Vulnerability of pastoral farming in Hawke's Bay to future climate change: Development of a pre-screening (bottom-up) methodology

New Zealand Geographer

Volumn 69, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 120-135

  Fowler, Anthony M ^a   Aiken, Simon ^a   Maree, Kim ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF AUCKLAND   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

Climate change; Climate change impact assessment; Pasture productivity

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; MODELING; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; PASTORALISM; PRODUCTIVITY; VULNERABILITY; WATER BUDGET;

HAWKES BAY; NEW ZEALAND; NORTH ISLAND;

EID: 84881257815     PISSN: 00288144     EISSN: 17457939     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/nzg.12015     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Andersson L, Harding RJ (1991). Soil-moisture deficit simulations with models of varying complexity for forest and grassland sites in Sweden and the U.K. Water Resources Management 5, 25-46.
2. Arkley RJ (1963). Relationships between plant growth and transpiration. Hilgardia 34, 559-584.
3. Briggs LJ, Shantz HL (1913). The Water Requirements of Plants: I. Investigations in the Great Plains in 1910 and 1911. Bureau of Plant Industry Bulletin 284. U.S. Department of Agriculture, 49 p.
4. Calder IR (1997). Approaches for measuring and modeling soil moisture. In: Sorooshian S, Gupta HV, Rodda JC, eds. Land Surface Processes in Hydrology: Trials and Tribulations of Modeling and Measurement. Springer, Berlin, pp. 215-237.
5. Calder IR, Harding RJ, Rosier PTW (1983). An objective assessment of soil-moisture deficit models. Journal of Hydrology 60, 329-355.
6. Chang J-H (1968). Climate and Agriculture. Aldine, Chicago, IL.
7. de Lisle JF, Patterson DI (1971). The climate and weather of the Hawke's Bay region New Zealand. New Zealand Meteorological Service, Ministry of Transport, Wellington, New Zealand. N.Z. Met. S. Misc. Pub. 115(5).
8. De Wit CT (1958). Transpiration and Crop Yields. Institute of Biological and Chemical Research on Field Crops and Herbage. Wageningen, The Netherlands, Vers-Landbouwk, Onder Z. No. 64-6-S Gravevage.
9. Fowler A (2002). Assessment of the validity of using mean potential evaporation in computations of the long-term soil water balance. Journal of Hydrology 256, 248-263.
10. Fowler A, Adams K (2004). Twentieth century droughts and wet periods in Auckland (New Zealand) and their relationship to ENSO. International Journal of Climatology 24, 1947-1961.
11. Fowler AM (1992). Climate change and water resources in the Auckland region. PhD thesis, The University of Auckland, Auckland.
12. Fowler AM (1999). Potential climate change impacts on water resources in the Auckland Region (New Zealand). Climate Research 11, 221-245.
13. Fowler AM, Aiken S, Maree K (2008). Vulnerability of New Zealand pastoral farming to the impacts of future climate change on the soil water regime. Report prepared for New Zealand Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries, June 2008. 37 pp.
14. IPCC (2007). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Solomon, S., Qin D., Manning M., Chen Z., Marquis M., Averyt K.B., Tignor M. and Miller H.L. eds. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.
15. McAneney KJ, Judd MJ (1983). Pasture production and water use measurements in the central Waikato. New Zealand Journal of Agricultural Research 26, 7-13.
16. MfE (2008). Climate Change Effects and Impacts Assessment: A Guidance Manual for Local Government in New Zealand, 2nd edn. Mullan B, Wratt D, Dean S, Hollis M, Allan S, Williams T, Kenny G, and MfE. Ministry for the Environment, Wellington.
17. Moir JL, Scotter DR, Hedley MJ, Mackay AD (2000). A climate-driven, soil fertility dependent, pasture production model. New Zealand Journal of Agricultural Research 43, 491-500.
18. Mullan B, Porteous A, Wratt D, Hollis M (2005). Changes in drought risk with climate change. Client Report WLG2005-23, NIWA, Wellington.
19. NIWA (2012). Virtual Climate Station Data and Products. National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research Ltd, Auckland (NZ). [Cited 24 May 2013.] Available from URL: http://www.niwa.co.nz/our-science/climate/our-services/virtual-climate-stations
20. NZMS (1986). Summaries of water balance data for New Zealand stations: tables of evapotranspiration, wilting point deficit, runoff and soil moisture deficit for four selected available water capacities. New Zealand Meteorological Service, Ministry of Transport, Wellington, New Zealand. N.Z. Met. S. Pub. 189.
21. Porteous AS, Basher RE, Salinger MJ (1994). Calibration and performance of the single-layer soil water balance model for pasture sites. New Zealand Journal of Agricultural Research 37, 107-118.
22. Sansom J, Renwick JA (2007). Climate change scenarios for New Zealand rainfall. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 46, 573-590.
23. Sevruk B (1982). Methods of correction for systematic error in point precipitation measurement for operational use. Operational hydrology report 21, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva.
24. Tait A, Woods R (2007). Spatial interpolation of daily potential evapotranspiration for New Zealand using a spline model. Journal of Hydrometeorology 8, 430-438.
25. Tait A, Henderson R, Turner R, Zheng X (2006). Thin plate smoothing spline interpolation of daily rainfall for New Zealand using a climatological rainfall surface. International Journal of Climatology 26, 2097-2115.
26. Tait A, Sturman J, Clark M (2012). An assessment of the accuracy of interpolated daily rainfall for New Zealand. Journal of Hydrology (New Zealand) 51, 25-44.