American megafaunal extinctions and human arrival: Improved evaluation using a meta-analytical approach

Quaternary International

Volumn 299, Issue , 2013, Pages 38-52

  Lima Ribeiro, Matheus Souza ^a   Felizola Diniz Filho, José Alexandre ^a  

^a FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF GOIÁS   (Brazil)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; BIOGEOGRAPHY; CHRONOLOGY; COEXISTENCE; EXTINCTION; FAUNA; MAMMAL; META-ANALYSIS; PLEISTOCENE; QUATERNARY;

NORTH AMERICA; SOUTH AMERICA;

MAMMALIA; SLOTHS;

EID: 84884700329     PISSN: 10406182     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.quaint.2013.03.007     Document Type: Article

References (101)

1. Adams D.C., Gurevitch J., Rosenberg M.S. Resampling tests for meta-analysis of ecological data. Ecology 1997, 78:1277-1283.
2. Agenbroad L.D. North American Proboscideans: mammoths: the state of Knowledge, 2003. Quaternary International 2005, 126-128:73-92.
3. Alroy J. Amultispecies overkill simulation of the end-Pleistocene megafaunal mass extinction. Science 2001, 292:1893-1896.
4. Anderson D.G., Miller D.S., Yerka S.J., Gillam J.C., Johanson E.N., Anderson D.T., Goodyear A.C., Smallwood A.M. PIDBA (Paleoindian Database of the Americas) 2010: current status and findings. Archaeology of Eastern North America 2010, 38:63-90.
5. Barnosky A.D., Koch P.L., Feranec R.S., Wing S.L., Shabel A.B. Assessing the causes of late Pleistocene extinctions on the continents. Science 2004, 306:70-75.
6. Barnosky A.D., Lindsey E.L. Timing of Quaternary megafaunal extinction in South America in relation to human arrival and climate change. Quaternary International 2010, 217:10-29.
7. Bird D.W., O'Connell J.F. Behavioral ecology and archaeology. Journal of Archaeological Research 2004, 14:143-188.
8. Borenstein M., Hedges L.V., Higgins J.P.T., Rothstein H.R. Introduction to Meta-analysis 2009, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
9. Borrero L.A. Extinction of Pleistocene megamammals in South America: the lost evidence. Quaternary International 2008, 185:69-74.
10. Borrero L.A. The elusive evidence: the archeological record of the South American extinct megafauna. American Megafaunal Extinctions at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, 145-168. Springer Science, Reno. G. Haynes (Ed.).
11. Brook B.W., Bowman D.M.J.S. Explaining the Pleistocene megafaunal extinctions: models, chronologies, and assumptions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2002, 99:14624-14627.
12. Brook B.W., Bowman D.M.J.S. The uncertain blitzkrieg of Pleistocene megafauna. Journal of Biogeography 2004, 31:517-523.
13. Burney D.A., Flannery T.F. Fifty millennia of catastrophic extinctions after human contact. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 2005, 20:401.
14. Cannon M.D., Meltzer D.J. Early Paleoindian foraging: examining the faunal evidence for large mammal specialization and regional variability in prey choice. Quaternary Science Reviews 2004, 23:1955-1987.
15. Cione A.L., Tonni E.P., Soibelzon L. Did humans cause the Late Pleistocene-Early Holocene mammalian extinctions in South America in a context of shrinking open areas?. American Megafaunal Extinctions at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, 125-144. Springer Science, Reno. G. Haynes (Ed.).
16. Collins J.A., Fauser B.C.J.M. Balancing the strengths of systematic and narrative reviews. Human Reproduction Update 2005, 11:103-104.
17. Cosgrove R., Field J., Garvey J., Brenner-Coltrain J., Goede A., Charles B., Wroe S., Pike-Tay A., Grün R., Aubert M., Lees W., O'Connell J. Overdone overkill - the archaeological perspective on Tasmanian megafaunal extinctions. Journal of Archaeological Science 2010, 37:2426-2503.
