, 277, 364-367, doi:10.1126/science.277.5324.364.
10. Hewitt, H. T., D. Copsey, I. D. Culverwell, C. M. Harris, R. S. R. Hill, A. B. Keen, A. J. McLaren, and E. C. Hunke, 2011: Design and implementation of the infrastructure of HadGEM3: The next-generation Met Office climate modelling system. Geosci. Model Dev., 4, 223-253, doi:10.5194/ gmd-4-223-2011.
11. Huth, R., J. Kyselý, and M. Dubrovský, 2003: Simulation of surface air temperature by GCMs, statistical downscaling and weather generator: Higher-order statistical moments. Stud. Geophys. Geod., 47, 203-216.
12. 2 and solar forcings. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 2229-2240, doi:10.1002/ jgrd.50243.
13. Jones, P. D., and A. Moberg, 2003: Hemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2001. J. Climate, 16, 206-223.
14. Jones, P., D. H. Lister, T. J. Osborn, C. Harpham, M. Salmon, and C. P. Morice, 2012: Hemispheric and large-scale land-surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05127, doi:10.1029/2011JD017139.
15. Karl, T. R., and Coauthors, 1993: Asymmetric trends of daily maximum and minimum temperature. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1007-1023.
16. Karoly, D. J., and K. Braganza, 2005: A new approach to detection of anthropogenic temperature changes in the Australian region. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 89 (1-4), 57-67, doi:10.1007/ s00703-005-0121-3.
17. Koster, R. D., and Coauthors, 2004: Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation. Science, 305, 1138-1140, doi:10.1126/science.1100217.
18. Lauritsen, R. G., and J. C. Rogers, 2012: U.S. diurnal temperature range variability and regional causal mechanisms, 1901-2002. J. Climate, 25, 7216-7231.
19. Li, X., F. Chen, H. Ye, Y. Xiong, L. Shi, L. Pan, and K. Wang, 2010: Trends of maximum temperature, minimum temperature and diurnal temperature range and their correlations with urbanisation in Xiamen, China. Int. J. Sustainable Dev. World Ecol., 17, 299-303, doi:10.1080/13504509.2010.488879.
20. Lobell, D. B., C. Bonfils, and P. B. Duffy, 2007: Climate change uncertainty for daily minimum and maximum temperatures:A model inter-comparison. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05715, doi:10.1029/2006GL028726.
21. Lorenz, R., E. L. Davin, and S. I. Seneviratne, 2012: Modeling land-climate coupling in Europe: Impact of land surface representation on climate variability and extremes. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D20109, doi:10.1029/2012JD017755.
22. Makowski, K., M. Wild, and A. Ohmura, 2008: Diurnal temperature range over Europe between 1950 and 2005. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 6483-6498, doi:10.5194/acp-8-6483-2008.
23. McNider, R. T., and Coauthors, 2012: Response and sensitivity of the nocturnal boundary layer over land to added longwave radiative forcing. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D14106, doi:10.1029/ 2012JD017578.
24. Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, and G. Branstator, 2012: Mechanisms contributing to the warming hole and the consequent U.S. east-west differential of heat extremes. J. Climate, 25, 6394-6408.
25. Mitchell, J. F. B., R. A. Davis, W. J. Ingram, and C. A. Senior, 1995: On surface temperature, greenhouse gases, and aerosols: Models and observations. J. Climate, 8, 2364-2386.
26. Mitchell, T. D., and P. D. Jones, 2005: An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 693-712, doi:10.1002/joc.1181.
27. Narisma, G., and A. Pitman, 2003: The impact of 200 years of land cover change on the Australian near-surface climate. J. Hydrometeor., 4, 424-436.
28. Nicholls, N., 2003: Continued anomalous warming in Australia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1370, doi:10.1029/2003GL017037.
29. Nicholls, N., 2004: The changing nature of Australian droughts. Climatic Change, 63, 323-336, doi:10.1023/B:CLIM.0000018515.46344.6d.
30. Perkins, S. E., A. J. Pitman, N. J. Holbrook, and J. McAneney, 2007: Evaluation of the AR4 climate models' simulated daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation over Australia using probability density functions. J. Climate, 20, 4356-4376.
31. Saito, K., 2008: Arctic land hydrothermal sensitivity under warming: Idealized off-line evaluation of a physical terrestrial scheme in a global climate model. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D21106, doi:10.1029/2008JD009880.
32. Sen Gupta, A., L. C. Muir, J. N. Brown, S. J. Phipps, P. J. Durack, D. Monselesan, and S. E. Wijffels, 2012: Climate drift in the CMIP3 models. J. Climate, 25, 4621-4640.
33. Stone, D., and A. Weaver, 2003: Factors contributing to diurnal temperature range trends in twentieth and twenty-first century simulations of the CCCma coupled model. Climate Dyn., 20, 435-445.
34. Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 485-498.
35. Vose, R. S., D. R. Easterling, and B. Gleason, 2005: Maximum and minimum temperature trends for the globe: An update through 2004. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L23822, doi:10.1029/ 2005GL024379.
36. Wang, F., C. Zhang, Y. Peng, and H. Zhou, 2013: Diurnal temperature range variation and its causes in a semiarid region from 1957 to 2006. Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.3690, in press.
37. Wild, M., 2009: Global dimming and brightening: A review. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D00D16, doi:10.1029/2008JD01147.
38. Zhou, L., A. Dai, Y. Dai, R. S. Vose, C.-Z. Zou, Y. Tian, and H. Chen, 2008: Spatial dependence of diurnal temperature range trends on precipitation from 1950 to 2004. Climate Dyn., 32 (2-3), 429-440, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0387-5.
39. Zhou, L., R. E. Dickinson, A. Dai, and P. Dirmeyer, 2009: Detection and attribution of anthropogenic forcing to diurnal temperature range changes from 1950 to 1999: Comparing multi-model simulations with observations. Climate Dyn., 35 (7-8), 1289-1307, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0644-2.
40. Zwiers, F. W., X. Zhang, and Y. Feng, 2011: Anthropogenic influence on long return period daily temperature extremes at regional scales. J. Climate, 24, 881-892.