Tropical cyclone tracking using a neighbor enclosed area tracking algorithm

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 141, Issue 10, 2013, Pages 3539-3555

  Satake, Yuya ^a   Inatsu, Masaru ^b   Mori, Masato ^c   Hasegawa, Akira ^d  

^a Tokio Marine Nichido Risk Consulting Co Ltd   (Japan)

^b HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

^c UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

^d PUBLIC WORKS RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Japan)

Author keywords

Data processing; Hurricanes typhoons; Model output statistics; Storm tracks

Indexed keywords

EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION; HIGH-RESOLUTION GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; HURRICANES/TYPHOONS; MERIDIONAL HEAT TRANSPORTS; METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY; MODEL OUTPUT STATISTICS; STORM TRACK; WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC;

ALGORITHMS; DATA PROCESSING; STORMS;

HURRICANES;

ALGORITHM; DATA ASSIMILATION; DATA PROCESSING; HURRICANE; STORM TRACK; TROPICAL CYCLONE; TYPHOON;

PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTH);

EID: 84884967369     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: 15200493     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00092.1     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Arnaud, Y., M. Desbois, and J. Maizi, 1992: Automatic tracking and characterization of African convective systems on Meteosat pictures. J. Appl. Meteor., 31, 443-453.
2. Bell, G. D., and Coauthors, 2000: Climate assessment for 1999. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, S1-S50.
3. Bengtsson, L., M. Botzet, and M. Esch, 1995: Hurricane-type vortices in a general circulation model. Tellus, 47A, 175- 196.
4. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, and M. Esch, 2007: Tropical cyclones in a T159 resolution global climate model: Comparison with observations and reanalysis. Tellus, 59A, 396-416.
5. Brand, S., 1972: Very large and very small typhoons of the western North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 50, 332-341.
6. Broccoli, A. J., and S. Manabe, 1990: Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate? Geophys. Res. Lett., 17, 1917-1920.
7. Chan, J. C. L., and C. K. M. Yip, 2003: Interannual variations of tropical cyclone size over the western North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 2267, doi:10.1029/2003GL018522.
8. Chan, J. C. L., and K. S. Liu, 2004: Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective. J. Climate, 17, 4590-4602.
9. Denman, S., V. Chandran, and S. Sridharan, 2007: An adaptive optical flow technique for person tracking systems. Pattern Recognit. Lett., 28, 1232-1239.
10. Emanuel, K., 2005: Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436, 686-688.
11. Evans, J. L., andR.E.Hart, 2003:Objective indicators of the onset and completion of ET for Atlantic tropical cyclones: Factors determining post-transition evolution.Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 909-925.
12. Haarsma, R. J., F. F. B. Mitchell, and C. A. Senior, 1993: Tropical disturbances in a GCM. Climate Dyn., 8, 247-257.
13. Hart, R. E., 2003:A cyclone phase space derived from thermal wind and thermal asymmetry. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 585-616.
14. Hart, R. E., 2011: An inverse relationship between aggregate Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone activity and subsequent winter climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L01705, doi:10.1029/ 2010GL045612.
15. Hasegawa, A., and S. Emori, 2005: Tropical cyclones and associated precipitation over the western North Pacific: T106 atmospheric GCM simulation for present-day and doubled CO2 climates. SOLA, 1, 145-148.
16. Hatsushika, H., J. Tsutsui, M. Fiorino, and K. Onogi, 2006: Impact of wind profile retrievals on the analysis of tropical cyclones in the JRA-25 reanalysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 891-905.
17. Hodges, K. I., 1994: A general method for tracking analysis and its application to meterological data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 2573- 2586.
18. Hodges, K. I., 1996: Spherical nonparametric estimators applied to the UGAMP model integration for AMIP. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2914-2932.
19. Inatsu, M., 2009: The neighbor enclosed area tracking algorithm for extratropical wintertime cyclones. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 10, 267-272.
20. Inatsu, M., and S. Amada, 2013: Dynamics and geometry of extratropical cyclones in the upper troposphere by a neighbor enclosed area tracking algorithm. J. Climate, in press.