18. de Vivo M., Carmignotto A.P. Holocene vegetation change and the mammal faunas of South America and Africa. Journal of Biogeography 2004, 31:943-957.
19. DerSimonian R., Laird N. Meta-analysis in clinical trials. Controlled Clinical Trials 1986, 7:177-188.
20. Diniz-Filho J.A.F. Macroecological analyses support an overkill scenario for Late Pleistocene extinctions. Brazilian Journal of Biology 2004, 64:407-414.
21. Diniz-Filho J.A.F., Bini L.M., Hawkins B.A. Spatial autocorrelation and red herrings in geographical ecology. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2003, 12:53-64.
22. Ellis C., Goodyear A.C., Morse D.F., Tankersley K.B. Archaeology of the Pleistocene-Holocene transition in eastern North America. Quaternary International 1998, 49-50:151-166.
23. Englund G., Sarnelle O., Cooper S.D. The importance of data-selection criteria: meta-analyses of stream predation experiments. Ecology 1999, 80:1132-1141.
24. Faith J.T. Late Pleistocene climate change, nutrient cycling, and the megafaunal extinctions in North America. Quaternary Science Reviews 2011, 30:1675-1680.
25. Faith J.T., Surovell T.A. Synchronous extinction of North America's Pleistocene mammals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2009, 106:20641-20645.
26. Faught M. Archaeological roots of human diversity in the New World: a compilation of accurate and precise radiocarbon ages from earliest sites. American Antiquity 2008, 73:670-698.
27. Fernandez-Duque E., Valeggia C. Meta-analysis: a valuable tool in conservation research. Conservation Biology 1994, 8:555-561.
28. Fiedel S. Sudden deaths: the chronology of terminal Pleistocene megafaunal extinction. American Megafaunal Extinctions at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, 21-38. Springer Science, Reno. G. Haynes (Ed.).
29. Fiedel S., Haynes G. Apremature burial: comments on Grayson and Meltzer's "Requiem for overkill". Journal of Archaeological Science 2004, 31:121-131.
30. Firestone R.B., West A., Kennett J.P., Becker L., Bunch T.E., Revay Z.S., Schultz P.H., Belgya T., Kennett D.J., Erlandson J.M., Dickenson O.J., Goodyear A.C., Harris R.S., Howard G.A., Kloosterman J.B., Lechler P., Mayewski P.A., Montgomery J., Poreda R., Darrah T., Que Hee S.S., Smith A.R., Stich A., Topping W., Wittke J.H., Wolbach W.S. Evidence for an extraterrestrial impact 12,900 years ago that contributed to the megafaunal extinctions and the Younger Dryas cooling. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2007, 104:16016-16021.
31. Gates S. Review of methodology of quantitative reviews using meta-analysis in ecology. Journal of Animal Ecology 2002, 71:547-557.
32. Gillespie R. Updating Martin's global extinction model. Quaternary Science Reviews 2008, 27:2522-2529.
33. Gillespie R., Camens A.B., Worthy T.H., Rawlence N.J., Reid C., Bertuch F., Levchenko V., Cooper A. Man and megafauna in Tasmania: closing the gap. Quaternary Science Reviews 2012, 37:38-47.
34. Glass G.V. Primary, secondary, and meta-analysis of research. Educational Research 1976, 5:3-8.
35. Graham, R.W., Lundelius Jr. E.L., 2010. FAUNMAP II: New data for North America with a temporal extension for the Blancan, Irvingtonian and early Rancholabrean. FAUNMAP II Database version 1.0. Available from: http://www.ucmp.berkeley.edu/faunmap/.
36. Grayson D.K. Nineteenth-century explanations of Pleistocene extinctions: a review and analysis. Quaternary Extinctions: A Prehistoric Revolution 1984, 5-39. University of Arizona Press, Tucson. P.S. Martin, R.G. Klein (Eds.).
37. Grayson D.K. The chronology of North American late Pleistocene extinctions. Journal of Archaeological Sciences 1989, 16:153-165.
38. Grayson D.K., Meltzer D.J. Clovis hunting and large mammal extinction: a critical review of the evidence. Journal of World Prehistory 2002, 16:313-359.
