메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 4, 2013, Pages 1303-1323

Long-run trends of human aging and longevity

Author keywords

Aging; Compression of morbidity; Human life span; Life expectancy; Life span extension

Indexed keywords


EID: 84884979249     PISSN: 09331433     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00148-012-0459-z     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (63)

References (47)
  • 2
    • 85014403982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do Americans have higher mortality than Europeans at all levels of the education distribution?: a comparison of the United States and 14 European countries
    • E. M. Crimmins, S. H. Preston, and B. Cohen (Eds.), Washington, DC: National Academies Press
    • Avendano M, Kok R, Glymour M, Berkman L, Kawachi I, Kunst A, Mackenbach J (2011) Do Americans have higher mortality than Europeans at all levels of the education distribution?: a comparison of the United States and 14 European countries. In: Crimmins EM, Preston SH, Cohen B (eds) International differences in mortality at older ages. National Academies Press, Washington, DC.
    • (2011) International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages
    • Avendano, M.1    Kok, R.2    Glymour, M.3    Berkman, L.4    Kawachi, I.5    Kunst, A.6    Mackenbach, J.7
  • 4
    • 0000805502 scopus 로고
    • The production of human capital and the life cycle of earnings
    • Ben-Porath Y (1967) The production of human capital and the life cycle of earnings. J Polit Econ 75: 352-365.
    • (1967) J Polit Econ , vol.75 , pp. 352-365
    • Ben-Porath, Y.1
  • 5
    • 84936526541 scopus 로고
    • Debt, deficits, and finite horizons
    • Blanchard OJ (1985) Debt, deficits, and finite horizons. J Polit Econ 93: 223-247.
    • (1985) J Polit Econ , vol.93 , pp. 223-247
    • Blanchard, O.J.1
  • 7
    • 16344395007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-range trends in adult mortality: models and projection methods
    • Bongaarts J (2005) Long-range trends in adult mortality: models and projection methods. Demography 42: 23-49.
    • (2005) Demography , vol.42 , pp. 23-49
    • Bongaarts, J.1
  • 8
    • 0036288737 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Vintage human capital, demographic trends, and endogenous growth
    • Boucekkine R, De la Croix D, Licandro O (2002) Vintage human capital, demographic trends, and endogenous growth. J Econ Theory 104: 340-375.
    • (2002) J Econ Theory , vol.104 , pp. 340-375
    • Boucekkine, R.1    De la Croix, D.2    Licandro, O.3
  • 9
    • 36049037243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A leisurely reading of the life-cycle consumption data
    • Bullard J, Feigenbaum J (2007) A leisurely reading of the life-cycle consumption data. J Monet Econ 54: 2305-2320.
    • (2007) J Monet Econ , vol.54 , pp. 2305-2320
    • Bullard, J.1    Feigenbaum, J.2
  • 10
    • 0035529079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Neoclassical life-cycle consumption: a textbook example
    • Bütler M (2001) Neoclassical life-cycle consumption: a textbook example. Econ Theory 17: 209-221.
    • (2001) Econ Theory , vol.17 , pp. 209-221
    • Bütler, M.1
  • 11
    • 84929872609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Life span: a conceptual overview
    • Carey JR (2003) Life span: a conceptual overview. Popul Dev Rev 29: 1-18.
    • (2003) Popul Dev Rev , vol.29 , pp. 1-18
    • Carey, J.R.1
  • 12
    • 34249880442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A realist view of aging, mortality, and future longevity
    • Carnes BA, Olshansky SJ (2007) A realist view of aging, mortality, and future longevity. Popul Dev Rev 33: 367-381.
    • (2007) Popul Dev Rev , vol.33 , pp. 367-381
    • Carnes, B.A.1    Olshansky, S.J.2
  • 13
    • 33645735923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human capital formation, life expectancy, and the process of development
    • Cervellati M, Sunde U (2005) Human capital formation, life expectancy, and the process of development. Am Econ Rev 95: 1653-1672.
    • (2005) Am Econ Rev , vol.95 , pp. 1653-1672
    • Cervellati, M.1    Sunde, U.2
  • 15
    • 0029867807 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum life span predictions from the Gompertz mortality model
    • Finch CE, Pike MC (1996) Maximum life span predictions from the Gompertz mortality model. J Gerontol 51: 183-194.
    • (1996) J Gerontol , vol.51 , pp. 183-194
    • Finch, C.E.1    Pike, M.C.2
  • 16
    • 0028591925 scopus 로고
