Prediction of symptomatic embolism in infective endocarditis: Construction and validation of a risk calculator in a multicenter cohort

Journal of the American College of Cardiology

Volumn 62, Issue 15, 2013, Pages 1384-1392

  Hubert, Sandrine ^a   Thuny, Franck ^a,b,c   Resseguier, Noemie ^d   Giorgi, Roch ^d   Tribouilloy, Christophe ^d,e   Le Dolley, Yvan ^a   Casalta, Jean Paul ^f   Riberi, Alberto ^a   Chevalier, Florent ^e   Rusinaru, Dan ^e   Malaquin, Dorothée ^e   Remadi, Jean Paul ^e   Ammar, Ammar Ben ^e   Avierinos, Jean Francois ^a   Collart, Frederic ^a   Raoult, Didier ^b,f   Habib, Gilbert ^a  

^a TIMONE HOSPITAL   (France)

^b AIX MARSEILLE UNIVERSITY   (France)

^c HÔPITAL NORD   (France)

^d INSERM   (France)

^e AMIENS UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL   (France)

^f ASSISTANCE PUBLIQUE HÔPITAUX DE MARSEILLE   (France)

Author keywords

embolism; endocarditis; prognosis

Indexed keywords

ANTIBIOTIC AGENT;

ADULT; AGE; ANTIBIOTIC THERAPY; ARTICLE; BACTERIAL ENDOCARDITIS; CONTROLLED STUDY; DIABETES MELLITUS; DISEASE ASSOCIATION; DISEASE DURATION; ECHOCARDIOGRAPHY; EMBOLISM; FEMALE; HEART ATRIUM FIBRILLATION; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROGNOSIS; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; STAPHYLOCOCCUS INFECTION; SYMPTOMATOLOGY;

CI; CONFIDENCE INTERVAL; EMBOLIC RISK; EMBOLISM; ENDOCARDITIS; ER; PROGNOSIS;

AGE FACTORS; ANTI-BACTERIAL AGENTS; ATRIAL FIBRILLATION; COHORT STUDIES; DIABETES MELLITUS; ECHOCARDIOGRAPHY; EMBOLISM; ENDOCARDITIS, BACTERIAL; FEMALE; HEART VALVE PROSTHESIS; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS; PROSTHESIS-RELATED INFECTIONS; RANDOM ALLOCATION; RISK ASSESSMENT; STAPHYLOCOCCAL INFECTIONS; STAPHYLOCOCCUS AUREUS;