39. Grayson D.K., Meltzer D.J. Arequiem for North American overkill. Journal of Archaeological Science 2003, 30:585-593.
40. Grayson D.K., Meltzer D.J. North American overkill continued?. Journal of Archaeological Science 2004, 31:133-136.
41. Grayson D. Deciphering North American Pleistocene extinctions. Journal of Anthropological Research 2007, 63:185-213.
42. Gurevitch J., Hedges L.V. Meta-analysis: combining results of independent experiments. Design and Analysis of Ecological Experiments 2001, 347-369. Oxford University Press, Oxford. S.M. Scheiner, J. Gurevitch (Eds.).
43. Guthrie R.D. New carbon dates link climatic change with human colonization and Pleistocene extinctions. Nature 2006, 441:207-209.
44. Hamilton M.J., Buchanan B. Spatial gradients in Clovis-age radiocarbon dates across North America suggest rapid colonization from the north. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2007, 104:15625-15630.
45. Handley L.J., Manica A., Balloux F. Going to the distance: human population genetics in a clincal world. Trends in Genetics 2007, 23:432-439.
46. Harrison F. Getting started with meta-analysis. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 2011, 2:1-10.
47. Haynes G. Areview of some attacks on the overkill hypothesis, with special attention to misrepresentations and doubletalk. Quaternary International 2007, 169-170:84-94.
48. Haynes G. American Megafaunal Extinctions at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, Springer Science, Reno.
49. Haynes G. Estimates of Clovis-Era megafaunal populations and their extinction risks. American Megafaunal Extinctions at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, 39-54. Springer Science, Reno. G. Haynes (Ed.).
50. Hedges L.V., Gurevitch J., Curtis P.S. The meta-analysis of response ratios in experimental ecology. Ecology 1999, 80:1150-1156.
51. Holliday V.T. The evolution of paleoindian geochronology and typology on the Great Plains. Geoarchaeology: An International Journal 2000, 15:227-290.
52. Koch P.L., Barnosky A.D. Late Quaternary extinctions: state of the debate. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 2006, 37:215-250.
53. Koricheva J. Non-significant results in ecology: a burden or a blessing in disguise?. Oikos 2003, 102:397-401.
54. Leimu R., Koricheva J. Cumulative meta-analysis: a new tool for detection of temporal trends and publication bias in ecology. Proceedings of the Royal Society B - Biological Sciences 2004, 271:1961-1966.
55. Lister A.M., Stuart A.J. The impact of climate change on large mammal distribution and extinction: evidence from the last glacial/interglacial transition. Comptes Rendus Geoscience 2008, 340:615-620.
56. Long A., Rippeteau B. Testing contemporaneity and averaging radiocarbon dates. American Antiquity 1974, 39:205-215.
57. MacArthur R.H., Wilson E.O. The Theory of Island Biogeography 1967, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
58. MacPhee R.D.E. Insulae infortunatae: establishing a chronology for Late Quaternary mammal extinctions in the West Indies. American Megafaunal Extinctions at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, 169-194. Springer Science, Reno. G. Haynes (Ed.).
59. MacPhee R.D.E., Marx P.A. The 40,000 year plague: humans, hyperdisease and first-contact extinctions. Natural Change and Human Impact in Madagascar 1997, 169-217. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC. S. Goodman, B. Patterson (Eds.).
60. Magurran A.E. Measuring Biological Diversity 2004, Blackwell Science, Oxford.
61. Martin P.S. Prehistoric overkill. Pleistocene Extinction: The Search for a Cause 1967, 75-120. Yale University Press, New Haven. P.S. Martin, H.E. Wright (Eds.).
