메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 36, Issue 11, 2013, Pages 1208-1217

A predictive framework to assess spatio-temporal variability of infestations by the european spruce bark beetle

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ABUNDANCE; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; BEETLE; DATA SET; DISTURBANCE; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; POPULATION DYNAMICS; PRECIPITATION QUALITY; STORM; STORM DAMAGE; TREE;

EID: 84886786025     PISSN: 09067590     EISSN: 16000587     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00177.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (61)

References (48)
  • 1
    • 33745111463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Landscape level analysis of mountain pine beetle in British Columbia, Canada: spatiotemporal development and spatial synchrony within the present outbreak
    • Aukema B. H. et al. 2006. Landscape level analysis of mountain pine beetle in British Columbia, Canada: spatiotemporal development and spatial synchrony within the present outbreak. Ecography 29: 427-441.
    • (2006) Ecography , vol.29 , pp. 427-441
    • Aukema, B.H.1
  • 2
    • 0034670110 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the consequences of global change for forest disturbance from herbivores and pathogens
    • Ayres M. P. and Lombardero M. J. 2000. Assessing the consequences of global change for forest disturbance from herbivores and pathogens. Sci. Total Environ. 262: 263-286.
    • (2000) Sci. Total Environ. , vol.262 , pp. 263-286
    • Ayres, M.P.1    Lombardero, M.J.2
  • 3
    • 34548251070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PHENIPS - a comprehensive phenology model of Ips typographus (L.) (Col., Scolytinae) as a tool for hazard rating of bark beetle infestation
    • Baier P. et al. 2007. PHENIPS - a comprehensive phenology model of Ips typographus (L.) (Col., Scolytinae) as a tool for hazard rating of bark beetle infestation. For. Ecol. Manage. 249: 171-186.
    • (2007) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.249 , pp. 171-186
    • Baier, P.1
  • 4
    • 0000439927 scopus 로고
    • Biological control, thresholds and pest outbreaks
    • Berryman A. A. 1982. Biological control, thresholds and pest outbreaks. Environ. Entomol. 11: 544-549.
    • (1982) Environ. Entomol. , vol.11 , pp. 544-549
    • Berryman, A.A.1
  • 6
    • 0032273615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations
    • Brooks S. P. and Gelman A. 1998. General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 7: 434-455.
    • (1998) J. Comput. Graph. Stat. , vol.7 , pp. 434-455
    • Brooks, S.P.1    Gelman, A.2
  • 7
    • 84886802157 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bundesamt für Statistik, Bundesamt für Statistik, Sektion Geoinformation.
    • Bundesamt für Statistik 2004. Dokumentation zur Waldmischungsgradkarte der Schweiz. - Bundesamt für Statistik, Sektion Geoinformation.
    • (2004) Dokumentation zur Waldmischungsgradkarte der Schweiz
  • 8
    • 0344562898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A case study of forest change in the Swiss lowlands
    • Bürgi M. 1999. A case study of forest change in the Swiss lowlands. Landscape Ecol. 14: 567-576.
    • (1999) Landscape Ecol. , vol.14 , pp. 567-576
    • Bürgi, M.1
  • 10
    • 0030588384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An encounter rate model of bark beetle populations searching at random for susceptible host trees
    • Byers J. A. 1996. An encounter rate model of bark beetle populations searching at random for susceptible host trees. Ecol. Model. 91: 57-66.
    • (1996) Ecol. Model. , vol.91 , pp. 57-66
    • Byers, J.A.1
  • 11
    • 0034651027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wind-aided dispersal of simulated bark beetles flying through forests
    • Byers J. A. 2000. Wind-aided dispersal of simulated bark beetles flying through forests. Ecol. Model. 125: 231-243.
    • (2000) Ecol. Model. , vol.125 , pp. 231-243
    • Byers, J.A.1
  • 14
    • 0034800416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and forest disturbances
    • Dale V. H. et al. 2001. Climate change and forest disturbances. BioScience 51: 723-734.
