The Effects of Vector Movement and Distribution in a Mathematical Model of Dengue Transmission

PLoS ONE

Volumn 8, Issue 10, 2013, Pages

  Chao, Dennis L ^a   Longini Jr , Ira M ^b   Halloran, M Elizabeth ^a,c  

^a USA   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; DENGUE; FLIGHT; INCIDENCE; MASS IMMUNIZATION; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; MOSQUITO; POPULATION SIZE; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; THAILAND; VIRUS CARRIER; VIRUS TRANSMISSION;

ANIMALS; CULICIDAE; DENGUE; DENGUE VIRUS; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INSECT VECTORS; MASS VACCINATION; MODELS, THEORETICAL; POPULATION DENSITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; THAILAND;

EID: 84886895135     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0076044     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Johansson MA, Hombach J, Cummings DAT, (2011) Models of the impact of dengue vaccines: A review of current research and potential approaches. Vaccine 29: 5860-8.
2. WHO-VMI Dengue Vaccine Modeling Group (2012) Assessing the potential of a candidate dengue vaccine with mathematical modeling. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6: e1450.
3. Bhatt S, Gething PW, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Farlow AW, et al. (2013) The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature 496: 504-7.
4. Ross R, (1916) Application of the theory of probabilities to the study of a priori pathometry. part I. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical and Physical Character 92: 204-230.
5. Macdonald G (1957) The epidemiology and control of malaria. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press.
6. Andraud M, Hens N, Marais C, Beutels P, (2012) Dynamic epidemiological models for dengue transmission: A systematic review of structural approaches. PLoS ONE 7: e49085.
7. Coudeville L, Garnett GP, (2012) Transmission dynamics of the four dengue serotypes in southern Vietnam and the potential impact of vaccination. PLoS ONE 7: e51244.
8. Reiner RC Jr, Perkins TA, Barker CM, Niu T, Chaves LF, et al. (2013) A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010. J R Soc Interface 10: 20120921.
9. Tsuda Y, Takagi M, Wang S, Wang Z, Tang L, (2001) Movement of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) released in a small isolated village on Hainan Island, China. J Med Entomol 38: 93-8.
10. Liew C, Curtis CF, (2004) Horizontal and vertical dispersal of dengue vector mosquitoes, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus, in Singapore. Med Vet Entomol 18: 351-60.
11. Harrington LC, Scott TW, Lerdthusnee K, Coleman RC, Costero A, et al. (2005) Dispersal of the dengue vector Aedes aegypti within and between rural communities. Am J Trop Med Hyg 72: 209-20.
12. Likosky WH, Calisher CH, Michelson AL, Correa-Coronas R, Henderson BE, et al. (1973) An epidemiologic study of dengue type 2 in Puerto Rico, 1969. Am J Epidemiol 97: 264-75.
13. Morrison AC, Getis A, Santiago M, Rigau-Perez JG, Reiter P, (1998) Exploratory space-time analysis of reported dengue cases during an outbreak in Florida, Puerto Rico, 1991-1992. Am J Trop Med Hyg 58: 287-98.
14. Dussart P, Baril L, Petit L, Beniguel L, Quang LC, et al. (2012) Clinical and virological study of dengue cases and the members of their households: The multinational DENFRAME project. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6: e1482.
15. Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA, Anderson RM, (1999) Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of dengue: insights from age-stratified sero-prevalence surveys. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 354: 757-68.
16. Wearing HJ, Rohani P, (2006) Ecological and immunological determinants of dengue epidemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103: 11802-7.
17. Adams B, Holmes EC, Zhang C, Mammen MP Jr, Nimmannitya S, et al. (2006) Cross-protective immunity can account for the alternating epidemic pattern of dengue virus serotypes circulating in Bangkok. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103: 14234-9.
18. Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, et al. (2012) Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 109: 9535-8.
19. Durbin AP, Whitehead SS, (2011) Next-generation dengue vaccines: Novel strategies currently under development. Viruses 3: 1800-1814.
20. Konishi E, (2011) Issues related to recent dengue vaccine development. Trop Med Health 39: 63-71.
21. Sabchareon A, Wallace D, Sirivichayakul C, Limkittikul K, Chanthavanich P, et al. (2012) Protective efficacy of the recombinant, live-attenuated, CYD tetravalent dengue vaccine in Thai schoolchildren: a randomised, controlled phase 2b trial. Lancet 380: 1559-67.
22. Douglas DL, Deroeck DA, Mahoney RT, Wichmann O, (2013) Will dengue vaccines be used in the public sector and if so, how? findings from an 8-country survey of policymakers and opinion leaders. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 7: e2127.
23. Chao DL, Halstead SB, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr, (2012) Controlling dengue with vaccines in Thailand. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6: e1876.
24. Minnesota Population Center (2011). Integrated public use microdata series, international. Available at https://international.ipums.org/international/.
25. Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University; International Food Policy Research Institute (IPFRI); the World Bank; and Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (CIAT) (2004). Global rural-urban mapping project, version 1 (GRUMPv1). Available at http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/gpw/.
26. Halloran ME, Haber M, Longini IM Jr, (1992) Interpretation and estimation of vaccine efficacy under heterogeneity. Am J Epidemiol 136: 328-43.
27. Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr, Struchiner CJ (2010) Design and analysis of vaccine studies. New York: Springer.
28. Getis A, Morrison AC, Gray K, Scott TW, (2003) Characteristics of the spatial pattern of the dengue vector, Aedes aegypti, in Iquitos, Peru. Am J Trop Med Hyg 69: 494-505.
29. Mammen MP Jr, Pimgate C, Koenraadt CJM, Rothman AL, Aldstadt J, et al. (2008) Spatial and temporal clustering of dengue virus transmission in Thai villages. PLoS Med 5: e205.
30. Yoon IK, Getis A, Aldstadt J, Rothman AL, Tannitisupawong D, et al. (2012) Fine scale spatiotemporal clustering of dengue virus transmission in children and Aedes aegypti in rural Thai villages. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6: e1730.
31. Yoon IK, Rothman AL, Tannitisupawong D, Srikiatkhachorn A, Jarman RG, et al. (2012) Underrecognized mildly symptomatic viremic dengue virus infections in rural Thai schools and villages. J Infect Dis 206: 389-98.
32. Aldstadt J, Yoon IK, Tannitisupawong D, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, et al. (2012) Space-time analysis of hospitalised dengue patients in rural Thailand reveals important temporal intervals in the pattern of dengue virus transmission. Trop Med Int Health 17: 1076-1085.
33. Padmanabha H, Durham D, Correa F, Diuk-Wasser M, Galvani A, (2012) The interactive roles of Aedes aegypti super-production and human density in dengue transmission. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6: e1799.
34. Magori K, Legros M, Puente ME, Focks DA, Scott TW, et al. (2009) Skeeter Buster: A stochastic, spatially explicit modeling tool for studying Aedes aegypti population replacement and population suppression strategies. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 3: e508.
35. Xu C, Legros M, Gould F, Lloyd AL, (2010) Understanding uncertainties in model based predictions of Aedes aegypti population dynamics. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 4: e830.
36. Stoddard ST, Forshey BM, Morrison AC, Paz-Soldan VA, Vazquez-Prokopec GM, et al. (2013) House-to-house human movement drives dengue virus transmission. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 110: 994-9.
37. Teurlai M, Huy R, Cazelles B, Duboz R, Baehr C, et al. (2012) Can human movements explain heterogeneous propagation of dengue fever in Cambodia? PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6: e1957.