메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 26, Issue 19, 2013, Pages 7692-7707

Comparison of monthly temperature extremes simulated by CMIP3 and CMIP5 models

Author keywords

Climate change; Model comparison; Temperature

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGICAL ANNUAL CYCLE; COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT; DAILY TEMPERATURES; EXTREME TEMPERATURES; GLOBAL MEAN WARMING; HIGHER RESOLUTION; MODEL COMPARISON; TEMPERATURE EXTREMES;

EID: 84884918102     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00560.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (56)

References (49)
  • 1
    • 80052959467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Near-term increase in frequency of seasonal temperature extremes prior to the 28C global warming target
    • Anderson, B. T., 2011: Near-term increase in frequency of seasonal temperature extremes prior to the 28C global warming target. Climatic Change, 108, 581-589.
    • (2011) Climatic Change , vol.108 , pp. 581-589
    • Anderson, B.T.1
  • 2
    • 84872956299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Short-term climate extremes: Prediction skill and predictability
    • Becker, E. J., H. van den Dool, and M. Peña, 2013: Short-term climate extremes: Prediction skill and predictability. J. Climate, 26, 512-531.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 512-531
    • Becker, E.J.1    Den Dool, V.H.2    Peña, M.3
  • 3
    • 79952077065 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comments on "Reanalyses suitable for characterizing longterm trends"
    • Dee, D. P., K. Kallen, A. J. Simmons, and L. Haimberger, 2011a: Comments on "Reanalyses suitable for characterizing longterm trends." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 65-70.
    • (2011) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.92 , pp. 65-70
    • Dee, D.P.1    Kallen, K.2    Simmons, A.J.3    Haimberger, L.4
  • 4
    • 79955446270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system
    • Coauthors, doi:10.1002/qj.828.
    • Dee, D. P., and Coauthors, 2011b: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 553-597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.
    • (2011) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.137 , pp. 553-597
    • Dee, D.P.1
  • 5
    • 79960953613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observational and model evidence of global emergence of permanent, unprecedented heat in the 20th and 21st centuries
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0112-y.
    • Diffenbaugh, N. S., and M. Scherer, 2011: Observational and model evidence of global emergence of permanent, unprecedented heat in the 20th and 21st centuries. Climatic Change, 107, 615- 624, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0112-y.
    • (2011) Climatic Change , vol.107
    • Diffenbaugh, N.S.1    Scherer, M.2
  • 6
    • 34547995185 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heat stress intensification in the Mediterranean climate change hotspot
    • doi:10.1029/2007GL030000.
    • Diffenbaugh, N. S., J. S. Pal, F. Giorgi, and X. Gao, 2007: Heat stress intensification in the Mediterranean climate change hotspot. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L11706, doi:10.1029/2007GL030000.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.34
    • Diffenbaugh, N.S.1    Pal, J.S.2    Giorgi, F.3    Gao, X.4
  • 7
    • 84864437240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The shifting probability distribution of global daytime and night-time temperatures
    • doi:10.1029/2012GL052459.
    • Donat, M. G., and L. V. Alexander, 2012: The shifting probability distribution of global daytime and night-time temperatures. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L14707, doi:10.1029/2012GL052459.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Donat, M.G.1    Alexander, L.V.2
  • 8
    • 84857024045 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summer heat and drought extremes trigger unexpected changes in productivity of a temperate annual/biannual plant community
    • doi:10.1016/ j.envexpbot.2012.01.005.
    • Dreesen, F. E., H. J. De Boeck, I. A. Janssens, and I. Nijs, 2012: Summer heat and drought extremes trigger unexpected changes in productivity of a temperate annual/biannual plant community. Environ. Exp. Bot., 79, 21-30, doi:10.1016/ j.envexpbot.2012.01.005.
    • (2012) Environ. Exp. Bot. , vol.79 , pp. 21-30
    • Dreesen, F.E.1    De Boeck, H.J.2    Janssens, I.A.3    Nijs, I.4
  • 9
    • 84870166190 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the number of extreme daily events out to a decade ahead
    • doi:10.1029/ 2012JD018015.
    • Eade, R., E. Hamilton, D. M. Smith, R. J. Graham, and A. A. Scaife, 2012: Forecasting the number of extreme daily events out to a decade ahead. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D21110, doi:10.1029/ 2012JD018015.