    • (2001) BioScience , vol.51 , pp. 723-734
    • Dale, V.H.1
  • 15
    • 0036318417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Winter mortality in sub-corticolous populations of Ips typographus (Coleoptera, Scolytidae) and its parasitoids in the south-eastern Alps
    • Faccoli M. 2002. Winter mortality in sub-corticolous populations of Ips typographus (Coleoptera, Scolytidae) and its parasitoids in the south-eastern Alps. J. Pest Sci. 75: 62-68.
    • (2002) J. Pest Sci. , vol.75 , pp. 62-68
    • Faccoli, M.1
  • 16
    • 65249156538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of weather on Ips typographus (Coleoptera Curculionidae) phenology, voltinism, and associated spruce mortality in the southeastern Alps
    • Faccoli M. 2009. Effect of weather on Ips typographus (Coleoptera Curculionidae) phenology, voltinism, and associated spruce mortality in the southeastern Alps. Environ. Entomol. 38: 307-316.
    • (2009) Environ. Entomol. , vol.38 , pp. 307-316
    • Faccoli, M.1
  • 17
    • 84950453304 scopus 로고
    • Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities
    • Gelfand A. E. and Smith A. F. M. 1990. Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 85: 398-409.
    • (1990) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.85 , pp. 398-409
    • Gelfand, A.E.1    Smith, A.F.M.2
  • 18
    • 84886782357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zur Flugaktivität und Brutherdentwicklung des Buchdruckers Ips typographus (L.)
    • PhD thesis, Georg-August-Univ.
    • Hurling R. 2002. Zur Flugaktivität und Brutherdentwicklung des Buchdruckers Ips typographus (L.). - PhD thesis, Fakultät Forstwiss. Waldökol., Georg-August-Univ.
    • (2002) Fakultät Forstwiss. Waldökol.
    • Hurling, R.1
  • 19
    • 58549085790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatio-temporal impact of climate change on the activity and voltinism of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus
    • Jönsson A. M. et al. 2009. Spatio-temporal impact of climate change on the activity and voltinism of the spruce bark beetle, Ips typographus. Global Change Biol. 15: 486-499.
    • (2009) Global Change Biol. , vol.15 , pp. 486-499
    • Jönsson, A.M.1
  • 21
    • 42549163271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change
    • Kurz W. A. et al. 2008. Mountain pine beetle and forest carbon feedback to climate change. Nature 452: 987-990.
    • (2008) Nature , vol.452 , pp. 987-990
    • Kurz, W.A.1
  • 22
    • 78649449959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factors affecting the spatio-temporal dispersion of Ips typographus (L.) in Bavarian Forest National Park: a long-term quantitative landscape-level analysis
    • Lausch A. et al. 2011. Factors affecting the spatio-temporal dispersion of Ips typographus (L.) in Bavarian Forest National Park: a long-term quantitative landscape-level analysis. For. Ecol. Manage. 261: 233-245.
    • (2011) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.261 , pp. 233-245
    • Lausch, A.1
  • 24
    • 0033385648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model analysis of mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) seasonality
    • Logan J. A. and Bentz B. J. 1999. Model analysis of mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) seasonality. Environ. Entomol. 28: 924-934.
    • (1999) Environ. Entomol. , vol.28 , pp. 924-934
    • Logan, J.A.1    Bentz, B.J.2
  • 25
    • 85048564885 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ghost forest, global warming, and the mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)
    • Logan J. A. and Powell J. A. 2001. Ghost forest, global warming, and the mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). Am. Entomol. 47: 160-173.
    • (2001) Am. Entomol. , vol.47 , pp. 160-173
    • Logan, J.A.1    Powell, J.A.2
  • 26
    • 77953160102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Whitebark pine vulnerability to climate-driven mountain pine beetle disturbance in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem
    • Logan J. A. et al. 2010. Whitebark pine vulnerability to climate-driven mountain pine beetle disturbance in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem. Ecol. Appl. 20: 895-902.
