Can there be a green revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa without large expansion of irrigated crop production?

Global Food Security

Volumn 2, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 203-209

  Cassman, Kenneth G ^a   Grassini, Patricio ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEBRASKA LINCOLN   (United States)

Author keywords

Irrigation; Maize; Rice; Wheat; Yield; Yield stability

Indexed keywords

TRITICUM AESTIVUM; ZEA MAYS;

EID: 84884209483     PISSN: 22119124     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2013.08.004     Document Type: Review

References (32)

1. Alexandratos N., Bruinsma J. World Agriculture Towards 2030/2050: The 2012 Revision. ESA Working Paper No. 12-03 2012, Agricultural Development Economics Division. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome.
2. Alexandratos N., Bruinsma J., Bödeker J.G., Schmidhuber J., Broca S., Shetty P., Ottaviani M.G. World Agriculture Towards 2030/2050 2006, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome.
3. Burneya J., Lennart Wolteringbl, Marshall Burke M., Naylor R., Pasternakb D. Solar-powered drip irrigation enhances food security in the Sudano-Sahel. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2010, 107:1848-1853.
4. Cassman K.G., Grassini P., van Wart J. Crop yield potential, yield trends, and global food security in a changing climate. Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems 2010, 37-51. Imperial College Press, London. C. Rosenzweig, D. Hillel (Eds.).
5. Connor D.J., Loomis R.S., Cassman K.G. Crop Ecology 2010, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. 2nd edition.
6. Demont, M. Reversing urban bias in African rice markets: a review of 19 national rice development strategies. Global Food Security, this issue. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2013.07.001.
7. Diagne A., Amovin-Assagba E., Futakuchi K., Wopereis M.C.S. Estimation of cultivated area, number of farming households and yield for major rice-growing environments in Africa. Realizing Africa's Rice Promise 2013, CAB International, Wallingford, UK, (in press). M.C.S. Wopereis, D.E. Johnson, N. Ahmadi, E. Tollens, A. Jalloh (Eds.).
8. FAOSTAT crop production archives. (accessed on July, 2013). http://faostat.fao.org/site/567/default.aspx#ancor.
9. Fischer R.A. Number of kernels in wheat crops and the influence of solar radiation and temperature. Journal of Agricultural Science, Cambridge 1985, 105:447-461.
10. Grassini P., Yang H.S., Cassman K.G. Limits to maize productivity in the Western Corn-Belt: a simulation analysis for fully irrigated and rainfed conditions. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 2009, 149:1254-1265.
11. Grassini P., Thornburn J., Burr C., Cassman K.G. High-yield irrigated maize in the Western U.S. Corn Belt: I. On-farm yield, yield potential, and impact of agronomic practices. Field Crops Research 2011, 120:144-152.
12. Gupta, R.K., Naresh, R.K., Hobbs, P.R., Jiaguo, Z., Ladha, J.K., 2003. Sustainability of post-green revolution agriculture: the rice-wheat cropping systems of the Indo-Gangetic Plains and China. In: Improving the Productivity and Sustainability of Rice-Wheat Systems: Issues and Impacts. ASA Special Publication 65, American Society of Agron, Madison.
13. Hubert B., Rosegrant M., van Boekel M.A.J.S., Rodomiro Ortiz R. The future of food: scenarios for 2050. Crop Science 2010, 50:33-50.
14. Kerr J. Sustainable development of rainfed agriculture in India. ETDP Discussion Paper No. 20 1996, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C.
15. Kropff M.J., Cassman K.G., van Laar H.H., Peng S. Nitrogen and yield potential of irrigated rice. Plant and Soil 1993, 155-156:391-394.
16. MacDonald A.M., Bonsor H.C., Dochartaigh B.E.O., Taylor R.G. Quantitative maps of groundwater resources in Africa. Environmental Research Letters 2012, 7. 10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024009.
17. Midmore D.J., Cartwright P.M., Fischer R.A. Wheat in tropical environments. II. Crop growth and grain yield. Field Crops Research 1984, 8:207-227.
18. Morris M.L., Binswanger-Mikhize H.P., Byerlee D. Awakening Africa's Sleeping Giant: Prospects for Commercial Agriculture in the Guinea Savanah Zone and Beyond 2009, The World Bank.
19. Mueller N.D., Gerber J.S., Johnston M., Ray D.K., Rmankutty N., Foley J.A. Closing yield gaps through nutrient and water management. Nature 2012, 490:254-257.
20. Nakano Y., Bamba I., Diajne A., Otsuka K., Kajisa K. Possibility of a Rice Green Revolution in Large-scale Irrigation Schemes in Sub-Saharan Africa. Policy Research Working Paper 5560 2011, World Bank Development Research Group, Washington, D.C.
21. Neumann K., Verburg P.H.B., Elke Stehfest E., Christoph Müller M. The yield gap of global grain production: a spatial analysis. Agricultural Systems 2010, 103:316-326.
22. Nye P.H., Greenland D.J. The Soil Under Shifting Cultivation 1960, Commonwealth Agricultural Bureau, Farnham Royal Bucks, UK.
23. Rosegrant M., Zhu T., Siwa Msangi S., Sulser T. Global scenarios for biofuels: impacts and implications. Agricultural Economics Review 2008, 30:495-505.
24. Rowhani P., Lobell D.B., Lindermanc M., Navin Ramankutty N. Climate variability and crop production in Tanzania. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 2011, 151:449-460.
25. Sachs J. The African green revolution. Scientific American 2008, 298:42.
26. Scanlon B.R., Faunt C.C., Longuevergne L., Reedy R.C., Alley W.M., McGuire V.L., McMahon P.B. Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the U.S. high plains and central valley. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2012, 109:9320-9325.
27. Smale M., Byerlee D., Jahne T. Maize Revolution in Sub-Saharan Africa 2013, 165-195. Springer-Netherlands, Amsterdam. K. Otsuka, D.F. Larson (Eds.).
28. URT-MAGSC, 2009. National rice Development Strategy. United Republic of Tanzania, Ministry of Agriculture, Food Security, and Cooperatives, Dar Es Salaam.
29. Van Wart, J., Grassini, P., Cassman, K.G. Impact of derived global weather data on simulated crop yields. Global Change Biology, in press. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12302.
30. Woltering L., Pasternak D., Ndjeunga J. The African market garden: the development of a low-pressure drip irrigation system for smallholders in the Sudano Sahel. Irrigation and Drainage 2011, 60:613-621.
31. World Bank, 2008. World Development Report: Agriculture for Development. World Bank, Washington, D.C. http://www.worldbank.org/wdr2008.
32. You L., Ringler C., Wood-Sichra U., Robertson R., Wood S., Zhu T., Nelson G., Guo Z., Sun Y. What is the irrigation potential for Africa? A combined biophysical and socioeconomic approach. Food Policy 2011, 36:770-782.