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.117
    • Eade, R.1    Hamilton, E.2    Smith, D.M.3    Graham, R.J.4    Scaife, A.A.5
  • 10
    • 84923818429 scopus 로고
    • Better bootstrap confidence intervals
    • Efron, B., 1987: Better bootstrap confidence intervals. J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., 82, 171-185.
    • (1987) J. Amer. Stat. Assoc. , vol.82 , pp. 171-185
    • Efron, B.1
  • 11
    • 40949106039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A global monthly land surface air temperature analysis for 1948-present
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD008470.
    • Fan, Y., and H. van den Dool, 2008: A global monthly land surface air temperature analysis for 1948-present. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D01103, doi:10.1029/2007JD008470.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.113
    • Fan, Y.1    Den Dool, V.H.2
  • 12
    • 84869499319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation
    • Coauthors, Eds., Cambridge University Press
    • Field, C. B., and Coauthors, Eds., 2012: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. Cambridge University Press, 582 pp.
    • (2012) , pp. 582
    • Field, C.B.1
  • 13
  • 14
    • 0034035579 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in regional climate change prediction: A regional analysis of ensemble simulations with the HADCM2 coupled AOGCM
    • Giorgi, F., and R. Francisco, 2000: Uncertainties in regional climate change prediction: A regional analysis of ensemble simulations with the HADCM2 coupled AOGCM. Climate Dyn., 16, 169-182.
    • (2000) Climate Dyn. , vol.16 , pp. 169-182
    • Giorgi, F.1    Francisco, R.2
  • 15
    • 49249113376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance metrics for climate models
    • doi:10.1029/2007JD008972.
    • Gleckler, P. J., K. E. Taylor, and C. Doutriaux, 2008: Performance metrics for climate models. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D06104, doi:10.1029/2007JD008972.
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.113
    • Gleckler, P.J.1    Taylor, K.E.2    Doutriaux, C.3
  • 16
    • 80555144738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deaths and death rates from extreme weather events: 1900-2008
    • Goklany, I., 2008: Deaths and death rates from extreme weather events: 1900-2008. J. Amer. Physicians Surg., 14, 102-109.
    • (2008) J. Amer. Physicians Surg. , vol.14 , pp. 102-109
    • Goklany, I.1
  • 17
    • 80555148848 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The central European and Russian heat event of July-August 2010
    • Grumm, R. H., 2011: The central European and Russian heat event of July-August 2010. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 1285-1296.
    • (2011) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.92 , pp. 1285-1296
    • Grumm, R.H.1
  • 18
    • 33645816549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change
    • doi:10.1029/2005GL025127.
    • Hall, A., and X. Qu, 2006: Using the current seasonal cycle to constrain snow albedo feedback in future climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L03502, doi:10.1029/2005GL025127.
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33
    • Hall, A.1    Qu, X.2
  • 19
    • 34248233485 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Turning climate change information into economic and health impacts
    • Halsnaes, K., J. Kuhl, and J. E. Olesen, 2007: Turning climate change information into economic and health impacts. Climate Change, 81, 145-162.
    • (2007) Climate Change , vol.81 , pp. 145-162
    • Halsnaes, K.1    Kuhl, J.2    Olesen, J.E.3
  • 20
    • 70450173156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
    • Hawkins, E., and R. Sutton, 2009: The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 1095-1107.
    • (2009) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.90 , pp. 1095-1107
    • Hawkins, E.1    Sutton, R.2
  • 21
    • 78650583967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Observational evidence for soilmoisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe
    • Coauthors, doi:10.1038/NGEO1032.
    • Hirschi, M., and Coauthors, 2011: Observational evidence for soilmoisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe. Nat. Geosci., 4, 17-21, doi:10.1038/NGEO1032.
    • (2011) Nat. Geosci. , vol.4 , pp. 17-21
    • Hirschi, M.1
  • 22
    • 0000310360 scopus 로고
    • L-moments: Analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics
    • Hosking, J. R. M., 1990: L-moments: Analysis and estimation of distributions using linear combinations of order statistics. J. Roy. Stat. Soc., B52, 105-124.