    • (2010) Ecol. Appl. , vol.20 , pp. 895-902
    • Logan, J.A.1
  • 27
    • 0006407254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WinBUGS - a Bayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility
    • Lunn D. J. et al. 2000. WinBUGS - a Bayesian modelling framework: concepts, structure, and extensibility. Stat. Comput. 10: 325-337.
    • (2000) Stat. Comput. , vol.10 , pp. 325-337
    • Lunn, D.J.1
  • 28
    • 78650323221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions
    • Meier E. S. et al. 2010. Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions. Ecography 33: 1038-1048.
    • (2010) Ecography , vol.33 , pp. 1038-1048
    • Meier, E.S.1
  • 29
    • 45849102656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ursachen und Verlauf der Buchdrucker- Epidemien (Ips typographus L.) in der Schweiz von 1984 bis 1999
    • Meier F. et al. 2003. Ursachen und Verlauf der Buchdrucker- Epidemien (Ips typographus L.) in der Schweiz von 1984 bis 1999. Schweiz. Z. Forstwes. 154: 437-441.
    • (2003) Schweiz. Z. Forstwes. , vol.154 , pp. 437-441
    • Meier, F.1
  • 30
    • 14644393710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predisposition assessment systems (PAS) as supportive tools in forest management - rating of site and stand-related hazards of bark beetle infestation in the High Tatra Mountains as an example for system application and verification
    • Netherer S. and Nopp-Mayr U. 2005. Predisposition assessment systems (PAS) as supportive tools in forest management - rating of site and stand-related hazards of bark beetle infestation in the High Tatra Mountains as an example for system application and verification. For. Ecol. Manage. 207: 99-107.
    • (2005) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.207 , pp. 99-107
    • Netherer, S.1    Nopp-Mayr, U.2
  • 31
    • 73449123683 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential effects of climate change on insect herbivores in European forests - general aspects and the pine processionary moth as specific example
    • Netherer S. and Schopf A. 2010. Potential effects of climate change on insect herbivores in European forests - general aspects and the pine processionary moth as specific example. For. Ecol. Manage. 259: 831-838.
    • (2010) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.259 , pp. 831-838
    • Netherer, S.1    Schopf, A.2
  • 32
    • 84255162003 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling infestation risk of Norway spruce by Ips typographus (L.) in the Lower Saxon Harz Mountains (Germany)
    • Overbeck M. and Schmidt M. 2012. Modelling infestation risk of Norway spruce by Ips typographus (L.) in the Lower Saxon Harz Mountains (Germany). For. Ecol. Manage. 266: 115-125.
    • (2012) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.266 , pp. 115-125
    • Overbeck, M.1    Schmidt, M.2
  • 33
    • 45849137124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross-scale drivers of natural disturbances prone to anthropogenic amplification: the dynamics of bark beetle eruptions
    • Raffa K. F. et al. 2008. Cross-scale drivers of natural disturbances prone to anthropogenic amplification: the dynamics of bark beetle eruptions. BioScience 58: 501-517.
    • (2008) BioScience , vol.58 , pp. 501-517
    • Raffa, K.F.1
  • 34
    • 33749683537 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of drought and heat on forest insect populations in relation to the 2003 drought in western Europe
    • Rouault G. et al. 2006. Effects of drought and heat on forest insect populations in relation to the 2003 drought in western Europe. Ann. For. Sci 63: 613-624.
    • (2006) Ann. For. Sci , vol.63 , pp. 613-624
    • Rouault, G.1
  • 35
    • 77957951281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential for range expansion of mountain pine beetle into the boreal forest of North America
    • Safranyik L. et al. 2010. Potential for range expansion of mountain pine beetle into the boreal forest of North America. Can. Entomol. 142: 415-442.
