Projected climate impacts to South African maize and wheat production in 2055: A comparison of empirical and mechanistic modeling approaches

Global Change Biology

Volumn 19, Issue 12, 2013, Pages 3762-3774

  Estes, Lyndon D ^a,b   Beukes, Hein ^c   Bradley, Bethany A ^d   Debats, Stephanie R ^b   Oppenheimer, Michael ^a,e   Ruane, Alex C ^f   Schulze, Roland ^g   Tadross, Mark ^h  

^a PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b Princeton University   (United States)

^c AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH COUNCIL   (South Africa)

^d UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS   (United States)

^e PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^f NASA GODDARD INSTITUTE FOR SPACE STUDIES   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU NATAL   (South Africa)

^h UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Climate change; Crop model; Downscaling; DSSAT; Empirical; Generalized additive model; Mechanistic; South Africa; Triticum aestivum; Zea mays

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CROP PRODUCTION; DOWNSCALING; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; MAIZE; PREDICTION; WATER USE EFFICIENCY; WHEAT;

SOUTH AFRICA;

TRITICUM AESTIVUM; ZEA MAYS;

AGRICULTURE; ARTICLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CROP; CROP MODEL; DOWNSCALING; DSSAT; EMPIRICAL; FORECASTING; GENERALIZED ADDITIVE MODEL; GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING; MAIZE; MECHANISTIC; METHODOLOGY; SOUTH AFRICA; THEORETICAL MODEL; TRITICUM AESTIVUM; WHEAT;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CROP MODEL; DOWNSCALING; DSSAT; EMPIRICAL; GENERALIZED ADDITIVE MODEL; MECHANISTIC; SOUTH AFRICA; TRITICUM AESTIVUM; ZEA MAYS;

AGRICULTURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CROPS, AGRICULTURAL; FORECASTING; MODELS, THEORETICAL; SOUTH AFRICA; TRITICUM; ZEA MAYS;

EID: 84887466350     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12325     Document Type: Article

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