    • (1990) J. Roy. Stat. Soc. , vol.B52 , pp. 105-124
    • Hosking, J.R.M.1
  • 23
    • 34247640720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations
    • Kharin, V. V., F. W. Zwiers, X. Zhang, and G. C. Hegerl, 2007: Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. J. Climate, 20, 1419-1444.
    • (2007) J. Climate , vol.20 , pp. 1419-1444
    • Kharin, V.V.1    Zwiers, F.W.2    Zhang, X.3    Hegerl, G.C.4
  • 24
    • 84862198005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The two types of ENSO in CMIP5 models
    • doi:10.1029/ 2012GL052006.
    • Kim, S. T., and J.-Y. Yu, 2012: The two types of ENSO in CMIP5 models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L11704, doi:10.1029/ 2012GL052006.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Kim, S.T.1    Yu, J.-Y.2
  • 25
    • 79955591935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Persisting cold extremes under 21st-century warming scenarios
    • doi:10.1029/2011GL047103.
    • Kodra, E., K. Steinhaeuser, and A. R. Ganguly, 2011: Persisting cold extremes under 21st-century warming scenarios. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L08705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047103.
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.38
    • Kodra, E.1    Steinhaeuser, K.2    Ganguly, A.R.3
  • 26
    • 79953803365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial-scale dependence of climate model performance in the CMIP3 ensemble
    • Masson, D., and R. Knutti, 2011: Spatial-scale dependence of climate model performance in the CMIP3 ensemble. J. Climate, 24, 2680-2692.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 2680-2692
    • Masson, D.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 27
    • 4043154304 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century
    • Meehl, G. A., and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305, 994-997.
    • (2004) Science , vol.305 , pp. 994-997
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Tebaldi, C.2
  • 29
    • 20444471429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids
    • doi:10.1002/joc.1181.
    • Mitchell, T. D., and P. D. Jones, 2005: An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 693-712, doi:10.1002/joc.1181.
    • (2005) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.25 , pp. 693-712
    • Mitchell, T.D.1    Jones, P.D.2
  • 30
    • 84856212524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global changes in extreme events: Regional and seasonal dimension
    • doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0122-9.
    • Orlowsky, B., and S. I. Seneviratne, 2012: Global changes in extreme events: Regional and seasonal dimension. Climatic Change, 110, 669-696, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0122-9.
    • (2012) Climatic Change , vol.110 , pp. 669-696
    • Orlowsky, B.1    Seneviratne, S.I.2
  • 31
    • 34548139719 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What controls the strength of snowalbedo feedback
    • Qu, X., and A. Hall, 2007: What controls the strength of snowalbedo feedback? J. Climate, 20, 3971-3981.
    • (2007) J. Climate , vol.20 , pp. 3971-3981
    • Qu, X.1    Hall, A.2
  • 32
    • 81055145470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increase of extreme events in a warming world
    • 17 905- 17 909, doi:101073/pnas.1101766108.
    • Rahmstorf, S., and D. Coumou, 2011: Increase of extreme events in a warming world. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 108, 17 905- 17 909, doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108.
    • (2011) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.108
    • Rahmstorf, S.1    Coumou, D.2
  • 33
    • 33846282669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How reliable are climate models
    • doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00211.x.
    • Räisänen, J., 2007: How reliable are climate models? Tellus, 59A, 2-29, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00211.x.
    • (2007) Tellus , vol.59 A , pp. 2-29
    • Räisänen, J.1
  • 34
    • 50449099018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating present climate in a warming world: A model-based approach
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0361-7.
    • Räisänen, J., and L. Ruokolainen, 2008: Estimating present climate in a warming world: A model-based approach. Climate Dyn., 31, 573-585, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0361-7.
    • (2008) Climate Dyn. , vol.31 , pp. 573-585
    • Räisänen, J.1    Ruokolainen, L.2
  • 35
    • 81755184080 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cold months in a warming climate
    • doi:10.1029/2011GL049758.
    • Räisänen, J., and J. S. Ylhäisi, 2011: Cold months in a warming climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L22704, doi:10.1029/2011GL049758.
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.38
    • Räisänen, J.1    Ylhäisi, J.S.2
  • 36
    • 77956572998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP Climate Forecast System reanalysis
    • Coauthors
    • Saha, S., and Coauthors, 2010: The NCEP Climate Forecast System reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91, 1015-1057.