EID: 84884993578     PISSN: 07351097     EISSN: 15583597     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2013.07.029     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. F. Thuny, D. Grisoli, and F. Collart Management of infective endocarditis: challenges and perspectives Lancet 379 2012 965 975
2. F. Thuny, J.F. Avierinos, and C. Tribouilloy Impact of cerebrovascular complications on mortality and neurologic outcome during infective endocarditis: a prospective multicentre study Eur Heart J 28 2007 1155 1161
3. H.A. Cooper, E.C. Thompson, and R. Laureno Subclinical brain embolization in left-sided infective endocarditis: results from the evaluation by MRI of the brains of patients with left-sided intracardiac solid masses (EMBOLISM) pilot study Circulation 120 2009 585 591
4. U. Snygg-Martin, L. Gustafsson, and L. Rosengren Cerebrovascular complications in patients with left-sided infective endocarditis are common: a prospective study using magnetic resonance imaging and neurochemical brain damage markers Clin Infect Dis 47 2008 23 30
5. X. Duval, B. Iung, and I. Klein Effect of early cerebral magnetic resonance imaging on clinical decisions in infective endocarditis: a prospective study Ann Intern Med 152 2010 497 504
6. L.I. Kupferwasser, G. Hafner, and S. Mohr-Kahaly The presence of infection-related antiphospholipid antibodies in infective endocarditis determines a major risk factor for embolic events J Am Coll Cardiol 33 1999 1365 1371
7. F. Thuny, G. Habib, and Y. Le Dolley Circulating matrix metalloproteinases in infective endocarditis: a possible marker of the embolic risk PLoS One 6 2011 e18830
8. S.A. Dickerman, E. Abrutyn, and B. Barsic The relationship between the initiation of antimicrobial therapy and the incidence of stroke in infective endocarditis: an analysis from the ICE Prospective Cohort Study (ICE-PCS) Am Heart J 154 2007 1086 1094
9. D.H. Kim, D.H. Kang, and M.Z. Lee Impact of early surgery on embolic events in patients with infective endocarditis Circulation 122 2010 S17 S22
10. D.H. Kang, Y.J. Kim, and S.H. Kim Early surgery versus conventional treatment for infective endocarditis N Engl J Med 366 2012 2466 2473
11. I. Vilacosta, C. Graupner, and J.A. San Roman Risk of embolization after institution of antibiotic therapy for infective endocarditis J Am Coll Cardiol 39 2002 1489 1495
12. F. Thuny, G. Di Salvo, and O. Belliard Risk of embolism and death in infective endocarditis: prognostic value of echocardiography: a prospective multicenter study Circulation 112 2005 69 75
13. L.M. Baddour, W.R. Wilson, and A.S. Bayer Infective endocarditis: diagnosis, antimicrobial therapy, and management of complications: a statement for healthcare professionals from the Committee on Rheumatic Fever, Endocarditis, and Kawasaki Disease, Council on Cardiovascular Disease in the Young, and the Councils on Clinical Cardiology, Stroke, and Cardiovascular Surgery and Anesthesia, American Heart Association: endorsed by the Infectious Diseases Society of America Circulation 111 2005 e394 e434
14. G. Habib, B. Hoen, and P. Tornos Guidelines on the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of infective endocarditis (new version 2009): the Task Force on the Prevention, Diagnosis, and Treatment of Infective Endocarditis of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Eur Heart J 30 2009 2369 2413
15. C. Selton-Suty, M. Celard, and V. Le Moing Preeminence of Staphylococcus aureus in infective endocarditis: a 1-year population-based survey Clin Infect Dis 54 2012 1230 1239
16. J.S. Li, D.J. Sexton, and N. Mick Proposed modifications to the Duke criteria for the diagnosis of infective endocarditis Clin Infect Dis 30 2000 633 638
17. M.E. Charlson, P. Pompei, and K.L. Ales A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation J Chronic Dis 40 1987 373 383
18. A.J. Camm, G.Y. Lip, and R. De Caterina 2012 focused update of the ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation: an update of the 2010 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation. Developed with the special contribution of the European Heart Rhythm Association Eur Heart J 33 2012 2719 2747
19. W.A. Zoghbi, M. Enriquez-Sarano, and E. Foster Recommendations for evaluation of the severity of native valvular regurgitation with two-dimensional and Doppler echocardiography J Am Soc Echocardiogr 16 2003 777 802
20. R.L. Prentice, J.D. Kalbfleisch, and A.V. Peterson Jr. The analysis of failure times in the presence of competing risks Biometrics 34 1978 541 554
21. M. Wolbers, M.T. Koller, and J.C. Witteman Prognostic models with competing risks: methods and application to coronary risk prediction Epidemiology 20 2009 555 561
22. R.J. Gray A class of k-sample tests for comparing the cumulative incidence of a competing risk Ann Stat 16 1988 1141 1154
23. J.P. Fine, and R.J. Gray A proportional hazards model for the subdistribution of a competing risk J Am Stat Assoc 94 1999 496 509
24. B. Haller, G. Schmidt, and K. Ulm Applying competing risks regression models: an overview Lifetime data analysis 19 2013 33 58
25. F.E.J. Harrel, K.L. Lee, and D.B. Mark Multivariable prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors Stat Med 15 1996 361 387
26. P. Royston, and W. Sauerbrei A new measure of prognostic separation in survival data Stat Med 23 2004 723 748
27. S.A. Nashef, F. Roques, and P. Michel European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 16 1999 9 13
28. G. Di Salvo, G. Habib, and V. Pergola Echocardiography predicts embolic events in infective endocarditis J Am Coll Cardiol 37 2001 1069 1076
29. S.H. Vind, and S. Hess Possible role of PET/CT in infective endocarditis J Nucl Cardiol 17 2010 516 519
30. 18F-FDG PET/CT for early detection of embolism and metastatic infection in patients with infective endocarditis Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging 37 2010 1189 1197
31. W.R. Wilkerson, and D.C. Sane Aging and thrombosis Semin Thromb Hemost 28 2002 555 568
32. D. Feinbloom, and K.A. Bauer The role of other hemostatic factors in predicting arterial thrombotic events Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 26 2006 e29
33. M. Ileri, A. Alper, and K. Senen Effect of infective endocarditis on blood coagulation and platelet activation and comparison of patients with to those without embolic events Am J Cardiol 91 2003 689 692
34. S. Korkmaz, M. Ileri, and I. Hisar Increased levels of soluble adhesion molecules, E-selectin and P-selectin, in patients with infective endocarditis and embolic events Eur Heart J 22 2001 874 878
35. E. Botelho-Nevers, F. Thuny, and J.P. Casalta Dramatic reduction in infective endocarditis-related mortality with a management-based approach Arch Intern Med 169 2009 1290 1298