21. Jones, S. C., and Coauthors, 2003: The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Forecast challenge, current understanding, and future directions. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1052-1092.
22. Kimball, S. K., and M. S. Mulekar, 2004: A 15-year climatology of North Atlantic tropical cyclones. Part I: Size parameters. J. Climate, 17, 3555-3575.
23. Kitabatake, N., 2011: Climatology of extratropical transition of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific defined by using cyclone phase space. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 89, 309-325.
24. Knutson, T. R., J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, I. M. Held, and R. R. Tuleya, 2007: Simulation of the recent multidecadal increase of Atlantic hurricane activity using an 18-km-grid regional model. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 1549-1565.
25. Lee, C.-S., K. K. W. Cheung, W.-T. Fang, and R. L. Elsberry, 2010: Initial maintenance of tropical cyclone size in the western North Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3207-3223.
26. Liu, K. S., and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Size of tropical cyclones as inferred from ERS-1 and ERS-2 data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2992-3001.
27. Manganello, J. V., and Coauthors, 2012: Tropical cyclone climatology in a 10-km global atmospheric GCM: Toward weatherresolving climate modeling. J. Climate, 25, 3867-3893.
28. Mathon, V., and H. Laurent, 2001: Life cycle of Sahelian mesoscale convective cloud systems. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, 377-406.
29. McDonald, R. E., D. G. Bleaken, D. R. Cresswell, V. D. Pope, and C. A. Senior, 2005: Tropical storms: Representation and diagnosis in climate models and the impacts of climate change. Climate Dyn., 25, 19-36.
30. Merrill, R. T., 1984: A comparison of large and small tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 1408-1418.
31. Morel, C., and S. Senesi, 2002: A climatology of mesoscale convective systems over Europe using satellite infrared imagery. I: Methodology. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 1953-1971.
32. Murakami, H., and B. Wang, 2010: Future change of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 23, 2699-2721.
33. Onogi, K., and Coauthors, 2007: The JRA-25 reanalysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 85, 369-432.
34. Oouchi, K., J. Yoshimura, H. Yoshimura, R. Mizuta, S. Kusunoki, and A. Noda, 2006: Tropical cyclone climatology in a globalwarming climate as simulated in a 20 km-mesh global atmospheric model: Frequency and wind intensity analysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 259-276.
35. Ooyama, K., 1969: Numerical simulation of the life cycle of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 26, 3-40.
36. Ooyama, K., 1982: Conceptual evolution of the theory and modeling of the tropical cyclone. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 60, 369-379.
37. Rudeva, I., and S. K. Gulev, 2007: Climatology of cyclone size characteristics and their changes during the cyclone life cycle. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 2568-2587.
38. Sakamoto, T. T., and Coauthors, 2012: MIROC4-A new highresolution CCSR/NIES/JAMSTEC atmosphere-ocean coupled GCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 325-359.
39. Sinclair, M. R., 1997: Objective identification of cyclones and their circulation intensity, and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 595-612.
40. Sugi, M., A. Noda, and N. Sato, 2002: Influence of the global warming on tropical cyclone climatology: An experiment with the JMA global model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 249-272.
41. Ulbrich, U., G. C. Leckebusch, and J. G. Pinto, 2009: Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and future climate: A review. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 96, 117-131.
42. Walsh, K., M. Fiorino, C. Landsea, and K. McInnes, 2007: Objectively determined resolution-dependent threshold criteria for the detection of tropical cyclones in climate models and reanalyses. J. Climate, 20, 2307-2314.
43. Wang, B., and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: How strong ENSO events affect tropical storm activity over the western North Pacific. J. Climate, 15, 1643-1658.
44. Williams, M., and R. A. Houze Jr., 1987: Satellite-observed characteristics of winter monsoon cloud clusters. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 505-519.