    • (2010) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.91 , pp. 1015-1057
    • Saha, S.1
  • 37
    • 84865767546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The hindcast skill of the CMIP ensembles for the surface air temperature trend
    • doi:10.1029/2012JD017765.
    • Sakaguchi, K., X. Zeng, and M. A. Brunke, 2012: The hindcast skill of the CMIP ensembles for the surface air temperature trend. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D16113, doi:10.1029/2012JD017765.
    • (2012) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.117
    • Sakaguchi, K.1    Zeng, X.2    Brunke, M.A.3
  • 38
    • 77958085472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Present-day interannual variability of surface climate in CMIP3 models and its relation to future warming
    • doi:10.1002/joc.2170.
    • Scherrer, S. C., 2011: Present-day interannual variability of surface climate in CMIP3 models and its relation to future warming. Int. J. Climatol., 31, 1518-1529, doi:10.1002/joc.2170.
    • (2011) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.31 , pp. 1518-1529
    • Scherrer, S.C.1
  • 39
    • 79954574778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Single-step attribution of increasing frequencies of very warm regional temperatures to human influence
    • doi:10.1002/asl.315.
    • Stott, P. A., G. S. Jones, N. Christidis, F. W. Zwiers, G. Hegerl, and H. Shiogama, 2011: Single-step attribution of increasing frequencies of very warm regional temperatures to human influence. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 12, 220-227, doi:10.1002/asl.315.
    • (2011) Atmos. Sci. Lett. , vol.12 , pp. 220-227
    • Stott, P.A.1    Jones, G.S.2    Christidis, N.3    Zwiers, F.W.4    Hegerl, G.5    Shiogama, H.6
  • 41
    • 34547177691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections
    • doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2076.
    • Tebaldi, C., and R. Knutti, 2007: The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc., 365A, 2053-2075, doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2076.
    • (2007) Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. , vol.365 A , pp. 2053-2075
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Knutti, R.2
  • 42
    • 33644697480 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events
    • Tebaldi, C., K. Hayhoe, J. M. Arblaster, and G. A. Meehl, 2006: An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Climatic Change, 79, 185-211.
    • (2006) Climatic Change , vol.79 , pp. 185-211
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Hayhoe, K.2    Arblaster, J.M.3    Meehl, G.A.4
  • 43
    • 83455213186 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mapping model agreement on future climate projections
    • doi:10.1029/2011GL049863.
    • Tebaldi, C., J. M. Arblaster, and R. Knutti, 2011: Mapping model agreement on future climate projections. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L23701, doi:10.1029/2011GL049863.
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.38
    • Tebaldi, C.1    Arblaster, J.M.2    Knutti, R.3
  • 44
    • 0003973340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical Analysis in Climate Research
    • Cambridge University Press
    • von Storch, H., and F. W. Zwiers, 2002: Statistical Analysis in Climate Research. Cambridge University Press, 484 pp.
    • (2002) , pp. 484
    • Von Storch, H.1    Zwiers, F.W.2
  • 45
    • 28944436233 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming
    • doi:101029/2005GL023365.
    • Weisheimer, A., and T. N. Palmer, 2005: Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L20721, doi:10.1029/2005GL023365.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.32
    • Weisheimer, A.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 46
    • 84868009398 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
    • doi:10.1029/2012GL053338.
    • Yang, S., and J. H. Christensen, 2012: Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20707, doi:10.1029/2012GL053338.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Yang, S.1    Christensen, J.H.2
  • 47
    • 84870883180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improvements in the CMIP5 simulations of ENSO-SSTA meridional width
    • doi:10.1029/2012GL053588.
    • Zhang, W., and F.-F. Jin, 2012: Improvements in the CMIP5 simulations of ENSO-SSTA meridional width. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L23704, doi:10.1029/2012GL053588.
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Zhang, W.1    .Jin, F.-F.2
  • 49
    • 79953790500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anthropogenic influence on long return period daily temperature extremes at regional scales
    • Zwiers, F. W., X. Zhang, and Y. Feng, 2011: Anthropogenic influence on long return period daily temperature extremes at regional scales. J. Climate, 24, 881-892.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 881-892
    • Zwiers, F.W.1    Zhang, X.2    Feng, Y.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.