62. Martin P.S. The discovery of America: the first Americans may have swept the Western Hemisphere and decimated its fauna within 1000 years. Science 1973, 179:969-974.
63. Martínez-Meyer E., Peterson A.T., Hargrove W.W. Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2004, 13:305-314.
64. McCormac F.G., Hogg A.G., Blackwell P.G., Buck C.E., Higham T.F.G., Reimer P.J. ShCal04 southern hemisphere calibration, 0-11.0 cal kyr BP. Radiocarbon 2004, 46:1087-1092.
65. Mead J.I., Meltzer D.J. North American Late Quaternary extinctions and the radiocarbon record. Quaternary Extinctions: A Prehistoric Revolution 1984, 440-450. University of Arizona Press, Tucson. P.S. Martin, R.G. Klein (Eds.).
66. Meltzer D.J. Pleistocene overkill and the associational critique. Journal of Archaeological Science 1986, 13:51-60.
67. Meltzer D.J., Mead J.I. The timing of Late Pleistocene mammalian extinctions. Quaternary Research 1983, 19:130-135.
68. Meltzer D.J., Mead J.I. Dating late Pleistocene extinctions: theoretical issues, analytical bias and substantive results. Environments and Extinctions: Man in Late Glacial North America 1985, 145-174. Center for the Study of Early Man, University of Maine, Orono. J.I. Mead, D.J. Meltzer (Eds.).
69. Miotti L., Salemme M.C. When Patagonia was colonized: people mobility at high latitudes during Pleistocene/Holocene transition. Quaternary International 2003, 109-110:95-111.
70. Nogués-Bravo D., Ohlemüller R., Batra P., Araújo M. Climate predictors of Late Quaternary extinctions. Evolution 2010, 64:2442-2449.
71. Nogués-Bravo D., Rodrígues J., Hortal J., Batra P., Araújo M. Climate change, humans, and the extinction of the Woolly Mammoth. PLoS Biology 2008, 6:685-692.
72. Nogués-Bravo D. Predicting the past distribution of species climatic niches. Global Ecology and Biogeography 2009, 18:521-531.
73. Prescott G.W., Williams D.R., Balmford A., Green R.E., Manica A. Quantitative global analysis of the role of climate and people in explaining late Quaternary megafaunal extinctions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2012, 109:4527-4531.
74. Prevosti F.J., Santiago F., Prates L., Salemme M. Constraining the time of extinction of the South American fox Dusicyon avus (Carnivora, Canidae) during the late Holocene. Quaternary International 2011, 10.1016/j.quaint.2011.02.010.
75. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing 2010, R Development Core Team, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, Available at:. http://www.R-project.org.
76. Reimer P.J., Baillie M.G.L., Bard E., Bayliss A., Beck J.W., Blackwell P.G., Bronk Ramssey C., Buck C.E., Burr G.S., Edwards R.L., Friedrich M., Grootes P.M., Guilderson T.P., Hajdas I., Heaton T.J., Hogg A.G., Hughen K.A., Kaiser K.F., Kromer B., McCormac F.G., Manning S.W., Reimer R.W., Richards D.A., Southon J.R., Talamo S., Turney C.S.M., van der Plicht J., Weyhenmeyer C.E. IntCal09 and Marine09 radiocarbon age calibration curves, 0-50,000 years cal BP. Radiocarbon 2009, 51:1111-1150.
77. Rosenberg M.S.B., Adams D.C., Gurevitch J. Metawin: Statistical Software for Meta-analysis 2000, Sinauer Associates Sunderland, Massachusetts.
78. Rothhammer F., Dillehay T.D. The Late Pleistocene colonization of South America: an interdisciplinary perspective. Annals of Human Genetics 2009, 73:540-549.
79. Smith F.A., Lyons S.K., Ernest S.K.M., Jones K.E., Kaufman D.M., Dayan T., Marquet P.A., Brown J.H., Haskell J.P. Body mass of Late Quaternary mammals. Ecology 2003, 84:3403.
80. Solow A.R. Tests and confidence intervals for a common upper endpoint in fossil taxa. Paleobiology 1996, 22:406-410.
81. Solow A.R., Roberts D.L., Robbirt K.M. On the Pleistocene extinctions of Alaskan mammoths and horses. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2006, 103:7351-7353.
