Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: The role of ensemble dispersion

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 40, Issue 21, 2013, Pages 5770-5775

  Ho, Chun Kit ^a   Hawkins, Ed ^a   Shaffrey, Len ^a   Bröcker, Jochen ^a   Hermanson, Leon ^b   Murphy, James M ^b   Smith, Doug M ^b   Eade, Rosie ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF READING   (United Kingdom)

^b MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

decadal prediction; dispersion; ensemble; reliability; seasonal

Indexed keywords

DECADAL PREDICTIONS; ENSEMBLE; FORECAST PROBABILITIES; INITIAL CONDITION ENSEMBLES; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; RELATIVE FREQUENCIES; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST); SEASONAL;

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; CLIMATE MODELS; DISPERSION (WAVES); DISPERSIONS; OCEANOGRAPHY; RELIABILITY;

FORECASTING;

CLIMATE MODELING; DISPERSION; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; ERROR ANALYSIS; FORECASTING METHOD; PREDICTION; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TEMPORAL VARIATION; TIMESCALE;

EID: 84887297298     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/2013GL057630     Document Type: Article

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