    • Economic growth, population theory, and physiology: the bearing of long-term processes on the making of economic policy
    • Fogel RW (1994) Economic growth, population theory, and physiology: the bearing of long-term processes on the making of economic policy. Am Econ Rev 84: 369-395.
    • (1994) Am Econ Rev , vol.84 , pp. 369-395
    • Fogel, R.W.1
  • 17
    • 0031062301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A theory of technophysio evolution, with some implications for forecasting population, health care costs, and pension costs
    • Fogel RW, Costa D (1997) A theory of technophysio evolution, with some implications for forecasting population, health care costs, and pension costs. Demography 34: 49-66.
    • (1997) Demography , vol.34 , pp. 49-66
    • Fogel, R.W.1    Costa, D.2
  • 18
    • 16344380079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of health, wealth, and wages on labour supply and retirement behaviour
    • French E (2005) The effects of health, wealth, and wages on labour supply and retirement behaviour. Rev Econ Stud 72: 395-427.
    • (2005) Rev Econ Stud , vol.72 , pp. 395-427
    • French, E.1
  • 19
    • 0018876664 scopus 로고
    • Aging, natural death, and the compression of morbidity
    • Fries JF (1980) Aging, natural death, and the compression of morbidity. New Engl J Med 303: 130-135.
    • (1980) New Engl J Med , vol.303 , pp. 130-135
    • Fries, J.F.1
  • 21
    • 0035930837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The reliability theory of aging and longevity
    • Gavrilov LA, Gavrilova NS (2001) The reliability theory of aging and longevity. J Theor Biol 213: 527-545.
    • (2001) J Theor Biol , vol.213 , pp. 527-545
    • Gavrilov, L.A.1    Gavrilova, N.S.2
  • 22
    • 0003293418 scopus 로고
    • On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies
    • Gompertz B (1825) On the nature of the function expressive of the law of human mortality, and on a new mode of determining the value of life contingencies. Philos Trans R Soc Lond 115: 513-583.
    • (1825) Philos Trans R Soc Lond , vol.115 , pp. 513-583
    • Gompertz, B.1
  • 24
    • 44649151713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consumption over the life cycle: the role of annuities
    • Hansen GD, Imrohoroglu S (2008) Consumption over the life cycle: the role of annuities. Rev Econ Dyn 11: 566-583.
    • (2008) Rev Econ Dyn , vol.11 , pp. 566-583
    • Hansen, G.D.1    Imrohoroglu, S.2
  • 25
    • 71549161752 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Longevity and lifetime labor supply: evidence and implications
    • Hazan M (2009) Longevity and lifetime labor supply: evidence and implications. Econometrica 77: 1829-1863.
    • (2009) Econometrica , vol.77 , pp. 1829-1863
    • Hazan, M.1
  • 26
    • 37449030813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A life-cycle overlapping-generations model of the small open economy
    • Heijdra BJ, Romp WE (2008) A life-cycle overlapping-generations model of the small open economy. Oxf Econ Pap 60: 88-21.
    • (2008) Oxf Econ Pap , vol.60 , pp. 21-88
    • Heijdra, B.J.1    Romp, W.E.2
  • 27
    • 61549115002 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Retirement, pensions, and ageing
    • Heijdra BJ, Romp WE (2009) Retirement, pensions, and ageing. J Pub Econ 93: 586-604.
    • (2009) J Pub Econ , vol.93 , pp. 586-604
    • Heijdra, B.J.1    Romp, W.E.2
  • 28
    • 84884987904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Human Mortality Database, University of California, Berkeley (USA), and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany). Available at, (data downloaded on 08/25/2010)
    • Human Mortality Database (2010) University of California, Berkeley (USA), and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany). Available at www. mortality. org (data downloaded on 08/25/2010).
    • (2010)
  • 30
    • 77949279395 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality change, the uncertainty effect, and retirement
    • Kalemli-Ozcan S, Weil DN (2010) Mortality change, the uncertainty effect, and retirement. J Econ Growth 15: 1-27.
    • (2010) J Econ Growth , vol.15 , pp. 1-27
    • Kalemli-Ozcan, S.1    Weil, D.N.2
  • 31
    • 0000774870 scopus 로고
    • On the law of mortality and the construction of annuity tables
    • Makeham WM (1860) On the law of mortality and the construction of annuity tables. J Inst Actuar 8: 301-310.
    • (1860) J Inst Actuar , vol.8 , pp. 301-310
    • Makeham, W.M.1
  • 32