    • (2010) Can. Entomol. , vol.142 , pp. 415-442
    • Safranyik, L.1
  • 36
    • 0344925626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Natural disturbances in the European forests in the 19th and 20th centuries
    • Schelhaas M. J. et al. 2003. Natural disturbances in the European forests in the 19th and 20th centuries. Global Change Biol. 9: 1620-1633.
    • (2003) Global Change Biol. , vol.9 , pp. 1620-1633
    • Schelhaas, M.J.1
  • 37
    • 84886788475 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Enzyklopädie der Holzgewächse: Handbuch und Atlas der Dendrologie. Ecomed.
    • Schütt P. et al. 2006. Enzyklopädie der Holzgewächse: Handbuch und Atlas der Dendrologie. - Ecomed.
    • (2006)
    • Schütt, P.1
  • 38
    • 34447572653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling tree mortality by bark beetle infestation in Norway spruce forests
    • Seidl R. et al. 2007. Modelling tree mortality by bark beetle infestation in Norway spruce forests. Ecol. Model. 206: 383-399.
    • (2007) Ecol. Model. , vol.206 , pp. 383-399
    • Seidl, R.1
  • 39
    • 0036435040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit
    • Spiegelhalter D. J. et al. 2002. Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 64: 583-616.
    • (2002) J. R. Stat. Soc. B , vol.64 , pp. 583-616
    • Spiegelhalter, D.J.1
  • 41
    • 13444302396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R2WinBUGS: a package for running WinBUGS from R
    • Sturtz S. et al. 2005. R2WinBUGS: a package for running WinBUGS from R. J. Stat. Softw. 12: 1-16.
    • (2005) J. Stat. Softw. , vol.12 , pp. 1-16
    • Sturtz, S.1
  • 42
    • 0030615723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generating surfaces of daily meteorological variables over large regions of complex terrain
    • Thornton P. E. et al. 1997. Generating surfaces of daily meteorological variables over large regions of complex terrain. J. Hydrol. 190: 214-251.
    • (1997) J. Hydrol. , vol.190 , pp. 214-251
    • Thornton, P.E.1
  • 43
    • 0033375162 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and the northern distribution limits of Dendroctonus frontalis Zimmermann (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)
    • Ungerer M. J. et al. 1999. Climate and the northern distribution limits of Dendroctonus frontalis Zimmermann (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). J. Biogeogr. 26: 1133-1145.
    • (1999) J. Biogeogr. , vol.26 , pp. 1133-1145
    • Ungerer, M.J.1
  • 44
    • 70449520457 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing storm damage to forests in Switzerland from 1858 to 2007
    • Usbeck T. et al. 2010. Increasing storm damage to forests in Switzerland from 1858 to 2007. Agric. For. Meteorol. 150: 47-55.
    • (2010) Agric. For. Meteorol. , vol.150 , pp. 47-55
    • Usbeck, T.1
  • 45
    • 6344294605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecology and management of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus- a review of recent research
    • Wermelinger B. 2004. Ecology and management of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus- a review of recent research. For. Ecol. Manage. 202: 67-82.
    • (2004) For. Ecol. Manage. , vol.202 , pp. 67-82
    • Wermelinger, B.1
  • 46
    • 0031817677 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of the temperature dependent development of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L) (Col, Scolytidae)
    • Wermelinger B. and Seifert M. 1998. Analysis of the temperature dependent development of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus (L) (Col, Scolytidae). J. Appl. Entomol. 122: 185-191.
    • (1998) J. Appl. Entomol. , vol.122 , pp. 185-191
    • Wermelinger, B.1    Seifert, M.2
  • 47
    • 0032949795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temperature-dependent reproduction of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus, and analysis of the potential population growth
    • Wermelinger B. and Seifert M. 1999. Temperature-dependent reproduction of the spruce bark beetle Ips typographus, and analysis of the potential population growth. Ecol. Entomol. 24: 103-110.
    • (1999) Ecol. Entomol. , vol.24 , pp. 103-110
    • Wermelinger, B.1    Seifert, M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.