82. Steadman D.W., Martin P.S., MacPhee R.D.E., Jull A.J.T., McDonald H.G., Woods C.A., Iturralde-Vinent M., Hodgins G.W.L. Asynchronous extinction of late Quaternary sloths on continents and islands. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2005, 102:11763-11768.
83. Stuart A.J., Kosintsev P.A., Higham T.F.G., Lister A.M. Pleistocene to Holocene extinction dynamics in giant deer and woolly mammoth. Nature 2004, 431:684-689.
84. Stuckenrath R. Radiocarbon: some notes from Merlin's diary. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1977, 288:181-188.
85. Surovell T.A., Waguespack N. How many elephant kills are 14? Clovis mammoth and mastodon kills in context. Quaternary International 2008, 191:82-97.
86. Surovell T.A., Waguespack N. Human prey choice in the Late Pleistocene and its relation to megafaunal extinctions. American Megafaunal Extinction at the End of the Pleistocene 2009, 77-105. Springer Science, Reno. G. Haynes (Ed.).
87. Surovell T.A., Waguespack N., Brantingham P.J. Global archaeological evidence for proboscidean overkill. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2005, 102:6231-6236.
88. Sutton A.J. Publication bias. The Handbook of Research Synthesis and Meta-analysis 2009, 435-452. Russell Sage Foundation, New York. second ed. H.N. Cooper, L.V. Hedges, J.C. Valentine (Eds.).
89. Svenning J.-C., Flojgaard C., Marske K.A., Nogués-Bravo D., Normand S. Applications of species distribution modeling to paleobiology. Quaternary Science Reviews 2011, 30:2930-2947.
90. Tilman D., May R.M., Lehman C.L., Nowak M.A. Habitat destruction and the extinction debt. Nature 1994, 371:65-66.
91. Turney C.S.M., Flannery T.F., Roberts R.G., Reid C., Fifield L.K., Higham T.F.G., Jacobs Z., Kemp N., Colhoun E.A., Kalin R.M., Ogle N. Late-surviving megafauna in Tasmania, Australia, implicate human involvement in their extinction. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2008, 105:12150-12153.
92. Turvey S.T., Fritz S.A. The ghosts of mammals past: biological and geographical patterns of global mammalian extinction across the Holocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B - Biological Sciences 2011, 366:2564-2576.
93. Ugan A., Byers D. Aglobal perspective on the spatiotemporal pattern of the Late Pleistocene human and woolly mammoth radiocarbon record. Quaternary International 2008, 191:69-81.
94. Varela S., Lobo J.M., Hortal J. Using species distribution models in paleobiogeography: a matter of data, predictors and concepts. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 2011, 310:451-463.
95. Varela S., Lobo J.M., Rodríguez J., Batra P. Were the Late Pleistocene climatic changes responsible for the disappearance of the European spotted hyena populations? Hindcasting a species geographic distribution across time. Quaternary Science Reviews 2010, 29:2027-2035.
96. Viechtbauer W. Conducting meta-analyses in R with the metafor Package. Journal of Statistical Software 2010, 36:1-48.
97. Ward G.K., Wilson S.R. Procedures for comparing and combining radiocarbon age-determinations: critique. Archaeometry 1978, 20:19-31.
98. Waters M.R., Stafford T.W. Redefining the age of Clovis: implications for the peopling of the Americas. Science 2007, 315:1122-1126.
99. Wroe S., Field J., Grayson D.K. Megafaunal extinction: climate, humans and assumptions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 2006, 21:61-62.
100. Wroe S., Field J. Areview of the evidence for a human role in the extinction of Australian megafauna and an alternative interpretation. Quaternary Science Reviews 2006, 25:2692-2703.
101. Yule J.V., Jensen C.X.J., Joseph A., Goode J. The puzzle of North America's Late Pleistocene megafaunal extinction patterns: test of new explanation yields unexpected results. Ecological Modelling 2009, 220:533-544.