    • 54449088999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The natural distribution of survival
    • Milne EMG (2008) The natural distribution of survival. J Theor Biol 255: 223-236.
    • (2008) J Theor Biol , vol.255 , pp. 223-236
    • Milne, E.M.G.1
  • 33
    • 33745316001 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mathematical modeling in biology: systems capable to live and die
    • Novoseltsev VN (2006) Mathematical modeling in biology: systems capable to live and die. Autom Remote Control 67: 835-855.
    • (2006) Autom Remote Control , vol.67 , pp. 835-855
    • Novoseltsev, V.N.1
  • 34
    • 0037052454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Broken limits to life expectancy
    • Oeppen J, Vaupel JW (2002) Broken limits to life expectancy. Science 296: 1029-1031.
    • (2002) Science , vol.296 , pp. 1029-1031
    • Oeppen, J.1    Vaupel, J.W.2
  • 36
    • 0025198608 scopus 로고
    • In search of Methuselah: estimating the upper limits to human longevity
    • Olshansky SJ, Carnes BA, Cassel C (1990) In search of Methuselah: estimating the upper limits to human longevity. Science 250: 634-640.
    • (1990) Science , vol.250 , pp. 634-640
    • Olshansky, S.J.1    Carnes, B.A.2    Cassel, C.3
  • 37
    • 84866332787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Differences in life expectancy due to race and educational differences are widening, and many may not catch up
    • Olshansky SJ et al (2012) Differences in life expectancy due to race and educational differences are widening, and many may not catch up. Health Aff 18: 1803-1813.
    • (2012) Health Aff , vol.18 , pp. 1803-1813
    • Olshansky, S.J.1
  • 39
    • 0346696053 scopus 로고
    • General theory of mortality and aging
    • Strehler BL, Mildvan AS (1960) General theory of mortality and aging. Science 132: 14-21.
    • (1960) Science , vol.132 , pp. 14-21
    • Strehler, B.L.1    Mildvan, A.S.2
  • 41
    • 77950191531 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodemography of human aging
    • Vaupel JW (2010) Biodemography of human aging. Nature 464: 536-542.
    • (2010) Nature , vol.464 , pp. 536-542
    • Vaupel, J.W.1
  • 42
    • 0002317244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • In search of limits
    • K. W. Wachter and C. E. Finch (Eds.), Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences
    • Wilmoth JR (1997) In search of limits. In: Wachter KW, Finch CE (eds) Between Zeus and the Salmon: the biodemography of aging. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC, pp 38-63.
    • (1997) Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Aging , pp. 38-63
    • Wilmoth, J.R.1
  • 43
    • 0033219331 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rectangularization revisited: variability of age at death within human populations
    • Wilmoth JR (1999) Rectangularization revisited: variability of age at death within human populations. Demography 36: 475-495.
    • (1999) Demography , vol.36 , pp. 475-495
    • Wilmoth, J.R.1
  • 44
    • 85050647536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The world trend in maximum life span
    • Wilmoth JR, Robine JM (2003) The world trend in maximum life span. Popul Dev Rev 29: 239-257.
    • (2003) Popul Dev Rev , vol.29 , pp. 239-257
    • Wilmoth, J.R.1    Robine, J.M.2
  • 45
    • 10444239779 scopus 로고
    • Uncertain lifetime, life insurance and the theory of the consumer
    • Yaari ME (1965) Uncertain lifetime, life insurance and the theory of the consumer. Rev Econ Stud 32: 137-1350.
    • (1965) Rev Econ Stud , vol.32 , pp. 137-1350
    • Yaari, M.E.1
  • 46
    • 0035217585 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The new trends in survival improvement require a revision of traditional gerontological concepts
    • Yashin AI, Begun AS, Boiko SI, Ukraintseva SV, Oeppen J (2001) The new trends in survival improvement require a revision of traditional gerontological concepts. Exp Gerontol 37: 157-167.
    • (2001) Exp Gerontol , vol.37 , pp. 157-167
    • Yashin, A.I.1    Begun, A.S.2    Boiko, S.I.3    Ukraintseva, S.V.4    Oeppen, J.5
  • 47
    • 79953678938 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heterogeneity in the Strehler-Mildvan general theory of mortality and aging
    • Zheng H, Yang Y, Land KC (2011) Heterogeneity in the Strehler-Mildvan general theory of mortality and aging. Demography 48: 267-290.
    • (2011) Demography , vol.48 , pp. 267-290
    • Zheng, H.1    Yang, Y.2    Land, K.C.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.